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04-25 12:02

Weekly | HSI Nears 22,000 Amid Positive Market Signals!

This week, Hong Kong stocks continued their upward trend, with the $HSI(HSI)$ rising 2.74%. Trade War Easing Sparks Global RallyPresident Trump hinted at a potential major shift in the trade war with China, stating that high tariffs on Chinese goods would be "significantly reduced, though not to zero."U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent also publicly stated that the trade war with China is unsustainable, telling investors that the Trump administration's goal is to achieve trade rebalancing rather than a complete rupture or decoupling in U.S.-China relations.China's Economic Policy ShiftMeanwhile, China has exempted certain U.S. semiconductor imports from tariffs, reducing the tax from 125% to 0%, with a 13% VAT applied instead. Memory chips are tempora
Weekly | HSI Nears 22,000 Amid Positive Market Signals!

Weekly | HSI Extended Rebound as Tariff Tensions Ease!

The Hong Kong stock market extended its rebound this week, with the $HSI(HSI)$ gaining 2.3%.U.S. Softens Tariff StanceLate last Friday, the U.S. Customs and Border Protection quietly updated its tariff rules. Products like computers, data processors, communication gear, displays, modules, and semiconductors are now exempt from retaliatory tariffs.This surprise move is being seen as a sign that Trump is easing his hardline stance on China. The consumer electronics sector rallied sharply in response.China’s Economy Surprises to the UpsideOn Wednesday, the National Bureau of Statistics released a number of economic data. Among them, China’s Q1 GDP grew 5.4% year-on-year, beating expectations of 5.2% Industrial output rose 7.7% in March, the fastest gr
Weekly | HSI Extended Rebound as Tariff Tensions Ease!

Weekly | Trade Tensions Drive HK stocks down with Southbound funds buying!

This week, the Hong Kong stock market faced heavy losses, with $HSI(HSI)$ dropping 8.47%.Trade War IntensifiesLast Wednesday, the U.S. government announced "reciprocal tariffs" on Chinese imports. In response, China imposed a 34% tariff increase on all U.S. imports. This escalated trade tensions caused a global market sell-off. The HSI plummeted 13.22% on Monday, marking its biggest one-day drop since 1997.In mainland China, the ChiNext Index dropped 12.5%, the largest single-day fall in history.Government Support Amid growing panic, the Central Huijin Investment Co. reaffirmed its confidence in China's capital markets, announcing further ETF purchases. The People's Bank of China also expressed support, stating it would provide sufficient re-lendin
Weekly | Trade Tensions Drive HK stocks down with Southbound funds buying!

Weekly | Did HK Market Rally Halt by Shock Setback?

This week, Hong Kong stocks underperformed, with the $HSI(HSI)$ falling 2.46%.Several negative news events contributed to this slump:1.Robot Investment PullbackFamous investor Zhu Xiaohu announced he is exiting investments in humanoid robots due to unclear commercialization, shaking up the industry and cooling tech stock hype.2.Xiaomi’s Tragic IncidentOn Tuesday, a deadly crash involving the $XIAOMI-W(01810)$ SU7 raised doubts about the company’s autonomous driving features. Three people died, and Xiaomi faced public backlash, resulting in two consecutive days of sharp stock price declines.3.Trump’s Tariff OrdersOn Thursday, President Trump signed two executive orders imposing "reciprocal tariffs" on 40+
Weekly | Did HK Market Rally Halt by Shock Setback?

Weekly | More Stock Placement Forces HK Stock Declining! Bull Market Over?

This week, the Hong Kong stock market saw a slight pullback, with the $HSI(HSI)$ down by 1.11% on the week.Xiaomi’s $3.3 Billion Stock PlacementThe big news that rattled investors came on Tuesday before market open, when $XIAOMI-W(01810)$ announced an equity placement of 800 million shares at HK$53.25 each, raising HK$42.5 billion. This is a 6.6% discount to the closing price the day before. The funds will be used for business expansion and R&D.The announcement caused Xiaomi’s stock to plummet by 6.3% on Tuesday, with trading volume hitting a record high of HK$71.8 billion.After $BYD COMPANY(01211)$ recently completed a massive equity placement raising HK$43
Weekly | More Stock Placement Forces HK Stock Declining! Bull Market Over?

