Profile - To The Moon

Nan_naN

Posts · 24Posts · 24
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- Nan_naNNan_naN
  ·2021-06-21
  Sounds interesting!
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- Nan_naNNan_naN
  ·2021-06-20
  Great!
  Adobe Getting Lift From Economic Reopening Post-Pandemic
  Software giant Adobe is benefiting as the economy reopens following the Covid-19 pandemic, a senior executive says.
  Adobe Getting Lift From Economic Reopening Post-Pandemic
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- Nan_naNNan_naN
  ·2021-06-15
  Hmmm
  Why Adobe Could Be Worth $590: A Promising Look Ahead Of Q2 Earnings
  Summary Despite rising over 8% in the past week ahead of earnings, there is still room for upside i
  Why Adobe Could Be Worth $590: A Promising Look Ahead Of Q2 Earnings
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- Nan_naNNan_naN
  ·2021-05-31
  $Oatly Group AB(OTLY)$yay!!
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- Nan_naNNan_naN
  ·2021-05-25
  Should I consider this? It's relatively low price, but not sure if it has growth potential
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- Nan_naNNan_naN
  ·2021-05-25
  $Oatly Group AB(OTLY)$grow grow grow
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- Nan_naNNan_naN
  ·2021-05-24
  Just bought this stock, looking forward to it growing in the time to come!
  Sorry, this post has been deleted
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- Nan_naNNan_naN
  ·2021-05-24
  Please like and comment!
  Trading A Broken Wing Butterfly In Netflix Stock
  For those with a slightly bearish outlook, a broken wing butterfly could be a nice way to trade Netflix stock.
  Trading A Broken Wing Butterfly In Netflix Stock
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- Nan_naNNan_naN
  ·2021-05-20
  $SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$going up ever since the heightened measures
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- Nan_naNNan_naN
  ·2021-05-13
  $GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED(G13.SI)$better get up soon leh
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leading daily newsletter for the latest financial and business news. 33Yrs Helping Stock Investors with Investing Insights, Tools, News & More.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Investors","id":"1085713068","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c"},"pubTimestamp":1624030096,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2144774740?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-18 23:28","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Adobe Getting Lift From Economic Reopening Post-Pandemic","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2144774740","media":"Investors","summary":"Software giant Adobe is benefiting as the economy reopens following the Covid-19 pandemic, a senior executive says.","content":"<p>Software giant <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a></b> is benefiting as the economy reopens as the Covid-19 pandemic wanes, a senior executive says. The company's beat-and-raise quarterly report provided proof of that. ADBE stock jumped on Friday.</p>\n<p>The maker of digital media and marketing software late Thursday reported fiscal second-quarter earnings that easily topped expectations. Adobe also guided above views for the current quarter.</p>\n<p>The San Jose, Calif.-based company earned an adjusted $3.03 a share on sales of $3.84 billion in the quarter ended June 4. On a year-over-year basis, Adobe earnings rose 24% while sales climbed 23%.</p>\n<p>For the current quarter, Adobe expects to earn an adjusted $3 a share, up 17%, on sales of $3.88 billion, up 20%.</p>\n<h2>ADBE Stock Rises After Earnings Report</h2>\n<p>In morning trading on the stock market today, ADBE stock advanced 2.2%, near 563.35. Earlier in the session, ADBE stock notched a record high 570.</p>\n<p>\"All three of our businesses — Creative Cloud, Document Cloud and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXP.AU\">Experience</a> Cloud — just killed it this quarter with excellent performance,\" Chief Financial Officer John Murphy told Investor's Business Daily. \"Content creation and customer experience engagement in personalized ways are resonating across all of our businesses. And it's really driving the momentum and acceleration in the business.\"</p>\n<p>That momentum will continue in the company's seasonally weaker fiscal third quarter, Murphy said. The current quarter includes the summer months of June, July and August.</p>\n<p>\"The macroeconomic stability is giving a lot of enterprises confidence to invest again,\" Murphy said. \"Companies are prioritizing digital transformation.\"</p>\n<p>The reopening of the economy and return to offices after the pandemic should provide a tailwind for Adobe's business, he said.</p>\n<h2>Analysts Raise Price Targets On Adobe Stock</h2>\n<p>At least 15 Wall Street analysts raised their price targets on ADBE stock after the earnings report.