策略观点受夏季时令水果冲击,苹果消费进入传统淡季,不过本季剩余偏少,供给压力不大,支撑现货价格持稳。新季产量方面,之前西部产区坐果率偏低,引发减产预期。随着套袋工作的推进,实际套袋量好于预期,减产幅度的预期下调。苹果2510合约作为新季合约,受现货端和新季估产双重影响,在现货处于供需双弱,价格持稳的当下。减产程度好于预期,盘面价格重心下移。不过后续仍有天气扰动风险,且现货低库存下,果季后期存偏强...
Source Link国元期货研究06-20
策略观点受夏季时令水果冲击,苹果消费进入传统淡季,不过本季剩余偏少,供给压力不大,支撑现货价格持稳。新季产量方面,之前西部产区坐果率偏低,引发减产预期。随着套袋工作的推进,实际套袋量好于预期,减产幅度的预期下调。苹果2510合约作为新季合约,受现货端和新季估产双重影响,在现货处于供需双弱,价格持稳的当下。减产程度好于预期,盘面价格重心下移。不过后续仍有天气扰动风险,且现货低库存下,果季后期存偏强...
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