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Li Auto Bumped Up April Deliveries. What That Bigger Number Means for Investors

Barron's2021-05-03

Chinese electric vehicle maker Li Auto had an OK number of deliveries for April—good enough for right now—but not good enough for the long haul. And that’s why investors are skittish about production levels as the global chip shortage drags on.

Li Auto (ticker: LI) delivered 5,539 Li ONE SUVs last month, up about 111% year over year. But the year-over-year increase doesn’t matter that much because Li, along with its Chinese EVs peers, is a high-growth company. What’s a bigger deal are the month-to -month sequential changes.

Li delivered 4,900 ONE SUVs in March, so more autos did come off the assembly line in April, The company’s best delivery month was December, when more than 6,100 vehicles went out the door.

The company’s stock hit its 2021 peak—$37.65— in mid-January, a few weeks after the December figure came out. Shares were up almost 2%, to roughly $20, in early trading Monday.

This year has been a tough one, so far, Li stockholders. Shares are down roughly 30% year to date. Higher interest rates, more EV competition in China as well as stagnating deliveries are all reasons for weaker investor sentiment.

But deliveries across the industry are being tamped down by the semiconductor shortage. Last week, Ford Motor (F) estimated it will lose 50% of its planned second-quarter production because of a lack of chips. Ford expects to lose billions in 2021 operating profit because of having to slash deliveries.

Like Li, deliveries are bobbing at rivals NIO (NIO) and XPeng (XPEV). All three Chinese EV makers reported their delivery numbers over the weekend.

And like Li stock, both NIO and XPeng shares are down year to date. They, too, were up Monday as investors digested the delivery data.

Li investors will have a chance to hear more about the outlook for deliveries when Li reports first-quarter results later in May.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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Comment138

  • Jialei___Gar
    ·2021-05-05
    這個報道多次提到Li,但是翻譯好像有些問題..
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  • YiiYii
    ·2021-05-04
    Px dropped... [捂臉] 
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    • YiiYii
      [财迷] [财迷]
      2021-05-04
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    • YiiYii
      [笑哭]
      2021-05-04
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    • Zhenghao
      Nice
      2021-05-04
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    View more 1 comments
  • SandDust
    ·2021-05-04
    Until chips shortage been fully addressed. There will be huge downward pressure on car manufacturers. Do you agree? Please leave your comments[得意] 
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    • YiiYiiReplying toSandDust
      [握手]
      2021-05-04
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    • SandDust
      Definitely
      2021-05-04
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    • YiiYii
      [OK] Please comment back.
      2021-05-04
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  • Gaik11
    ·2021-05-04
    Going down 
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  • DonWong
    ·2021-05-04
    Comment and like
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    • DonWong
      Nice
      2021-05-05
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    • ponyinvestor
      Please leave a comment on my post pls
      2021-05-04
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  • rsaje
    ·2021-05-04
    Like and comment please 
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  • Lizx
    ·2021-05-04
    Do help like & comment pls thanks :) 
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    • rsaje
      Comment back?
      2021-05-04
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    • Lizx
      Okay done :)
      2021-05-04
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  • Stingers
    ·2021-05-04
    Pls like and comment
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    • Lizx
      Done :)
      2021-05-04
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  • QINGG
    ·2021-05-04
    upup
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  • James3128
    ·2021-05-04
    Pls comment for me 
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    View more 2 comments
  • HH浩
    ·2021-05-04
    Is Li Auto also after EV? 
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    • HH浩
      Thanks
      2021-05-04
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  • InvKeJ
    ·2021-05-04
    Li EV ?
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  • shwan
    ·2021-05-04
    comment and like plz
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    • HH浩
      Reciprocate plS. thanks!
      2021-05-04
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    • 要剁手了
      Like Back thank
      2021-05-04
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    • ZCZC
      [强]
      2021-05-04
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  • HKhin
    ·2021-05-04
    But drop?
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    • N30
      as usual [Facepalm]
      2021-05-04
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    • HH浩
      Up Down up down, a universal motion
      2021-05-04
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    • MrSoh
      Like and comment
      2021-05-04
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  • Clementq
    ·2021-05-04
    Like and comment. Thanks 
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    • kokkeong
      Ok
      2021-05-04
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  • Zero_onezero
    ·2021-05-04
    Like and comment
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    • ponyinvestor
      Leave a comment on my post plsss
      2021-05-04
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  • TKe
    ·2021-05-04
    What’s this 
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  • Check7mate7
    ·2021-05-04
    Bump
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    • wonderzhen
      [微笑]
      2021-05-08
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    • howeixiong
      [Strong]
      2021-05-04
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    • Huathk
      Gd
      2021-06-10
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  • Kenang
    ·2021-05-04
    Pls like & comment. Thanks 
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  • SeanSak
    ·2021-05-04
    Too bad, further study on it 
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