President Donald Trump posted on social media platform X on October 4, claiming that polls have always underestimated the MAGA movement. He asserted that he won all seven swing states, the popular vote, 86% of counties, and 99% of primaries this year. "They try to suppress the Vote, but I won all 7 Swing States, the Popular Vote, 86% of Counties, and 99% of Primaries this year. I AM ON THE BALLOT!" Trump wrote.
Trump cited comments from political analyst Dick Morris of McLaughlin polling: "Since November of 2025 in monthly polls by McLaughlin, your job approval rating has always been between 47 and 50 percent. I have never seen anything like that in fifty years of polling. Almost every politician sees his numbers rise and fall each month but not you. You won the election in 2024 with 49.8 percent of the popular vote and the latest McLaughlin Poll, taken this month, has your job approval at 49% - the exact same as your vote share. No other political figure has ever had this level of consistency in his ratings. Through the Iran War and gas price rises and falls, your job approval is the same. It never changes. And 49% is enough to win - look at how that level of vote won in 2024!"
Morris added that in the same McLaughlin poll, the generic ballot is 50-48 in favor of Democrats, but that margin is enough to keep the House Republican. Past history indicates that anything less than a four-point margin for Democrats likely points to a Republican House victory, and almost all polls are showing Republican gains in the generic ballot.