</p>\n<p>Mizuho Securities analyst Gregg Moskowitz reiterated his buy rating on ADBE stock and upped his price target to 640 from 600.</p>\n<p>\"Adobe's expansive portfolio of software solutions has made it the gold standard in content creation, consumption, and collaboration,\" Moskowitz said in a note to clients. \"Adobe is very well positioned to benefit from digital transformation with its comprehensive end-to-end offering that differentiates it from competitors.\"</p>\n<p>On June 11, ADBE stock broke out of a 40-week&nbsp;consolidation period&nbsp;at a&nbsp;buy point&nbsp;of 536.98, according to&nbsp;IBD MarketSmith charts.</p>\n<p>However, IBD Leaderboard analysis offered investors an earlier buy point of 525.54 from a cup base within the larger consolidation pattern.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Adobe Getting Lift From Economic Reopening Post-Pandemic</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nAdobe Getting Lift From Economic Reopening Post-Pandemic\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Investors </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-06-18 23:28</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p>Software giant <b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/ADBE\">Adobe</a></b> is benefiting as the economy reopens as the Covid-19 pandemic wanes, a senior executive says. The company's beat-and-raise quarterly report provided proof of that. ADBE stock jumped on Friday.</p>\n<p>The maker of digital media and marketing software late Thursday reported fiscal second-quarter earnings that easily topped expectations. Adobe also guided above views for the current quarter.</p>\n<p>The San Jose, Calif.-based company earned an adjusted $3.03 a share on sales of $3.84 billion in the quarter ended June 4. On a year-over-year basis, Adobe earnings rose 24% while sales climbed 23%.</p>\n<p>For the current quarter, Adobe expects to earn an adjusted $3 a share, up 17%, on sales of $3.88 billion, up 20%.</p>\n<h2>ADBE Stock Rises After Earnings Report</h2>\n<p>In morning trading on the stock market today, ADBE stock advanced 2.2%, near 563.35. Earlier in the session, ADBE stock notched a record high 570.</p>\n<p>\"All three of our businesses — Creative Cloud, Document Cloud and <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/EXP.AU\">Experience</a> Cloud — just killed it this quarter with excellent performance,\" Chief Financial Officer John Murphy told Investor's Business Daily. \"Content creation and customer experience engagement in personalized ways are resonating across all of our businesses. And it's really driving the momentum and acceleration in the business.\"</p>\n<p>That momentum will continue in the company's seasonally weaker fiscal third quarter, Murphy said. The current quarter includes the summer months of June, July and August.</p>\n<p>\"The macroeconomic stability is giving a lot of enterprises confidence to invest again,\" Murphy said. \"Companies are prioritizing digital transformation.\"</p>\n<p>The reopening of the economy and return to offices after the pandemic should provide a tailwind for Adobe's business, he said.</p>\n<h2>Analysts Raise Price Targets On Adobe Stock</h2>\n<p>At least 15 Wall Street analysts raised their price targets on ADBE stock after the earnings report.</p>\n<p>Mizuho Securities analyst Gregg Moskowitz reiterated his buy rating on ADBE stock and upped his price target to 640 from 600.</p>\n<p>\"Adobe's expansive portfolio of software solutions has made it the gold standard in content creation, consumption, and collaboration,\" Moskowitz said in a note to clients. \"Adobe is very well positioned to benefit from digital transformation with its comprehensive end-to-end offering that differentiates it from competitors.\"</p>\n<p>On June 11, ADBE stock broke out of a 40-week&nbsp;consolidation period&nbsp;at a&nbsp;buy point&nbsp;of 536.98, according to&nbsp;IBD MarketSmith charts.</p>\n<p>However, IBD Leaderboard analysis offered investors an earlier buy point of 525.54 from a cup base within the larger consolidation pattern.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ADBE":"Adobe"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2144774740","content_text":"Software giant Adobe is benefiting as the economy reopens as the Covid-19 pandemic wanes, a senior executive says. The company's beat-and-raise quarterly report provided proof of that. ADBE stock jumped on Friday.\nThe maker of digital media and marketing software late Thursday reported fiscal second-quarter earnings that easily topped expectations. Adobe also guided above views for the current quarter.\nThe San Jose, Calif.-based company earned an adjusted $3.03 a share on sales of $3.84 billion in the quarter ended June 4. On a year-over-year basis, Adobe earnings rose 24% while sales climbed 23%.\nFor the current quarter, Adobe expects to earn an adjusted $3 a share, up 17%, on sales of $3.88 billion, up 20%.\nADBE Stock Rises After Earnings Report\nIn morning trading on the stock market today, ADBE stock advanced 2.2%, near 563.35. Earlier in the session, ADBE stock notched a record high 570.