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$AVGO Earnings Thursday: The Custom AI Chip Story Is Getting Bigger

$Broadcom(AVGO)$ will report earnings Thursday, and expectations are already high. Analysts are looking for: 💰 Revenue: $29.4B, +84.5% 📈 Adjusted EBITDA: $20B, +86.6% 💵 Net Income: $16B, +287% 🔥 EPS: $3.24, +268% 💸 FCF: $14B, +99% But the bigger story for me is still custom AI silicon. Broadcom is working with OpenAI on its Jalapeño inference chip, which was designed specifically for AI workloads. OpenAI's published benchmarks show strong performance and power-efficiency advantages versus Nvidia's GB200/GB300 on several inference workloads. And OpenAI isn't the only hyperscaler working with Broadcom. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ and $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ are also d
$AVGO Earnings Thursday: The Custom AI Chip Story Is Getting Bigger

$NU Looks Seriously Undercovered by Wall Street

For a company of its size, $Nu Holdings Ltd.(NU)$ still seems surprisingly undercovered by Wall Street. With a market cap around $69B, NU has had relatively few analyst ratings compared with similarly sized U.S. banks. For example, $Truist Financial Corp(TFC)$ has a comparable market cap but significantly more analyst coverage. What makes the gap even more interesting is the difference in growth. NU is growing at a completely different pace. 🚀 I think part of the reason is that Wall Street still views NU through an outdated lens — essentially as a risky digital bank serving lower-income customers in Brazil. But that story is changing. NU is moving further into Brazil's middle- and higher-income segments, whi
$NU Looks Seriously Undercovered by Wall Street

Crypto Stocks Could Be the Hot Trade In September: $HOOD $CRCL $COIN $SOFI $PURR

My top focus for the first two weeks of September is crypto stocks. The big catalyst everyone is waiting for is the CLARITY Act Senate procedural vote on September 15, which gives us roughly two weeks of potential run-up. We’re already seeing some crypto names showing strength, which makes me wonder if bigger money is positioning ahead of the catalyst. 👀 I like the idea of following the relative strength and riding the hot hand while the setup is there. My basket: 💰 $Robinhood(HOOD)$ 💵 $Circle Internet Corp.(CRCL)$ 🪙 $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ 🏦 $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ 🐱
Crypto Stocks Could Be the Hot Trade In September: $HOOD $CRCL $COIN $SOFI $PURR

$SPY Pulse Check: Waiting for the Next Move

Quick pulse check on $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ . The market has been rangebound and choppy since early August, with crypto, cybersecurity and software leading the stronger themes. Overall, it’s been pretty boring — and that’s exactly where things can get interesting. When people get frustrated after sitting through weeks of chop, they tend to chase the first sign of movement just to feel like something is happening again. But in my experience, the first directional move after a prolonged period of chop is often the fakeout. ⚠️ My current thought is that September could give us a nice little fake move to the downside. Everyone jumps in thinking “it’s over”, and then we rip higher into year-end. 📈 So over the next couple of weeks, I’m watchin
$SPY Pulse Check: Waiting for the Next Move
avatarAfraSimon
08-30 20:54

Iren Q2 2026: Sayonara Bitcoin and Hello AI Cloud!

Thursday, $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ released its Q2 2026 earnings report, and the market clearly didn’t like it, sending the stock down 13%. This was because the company posted a huge ADJ EBITDA and EPS miss, driven by lower Bitcoin revenues, higher operating expenses, and a massive $450M impairment of Bitcoin mining equipment! A reminder that Iren is decommissioning Bitcoin ming mining equipment and replacing it with Nvidia GPUs to serve the growing demand for AI compute. Furthermore, the street was shocked when Iren announced it expects to spend $25-30B on capex in the next 12 months! This is more than double the consensus street estimates of $12.8B. I honestly don’t understand how this could be shocking to anyone who has been following the company. I gu
Iren Q2 2026: Sayonara Bitcoin and Hello AI Cloud!
avatarAfraSimon
08-29 10:00

$IREN’s Cash Puzzle Is Really About Timing, Not Demand

A few thoughts about $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ cash situation: $IREN finally received that pre-payment from $Microsoft(MSFT)$ around $1.8B. While this is good, it came much later than I would have expected, as the contract with $MSFT was signed in November 2025, so they got the money 2 quarters later. $NBIS signed their deal with $MSFT in September and got the first payments already next quarter. They were able to scale faster because they are using a colocation partner whose facility was further along in construction when the contract was signed than $IREN. This is the advantage of the $NBIS model, they are scaling faster. However, they have to pay more for it, as the colocation partner has a margin, while $IREN
$IREN’s Cash Puzzle Is Really About Timing, Not Demand
avatarAfraSimon
08-29 09:57

$TTWO Could GTA 6 Be Underpriced by Wall Street?