Weekly | Is HK Stock Bull Over After Two-Day Plunge?

This week, the Hong Kong stock market saw a pullback after reaching a new high for the year. The $HSI(HSI)$ fell for two consecutive days, closing the week down by 1.13%.Economic Data and Corporate EarningsOn Monday, China’s National Bureau of Statistics released strong economic data. In January-February, retail sales of consumer goods grew 4% year-on-year, surpassing the 3.8% forecast and beating December’s 3.7% increase. Industrial output grew 5.9%, beating the 5.3% forecast, and fixed asset investment rose 4.1%, also exceeding expectations.On Tuesday after market hours, $XIAOMI-W(01810)$ reported its fourth-quarter earnings, claiming to have delivered the strongest financial results in its history. Rev
Weekly | Is HK Stock Bull Over After Two-Day Plunge?

Weekly | HK Stocks Face Major Test Ahead!

This week, Hong Kong stocks experienced significant volatility, with the $HSI(HSI)$ falling 1.12%, dropping below the key 24,000-point mark.US Market Drops Drag Down Hong Kong StocksThe US stock market took a sharp dive this week, with the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ down 4.9%. The cause? Trump’s aggressive stance on tariffs, raising fears that the US economy could slide into recession. In response to the market plunge, Trump softened his tone, admitting some economic turbulence ahead but reaffirming his goal to bring wealth back to Americans, which will take time.Later, the US reported a 2.8% year-on-year CPI for February, marking a new low since last November. The number was slightly below expectations, which cause
Weekly | HK Stocks Face Major Test Ahead!

Weekly | HK Stocks Surge into a Super Bull Market!

This week, Hong Kong stocks continued to rise, with the $HSI(HSI)$ gaining 5.6%, reclaiming the 24,000-point mark, and hitting a three-year high.Positive Economic Data Sparks OptimismLast weekend, China’s National Bureau of Statistics released its February manufacturing PMI data, showing a rise to 50.2%, back in the expansion zone and surpassing analysts’ forecast of 49.9%.At the same time, Caixin published its own February manufacturing PMI at 50.8%, up 0.7 percentage points and beating expectations, marking the highest in three months.With China’s highly anticipated Two Sessions meetings this week, the government announced key economic targets. The 2025 GDP growth target is set at around 5%, with a budget deficit rate around 4%. A moderately rela
Weekly | HK Stocks Surge into a Super Bull Market!

Weekly | Is the Bull Market Over as HK Stocks Plunge?

This week, the Hong Kong stock market surged before pulling back, with the $HSI(HSI)$ dropping 2.29%.Negative News Floods InThere are more signs of the US economy cooling off, increasing the risk of stagflation. First-time unemployment claims reached 242,000 last week, the highest since early December last year. The housing market is also struggling due to high prices, high interest rates, and natural disasters. In January, the number of unsold homes dropped by 4.6%, reaching a historic low. Additionally, PCE inflation was revised up to 2.7%, fueling inflation concerns once again.On Thursday, President Trump announced a 10% tariff on Chinese imports starting March 4. With a previous 10% tariff already in place, this new measure brings the total to
Weekly | Is the Bull Market Over as HK Stocks Plunge?

Weekly | HK Stocks Surge in Historic Bull Run!

This week, the Hong Kong stock market continued its surge. The $HSI(HSI)$ rose 3.79%, surpassing its highest point from October 7th last year, hitting a three-year high!Key News Driving the RallyOn Monday, February 17th, President Xi attended a symposium with private business leaders and delivered an important speech. He emphasized that the government's policies on private economic development are now firmly embedded in China's socialist system. These policies will remain consistent and unchanged. The future of the private economy is full of potential, and now is the perfect time for private entrepreneurs to shine.Attendees included major figures like Robin Zeng (Chairman of CATL), Jack Ma (Founder of $BABA-W
Weekly | HK Stocks Surge in Historic Bull Run!