\n\"All three of our businesses — Creative Cloud, Document Cloud and Experience Cloud — just killed it this quarter with excellent performance,\" Chief Financial Officer John Murphy told Investor's Business Daily. \"Content creation and customer experience engagement in personalized ways are resonating across all of our businesses. And it's really driving the momentum and acceleration in the business.\"\nThat momentum will continue in the company's seasonally weaker fiscal third quarter, Murphy said. The current quarter includes the summer months of June, July and August.\n\"The macroeconomic stability is giving a lot of enterprises confidence to invest again,\" Murphy said. \"Companies are prioritizing digital transformation.\"\nThe reopening of the economy and return to offices after the pandemic should provide a tailwind for Adobe's business, he said.\nAnalysts Raise Price Targets On Adobe Stock\nAt least 15 Wall Street analysts raised their price targets on ADBE stock after the earnings report.\nMizuho Securities analyst Gregg Moskowitz reiterated his buy rating on ADBE stock and upped his price target to 640 from 600.\n\"Adobe's expansive portfolio of software solutions has made it the gold standard in content creation, consumption, and collaboration,\" Moskowitz said in a note to clients. \"Adobe is very well positioned to benefit from digital transformation with its comprehensive end-to-end offering that differentiates it from competitors.\"\nOn June 11, ADBE stock broke out of a 40-week consolidation period at a buy point of 536.98, according to IBD MarketSmith charts.\nHowever, IBD Leaderboard analysis offered investors an earlier buy point of 525.54 from a cup base within the larger consolidation pattern.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ADBE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2563,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":187839259,"gmtCreate":1623748729671,"gmtModify":1704210335293,"author":{"id":"3581857536181239","authorId":"3581857536181239","name":"Nan_naN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbe1d677fb31b7977cb4a2abfbebf92e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581857536181239","authorIdStr":"3581857536181239"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Hmmm","listText":"Hmmm","text":"Hmmm","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/187839259","repostId":"1140381227","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1140381227","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1623736805,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1140381227?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-06-15 14:00","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Why Adobe Could Be Worth $590: A Promising Look Ahead Of Q2 Earnings","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1140381227","media":"seekingalpha","summary":"Summary\n\nDespite rising over 8% in the past week ahead of earnings, there is still room for upside i","content":"<p><b>Summary</b></p>\n<ul>\n <li>Despite rising over 8% in the past week ahead of earnings, there is still room for upside in Adobe stock.</li>\n <li>The firm is well-positioned to benefit from trends in the immediate future and beyond.</li>\n <li>Adobe’s scale and dominance will allow it to continue to thrive and benefit from rapid growth in its total addressable market across its diverse products.</li>\n <li>Strong Q2 earnings could be the catalyst to push the stock over $600.</li>\n</ul>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c4641d2a64b72a5def91db89c766c634\" tg-width=\"1536\" tg-height=\"1023\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"><span>hapabapa/iStock Editorial via Getty Images</span></p>\n<p><b>I. Investment Thesis</b></p>\n<p>Despite rallying well over 8% in the past week ahead of earnings, there is still room for upside in Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE) stock.</p>\n<p>Adobe's historical success with execution of a transition to a cloud-based subscription model will continue to drive strong revenue growth.</p>\n<p>The firm is also well-positioned to benefit from trends in the immediate future and beyond, however, many of these trends and growth opportunities are unrecognized.</p>\n<p>Adobe's scale and dominance will allow it to continue to thrive and benefit from rapid growth in its total addressable market across its diverse products.</p>\n<p>Lastly, strong Q2 earnings could be the catalyst to push the stock over $600 in a bull scenario.</p>\n<p><b>II. Company Overview</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8f64603318c032d51062fefbac14e0a4\" tg-width=\"635\" tg-height=\"403\"><span>Data by YCharts</span></p>\n<p>Adobe operates worldwide, offering software and services used by professionals, marketers, students, and more for creating, managing, measuring, and engaging with compelling content and experiences. As of&nbsp;Q1 FY 2021, the firm generates their revenue from three main segments: Digital Media (~73% of revenues), Digital Experience (~24%), and Publishing &amp; Advertising (~3%).