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2021-07-05
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2021-06-12
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2021-06-12
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Is inflation eating up all the interest you're earning on 10-year Treasury notes?
'Part of the point of being invested in bonds is to preserve purchasing power,' says CIO of Osterwei
Is inflation eating up all the interest you're earning on 10-year Treasury notes?
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2021-06-12
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Is inflation eating up all the interest you're earning on 10-year Treasury notes?
'Part of the point of being invested in bonds is to preserve purchasing power,' says CIO of Osterwei
Is inflation eating up all the interest you're earning on 10-year Treasury notes?
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2021-06-12
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Investor, Trader, Speculator: Which One Are You?
Understanding the difference between speculation and investing is essential to avoiding reckless ris
Investor, Trader, Speculator: Which One Are You?
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2021-06-12
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15 momentum stocks expected to show the best sales growth over the next two years, including Carvana, Tesla and Palantir
Several companies on a stock screen have estimated two-year revenue growth of over 100%. There are m
15 momentum stocks expected to show the best sales growth over the next two years, including Carvana, Tesla and Palantir
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2021-05-11
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2021-05-11
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Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1623452760,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2142520474?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-12 07:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is inflation eating up all the interest you're earning on 10-year Treasury notes?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142520474","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"'Part of the point of being invested in bonds is to preserve purchasing power,' says CIO of Osterwei","content":"<blockquote>\n 'Part of the point of being invested in bonds is to preserve purchasing power,' says CIO of Osterweis total return strategy.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Investors may appear to be shrugging off inflation, but concerns persist.</p>\n<p>The 10-year Treasury yieldwas trading at 1.46% Friday , drifting lower despite Thursday's report that the pace of inflation soared for a second month in a row during the economic reopening in the pandemic.</p>\n<p>\"Inflation is significantly higher than the compensation you're receiving from being invested in fixed income,\" said Eddy Vataru, chief investment officer of Osterweis Capital Management's total return strategy, in an interview. \"Part of the point of being invested in bonds is to preserve purchasing power.\"</p>\n<p>Fixed-income investors worry about rising inflation because it erodes the value of their existing bonds . While inflation concerns tend to prompt selling, driving up yields, investors are now weighing whether the latest signs of inflation are transitory or persistent as the economy rebounds.</p>\n<p>\"I would argue that there's a significant part of it that's persistent,\" Vataru said, \"but you won't know that for months.\"</p>\n<p>The decline in 10-year yields doesn't necessarily mean market participants agree with the Fed that inflation is transient, according to Vataru, whose career in fixed-income includes past jobs at hedge fund firm Citadel and asset management giant BlackRock.</p>\n<p>Vataru said short positioning in the Treasury market may partly explain the yield dip after Thursday's report on the consumer-price index showed the cost of living jumped again in May, driving the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.</p>\n<p>Investors with short positions are betting that prices of Treasuries will fall, pushing up yields, according to Vataru. Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions. If rates don't rise quickly or far enough, these investors may become nervous about losses and exit their bets. Short sellers become buyers when they cover their positions.</p>\n<p>\"A lot of the buying you've seen in the last week or so is probably short covering,\" said Vataru. \"That's part of the reason that when you have a move like this you don't have quite the reaction you otherwise think you would,\" he said of the move down Thursday in the 10-year yield.</p>\n<p>Still, yields would be higher if there was more consensus that inflation is a persistent problem, according to Vataru. He said he worries about signs of wage inflation in particular, as that can be sticky, and believes inflation will be in the 3% to 5% range \"the way we're tracking right now.\"</p>\n<p>But Ellen Gaske, lead economist for G-10 economies at PGIM Fixed Income's global macroeconomic research group, said the yield on the 10-Year Treasury is up from last year and now sits in line with investors' expectations that inflation is transitory.</p>\n<p>\"We already saw the reflation trade,\" she said. \"We already have seen 10-year yields back up, from 50 basis points last summer all the way up to where they are today.\"</p>\n<p>Gaske explained that rates \"quickly reflected\" expectations that \"we would climb out of this crisis.\" She now thinks that by the end of this year the Fed may begin tapering its asset purchases, which along with low interest rates has been part of its accommodative stance.</p>\n<p>Gaske earlier this year \"pulled forward\" her expectations for a rate increase by the Fed to the second half of 2023. Previously, her prediction was for the Fed to raise its benchmark rate in 2024, with the adjustment to her forecast made in the first quarter, because economic momentum appeared strong as COVID-19 vaccinations rolled out.</p>\n<p>Gaske expects spikes in inflation will probably be short-lived, partly because prices are being measured against low levels seen last year, and supply-chain bottlenecks that have emerged in the rebound in demand will be worked out. But she said the acceleration of rent-related inflation caught her eye in the latest CPI reading, adding it's an area she'll be watching closely for potentially persistent higher costs.</p>\n<p>\"I think the Fed itself is kind of in a pickle,\" said Vataru, as any new characterization by the central bank of inflation as persistent would probably lead to higher rates that would dampen the recovery.</p>\n<p>\"They almost have to say that it is transitory to kind of keep this going,\" he said.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the Fed's massive quantitative easing program, or QE, is helping to \"stoke the fire\" despite no structural issues that point to the U.S. sitting in recession for years to come, according to Vataru. The U.S. isn't dealing with the same \"big debacle\" faced in the throes of the 2008 financial crisis, he said, yet monetary and fiscal stimulus continue with stocks near record highs and vaccine rollouts leading to fewer COVID cases domestically and abroad.</p>\n<p>\"It's a dangerous potion to have a policy that, in my mind, is really inflationary and then dismiss whatever inflation that comes through the system as transitory,\" Vataru said.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is inflation eating up all the interest you're earning on 10-year Treasury notes?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs inflation eating up all the interest you're earning on 10-year Treasury notes?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-12 07:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n 'Part of the point of being invested in bonds is to preserve purchasing power,' says CIO of Osterweis total return strategy.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Investors may appear to be shrugging off inflation, but concerns persist.</p>\n<p>The 10-year Treasury yieldwas trading at 1.46% Friday , drifting lower despite Thursday's report that the pace of inflation soared for a second month in a row during the economic reopening in the pandemic.</p>\n<p>\"Inflation is significantly higher than the compensation you're receiving from being invested in fixed income,\" said Eddy Vataru, chief investment officer of Osterweis Capital Management's total return strategy, in an interview. \"Part of the point of being invested in bonds is to preserve purchasing power.\"</p>\n<p>Fixed-income investors worry about rising inflation because it erodes the value of their existing bonds . While inflation concerns tend to prompt selling, driving up yields, investors are now weighing whether the latest signs of inflation are transitory or persistent as the economy rebounds.</p>\n<p>\"I would argue that there's a significant part of it that's persistent,\" Vataru said, \"but you won't know that for months.