Weekly | The Bull Market Is Back!

This week, Hong Kong stocks surged, with the $HSI(HSI)$ rising 7.04% and reclaiming the 22,000-point mark, approaching the highs seen during the National Day holidays!The Catalyst: DeepSeek Breaks the AI NarrativeThe key driving force behind the rally is DeepSeek, which has completely overturned the AI narrative. The idea that Chinese AI could only follow the U.S. has been shattered, and both domestic and international funds are reevaluating tech stock investments. UBS even stated that the rise in the Chinese stock market driven by DeepSeek has only completed half of its potential!Alibaba Leads the ChargeIn AI tech stocks, $BABA-W(09988)$ is leading the way. Not only did it launch the Qwen 2.5-Max AI mode
Weekly | The Bull Market Is Back!

Weekly | DeepSeek Breaks US Computing Power Blockade, China's Assets Surge!

The first week of the Year of the Snake saw a stellar performance in Hong Kong stocks, with the $HSI(HSI)$ rising 4.49% weekly, hitting its highest level since mid-October last year!"Sputnik Moment" for AIThe buzz around DeepSeek continues to grow. Marc Andreessen, the godfather of Wall Street venture capital, called it a "Sputnik Moment" for AI!For context, the "Sputnik Moment" refers to 1957 when the Soviet Union launched the first artificial satellite, Sputnik 1, shocking the U.S. and igniting a tech race.DeepSeek's emergence has shattered the U.S. blockade on compute power, making it possible for Chinese AI to surpass the U.S. This has stirred up the capital markets. Deutsche Bank released a report predicting that 2025 will be the year China ov
Weekly | DeepSeek Breaks US Computing Power Blockade, China's Assets Surge!

Weekly | Busy Next Week Before Holiday!

This week, the Hong Kong stock market experienced a steady rise. The $HSI(HSI)$ climbed 2.5%, reclaiming the 20,000-point mark and closing at 20,066.19.Key Data and Market PerformanceOn Monday, Trump took the oath of office as the 47th President of the United States. Right from the start, he avoided tough rhetoric on China, expressing his willingness to visit China within his first 100 days in office and stating he would prefer not to impose more tariffs. This gives hope for improved China-US relations.On Thursday, six Chinese government departments jointly released a plan to encourage long-term capital inflows into the stock market. The policy targets large state-owned insurance companies, aiming for them to invest 30% of their new premiums in A-s
Weekly | Busy Next Week Before Holiday!

Weekly | Is the HK Market Set for Stability?

This week, Hong Kong stocks saw a strong rebound, with the $HSI(HSI)$ rising 2.73% over the week.Key Data and Market Reactions On Friday, the U.S. Labor Department reported that 256,000 jobs were added in December, far exceeding the market's expectation of 165,000. The unemployment rate dropped from 4.2% in November to 4.1%. This led to speculation that the Fed may delay interest rate cuts, which caused a drop in U.S. stocks and negatively impacted the Hong Kong market.On Wednesday, the U.S. December CPI showed a 2.9% year-on-year increase, matching expectations. Core CPI, which had been rising for months, showed signs of slowing down. The market now anticipates the Fed might cut rates by July, earlier than the previous forecast of September.Positi
Weekly | Is the HK Market Set for Stability?

Weekly | Tencent in Trouble, Huge Capital Inflows, Big Events Ahead!

This week, Hong Kong stocks took a hit, with the $HSI(HSI)$ falling 3.52%, reaching its lowest point since September 25 last year.Sector Performance and Upcoming Big EventsOn Tuesday, the U.S. Department of Defense added $TENCENT(00700)$ to its list of Chinese military companies (1260H list). Despite Tencent’s statement saying it’s not a military firm and will resolve the misunderstanding, its stock kept dropping, dragging down the entire Hong Kong market.On Thursday, China’s National Bureau of Statistics released December CPI and PPI data. CPI rose 0.1%, the lowest growth in 9 months. PPI fell 2.3%, marking its 27th consecutive month of contraction, though the decline was the smallest in four months.This
Weekly | Tencent in Trouble, Huge Capital Inflows, Big Events Ahead!