</p>\n<p>The digital media segment includes their most well-known product, Creative Cloud, as well as Document Cloud. Creative Cloud is a diverse toolkit built for creating, publishing, and promoting digital content. Some of the most well-known applications include Photoshop and Illustrator. Adobe Document Cloud is gaining momentum against pure-play firms like DocuSign and is becoming a fierce competitor, especially with regard to small and medium-sized businesses.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b0cc4cdfcefc85d46031470ea14b0b96\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"534\"><span>(Figure 2.1: All Adobe Creative Cloud and Document Cloud tools. Source:Adobe Investor Relations)</span></p>\n<p>The Digital Experience Cloud is designed to help users manage, measure, automate, and optimize customer experiences and customer engagement. Adobe has done a great job expanding into various industries through this segment, including retail, media, financial services, technology, education, and more. The segment has been slowly increasing in size and can be expected to provide long-term support to Adobe's strong revenue growth.</p>\n<p>The third segment, formerly known as Print &amp; Publishing, was renamed last quarter to \"Publishing &amp; Advertising\", as Adobe shifted the revenues from their advertising portion of Digital Experience to this new segment. With the demand of print on the decline, this reclassification allows for a more accurate balance of product divisions. With data from only one quarter of this new classification, it's hard to evaluate the performance of advertising, but there should be more clarity over the next few quarters.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/87624e36a52106e31d0d80466051fbed\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"306\"><span>(Figure 2.2: Some large organizations and industries using Experience Cloud. Source: Personal Pitch Deck;Adobe Financial Analyst Meeting 2020 Slides, Adobe Investor Relations)</span></p>\n<p><b>III. Growth Drivers1) Digital Business Transformation</b></p>\n<p>Historically, Adobe has been one of the most successful firms in migrating a user base from a traditional one-time license-based model to a cloud-based subscription revenue model. A cloud-based subscription model is extremely crucial as it allows technology firms to see more stability in future revenue streams. As of last quarter, Adobe generates approximately 83% of revenues through a recurring stream. For analysts and investors, this gives confidence and a much clearer indication as to the quality and consistency of cash flows. It also allows cloud firms to strengthen margins and benefit from scale, which we already see with Adobe. Subscription revenues are derived from the Digital Media and Digital Experience segments, and the new Publishing &amp; Advertising Segment (not accounted for below).</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ae29c71332820c9ea3bc7feb3e34f3f4\" tg-width=\"612\" tg-height=\"287\"><span>(Figure 3.1: Subscription Revenue by Segment &amp; Growth. Source: Personal Financial Model;Adobe 10-Qs and 10-Ks 2017-2021)</span></p>\n<p>Annualized recurring revenue, a more software industry-specific metric, sheds light on how much revenue the firm generates over the course of a year that is guaranteed to occur again. This value doesn't just tell us how much revenue is generated from subscriptions and contracts, but also roughly the net value of expansions and churn. As ARR growth continues to be positive, we see that a) more customers are paying for services each year, and b) customers are on average spending more with Adobe. Essentially, net expansions are outweighing churn, which could mean either a) or b) above, or a mix of both. Since the quantifiable values of net expansion and churn are not readily available in public filings, it is too difficult to explore this avenue further.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/94c83308896f43725bd3fa575223afd3\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"315\"><span>(Figure 3.2: ARR and % Growth. Source: Personal Financial Model; Adobe 10-Qs and 10-Ks 2017-2021)</span></p>\n<p>Even with a plateau of subscription and ARR growth, we are seeing &gt;20% YoY revenue growth for a large-cap firm that has been a leader in the industry for well over a decade. The customer transition to the new revenue model is essentially complete and has consistently outperformed expectations, with stronger comparable margins across the board as Adobe continues to dominate in scale.</p>\n<p><b>2) Advertising, Analytics, &amp; New Tech</b></p>\n<p>Various profitable digital and marketing-related trends of 2021 and into the future include e-commerce, analytics, AI &amp; automation, augmented reality, and virtual reality. We typically see large software firms position themselves to benefit from tailwinds through R&amp;D to strengthen innovation, or M&amp;A to expand market share and product diversification.