JesseRW
JesseRW
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avatarJesseRW
09-04 03:11
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$  Anyone else notice what that drop did for AVGO? It landed right on a trend line it has a history of bouncing off hard. Right now it's also showing what looks like a small intraday cup and handle. Just putting it out there for anyone who's watching.
avatarJesseRW
09-03 05:34
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ This one has been really tough to get moving. $Broadcom(AVGO)$  is probably giving it a bit of a push now.
avatarJesseRW
09-03 04:52
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$  $Broadcom(AVGO)$ Posting the screenshots here. The original print was 13B, which was a big miss. It sold off hard after that, and then came the correction. But some still seem to think it sold off hard on a beat. From where I stand, people might be owed some money here. This looks like market manipulation, plain and simple.
avatarJesseRW
09-03 04:28
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Wild situation here. Fake numbers got posted for Broadcom and that triggered a big sell off. The data has since been corrected, but the stock is still in the red. I don't think people fully realize what's actually happening. $Broadcom(AVGO)$  $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$  $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ 
avatarJesseRW
09-02 23:59
Bad job numbers on Friday could actually give the market more room to run. The weaker-than-expected ADP number cut the September rate hike probability from 68% to 62%, which took some pressure off the dollar and the 10Y yield, allowing the market to bounce. Falling oil prices from their overnight highs also helped. ADP matters, but it doesn't carry as much weight as the Friday Non-Farm Payroll numbers. So I went through some historical data to see how often ADP acts as a reliable leading indicator for NFP. Over the past 40 months, ADP and NFP both missed or both exceeded forecasts about 40% of the time. In the other 60%, they diverged, with one missing and one exceeding. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 
avatarJesseRW
09-02 21:28
ADP jobs came in worse than expected, but the market bounced anyway. On top of that, we still have several events ahead: Initial Jobless Claims, nonfarm payrolls, the 10Y auction, PPI, CPI, the FOMC rate decision, and the Clarity Act vote. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$  BTC.X $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$  $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ 
avatarJesseRW
09-02 19:38
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ What has changed today? Nothing? Yet. CVX is officially investing 7B in Venezuela. That is great news on its own, though it will take years to play out, so no immediate impact.
avatarJesseRW
09-02 19:07
avatarJesseRW
09-02
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$  All things considered, the market's reaction to a 400 point drop is encouraging, to say the least. Would be nice to see it push higher into the close.
avatarJesseRW
09-01
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$  $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Micron Technology(MU)$ $iShares Semiconductor ETF(SOXX)$ If AI delivers what it's expected to, we're heading much higher from here, at least back to ATH. Ignore the noise and stay with it.
avatarJesseRW
08-31
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$  $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bear 3x Shares(SOXS)$ SOXX update. I'm still expecting the next bounce to target the 583-600 zone. The catch is that it needs buyers to step in and defend the 500 area to set that up. NVDA's earnings call offered a rosier tone for semis, but the follow-through didn't last and we saw another red candle. If price can stay supported near 500, there's a reasonable chance of at least trying for the 560 area again. Timing matters, though, and this needs to happen without dragging on. A convincing close below 500 on SOXX with real selling pressure would flip the setup bearish and point to
avatarJesseRW
08-31
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$  The market looks set for a major pullback, which could push it toward 20 or below. At that point, it would be a great buy.
avatarJesseRW
08-28
Whether US debt is high, bond yields are up, delinquencies are rising, offices sit empty, or stagflation looms, the market keeps grinding higher. Not joking. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$  $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  $Micron Technology(MU)$  $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ 
avatarJesseRW
08-28
avatarJesseRW
08-28
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ The end-of-day spike paid me in cash. BTC 2 Aug 28 120p at 2.40 each, a 60% win. Not really concerned about what happens next.
avatarJesseRW
08-28
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ Not tax advice or stock advice. I'm holding to avoid triggering the wash sale rule myself. The 61-day window covers 30 days before the sale, the sale date, and 30 days after. If you trigger it, the capital loss can't be deducted on your current-year return. Instead, the disallowed loss gets added to the cost basis of the new shares, which delays the tax benefit until you eventually sell that position.
avatarJesseRW
08-28
For optical traders, three columns worth noting: the last column is percentage up from the 52-week low, second from last is percentage down from the 52-week high, and third from last is RSI. I didn't realize $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$  was down 51% from its 52-week high, but still up 515% from the 52-week low. That's pretty impressive. $Fabrinet(FN)$  only managed a 39% gain from its 52-week low while the others are showing triple-digit gains. Value buying? $Lumentum(LITE)$  leads the group with a 651% gain off the 52-week low. The frustrating part is I traded in and out and didn't capture much of that move.
avatarJesseRW
08-27
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ A $3 trillion market cap company with a 70% growth rate expected for the upcoming year. That kind of growth at this size is hard to wrap my head around. I've never seen anything like it in my lifetime. $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$  $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bear 3x Shares(SOXS)$ 
avatarJesseRW
08-27
Puts got crushed, covered calls got crushed too. Shorts are under pressure to cover, and margin calls are getting close. The bear case is basically gone at this point. This is what tends to happen when you fade me. $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$  $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$  $Micron Technology(MU)$  $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ 
avatarJesseRW
08-27
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bull 3x Shares(SOXL)$ STO 2 Sep 25 95p @ 6.60 ea. That's some good money right there!

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