\"</p>\n<p>The decline in 10-year yields doesn't necessarily mean market participants agree with the Fed that inflation is transient, according to Vataru, whose career in fixed-income includes past jobs at hedge fund firm Citadel and asset management giant BlackRock.</p>\n<p>Vataru said short positioning in the Treasury market may partly explain the yield dip after Thursday's report on the consumer-price index showed the cost of living jumped again in May, driving the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.</p>\n<p>Investors with short positions are betting that prices of Treasuries will fall, pushing up yields, according to Vataru. Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions. If rates don't rise quickly or far enough, these investors may become nervous about losses and exit their bets. Short sellers become buyers when they cover their positions.</p>\n<p>\"A lot of the buying you've seen in the last week or so is probably short covering,\" said Vataru. \"That's part of the reason that when you have a move like this you don't have quite the reaction you otherwise think you would,\" he said of the move down Thursday in the 10-year yield.</p>\n<p>Still, yields would be higher if there was more consensus that inflation is a persistent problem, according to Vataru. He said he worries about signs of wage inflation in particular, as that can be sticky, and believes inflation will be in the 3% to 5% range \"the way we're tracking right now.\"</p>\n<p>But Ellen Gaske, lead economist for G-10 economies at PGIM Fixed Income's global macroeconomic research group, said the yield on the 10-Year Treasury is up from last year and now sits in line with investors' expectations that inflation is transitory.</p>\n<p>\"We already saw the reflation trade,\" she said. \"We already have seen 10-year yields back up, from 50 basis points last summer all the way up to where they are today.\"</p>\n<p>Gaske explained that rates \"quickly reflected\" expectations that \"we would climb out of this crisis.\" She now thinks that by the end of this year the Fed may begin tapering its asset purchases, which along with low interest rates has been part of its accommodative stance.</p>\n<p>Gaske earlier this year \"pulled forward\" her expectations for a rate increase by the Fed to the second half of 2023. Previously, her prediction was for the Fed to raise its benchmark rate in 2024, with the adjustment to her forecast made in the first quarter, because economic momentum appeared strong as COVID-19 vaccinations rolled out.</p>\n<p>Gaske expects spikes in inflation will probably be short-lived, partly because prices are being measured against low levels seen last year, and supply-chain bottlenecks that have emerged in the rebound in demand will be worked out. But she said the acceleration of rent-related inflation caught her eye in the latest CPI reading, adding it's an area she'll be watching closely for potentially persistent higher costs.</p>\n<p>\"I think the Fed itself is kind of in a pickle,\" said Vataru, as any new characterization by the central bank of inflation as persistent would probably lead to higher rates that would dampen the recovery.</p>\n<p>\"They almost have to say that it is transitory to kind of keep this going,\" he said.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the Fed's massive quantitative easing program, or QE, is helping to \"stoke the fire\" despite no structural issues that point to the U.S. sitting in recession for years to come, according to Vataru. The U.S. isn't dealing with the same \"big debacle\" faced in the throes of the 2008 financial crisis, he said, yet monetary and fiscal stimulus continue with stocks near record highs and vaccine rollouts leading to fewer COVID cases domestically and abroad.</p>\n<p>\"It's a dangerous potion to have a policy that, in my mind, is really inflationary and then dismiss whatever inflation that comes through the system as transitory,\" Vataru said.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2142520474","content_text":"'Part of the point of being invested in bonds is to preserve purchasing power,' says CIO of Osterweis total return strategy.\n\nInvestors may appear to be shrugging off inflation, but concerns persist.\nThe 10-year Treasury yieldwas trading at 1.46% Friday , drifting lower despite Thursday's report that the pace of inflation soared for a second month in a row during the economic reopening in the pandemic.\n\"Inflation is significantly higher than the compensation you're receiving from being invested in fixed income,\" said Eddy Vataru, chief investment officer of Osterweis Capital Management's total return strategy, in an interview. \"Part of the point of being invested in bonds is to preserve purchasing power.\"\nFixed-income investors worry about rising inflation because it erodes the value of their existing bonds . While inflation concerns tend to prompt selling, driving up yields, investors are now weighing whether the latest signs of inflation are transitory or persistent as the economy rebounds.\n\"I would argue that there's a significant part of it that's persistent,\" Vataru said, \"but you won't know that for months.\"\nThe decline in 10-year yields doesn't necessarily mean market participants agree with the Fed that inflation is transient, according to Vataru, whose career in fixed-income includes past jobs at hedge fund firm Citadel and asset management giant BlackRock.\nVataru said short positioning in the Treasury market may partly explain the yield dip after Thursday's report on the consumer-price index showed the cost of living jumped again in May, driving the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.\nInvestors with short positions are betting that prices of Treasuries will fall, pushing up yields, according to Vataru. Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions. If rates don't rise quickly or far enough, these investors may become nervous about losses and exit their bets. Short sellers become buyers when they cover their positions.\n\"A lot of the buying you've seen in the last week or so is probably short covering,\" said Vataru. \"That's part of the reason that when you have a move like this you don't have quite the reaction you otherwise think you would,\" he said of the move down Thursday in the 10-year yield.\nStill, yields would be higher if there was more consensus that inflation is a persistent problem, according to Vataru. He said he worries about signs of wage inflation in particular, as that can be sticky, and believes inflation will be in the 3% to 5% range \"the way we're tracking right now.\"\nBut Ellen Gaske, lead economist for G-10 economies at PGIM Fixed Income's global macroeconomic research group, said the yield on the 10-Year Treasury is up from last year and now sits in line with investors' expectations that inflation is transitory.\n\"We already saw the reflation trade,\" she said. \"We already have seen 10-year yields back up, from 50 basis points last summer all the way up to where they are today.\"\nGaske explained that rates \"quickly reflected\" expectations that \"we would climb out of this crisis.\" She now thinks that by the end of this year the Fed may begin tapering its asset purchases, which along with low interest rates has been part of its accommodative stance.\nGaske earlier this year \"pulled forward\" her expectations for a rate increase by the Fed to the second half of 2023. Previously, her prediction was for the Fed to raise its benchmark rate in 2024, with the adjustment to her forecast made in the first quarter, because economic momentum appeared strong as COVID-19 vaccinations rolled out.\nGaske expects spikes in inflation will probably be short-lived, partly because prices are being measured against low levels seen last year, and supply-chain bottlenecks that have emerged in the rebound in demand will be worked out. But she said the acceleration of rent-related inflation caught her eye in the latest CPI reading, adding it's an area she'll be watching closely for potentially persistent higher costs.\n\"I think the Fed itself is kind of in a pickle,\" said Vataru, as any new characterization by the central bank of inflation as persistent would probably lead to higher rates that would dampen the recovery.\n\"They almost have to say that it is transitory to kind of keep this going,\" he said.\nMeanwhile, the Fed's massive quantitative easing program, or QE, is helping to \"stoke the fire\" despite no structural issues that point to the U.S. sitting in recession for years to come, according to Vataru. The U.S. isn't dealing with the same \"big debacle\" faced in the throes of the 2008 financial crisis, he said, yet monetary and fiscal stimulus continue with stocks near record highs and vaccine rollouts leading to fewer COVID cases domestically and abroad.\n\"It's a dangerous potion to have a policy that, in my mind, is really inflationary and then dismiss whatever inflation that comes through the system as transitory,\" Vataru said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2023,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186256327,"gmtCreate":1623504561469,"gmtModify":1704205237458,"author":{"id":"3573458163743036","authorId":"3573458163743036","name":"ChanY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38696d038c0f4e05d2243cdee55d0aad","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573458163743036","authorIdStr":"3573458163743036"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186256327","repostId":"2142520474","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2142520474","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1623452760,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2142520474?