</p>\n<p>Adobe has recently completed over a dozen strategic acquisitions and investments that revolve around these key areas. The firm is taking care to ensure their most recent acquisitions will be effectively integrated into their respective platforms to set up strong market positioning. At the end of last year, we heard from management that the team was most likely not planning any large acquisitions in 2021, mainly because 1) speculative software is trading at high multiples and is overvalued, and 2) so they can focus on working with what they currently have.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b3d4103feae0e6b47c7e25cb538ad6a8\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"268\"><span>(Figure 3.3: Acquisitions &amp; Investments, 2018-2021. Source: Bloomberg)</span></p>\n<p>Spending about 17% of revenues on R&amp;D as of last quarter, the firm has utilized their capital efficiently to foster innovation and a competitive edge. Adobe most recently has worked to expand the breadth of their Creative Cloud tools - especially ones designed for mobile devices - to increase the appeal of their products to different user groups in new or unique markets.</p>\n<p>Effective use of capital towards R&amp;D and M&amp;A initiatives led by strong margins and cash flows should allow the company to gain traction in new verticals and continue to accelerate revenue growth in the subscription segment.</p>\n<p><b>3) Market and Global Opportunity</b></p>\n<p>As the firm shed light on its Total Addressable Market [TAM] for the next few years in its financial analyst meeting of 2020, Adobe has huge plans to capture diverse user groups to an expanding TAM in Creative Cloud, Document Cloud, and Experience Cloud by 2023 - their largest areas for growth. The projected TAM in these segments from 2021 to 2023 has grown 40.4%*, 180.0%*, and 19.4%*, respectively. We see Adobe has the largest potential in its Digital Media segment through Creative Cloud and Document Cloud, although the market for its Experience Cloud has still grown modestly. In the figures below, we take a look at some of these numbers, and some of the plans outlined by Adobe.</p>\n<p><i>(* - numbers calculated from financial analyst meeting slides from2018,2019, and2020, respectively)</i></p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/78c05a2d3b73284773f38278b989864a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"339\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/9cbbdf4bdb593b40ba4be71e3483ac91\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"340\"><span>(Figures 3.4, 3.5, &amp; 3.6: Total Addressable Market, various product lines. Source: Financial Analyst Meeting 2020 Slides, Adobe Investor Relations)</span></p>\n<p>Adobe's product depth, market share, customer loyalty, and high brand recognition for their flagship creative software over the past two decades make a strong case as to why the firm can be expected to successfully execute its intermediate-term growth strategies. Adobe is positioned well to benefit from growth in the total addressable market for all three segments and specific products.</p>\n<p>We have seen from earlier mentions of Adobe's expansion into key areas that they have already been successful in penetrating markets with web and mobile-based tools, and increased adoption of 3D development. This reinforces my view of Adobe's ability to continue to capture a larger share of the total addressable market for its Creative Cloud.</p>\n<p>The firm's deep customer loyalty and brand recognition will allow the firm to continue to grab larger shares of the CRM market with their Experience Cloud platform as the company continues to expand further into unique industries like healthcare and education.</p>\n<p>In this section, I'd also like to explore the importance of strong margins a bit further. According to Bloomberg data, Adobe's subscription revenue (which is generated from its cloud-based business) achieved a gross margin of 91% last quarter. If we look back to 2009, before Adobe began their transition to a cloud-based model, gross margin from subscription revenue was ~35%. For Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), another large-cap application software firm, gross margin last quarter from subscription was ~80%. Previously to their cloud model, in 2008, Salesforce's gross margin for the segment was ~87%.</p>\n<p>My conclusion is that a company like Salesforce has struggled to execute a long-term cloud strategy that would allow them to truly benefit from scale. With the growth in gross margin for Adobe from 35% to 91% (a 160% increase) from 2009 to 2021, this means that cost of revenue for subscription and cloud-based services has been decreasing proportionally, which makes sense for a strategy that has been executed successfully. Essentially, this gives firms like Adobe the upper hand with the ability to reinvest more capital into the business to achieve its strategic initiatives, such as those outlined in their financial analyst meeting slides above.