Athena Spenser

    • Athena SpenserAthena Spenser
      ·04-11
      $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ The market will remain red till the China Treasury bonds dumping thing is over. Then Trump will give a reasonable tariff rate bring back some manufacture,but doesn't crash China economy. Till then, we can see green. Hope we don't miss the earning rally. It's so sad.
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    • Athena SpenserAthena Spenser
      ·04-11
      $Strategy(MSTR)$ Why are they doing this for eth now, they should wait till after Bitcoin Strategic Reserve buying kicks in.I'd buy mstr instead to get $btc yield.Ether ETF staking could come as soon as May — Bloomberg analys.Btc pumping while Dow is red. Another Friday uncrollated day shaping up.
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    • Athena SpenserAthena Spenser
      ·04-10
      $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ We are back at the same SP we had last Wednesday, liberation day. be careful it may not go much higher this week. we recovered everything we lost from the tariff mess but understrand we still got the 10%tariff remaining for only 90 days. also there was only 69m volume(below 65 day avg of 73m) i don't think there's a lot of conviction and we may see selling.I could be wrong. i own 501 shares and have 5 covered calls.
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    • Athena SpenserAthena Spenser
      ·04-10
      $Strategy(MSTR)$ Benchmark has a 'Buy' rating on MSTR with a $650 price target.Benchmark's summary regarding MSTR in the report includes the following:"We are reiterating our Buy rating on MSTR and our price target of $650 based on a sum-of-the-parts analysis that includes (1) the projected value of the company’s bitcoin holdings as of YE26, (2) a 15x multiple of its FY26E BTC $ Gain, and (3) the projected value of its software business as of YE26.As a result of the pullback in MSTR’s share price, it now trades at 1.94x its net asset value, a level that we view as attractive given the company’s demonstrated ability to create shareholder value through its treasury operations."
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    • Athena SpenserAthena Spenser
      ·04-09
      $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Assuming China escalates--SMCIs pricing power would be huge advantage vs Dell which is China dependent. If AI demand slows overall due to recession, SMCI could still make up the demand from taking orders from Dell which manufactures everything in China to avoid 105% Tarif-
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    • Athena SpenserAthena Spenser
      ·04-09
      $Strategy(MSTR)$ MSTR isn’t just a company anymore—it’s a BTC proxy vehicle with enterprise cash flow backing it.It’s not getting “sold off to avoid liquidation.”It’s doing what it was designed to do: survive volatility and ride the monetary transition.
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    • Athena SpenserAthena Spenser
      ·04-08
      $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Actually it makes sense. Smci has very thin profit rate at 7%. The gross margin is only 11.5%. Even it doesn't have tariff, the general higher cost due to the cost to society is around 3%, which will bring gross margin down to 8% and net profit to probably 4.5%. I am long, but I do question profitability and related multiplier change due to the tariff. If Trump doesn't drop most tariffs, the stock can have a reduced price for around 50 dollars. Given uncertainty discount for 30%, I am better off shorting tsla. However, I do believe that tariff will drop very soon and govn will provide low cost land and credit for AI industry. Still looking at 90 in fall and 150 next fall.
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    • Athena SpenserAthena Spenser
      ·04-08
      $Strategy(MSTR)$ This is why Bitcoiners have been telling y’all that Bitcoin is a hedge. I sold all my stocks in 2024 and went all in on Bitcoin. I’ve been watching the world burn while my net worth has been relatively consistent. Bitcoin would’ve helped y’all portfolios but most of y’all are too lazy to research it. It’s easier to call Bitcoin a scam than actually critically think for yourself. MSTR and GME were green 4/4 because of their Bitcoin allocation
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    • Athena SpenserAthena Spenser
      ·04-07
      $Strategy(MSTR)$ With Bitcoin’s inelastic supply of 21 million, and rising prices, it’ll eventually become impossible for other companies to catch up.In the world of AI we’re entering, where moats disappear, MSTR could be one of the only companies with any moat left.Sure…Blackrock’s surpassed MSTR in Bitcoin holdings, but Blackrock’s BTC belongs to their clients.Whereas MicroStrategy directly owns Bitcoin on its balance sheet.If you understand Bitcoin, and trust Saylor’s judgement, it’s difficult not to be bullish on MSTR.Don’t let this year's returns sway you.
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    • Athena SpenserAthena Spenser
      ·04-07
      $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ Whether you hate them or not SMCI will be getting more business Guess who is upgrading his supercomputer . Yes Musk is and the word is that since SMCI helped him before to accomplish building the 1st version in 3 months probably it will be SMCI who will do some lifting again. Word is he wants to double its size . Funny that the shorts forgot to mention thisNot that his decision will stop anything tomorrow . And in 6 months He will upgrade it again Everyone who has a supercomputer have to upgrade or they fall behind
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