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-12 07:06","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Is inflation eating up all the interest you're earning on 10-year Treasury notes?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142520474","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"'Part of the point of being invested in bonds is to preserve purchasing power,' says CIO of Osterwei","content":"<blockquote>\n 'Part of the point of being invested in bonds is to preserve purchasing power,' says CIO of Osterweis total return strategy.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Investors may appear to be shrugging off inflation, but concerns persist.</p>\n<p>The 10-year Treasury yieldwas trading at 1.46% Friday , drifting lower despite Thursday's report that the pace of inflation soared for a second month in a row during the economic reopening in the pandemic.</p>\n<p>\"Inflation is significantly higher than the compensation you're receiving from being invested in fixed income,\" said Eddy Vataru, chief investment officer of Osterweis Capital Management's total return strategy, in an interview. \"Part of the point of being invested in bonds is to preserve purchasing power.\"</p>\n<p>Fixed-income investors worry about rising inflation because it erodes the value of their existing bonds . While inflation concerns tend to prompt selling, driving up yields, investors are now weighing whether the latest signs of inflation are transitory or persistent as the economy rebounds.</p>\n<p>\"I would argue that there's a significant part of it that's persistent,\" Vataru said, \"but you won't know that for months.\"</p>\n<p>The decline in 10-year yields doesn't necessarily mean market participants agree with the Fed that inflation is transient, according to Vataru, whose career in fixed-income includes past jobs at hedge fund firm Citadel and asset management giant BlackRock.</p>\n<p>Vataru said short positioning in the Treasury market may partly explain the yield dip after Thursday's report on the consumer-price index showed the cost of living jumped again in May, driving the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.</p>\n<p>Investors with short positions are betting that prices of Treasuries will fall, pushing up yields, according to Vataru. Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions. If rates don't rise quickly or far enough, these investors may become nervous about losses and exit their bets. Short sellers become buyers when they cover their positions.</p>\n<p>\"A lot of the buying you've seen in the last week or so is probably short covering,\" said Vataru. \"That's part of the reason that when you have a move like this you don't have quite the reaction you otherwise think you would,\" he said of the move down Thursday in the 10-year yield.</p>\n<p>Still, yields would be higher if there was more consensus that inflation is a persistent problem, according to Vataru. He said he worries about signs of wage inflation in particular, as that can be sticky, and believes inflation will be in the 3% to 5% range \"the way we're tracking right now.\"</p>\n<p>But Ellen Gaske, lead economist for G-10 economies at PGIM Fixed Income's global macroeconomic research group, said the yield on the 10-Year Treasury is up from last year and now sits in line with investors' expectations that inflation is transitory.</p>\n<p>\"We already saw the reflation trade,\" she said. \"We already have seen 10-year yields back up, from 50 basis points last summer all the way up to where they are today.\"</p>\n<p>Gaske explained that rates \"quickly reflected\" expectations that \"we would climb out of this crisis.\" She now thinks that by the end of this year the Fed may begin tapering its asset purchases, which along with low interest rates has been part of its accommodative stance.</p>\n<p>Gaske earlier this year \"pulled forward\" her expectations for a rate increase by the Fed to the second half of 2023. Previously, her prediction was for the Fed to raise its benchmark rate in 2024, with the adjustment to her forecast made in the first quarter, because economic momentum appeared strong as COVID-19 vaccinations rolled out.</p>\n<p>Gaske expects spikes in inflation will probably be short-lived, partly because prices are being measured against low levels seen last year, and supply-chain bottlenecks that have emerged in the rebound in demand will be worked out. But she said the acceleration of rent-related inflation caught her eye in the latest CPI reading, adding it's an area she'll be watching closely for potentially persistent higher costs.</p>\n<p>\"I think the Fed itself is kind of in a pickle,\" said Vataru, as any new characterization by the central bank of inflation as persistent would probably lead to higher rates that would dampen the recovery.</p>\n<p>\"They almost have to say that it is transitory to kind of keep this going,\" he said.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the Fed's massive quantitative easing program, or QE, is helping to \"stoke the fire\" despite no structural issues that point to the U.S. sitting in recession for years to come, according to Vataru. The U.S. isn't dealing with the same \"big debacle\" faced in the throes of the 2008 financial crisis, he said, yet monetary and fiscal stimulus continue with stocks near record highs and vaccine rollouts leading to fewer COVID cases domestically and abroad.</p>\n<p>\"It's a dangerous potion to have a policy that, in my mind, is really inflationary and then dismiss whatever inflation that comes through the system as transitory,\" Vataru said.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Is inflation eating up all the interest you're earning on 10-year Treasury notes?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nIs inflation eating up all the interest you're earning on 10-year Treasury notes?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-12 07:06</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<blockquote>\n 'Part of the point of being invested in bonds is to preserve purchasing power,' says CIO of Osterweis total return strategy.\n</blockquote>\n<p>Investors may appear to be shrugging off inflation, but concerns persist.</p>\n<p>The 10-year Treasury yieldwas trading at 1.46% Friday , drifting lower despite Thursday's report that the pace of inflation soared for a second month in a row during the economic reopening in the pandemic.</p>\n<p>\"Inflation is significantly higher than the compensation you're receiving from being invested in fixed income,\" said Eddy Vataru, chief investment officer of Osterweis Capital Management's total return strategy, in an interview. \"Part of the point of being invested in bonds is to preserve purchasing power.\"</p>\n<p>Fixed-income investors worry about rising inflation because it erodes the value of their existing bonds . While inflation concerns tend to prompt selling, driving up yields, investors are now weighing whether the latest signs of inflation are transitory or persistent as the economy rebounds.</p>\n<p>\"I would argue that there's a significant part of it that's persistent,\" Vataru said, \"but you won't know that for months.\"</p>\n<p>The decline in 10-year yields doesn't necessarily mean market participants agree with the Fed that inflation is transient, according to Vataru, whose career in fixed-income includes past jobs at hedge fund firm Citadel and asset management giant BlackRock.</p>\n<p>Vataru said short positioning in the Treasury market may partly explain the yield dip after Thursday's report on the consumer-price index showed the cost of living jumped again in May, driving the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.</p>\n<p>Investors with short positions are betting that prices of Treasuries will fall, pushing up yields, according to Vataru. Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions. If rates don't rise quickly or far enough, these investors may become nervous about losses and exit their bets. Short sellers become buyers when they cover their positions.</p>\n<p>\"A lot of the buying you've seen in the last week or so is probably short covering,\" said Vataru. \"That's part of the reason that when you have a move like this you don't have quite the reaction you otherwise think you would,\" he said of the move down Thursday in the 10-year yield.</p>\n<p>Still, yields would be higher if there was more consensus that inflation is a persistent problem, according to Vataru. He said he worries about signs of wage inflation in particular, as that can be sticky, and believes inflation will be in the 3% to 5% range \"the way we're tracking right now.\"</p>\n<p>But Ellen Gaske, lead economist for G-10 economies at PGIM Fixed Income's global macroeconomic research group, said the yield on the 10-Year Treasury is up from last year and now sits in line with investors' expectations that inflation is transitory.