</p>\n<p>Next is global opportunity. As consumer confidence continues to increase, Global IT Spending is already on the rebound, benefitting Adobe nicely. Results for Q1 FY2021 gave insight toward how enterprises are increasing software spending again post-pandemic, with total revenue up about 26% over the previous quarter. This, along with Adobe's solid performance during the pandemic, prove how strong the company's fundamentals really are.</p>\n<p>Furthermore, Adobe currently generates ~58% of revenues from the Americas, which means that they already have proven success in other areas globally. If Adobe can increase exposure specifically in EMEA it can be lucrative as emerging markets are expected to outperform and benefit from increased foreign investment. There is more to be explored in this area of expansion.</p>\n<p><b>IV. Major Risks</b></p>\n<p>Although subscription growth is beginning to plateau at about 20% YoY, in the next few years, it may begin to decline. This means Adobe must work harder in gaining a competitive edge, most likely through M&amp;A and R&amp;D. If Adobe does not effectively integrate its acquisitions into its platforms, it can impact margins short-term and prove to be inefficient use of capital. With a strong cash flow and relatively small debt load, even in this scenario, I don't believe it would impact Adobe's ability to generate cash flows intermediate to long term.</p>\n<p>According to an analysis of Porter's Five Forces, the application software subsector has a high degree of competition and a medium threat of substitutes. Currently, Salesforce dominates the relationship management space. Adobe is gaining traction, but due to the long enterprise sales cycle nature of the industry, there may be a lag in a shift to an environment that is more favorable for Adobe's Experience Cloud growth. Therefore, stock price may not accurately reflect the success of this segment immediately.</p>\n<p>Software products are reliant on the same enterprise IT budget of a given firm. Adobe and other large-cap application software firms may have to develop a strategy to reduce costs and pricing short-term. However, with strong roots in the industry, a successful business model, and a long sales cycle, I don't see this having a huge impact on Adobe's market share.</p>\n<p>Although consumer confidence has continued to increase post-pandemic, there are still unprecedented effects that are unexpected and cannot be measured. If Global IT Spending does not rebound as quickly as expected, Adobe may continue to see quarters of unexpectedly slow growth. This is most damaging for companies that rely on large enterprise spending. However, the technology firms that seem to be benefitting the most from the pandemic and lockdown orders are cloud-based software.</p>\n<p><b>V. Valuation</b></p>\n<p><b>1) Comparative Valuation</b></p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bb5f13cdb163707d91d814d480a77cb4\" tg-width=\"563\" tg-height=\"292\"><span>(Figure 4.1: Comparable Analysis. Source: Bloomberg)</span></p>\n<p>Starting with a quick comparative analysis, we see that Adobe is trading at a slight discount to its peers. In an industry that is highly speculative, Adobe provides an investment in a stock with less risk and solid returns.</p>\n<p>An interesting analysis I conducted was a comparison of R&amp;D expenditures to future projected revenue growth to get insight as to how efficient software firms are at utilizing their profits to focus on firm growth. In an industry where differentiation and innovation are key, I thought this concept would be interesting to observe. The graph below displays the top 25 application software firms, by market cap. Essentially, any firm above the line is currently using their capital efficiently towards greater growth, while those below the line are not using their capital efficiently. Comparing the findings of this graph with the risk vs. return of stocks above the line, we further see that Adobe is a solid long-term pick.</p>\n<p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f7b2e34e56a06154b15bbe16a9936cf1\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"346\"><span>(Figure 4.2: R&amp;D vs. Future Revenue Growth Forecast. Source: Bloomberg; Personal Pitch Deck)</span></p>\n<p><b>2) Intrinsic Valuation</b></p>\n<p>The first set of calculations was forecasting future revenue streams of the business segments. Based on my research and assumptions, I used a weighted moving average to calculate growth rates, then used a regression of historical market and industry growth expectations to adjust the top-line revenue estimates. The rest of the model was built upon a mix of more industry expectations, as well as assumptions, estimates, and long-term goals set forth by management.</p>\n<p>I calculated a discount rate of 6.87%, which was used to discount the projected cash flows until 2025. To calculate the present value of the cash flows of 2026-beyond, I used the perpetual growth rate method, and based on my concluding research, assumed a perpetual growth rate of 3.5%. This brought me to a 12-month PT of ~$590.