There’s a pretty interesting debate around $Take-Two(TTWO)$ right now. The argument is simple: Wall Street may be modeling GTA 6 as a big game launch, while the market could be underestimating what happens if it becomes a once-in-a-generation hit. 🚀 Take-Two is currently guiding to $8.0B–$8.2B in FY2027 net bookings, with GTA VI scheduled for November 19, 2026. But the bullish case goes much further. 💰 GTA 6 could reset the revenue curve GTA V became one of the most successful entertainment products ever released, generating more than $1B in its first three days and continuing to monetize through GTA Online for years. The bull case for GTA VI is that Rockstar doesn't simply repeat that formula. The new game is launching after a 13-year gap, with a
$TTWO Could GTA 6 Be Underpriced by Wall Street?
avatarAfraSimon
08-29 09:55

$NBIS Outpaces $IREN as AI Cloud Execution Widens the Gap

Hey everyone 👋 $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ and $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ started the year in very different places. While $IREN is down about 5% YTD, $NBIS has surged 143%. So what explains the huge performance gap? A few factors stand out. 👇 1️⃣ $NBIS has less Bitcoin exposure $IREN is still exposed to Bitcoin mining economics. With Bitcoin prices under pressure, mining revenue is taking a hit. At the same time, the company is retiring mining equipment and recording significant impairments. $NBIS doesn't have the same drag. 2️⃣ AI cloud revenue is accelerating This is probably the biggest difference. $IREN generated about $71M in AI revenue, compared with roughly $582M for $NBIS. Investors are rewarding $NBIS for turning its
$NBIS Outpaces $IREN as AI Cloud Execution Widens the Gap

Wall Street Raises the Bar After Nvidia’s Blowout Earnings

Wall Street is wasting no time repricing $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ after Nvidia’s latest earnings report. The reaction has been remarkably consistent. Nvidia not only beat expectations, but also delivered a stronger outlook, reinforcing the view that AI infrastructure demand remains well ahead of available supply. Nvidia shares jumped 8.7% after the report. And now the price targets are moving higher across the board. 📈 Morgan Stanley: $288 → $300Bernstein: $315 → $400RBC Capital: $300 → $330Rosenblatt: $325 → $390Oppenheimer: $265 → $315Needham: $270 → $300Stifel: $282 → $315J.P. Morgan: $280 → $320Truist: $307 → $346Citi: $300 → $315UBS: $280 → $300 The broader message is clear. Analysts are becoming more confident that Nvidia’s growth runway extends well
Wall Street Raises the Bar After Nvidia’s Blowout Earnings

New Traders Need Rules, Not Intuition

For newer traders.(everyone else can skip) ps - read to the end for my bowling analogy…pretty proud of it. One thing that helped me a ton early on was standardizing everything…way more than the typical “rules” that you hear online. The goal (as a newer trader) is to make the smallest amount of “gut feeling” decisions as possible because you haven’t built up the intuition muscle. You have no reliable gut feelings…gotta earn those. Your trading should have ZERO ifs, ands, or buts. I’ll give you some *very broad examples* but make it up for yourself and your style/personality. Example standards: > position size: 10% of port (no exceptions) > stoploss: 5% below entry > profit target: place a 10% trailing stop after stock passes your breakeven level and just let runners run > vehicl
New Traders Need Rules, Not Intuition

Why Isn’t $APP a Buy Yet?

Why is $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ not a buy? That’s the question worth asking after looking at the numbers. 🔥 1. The business is unusually efficient How many companies can combine high growth, an asset-light model and roughly 77% operating margins? AppLovin has built exactly that kind of business around its advertising technology. The key isn’t simply selling ads. It’s using AI to decide which ad to show, to whom, and at what price — and getting better as more data flows through the system. 🌍 2. The market opportunity is still enormous The global mobile advertising market could exceed $1 trillion over the next decade. And mobile gaming is only one piece of the opportunity. As e-commerce moves further onto mobile, the value of advertising inside ap
Why Isn’t $APP a Buy Yet?

$NVDA Earnings: The Biggest AI Test of the Year

🚨 Wednesday Could Be the Most Important Day of Earnings Season All eyes are on Jensen Huang, the “King of AI” 👑 — and CEO of $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ . Nvidia’s earnings report could become a major catalyst for the entire AI trade. With expectations this high, the market may react violently to even a small deviation from consensus. 🔥 Wall Street’s Expectations Analysts are looking for: 💰 Revenue: $92B — +97% YoY 📈 Adjusted EBITDA: $62B — +113% ⚙️ EBIT: $61B — +114% 💵 Net Income: $50.6B — +113% 🚀 Free Cash Flow: $47B — +249% These aren't ordinary earnings expectations. They're effectively asking Nvidia to nearly double revenue while more than doubling profits and operating cash flow. ⚠️ The Market Reaction Could Be Binary ❌ Miss expectations: AI stocks could
$NVDA Earnings: The Biggest AI Test of the Year