</p>\n<p>\"We already saw the reflation trade,\" she said. \"We already have seen 10-year yields back up, from 50 basis points last summer all the way up to where they are today.\"</p>\n<p>Gaske explained that rates \"quickly reflected\" expectations that \"we would climb out of this crisis.\" She now thinks that by the end of this year the Fed may begin tapering its asset purchases, which along with low interest rates has been part of its accommodative stance.</p>\n<p>Gaske earlier this year \"pulled forward\" her expectations for a rate increase by the Fed to the second half of 2023. Previously, her prediction was for the Fed to raise its benchmark rate in 2024, with the adjustment to her forecast made in the first quarter, because economic momentum appeared strong as COVID-19 vaccinations rolled out.</p>\n<p>Gaske expects spikes in inflation will probably be short-lived, partly because prices are being measured against low levels seen last year, and supply-chain bottlenecks that have emerged in the rebound in demand will be worked out. But she said the acceleration of rent-related inflation caught her eye in the latest CPI reading, adding it's an area she'll be watching closely for potentially persistent higher costs.</p>\n<p>\"I think the Fed itself is kind of in a pickle,\" said Vataru, as any new characterization by the central bank of inflation as persistent would probably lead to higher rates that would dampen the recovery.</p>\n<p>\"They almost have to say that it is transitory to kind of keep this going,\" he said.</p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the Fed's massive quantitative easing program, or QE, is helping to \"stoke the fire\" despite no structural issues that point to the U.S. sitting in recession for years to come, according to Vataru. The U.S. isn't dealing with the same \"big debacle\" faced in the throes of the 2008 financial crisis, he said, yet monetary and fiscal stimulus continue with stocks near record highs and vaccine rollouts leading to fewer COVID cases domestically and abroad.</p>\n<p>\"It's a dangerous potion to have a policy that, in my mind, is really inflationary and then dismiss whatever inflation that comes through the system as transitory,\" Vataru said.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2142520474","content_text":"'Part of the point of being invested in bonds is to preserve purchasing power,' says CIO of Osterweis total return strategy.\n\nInvestors may appear to be shrugging off inflation, but concerns persist.\nThe 10-year Treasury yieldwas trading at 1.46% Friday , drifting lower despite Thursday's report that the pace of inflation soared for a second month in a row during the economic reopening in the pandemic.\n\"Inflation is significantly higher than the compensation you're receiving from being invested in fixed income,\" said Eddy Vataru, chief investment officer of Osterweis Capital Management's total return strategy, in an interview. \"Part of the point of being invested in bonds is to preserve purchasing power.\"\nFixed-income investors worry about rising inflation because it erodes the value of their existing bonds . While inflation concerns tend to prompt selling, driving up yields, investors are now weighing whether the latest signs of inflation are transitory or persistent as the economy rebounds.\n\"I would argue that there's a significant part of it that's persistent,\" Vataru said, \"but you won't know that for months.\"\nThe decline in 10-year yields doesn't necessarily mean market participants agree with the Fed that inflation is transient, according to Vataru, whose career in fixed-income includes past jobs at hedge fund firm Citadel and asset management giant BlackRock.\nVataru said short positioning in the Treasury market may partly explain the yield dip after Thursday's report on the consumer-price index showed the cost of living jumped again in May, driving the pace of inflation to a 13-year high of 5%.\nInvestors with short positions are betting that prices of Treasuries will fall, pushing up yields, according to Vataru. Bond prices and yields move in opposite directions. If rates don't rise quickly or far enough, these investors may become nervous about losses and exit their bets. Short sellers become buyers when they cover their positions.\n\"A lot of the buying you've seen in the last week or so is probably short covering,\" said Vataru. \"That's part of the reason that when you have a move like this you don't have quite the reaction you otherwise think you would,\" he said of the move down Thursday in the 10-year yield.\nStill, yields would be higher if there was more consensus that inflation is a persistent problem, according to Vataru. He said he worries about signs of wage inflation in particular, as that can be sticky, and believes inflation will be in the 3% to 5% range \"the way we're tracking right now.\"\nBut Ellen Gaske, lead economist for G-10 economies at PGIM Fixed Income's global macroeconomic research group, said the yield on the 10-Year Treasury is up from last year and now sits in line with investors' expectations that inflation is transitory.\n\"We already saw the reflation trade,\" she said. \"We already have seen 10-year yields back up, from 50 basis points last summer all the way up to where they are today.\"\nGaske explained that rates \"quickly reflected\" expectations that \"we would climb out of this crisis.\" She now thinks that by the end of this year the Fed may begin tapering its asset purchases, which along with low interest rates has been part of its accommodative stance.\nGaske earlier this year \"pulled forward\" her expectations for a rate increase by the Fed to the second half of 2023. Previously, her prediction was for the Fed to raise its benchmark rate in 2024, with the adjustment to her forecast made in the first quarter, because economic momentum appeared strong as COVID-19 vaccinations rolled out.\nGaske expects spikes in inflation will probably be short-lived, partly because prices are being measured against low levels seen last year, and supply-chain bottlenecks that have emerged in the rebound in demand will be worked out. But she said the acceleration of rent-related inflation caught her eye in the latest CPI reading, adding it's an area she'll be watching closely for potentially persistent higher costs.\n\"I think the Fed itself is kind of in a pickle,\" said Vataru, as any new characterization by the central bank of inflation as persistent would probably lead to higher rates that would dampen the recovery.\n\"They almost have to say that it is transitory to kind of keep this going,\" he said.\nMeanwhile, the Fed's massive quantitative easing program, or QE, is helping to \"stoke the fire\" despite no structural issues that point to the U.S. sitting in recession for years to come, according to Vataru. The U.S. isn't dealing with the same \"big debacle\" faced in the throes of the 2008 financial crisis, he said, yet monetary and fiscal stimulus continue with stocks near record highs and vaccine rollouts leading to fewer COVID cases domestically and abroad.\n\"It's a dangerous potion to have a policy that, in my mind, is really inflationary and then dismiss whatever inflation that comes through the system as transitory,\" Vataru said.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2524,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186251555,"gmtCreate":1623504466577,"gmtModify":1704205235679,"author":{"id":"3573458163743036","authorId":"3573458163743036","name":"ChanY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38696d038c0f4e05d2243cdee55d0aad","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573458163743036","authorIdStr":"3573458163743036"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186251555","repostId":"1147474880","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1147474880","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623470168,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1147474880?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-12 11:56","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Investor, Trader, Speculator: Which One Are You?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1147474880","media":"The Wall Street Journal","summary":"Understanding the difference between speculation and investing is essential to avoiding reckless ris","content":"<blockquote>\n Understanding the difference between speculation and investing is essential to avoiding reckless risk.\n</blockquote>\n<p>I’ve had it.</p>\n<p>The Wall Street Journal is wrong, and has remained wrong for decades, about one of the most basic distinctions in finance. And I can’t stand it anymore.</p>\n<p>If you buy a stock purely because it’s gone up a lot, without doing any research on it whatsoever, you are not—as the Journal and its editors bizarrely insist on calling you—an “investor.” If you buy a cryptocurrency because, hey, that sounds like fun, you aren’t an investor either.</p>\n<p>Whenever you buy any financial asset becauseyou have a hunchorjust for kicks, or becausesomebody famous is hyping the heck out of itoreverybody else seems to be buying it too, you aren’t investing.