</p>\n<p>In a bull case scenario where revenue growth exceeds 20% YoY from 2022-2025, or where the perpetual growth rate assumed in the model is changed to 4.0%, we see the price target soaring above $600.</p>\n<p>When initially developing my model and report, Adobe stock was ~$485. However, we've seen a run up of the price over the past few days, from about $515 to surpassing $550. It is typical to see a rally in tech stocks before their earnings, which deflates the potential return. This means that there may be a solid entry point immediately post-earnings, depending on if the price drops or not.</p>\n<p>Furthermore, this does not consider Adobe's share buyback plan that was authorized, which would increase the value of shares and earnings. I think that Q2 earnings should provide more clarity.</p>\n<p><b>VI. Conclusion</b></p>\n<p>Adobe has seen major success in growth and scale, which will support its strategic initiatives. The firm has proven to be a leader in 2021 macroeconomic and software industry trends, which will provide tailwinds for growth of its subscription-based segments.</p>\n<p>With inflation fears, right now is the time to shift investments diversified across technology to more fundamentally stable large-cap firms, like Adobe, to combat uncertainty. I think there should be an optimal entry point immediately post-earnings, unless earnings drive the price higher after-hours. Regardless, as a growth prospect with proven cash flows and healthy margins, I see any entry in Adobe as a solid-long term pick that is less speculative of a play.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Why Adobe Could Be Worth $590: A Promising Look Ahead Of Q2 Earnings</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nWhy Adobe Could Be Worth $590: A Promising Look Ahead Of Q2 Earnings\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-06-15 14:00 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434786-why-adobe-stock-could-be-worth-590-dollars><strong>seekingalpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Summary\n\nDespite rising over 8% in the past week ahead of earnings, there is still room for upside in Adobe stock.\nThe firm is well-positioned to benefit from trends in the immediate future and beyond...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434786-why-adobe-stock-could-be-worth-590-dollars\">Source Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"ADBE":"Adobe"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4434786-why-adobe-stock-could-be-worth-590-dollars","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1140381227","content_text":"Summary\n\nDespite rising over 8% in the past week ahead of earnings, there is still room for upside in Adobe stock.\nThe firm is well-positioned to benefit from trends in the immediate future and beyond.\nAdobe’s scale and dominance will allow it to continue to thrive and benefit from rapid growth in its total addressable market across its diverse products.\nStrong Q2 earnings could be the catalyst to push the stock over $600.\n\nhapabapa/iStock Editorial via Getty Images\nI. Investment Thesis\nDespite rallying well over 8% in the past week ahead of earnings, there is still room for upside in Adobe Inc. (NASDAQ:ADBE) stock.\nAdobe's historical success with execution of a transition to a cloud-based subscription model will continue to drive strong revenue growth.\nThe firm is also well-positioned to benefit from trends in the immediate future and beyond, however, many of these trends and growth opportunities are unrecognized.\nAdobe's scale and dominance will allow it to continue to thrive and benefit from rapid growth in its total addressable market across its diverse products.\nLastly, strong Q2 earnings could be the catalyst to push the stock over $600 in a bull scenario.\nII. Company Overview\nData by YCharts\nAdobe operates worldwide, offering software and services used by professionals, marketers, students, and more for creating, managing, measuring, and engaging with compelling content and experiences. As of Q1 FY 2021, the firm generates their revenue from three main segments: Digital Media (~73% of revenues), Digital Experience (~24%), and Publishing & Advertising (~3%).\nThe digital media segment includes their most well-known product, Creative Cloud, as well as Document Cloud. Creative Cloud is a diverse toolkit built for creating, publishing, and promoting digital content. Some of the most well-known applications include Photoshop and Illustrator. Adobe Document Cloud is gaining momentum against pure-play firms like DocuSign and is becoming a fierce competitor, especially with regard to small and medium-sized businesses.