$SpaceX(SPCX)$ There always seems to be some selloff right before an unlock, and then the pattern tends to play out from there. Other catalysts to keep in mind: Grokbot 4.7 comes out on the 12th. On the 15th, Starship launches and is expected to go to orbit and deploy the new Starlink V3 satellites.
$Bloom Energy Corp(BE)$ Looks like a slow, low-key walkdown here. I started adding yesterday in small blocks below $205, and it seems like they're going to take it below $200. I'll keep adding in larger amounts as it drops. In my view, this isn't MMs divesting, but rather manipulation to get in cheap.
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bear 3x Shares(SOXS)$ If you give up your recent strength now because of this NVDA earnings report showing major debt from circular financing, plus NBIS's major debt convertible financing, I'm going to die laughing.
$Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ The rest of the week is going to be all about NVDA, which reports after the close today. If NVDA disappoints, it will be taken as an AI slowdown and AI stocks will probably drop. If NVDA surprises to the upside, AI stocks could do very well the rest of the week. Either way, AAOI is growing revenue and the stock will follow. And it's still up 220% YTD.
$SK hynix(SKHY)$ Not worried about the vote. Note that this was not about wages, but about profit sharing bonuses. Rejection of a tentative labor deal is not unprecedented at SK Hynix. The union previously rejected initial management-union agreements in both 2023 and 2024. In both cases, management and labor resumed discussions and reached a revised deal without triggering a production stoppage or full-scale strike. The most likely scenario is a peaceful renegotiation, with an 80-85% probability. Both sides return to the bargaining table to adjust the cash-to-stock ratio for the performance bonus, such as increasing the cash allocation to 60-80%. A second tentative agreement is put to a vote and passes.
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bear 3x Shares(SOXS)$ High inflation can suddenly flip into deflation, not just disinflation. When consumers simply refuse to pay, everything rockets to the bottom. Gold, silver, real estate, stocks, crypto. All of it.
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bear 3x Shares(SOXS)$ The government chose inflation to save Japan. It was near a US bond sell-off to support the yen. 86.3 billion in yen for euro trades and access to the US repo market. The Fed seems to be veering from guardrail to guardrail. This will cause inflation to run out of control, as seen in real time in the last 3 days in markets, and in order to tamp it down the Fed will need to raise rates or let inflation rage.
$Direxion Daily Semiconductors Bear 3x Shares(SOXS)$ There were record inflows into SMH and SOXX last week, coming right after what looked like manufactured near-capitulation conditions. The data is easy to check, but spreading fear and FUD seems to be the easier route for some. According to Bloomberg, institutions have been vocally and greedily snapping up oversold semi shares — so it ended up being a great time to add to any long position in SMH and SOXX.
$SK hynix(SKHY)$ So the 2026 earnings estimate is around $26, and 2027 is $33? That comes out to only 4x forward EPS. Based on the numbers I'm seeing, the 2027 PE ratio would be around 4x. That's insanely cheap if those estimates are accurate. I'm just looking into it for now.
$ServiceNow(NOW)$ I think Bill mentioned during the call that there's some surprise news coming, something he said would arrive in the coming weeks. I'm just waiting to see what that turns out to be.