</p>\n<p>You’re definitely a trader: someone who has just bought an asset. And you may bea speculator: someone who thinks other people will pay more for it than you did.</p>\n<p>Of course,some folkswho buy meme stocks likeGameStopCorp.GME5.88%<i>are</i>investors. They read the companies’ financial statements, study the health of the underlying businesses and learn who else is betting on or against the shares. Likewise, many buyers of digital coins have put in the time and effort to understand how cryptocurrency works and how it could reshape finance.</p>\n<p>An investor relies on internal sources of return: earnings, income, growth in the value of assets. A speculator counts on external sources of return: primarilywhether somebody else will pay more, regardless of fundamental value.</p>\n<p>The word investor comes from the Latin “investire,” to dress in or clothe oneself, surround or envelop. You would never wear clothes without knowing what color they are or what material they’re made of. Likewise, you can’t invest in an asset you know nothing about.</p>\n<p>Nevertheless, the Journal and its editors have long called almost everybody who buys just about anything an “investor.” On July 12, 1962, the Journal publisheda letter to the editorfrom Benjamin Graham, author of the classic books “Security Analysis” and “The Intelligent Investor.” That June, complained Graham, the Journal had run an article headlined “Many Small Investors Bet on Further Drops, Sell Odd Lots Short.”</p>\n<p>He wrote: “By what definition of ‘investment’ can one give the name ‘investors’ to small people who make bets on the stock market by selling odd lots short?” (To short an odd lot is to borrow and sell fewer than 100 shares in a wager that a stock will fall—an expensive and risky bet, then and now.)</p>\n<p>“If these people are investors,” asked Graham, “how should one define ‘speculation’ and ‘speculators’? Isn’t it possible that the currentfailure to distinguishbetweeninvestment and speculationmay do grave harm not only to individuals but to the whole financial community—as it did in the late 1920s?”</p>\n<p>Graham wasn’t a snob who thought that the markets should be the exclusive playground of the rich. He wrote “The Intelligent Investor” with the express purpose of helping less-wealthy people participate wisely in the stock market.</p>\n<p>In that book, after which this column is named, Graham said, “Outright speculation is neither illegal, immoral, nor (for most people) fattening to the pocketbook.”</p>\n<p>However, he warned, it creates three dangers: “(1) speculating when you think you are investing; (2) speculating seriously instead of as a pastime, when you lack proper knowledge and skill for it; and (3) risking more money in speculation than you can afford to lose.”</p>\n<p>Most investors speculate a bit every once in a while. Like a lottery ticket or an occasional visit to the racetrack or casino, a little is harmless fun. A lot isn’t.</p>\n<p>If you think you’re investing when you’re speculating, you’ll attribute even momentary success to skill even thoughluck is the likeliest explanation. That can lead you to take reckless risks.</p>\n<p>Take speculating too seriously, and it turns intoan obsessionandan addiction. You become incapable of accepting your losses or focusing on the future more than a few minutes ahead. Next thing you know, you’re throwing even more money onto the bonfire.</p>\n<p>I think calling traders and speculators “investors” shoves many newcomers farther down the slippery slope toward risks they shouldn’t take and losses they can’t afford. I fervently hope the Journal and its editors will finally stop using “investor” as the default term for anyone who makes a trade.</p>\n<p>“ ‘Investor’ has a long history in the English language as a catch-all term denoting people who commit capital with the expectation of a return, no matter how long or short, no matter how many or how few investing columns they read,” WSJ Financial Editor Charles Forelle said in response to my complaints. “Back at least to the mid-19th century, ‘invest’ has even been used to describe a wager on horses—an activity surely no less divorced from fundamental analysis than a purchase of dogecoin.”</p>\n<p>I hear you, Boss, but I still think you’re wrong. There’s no way the Journal would say a recreational gambler is “investing” at the racetrack just because a dictionary says we can.</p>\n<p>Calling novice speculators “investors” is one of the most powerful ways marketers fuel excessive trading.</p>\n<p>Ina recent Instagram post, a former porn star who goes by the name Lana Rhoades posed in—well, mostly in—a bikini, as she held up what appears to be Graham’s “The Intelligent Investor.” According to IMDb.com, she starred in such videos as “Tushy” and “Make Me Meow.”</p>\n<p>In her post, which was “liked” by nearly 1.8 million people, Ms. Rhoades announced that she will be promoting a cryptocurrency calledPAWGcoin.</p>\n<p>The currency’s website says the coin is meant for “those who pay homage to developed posteriors.” (PAWG, I’ve been reliably informed, stands for Phat Ass White Girl.)</p>\n<p>PAWGcoin is up roughly 900% since Ms. Rhoades began promoting it in early June, according to Poocoin.io, a website that tracks such digital currencies.</p>\n<p>Ms. Rhoades, who has tweeted “I also read the WSJ every morning,” couldn’t be reached for comment. PAWGcoin’s website encourages visitors to “invest now.”</p>\n<p>In Ms. Rhoades’s Instagram post, she is holding up an open copy of the “The Intelligent Investor,” whose cover is reversed. She appears to be reading it with her eyes closed.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Investor, Trader, Speculator: Which One Are You?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nInvestor, Trader, Speculator: Which One Are You?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-12 11:56 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.wsj.com/articles/you-cant-invest-without-trading-you-can-trade-without-investing-11623426213?mod=markets_lead_pos5><strong>The Wall Street Journal</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Understanding the difference between speculation and investing is essential to avoiding reckless risk.\n\nI’ve had it.\nThe Wall Street Journal is wrong, and has remained wrong for decades, about one of ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.wsj.com/articles/you-cant-invest-without-trading-you-can-trade-without-investing-11623426213?mod=markets_lead_pos5\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"SPY":"标普500ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite"},"source_url":"https://www.wsj.com/articles/you-cant-invest-without-trading-you-can-trade-without-investing-11623426213?mod=markets_lead_pos5","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1147474880","content_text":"Understanding the difference between speculation and investing is essential to avoiding reckless risk.\n\nI’ve had it.\nThe Wall Street Journal is wrong, and has remained wrong for decades, about one of the most basic distinctions in finance. And I can’t stand it anymore.\nIf you buy a stock purely because it’s gone up a lot, without doing any research on it whatsoever, you are not—as the Journal and its editors bizarrely insist on calling you—an “investor.” If you buy a cryptocurrency because, hey, that sounds like fun, you aren’t an investor either.\nWhenever you buy any financial asset becauseyou have a hunchorjust for kicks, or becausesomebody famous is hyping the heck out of itoreverybody else seems to be buying it too, you aren’t investing.\nYou’re definitely a trader: someone who has just bought an asset. And you may bea speculator: someone who thinks other people will pay more for it than you did.\nOf course,some folkswho buy meme stocks likeGameStopCorp.GME5.88%areinvestors. They read the companies’ financial statements, study the health of the underlying businesses and learn who else is betting on or against the shares. Likewise, many buyers of digital coins have put in the time and effort to understand how cryptocurrency works and how it could reshape finance.\nAn investor relies on internal sources of return: earnings, income, growth in the value of assets. A speculator counts on external sources of return: primarilywhether somebody else will pay more, regardless of fundamental value.\nThe word investor comes from the Latin “investire,” to dress in or clothe oneself, surround or envelop. You would never wear clothes without knowing what color they are or what material they’re made of. Likewise, you can’t invest in an asset you know nothing about.\nNevertheless, the Journal and its editors have long called almost everybody who buys just about anything an “investor.” On July 12, 1962, the Journal publisheda letter to the editorfrom Benjamin Graham, author of the classic books “Security Analysis” and “The Intelligent Investor.” That June, complained Graham, the Journal had run an article headlined “Many Small Investors Bet on Further Drops, Sell Odd Lots Short.”\nHe wrote: “By what definition of ‘investment’ can one give the name ‘investors’ to small people who make bets on the stock market by selling odd lots short?” (To short an odd lot is to borrow and sell fewer than 100 shares in a wager that a stock will fall—an expensive and risky bet, then and now.)