Why $IREN Has Lagged $NBIS

$IREN Ltd(IREN)$ reports earnings Thursday, and expectations are high for the company to finally deliver on its AI infrastructure story. Yet the stock has been basically flat YTD, while $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ has surged 162%. I see six major reasons behind the gap. 1️⃣ Management Compensation The two co-CEOs received 18.2M shares, roughly 6% of the company, without capacity, ARR, EBITDA or share-price targets attached. Whatever the long-term merits, the optics were terrible. It created a major governance and PR overhang and made management look less disciplined to potential investors and partners. 2️⃣ The $6B ATM $IREN has a $6B ATM program, creating ongoing dilution concerns. $NBIS also has a $6B ATM and has use
Why $IREN Has Lagged $NBIS

$NVDA Is Building Its Own AI Ecosystem

$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ is doing more than selling GPUs. It appears to be building an alternative AI ecosystem that reduces its dependence on hyperscalers. The problem is straightforward. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ are huge customers, but they also want to reduce their dependence on $NVDA and gain more bargaining power over GPU pricing. That explains $NVDA’s growing investments in $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ $IREN Ltd(IREN)$
$NVDA Is Building Its Own AI Ecosystem

Crypto’s Next Leg? Watch the Lagging Miners: $RIOT & $HUT 🚀

👋 Ok folks, here’s a small crypto thesis. Crypto rallies often follow a familiar sequence: $BTC + $ETH → $Robinhood(HOOD)$ + $Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$$Strategy(MSTR)$ + $Hyperliquid Strategies Inc(PURR)$ → miners Last week, 3 of the 4 groups ripped higher. The miners, however, largely haven’t participated yet. That’s what makes $Riot Platforms(RIOT)$ and $Hut 8 Mining Corp(HUT)$ interesting. ⛏️ Both are showing unusually strong volume, while their exposure now extends beyond Bitcoin mining into data-center infrastructure—gi
Crypto’s Next Leg? Watch the Lagging Miners: $RIOT & $HUT 🚀

Peter Thiel’s $418.7M Portfolio: A Massive Bet on AI’s Energy Bottleneck

Peter Thiel’s latest public portfolio is heavily concentrated in energy and power infrastructure, with major positions across $Vista Energy(VIST)$ $Vistra Energy Corp.(VST)$ $American Electric Power(AEP)$ $DTE Energy Co(DTE)$ $FirstEnergy(FE)$ $CMS Energy Corp(CMS)$. 📊 Portfolio breakdown: $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ — 28.2% $Vista Energy(VIST)$ — 18.1% $Vistra Energy Corp.(VST)$ — 14.1%
Peter Thiel’s $418.7M Portfolio: A Massive Bet on AI’s Energy Bottleneck

Grok 5 Could Redefine the AI Race

Grok 5 could be a very different kind of frontier model. Musk has said Grok 5 is targeted for the end of 2026, while reported roadmaps have pointed to a model potentially reaching 10 trillion parameters. But the bigger story may not be the parameter count. Grok 5 is expected to train on Colossus and incorporate $SpaceX(SPCX)$ ’s massive engineering dataset, giving SpaceXAI access to something most AI labs simply don't have: decades of real-world engineering knowledge. Musk has already said SpaceX's engineering data will be used to improve Grok's engineering capabilities. That could create a very different AI moat. Instead of building another model primarily optimized for language, coding or general knowledge, SpaceXAI could be buil
Grok 5 Could Redefine the AI Race

Follow Earnings Reactions to Find the Next Big Winner

One of the best ways to spot the next big market winner is to watch how stocks react after earnings. Strong earnings are important, but the market's reaction can be even more telling. When a stock delivers solid results and attracts aggressive buying, it can signal that a larger trend is starting to develop. Here are some of the biggest earnings reactions I've been watching: 🤖 AI Infrastructure $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ $SiTime Corp(SITM)$ $FormFactor(FORM)$ $Aehr Test(AEHR)$ $AXT Inc(AXTI)$ $Silicon Motion Technology(SIMO)$ 💻 Software
Follow Earnings Reactions to Find the Next Big Winner

The Next Big Theme Could Be Drones

Good morning,Tigers! ☀️ The market is in a super weird spot right now. Crypto is suddenly back from the dead, while $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ remains choppy and directionless. There’s no clear macro trend, and investors are being pulled in different directions by everything from Trump’s comments on Hyperliquid to the latest healthcare breakthroughs. And the calendar isn’t helping. Midterms are approaching, Jackson Hole is next week, and $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ earnings are coming up. It feels like the market has a lot on its mind at once. That’s why, for me, this remains a theme picker’s market. When the major indexes lack a clear direction, I’d rather focus on individual themes that have their own catal
The Next Big Theme Could Be Drones

Best-Performing S&P 500 Stocks YTD

The S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 's biggest winners this year are being led by semiconductors, AI infrastructure, memory, and energy. 🔥 Top Performers $SanDisk Corp.(SNDK)$ +561% $Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$ +491% $Dell Technologies Inc.(DELL)$ +248% $Micron Technology(MU)$ +228% $Seagate Technology PLC(STX)$ +202% $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ +179% $Western Digital(WDC)$ +168% $Intel(INTC)$ +151%
Best-Performing S&P 500 Stocks YTD

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