Weekly | A Rough Start to 2025 for HSI!

This week, the Hong Kong stock market wrapped up 2024 with a strong finish. The $HSI(HSI)$ rose over 17% for the year, breaking a four-year streak of losses. However, 2025 kicked off on a sour note. On the first trading day, the HSI plummeted by 2.18%, marking the worst start in five years.Economic News: Manufacturing PMI Slips Data from China’s National Bureau of Statistics revealed that the manufacturing PMI for December stood at 50.1%, down 0.2 percentage points from the previous month. While still indicating expansion, it fell short of expectations. Additionally, the Caixin PMI for December, released on Thursday, came in at 50.5, dropping 1.0 percentage point from November and significantly below analysts' forecasts of 51.7.With China’s annual
Weekly | A Rough Start to 2025 for HSI!
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2024-12-27

Weekly | High Dividends Boost HSI Above 20,000 Points!

This week, despite a shortened trading week due to the Christmas holidays, Hong Kong stocks saw solid gains. The $HSI(HSI)$ rose by 1.87%, reclaiming the 20,000-point mark, driven largely by strong performance in high-dividend stocks.Market OverviewThe global market was relatively quiet this week, with many overseas markets also closed for Christmas. However, the release of China’s industrial profit data for January-November 2024 showed a 4.7% year-on-year decline, with November's drop at 7.3%. Bloomberg's economic forecast was a 6% decline, so the figures came in worse than expected.In the face of weaker macroeconomic conditions, high-dividend stocks continued to attract investor interest. Agricultural Bank of China, for example, surged 5.5%, hitt
Weekly | High Dividends Boost HSI Above 20,000 Points!
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2024-12-20

Weekly | HSI Slumped As Multiple Headwinds Hit!

This week, the Hong Kong stock market faced a tough time, with the $HSI(HSI)$ dropping 1.25%.Economic Data Misses ExpectationsThe latest economic data released by the National Bureau of Statistics showed weaker-than-expected results. In November, retail sales of consumer goods totaled RMB 43,763 billion, growing by 3.0%, well below the 5% expected and down from the 4.8% growth in October. On the other hand, industrial production rose 5.4%, in line with forecasts.U.S. Fed’s Rate Cut Overseas, the U.S. Federal Reserve cut rates by 25 basis points as expected. However, their updated forecast suggests only two rate cuts next year, far fewer than the market had anticipated. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell indicated that the central bank is nearing the end of
Weekly | HSI Slumped As Multiple Headwinds Hit!
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2024-12-13

Weekly | Volatile HK Stocks and Next Week's Events in Focus!

This week, Hong Kong stocks saw huge swings. The $HSI(HSI)$ rose 0.53% for the week, dipping below the 20,000-point mark.On Monday, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to discuss China's 2025 economic plans. The key takeaways were clear: stabilize the housing and stock markets, manage risks in key sectors, and guard against external shocks. The meeting also called for more aggressive fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary measures to boost consumption and investment. There was a push to expand domestic demand.Some of the comments surprised the market, like the unprecedented mention of "strengthening extraordinary counter-cyclical adjustments" and the first shift in monetary policy since 2011, aiming for "moderately l
Weekly | Volatile HK Stocks and Next Week's Events in Focus!
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2024-12-06

Weekly | Major Meeting Looms, HK Stocks at a Turning Point!

This week, Hong Kong stocks made a steady rebound. The $HSI(HSI)$ rose 2.28%, closing near the 20,000-point mark.Positive Economic Data Drives Market Optimism On Monday, Caixin released China’s November manufacturing PMI, which came in at 51.5, the highest in seven months and far exceeding analysts' expectations. This indicates that the manufacturing sector is continuing to expand, driven by economic stimulus policies.With improving economic data, China plans to hold its annual closed-door Central Economic Work Conference next Wednesday to set economic targets and stimulus plans for 2025. The news sparked market speculation around more policy support, pushing stocks higher.Additionally, many major Wall Street firms expect China’s central bank to ma
Weekly | Major Meeting Looms, HK Stocks at a Turning Point!

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