\n“If these people are investors,” asked Graham, “how should one define ‘speculation’ and ‘speculators’? Isn’t it possible that the currentfailure to distinguishbetweeninvestment and speculationmay do grave harm not only to individuals but to the whole financial community—as it did in the late 1920s?”\nGraham wasn’t a snob who thought that the markets should be the exclusive playground of the rich. He wrote “The Intelligent Investor” with the express purpose of helping less-wealthy people participate wisely in the stock market.\nIn that book, after which this column is named, Graham said, “Outright speculation is neither illegal, immoral, nor (for most people) fattening to the pocketbook.”\nHowever, he warned, it creates three dangers: “(1) speculating when you think you are investing; (2) speculating seriously instead of as a pastime, when you lack proper knowledge and skill for it; and (3) risking more money in speculation than you can afford to lose.”\nMost investors speculate a bit every once in a while. Like a lottery ticket or an occasional visit to the racetrack or casino, a little is harmless fun. A lot isn’t.\nIf you think you’re investing when you’re speculating, you’ll attribute even momentary success to skill even thoughluck is the likeliest explanation. That can lead you to take reckless risks.\nTake speculating too seriously, and it turns intoan obsessionandan addiction. You become incapable of accepting your losses or focusing on the future more than a few minutes ahead. Next thing you know, you’re throwing even more money onto the bonfire.\nI think calling traders and speculators “investors” shoves many newcomers farther down the slippery slope toward risks they shouldn’t take and losses they can’t afford. I fervently hope the Journal and its editors will finally stop using “investor” as the default term for anyone who makes a trade.\n“ ‘Investor’ has a long history in the English language as a catch-all term denoting people who commit capital with the expectation of a return, no matter how long or short, no matter how many or how few investing columns they read,” WSJ Financial Editor Charles Forelle said in response to my complaints. “Back at least to the mid-19th century, ‘invest’ has even been used to describe a wager on horses—an activity surely no less divorced from fundamental analysis than a purchase of dogecoin.”\nI hear you, Boss, but I still think you’re wrong. There’s no way the Journal would say a recreational gambler is “investing” at the racetrack just because a dictionary says we can.\nCalling novice speculators “investors” is one of the most powerful ways marketers fuel excessive trading.\nIna recent Instagram post, a former porn star who goes by the name Lana Rhoades posed in—well, mostly in—a bikini, as she held up what appears to be Graham’s “The Intelligent Investor.” According to IMDb.com, she starred in such videos as “Tushy” and “Make Me Meow.”\nIn her post, which was “liked” by nearly 1.8 million people, Ms. Rhoades announced that she will be promoting a cryptocurrency calledPAWGcoin.\nThe currency’s website says the coin is meant for “those who pay homage to developed posteriors.” (PAWG, I’ve been reliably informed, stands for Phat Ass White Girl.)\nPAWGcoin is up roughly 900% since Ms. Rhoades began promoting it in early June, according to Poocoin.io, a website that tracks such digital currencies.\nMs. Rhoades, who has tweeted “I also read the WSJ every morning,” couldn’t be reached for comment. PAWGcoin’s website encourages visitors to “invest now.”\nIn Ms. Rhoades’s Instagram post, she is holding up an open copy of the “The Intelligent Investor,” whose cover is reversed. She appears to be reading it with her eyes closed.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9,".IXIC":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2231,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":186251936,"gmtCreate":1623504421825,"gmtModify":1704205234871,"author":{"id":"3573458163743036","authorId":"3573458163743036","name":"ChanY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38696d038c0f4e05d2243cdee55d0aad","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573458163743036","authorIdStr":"3573458163743036"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/186251936","repostId":"2142206100","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2142206100","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Dow Jones publishes the world’s most trusted business news and financial information in a variety of media.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Dow Jones","id":"106","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99"},"pubTimestamp":1623470400,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2142206100?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-12 12:00","market":"hk","language":"en","title":"15 momentum stocks expected to show the best sales growth over the next two years, including Carvana, Tesla and Palantir","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2142206100","media":"Dow Jones","summary":"Several companies on a stock screen have estimated two-year revenue growth of over 100%.\nThere are m","content":"<p>Several companies on a stock screen have estimated two-year revenue growth of over 100%.</p>\n<p>There are many broad approaches to the stock market for selecting individual companies or groups for investments. Momentum investing -- trying to ride the wave of other investors' sentiment -- is popular for day-traders, especially during the current meme-stock craze. But it can also work over the long term.</p>\n<p>Below is a list of momentum stocks of companies expected to show the strongest sales growth over the next two years.</p>\n<p>Momentum ETF</p>\n<p>To begin with a large group of momentum stocks, we can look at the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MTUM\">iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor</a> ETF (MTUM). This is the largest U.S. ETF that follows a momentum strategy, according to Mark Hulbert performance relative to its benchmark, the S&P 500 Growth Index.</p>\n<p>For example, the largest holding of the ETF is Tesla Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a>, which \"has experienced strong risk-adjusted performance related to the market over the past 12 months,\" according to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEME\">iShares</a> (a subsidiary of BlackRock Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">$(BLK)$</a>). But shares of Merck & Co. Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRK\">$(MRK)$</a> are excluded from MTUM because even though <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EGRW\">iShares</a> considered its 12-month return \"attractive,\" the stock's six-month risk-adjusted return underperformed the benchmark.</p>\n<p>So keeping in mind the weighting by price performance relative to the index, tempered by volatility (going back as much as three years), here are the top 10 holdings of the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IHPXF\">iShares MSCI</a> USA Momentum Factor ETF:</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n <tr>\n <td>Company</td>\n <td>Ticker</td>\n <td>Share of MTUM</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Tesla Inc.</td>\n <td>TSLA</td>\n <td>5.00%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>JPMorgan Chase & Co.</td>\n <td>JPM</td>\n <td>4.76%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B</td>\n <td>BRK.B</td>\n <td>4.58%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Walt Disney Co.</td>\n <td>DIS</td>\n <td>4.48%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>$Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$.</td>\n <td>BAC</td>\n <td>4.29%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> Holdings Inc.</td>\n <td>PYPL</td>\n <td>3.66%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Wells Fargo & Co.</td>\n <td>WFC</td>\n <td>3.11%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Applied Materials Inc.</td>\n <td>AMAT</td>\n <td>3.00%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Alphabet Inc. Class C</td>\n <td>GOOG</td>\n <td>2.67%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Alphabet Inc. Class A</td>\n <td>GOOGL</td>\n <td>2.45%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Goldman Sachs Group Inc.</td>\n <td>GS</td>\n <td>2.30%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>(FactSet)</td>\n <td></td>\n <td></td>\n </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Actually, there are 11 stocks listed, as MTUM holds both share classes of Alphabet Inc. Banks and insurers make up half the list, which makes sense because financials have been the second-best performing sector in the S&P 500 , after the materials sector.</p>\n<p>Momentum stock screen -- expected sales growth</p>\n<p>Thinking again about financials, they have had plenty of momentum as investors have gained confidence the U.S. economy will continue roaring back from the damage caused by the coronavirus pandemic.</p>\n<p>But revenue growth can be an important driver, especially for individual stock prices over the long term. From here, the financials might not be the best place to look for rapidly rising revenue over the next two years.</p>\n<p>Starting with the 125 momentum stocks held by MTUM, here are the 15 companies expected by analysts polled by FactSet to increase revenue the most over the next two calendar years, with 2021 as the baseline. The figures are in millions of dollars:</p>\n<p>Those are stellar sales-growth numbers -- if the analysts are close to being correct. Many of the stocks are also expensive relative to the expected 2023 sales numbers. In comparison, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EMDI\">iShares</a> S&P 500 Growth ETF <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IVW\">$(IVW)$</a> (which tracks the entire S&P 500 Growth Index) trades for 4.2 times estimated 2023 sales.</p>\n<p>Plug Power Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLUG\">$(PLUG)$</a> tops the list, with analysts expecting sales to increase to $1.1 billion in 2023. The company said on June 10 it would build a hydrogen-production plant in Camden County, Ga.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap Inc</a>. (SNAP) CEO Evan Spiegal said recently the company had grown to 500 million active daily users and that almost half of U.S. smartphone users were using Snapchat.</p>\n<p>Novavax Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">$(NVAX)$</a> expects to apply for FDA approval of its coronavirus vaccine during the third quarter.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVNA\">Carvana Co.</a> (CVNA) has been on a tear, with used-car demand spiking in the wake of component shortages for automobile production. The company's sales by units increased 76% in the first quarter from a year earlier.</p>\n<p>Uber Technologies Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">$(UBER)$</a> and Lyft Inc <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LYFT\">$(LYFT)$</a> are also expected to ride the economic recovery wave, although analysts expect Lyft to take longer to exceed its pre-pandemic revenue level .</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">Palantir Technologies Inc.</a> (PLTR) rounds out the list. The developer of software used by government defense and intelligence agencies was included in this analysis of meme stocks .</p>\n<p>Earnings</p>\n<p>Some of these companies are still in relatively early growth stages, and aren't expected to achieve full-year profitability until 2023. Here are consensus earnings-per-share estimates for three years:</p>\n<p>Those are very high price-to-earnings ratios based on current stock prices and consensus estimates for 2023. But for rapidly growing companies, earnings typically aren't a priority, which explains why Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a> always trades at a high P/E. In comparison, the the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EMEY\">iShares</a> S&P 500 Growth ETF trades for 23.3 times its weighted aggregate consensus earnings estimate for 2023.</p>\n<p>Wall Street's opinion</p>\n<p>Here's a summary of opinion about the 15 companies held by MTUM that analysts expect to grow their revenue the most over the next two years:</p>\n<p>The 12-month price targets may not be useful -- for traders, this is an eternity; it may be a short period for long-term investors looking to profit for years as sales (and hopefully earnings, eventually) compound. It is important to do your own research and form your own opinion about a company's financial health and its ability to remain competitive.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>15 momentum stocks expected to show the best sales growth over the next two years, including Carvana, Tesla and Palantir</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\n15 momentum stocks expected to show the best sales growth over the next two years, including Carvana, Tesla and Palantir\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-12 12:00</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Several companies on a stock screen have estimated two-year revenue growth of over 100%.</p>\n<p>There are many broad approaches to the stock market for selecting individual companies or groups for investments. Momentum investing -- trying to ride the wave of other investors' sentiment -- is popular for day-traders, especially during the current meme-stock craze. But it can also work over the long term.</p>\n<p>Below is a list of momentum stocks of companies expected to show the strongest sales growth over the next two years.</p>\n<p>Momentum ETF</p>\n<p>To begin with a large group of momentum stocks, we can look at the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MTUM\">iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor</a> ETF (MTUM). This is the largest U.S. ETF that follows a momentum strategy, according to Mark Hulbert performance relative to its benchmark, the S&P 500 Growth Index.</p>\n<p>For example, the largest holding of the ETF is Tesla Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">$(TSLA)$</a>, which \"has experienced strong risk-adjusted performance related to the market over the past 12 months,\" according to <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EEME\">iShares</a> (a subsidiary of BlackRock Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/BLK\">$(BLK)$</a>). But shares of Merck & Co. Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MRK\">$(MRK)$</a> are excluded from MTUM because even though <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EGRW\">iShares</a> considered its 12-month return \"attractive,\" the stock's six-month risk-adjusted return underperformed the benchmark.</p>\n<p>So keeping in mind the weighting by price performance relative to the index, tempered by volatility (going back as much as three years), here are the top 10 holdings of the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IHPXF\">iShares MSCI</a> USA Momentum Factor ETF:</p>\n<table>\n <tbody>\n <tr>\n <td>Company</td>\n <td>Ticker</td>\n <td>Share of MTUM</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Tesla Inc.</td>\n <td>TSLA</td>\n <td>5.00%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>JPMorgan Chase & Co.</td>\n <td>JPM</td>\n <td>4.76%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Berkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B</td>\n <td>BRK.B</td>\n <td>4.58%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Walt Disney Co.</td>\n <td>DIS</td>\n <td>4.48%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>$Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$.</td>\n <td>BAC</td>\n <td>4.29%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PYPL\">PayPal</a> Holdings Inc.</td>\n <td>PYPL</td>\n <td>3.66%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Wells Fargo & Co.</td>\n <td>WFC</td>\n <td>3.11%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Applied Materials Inc.</td>\n <td>AMAT</td>\n <td>3.00%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Alphabet Inc. Class C</td>\n <td>GOOG</td>\n <td>2.67%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Alphabet Inc. Class A</td>\n <td>GOOGL</td>\n <td>2.45%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>Goldman Sachs Group Inc.</td>\n <td>GS</td>\n <td>2.30%</td>\n </tr>\n <tr>\n <td>(FactSet)</td>\n <td></td>\n <td></td>\n </tr>\n </tbody>\n</table>\n<p>Actually, there are 11 stocks listed, as MTUM holds both share classes of Alphabet Inc. Banks and insurers make up half the list, which makes sense because financials have been the second-best performing sector in the S&P 500 , after the materials sector.</p>\n<p>Momentum stock screen -- expected sales growth</p>\n<p>Thinking again about financials, they have had plenty of momentum as investors have gained confidence the U.S. economy will continue roaring back from the damage caused by the coronavirus pandemic.</p>\n<p>But revenue growth can be an important driver, especially for individual stock prices over the long term. From here, the financials might not be the best place to look for rapidly rising revenue over the next two years.</p>\n<p>Starting with the 125 momentum stocks held by MTUM, here are the 15 companies expected by analysts polled by FactSet to increase revenue the most over the next two calendar years, with 2021 as the baseline. The figures are in millions of dollars:</p>\n<p>Those are stellar sales-growth numbers -- if the analysts are close to being correct. Many of the stocks are also expensive relative to the expected 2023 sales numbers. In comparison, the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EMDI\">iShares</a> S&P 500 Growth ETF <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/IVW\">$(IVW)$</a> (which tracks the entire S&P 500 Growth Index) trades for 4.2 times estimated 2023 sales.</p>\n<p>Plug Power Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLUG\">$(PLUG)$</a> tops the list, with analysts expecting sales to increase to $1.1 billion in 2023. The company said on June 10 it would build a hydrogen-production plant in Camden County, Ga.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SNAP\">Snap Inc</a>. (SNAP) CEO Evan Spiegal said recently the company had grown to 500 million active daily users and that almost half of U.S. smartphone users were using Snapchat.</p>\n<p>Novavax Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">$(NVAX)$</a> expects to apply for FDA approval of its coronavirus vaccine during the third quarter.</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/CVNA\">Carvana Co.</a> (CVNA) has been on a tear, with used-car demand spiking in the wake of component shortages for automobile production. The company's sales by units increased 76% in the first quarter from a year earlier.</p>\n<p>Uber Technologies Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UBER\">$(UBER)$</a> and Lyft Inc <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LYFT\">$(LYFT)$</a> are also expected to ride the economic recovery wave, although analysts expect Lyft to take longer to exceed its pre-pandemic revenue level .</p>\n<p><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/PLTR\">Palantir Technologies Inc.</a> (PLTR) rounds out the list. The developer of software used by government defense and intelligence agencies was included in this analysis of meme stocks .</p>\n<p>Earnings</p>\n<p>Some of these companies are still in relatively early growth stages, and aren't expected to achieve full-year profitability until 2023. Here are consensus earnings-per-share estimates for three years:</p>\n<p>Those are very high price-to-earnings ratios based on current stock prices and consensus estimates for 2023. But for rapidly growing companies, earnings typically aren't a priority, which explains why Amazon.com Inc. <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">$(AMZN)$</a> always trades at a high P/E. In comparison, the the <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EMEY\">iShares</a> S&P 500 Growth ETF trades for 23.3 times its weighted aggregate consensus earnings estimate for 2023.</p>\n<p>Wall Street's opinion</p>\n<p>Here's a summary of opinion about the 15 companies held by MTUM that analysts expect to grow their revenue the most over the next two years:</p>\n<p>The 12-month price targets may not be useful -- for traders, this is an eternity; it may be a short period for long-term investors looking to profit for years as sales (and hopefully earnings, eventually) compound. It is important to do your own research and form your own opinion about a company's financial health and its ability to remain competitive.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"PLTR":"Palantir Technologies Inc.","TSLA":"特斯拉","PLUG":"普拉格能源","CVNA":"Carvana Co.","SNAP":"Snap Inc"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2142206100","content_text":"Several companies on a stock screen have estimated two-year revenue growth of over 100%.\nThere are many broad approaches to the stock market for selecting individual companies or groups for investments. Momentum investing -- trying to ride the wave of other investors' sentiment -- is popular for day-traders, especially during the current meme-stock craze. But it can also work over the long term.\nBelow is a list of momentum stocks of companies expected to show the strongest sales growth over the next two years.\nMomentum ETF\nTo begin with a large group of momentum stocks, we can look at the iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF (MTUM). This is the largest U.S. ETF that follows a momentum strategy, according to Mark Hulbert performance relative to its benchmark, the S&P 500 Growth Index.\nFor example, the largest holding of the ETF is Tesla Inc. $(TSLA)$, which \"has experienced strong risk-adjusted performance related to the market over the past 12 months,\" according to iShares (a subsidiary of BlackRock Inc. $(BLK)$). But shares of Merck & Co. Inc. $(MRK)$ are excluded from MTUM because even though iShares considered its 12-month return \"attractive,\" the stock's six-month risk-adjusted return underperformed the benchmark.\nSo keeping in mind the weighting by price performance relative to the index, tempered by volatility (going back as much as three years), here are the top 10 holdings of the iShares MSCI USA Momentum Factor ETF:\n\n\n\nCompany\nTicker\nShare of MTUM\n\n\nTesla Inc.\nTSLA\n5.00%\n\n\nJPMorgan Chase & Co.\nJPM\n4.76%\n\n\nBerkshire Hathaway Inc. Class B\nBRK.B\n4.58%\n\n\nWalt Disney Co.\nDIS\n4.48%\n\n\n$Bank of America Corp(BAC-N)$.\nBAC\n4.29%\n\n\nPayPal Holdings Inc.\nPYPL\n3.66%\n\n\nWells Fargo & Co.\nWFC\n3.11%\n\n\nApplied Materials Inc.\nAMAT\n3.00%\n\n\nAlphabet Inc. Class C\nGOOG\n2.67%\n\n\nAlphabet Inc. Class A\nGOOGL\n2.45%\n\n\nGoldman Sachs Group Inc.\nGS\n2.30%\n\n\n(FactSet)\n\n\n\n\n\nActually, there are 11 stocks listed, as MTUM holds both share classes of Alphabet Inc. Banks and insurers make up half the list, which makes sense because financials have been the second-best performing sector in the S&P 500 , after the materials sector.\nMomentum stock screen -- expected sales growth\nThinking again about financials, they have had plenty of momentum as investors have gained confidence the U.S. economy will continue roaring back from the damage caused by the coronavirus pandemic.\nBut revenue growth can be an important driver, especially for individual stock prices over the long term. From here, the financials might not be the best place to look for rapidly rising revenue over the next two years.\nStarting with the 125 momentum stocks held by MTUM, here are the 15 companies expected by analysts polled by FactSet to increase revenue the most over the next two calendar years, with 2021 as the baseline. The figures are in millions of dollars:\nThose are stellar sales-growth numbers -- if the analysts are close to being correct. Many of the stocks are also expensive relative to the expected 2023 sales numbers. In comparison, the iShares S&P 500 Growth ETF $(IVW)$ (which tracks the entire S&P 500 Growth Index) trades for 4.2 times estimated 2023 sales.\nPlug Power Inc. $(PLUG)$ tops the list, with analysts expecting sales to increase to $1.1 billion in 2023. The company said on June 10 it would build a hydrogen-production plant in Camden County, Ga.\nSnap Inc. (SNAP) CEO Evan Spiegal said recently the company had grown to 500 million active daily users and that almost half of U.S. smartphone users were using Snapchat.\nNovavax Inc. $(NVAX)$ expects to apply for FDA approval of its coronavirus vaccine during the third quarter.\nCarvana Co. (CVNA) has been on a tear, with used-car demand spiking in the wake of component shortages for automobile production. The company's sales by units increased 76% in the first quarter from a year earlier.\nUber Technologies Inc. $(UBER)$ and Lyft Inc $(LYFT)$ are also expected to ride the economic recovery wave, although analysts expect Lyft to take longer to exceed its pre-pandemic revenue level .\nPalantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) rounds out the list. The developer of software used by government defense and intelligence agencies was included in this analysis of meme stocks .\nEarnings\nSome of these companies are still in relatively early growth stages, and aren't expected to achieve full-year profitability until 2023. Here are consensus earnings-per-share estimates for three years:\nThose are very high price-to-earnings ratios based on current stock prices and consensus estimates for 2023. But for rapidly growing companies, earnings typically aren't a priority, which explains why Amazon.com Inc. $(AMZN)$ always trades at a high P/E. In comparison, the the iShares S&P 500 Growth ETF trades for 23.3 times its weighted aggregate consensus earnings estimate for 2023.\nWall Street's opinion\nHere's a summary of opinion about the 15 companies held by MTUM that analysts expect to grow their revenue the most over the next two years:\nThe 12-month price targets may not be useful -- for traders, this is an eternity; it may be a short period for long-term investors looking to profit for years as sales (and hopefully earnings, eventually) compound. It is important to do your own research and form your own opinion about a company's financial health and its ability to remain competitive.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"PLUG":0.9,"PLTR":0.9,"CVNA":0.9,"TSLA":0.9,"SNAP":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2535,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193023089,"gmtCreate":1620741015641,"gmtModify":1704347681744,"author":{"id":"3573458163743036","authorId":"3573458163743036","name":"ChanY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38696d038c0f4e05d2243cdee55d0aad","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573458163743036","authorIdStr":"3573458163743036"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/193023089","repostId":"1101624279","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2154,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":193068240,"gmtCreate":1620740823380,"gmtModify":1704347670797,"author":{"id":"3573458163743036","authorId":"3573458163743036","name":"ChanY","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/38696d038c0f4e05d2243cdee55d0aad","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3573458163743036","authorIdStr":"3573458163743036"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/193068240","repostId":"1190684572","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2737,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}