\n(Figure 2.1: All Adobe Creative Cloud and Document Cloud tools. Source:Adobe Investor Relations)\nThe Digital Experience Cloud is designed to help users manage, measure, automate, and optimize customer experiences and customer engagement. Adobe has done a great job expanding into various industries through this segment, including retail, media, financial services, technology, education, and more. The segment has been slowly increasing in size and can be expected to provide long-term support to Adobe's strong revenue growth.\nThe third segment, formerly known as Print & Publishing, was renamed last quarter to \"Publishing & Advertising\", as Adobe shifted the revenues from their advertising portion of Digital Experience to this new segment. With the demand of print on the decline, this reclassification allows for a more accurate balance of product divisions. With data from only one quarter of this new classification, it's hard to evaluate the performance of advertising, but there should be more clarity over the next few quarters.\n(Figure 2.2: Some large organizations and industries using Experience Cloud. Source: Personal Pitch Deck;Adobe Financial Analyst Meeting 2020 Slides, Adobe Investor Relations)\nIII. Growth Drivers1) Digital Business Transformation\nHistorically, Adobe has been one of the most successful firms in migrating a user base from a traditional one-time license-based model to a cloud-based subscription revenue model. A cloud-based subscription model is extremely crucial as it allows technology firms to see more stability in future revenue streams. As of last quarter, Adobe generates approximately 83% of revenues through a recurring stream. For analysts and investors, this gives confidence and a much clearer indication as to the quality and consistency of cash flows. It also allows cloud firms to strengthen margins and benefit from scale, which we already see with Adobe. Subscription revenues are derived from the Digital Media and Digital Experience segments, and the new Publishing & Advertising Segment (not accounted for below).\n(Figure 3.1: Subscription Revenue by Segment & Growth. Source: Personal Financial Model;Adobe 10-Qs and 10-Ks 2017-2021)\nAnnualized recurring revenue, a more software industry-specific metric, sheds light on how much revenue the firm generates over the course of a year that is guaranteed to occur again. This value doesn't just tell us how much revenue is generated from subscriptions and contracts, but also roughly the net value of expansions and churn. As ARR growth continues to be positive, we see that a) more customers are paying for services each year, and b) customers are on average spending more with Adobe. Essentially, net expansions are outweighing churn, which could mean either a) or b) above, or a mix of both. Since the quantifiable values of net expansion and churn are not readily available in public filings, it is too difficult to explore this avenue further.\n(Figure 3.2: ARR and % Growth. Source: Personal Financial Model; Adobe 10-Qs and 10-Ks 2017-2021)\nEven with a plateau of subscription and ARR growth, we are seeing >20% YoY revenue growth for a large-cap firm that has been a leader in the industry for well over a decade. The customer transition to the new revenue model is essentially complete and has consistently outperformed expectations, with stronger comparable margins across the board as Adobe continues to dominate in scale.\n2) Advertising, Analytics, & New Tech\nVarious profitable digital and marketing-related trends of 2021 and into the future include e-commerce, analytics, AI & automation, augmented reality, and virtual reality. We typically see large software firms position themselves to benefit from tailwinds through R&D to strengthen innovation, or M&A to expand market share and product diversification.\nAdobe has recently completed over a dozen strategic acquisitions and investments that revolve around these key areas. The firm is taking care to ensure their most recent acquisitions will be effectively integrated into their respective platforms to set up strong market positioning. At the end of last year, we heard from management that the team was most likely not planning any large acquisitions in 2021, mainly because 1) speculative software is trading at high multiples and is overvalued, and 2) so they can focus on working with what they currently have.\n(Figure 3.3: Acquisitions & Investments, 2018-2021. Source: Bloomberg)\nSpending about 17% of revenues on R&D as of last quarter, the firm has utilized their capital efficiently to foster innovation and a competitive edge. Adobe most recently has worked to expand the breadth of their Creative Cloud tools - especially ones designed for mobile devices - to increase the appeal of their products to different user groups in new or unique markets.\nEffective use of capital towards R&D and M&A initiatives led by strong margins and cash flows should allow the company to gain traction in new verticals and continue to accelerate revenue growth in the subscription segment.\n3) Market and Global Opportunity\nAs the firm shed light on its Total Addressable Market [TAM] for the next few years in its financial analyst meeting of 2020, Adobe has huge plans to capture diverse user groups to an expanding TAM in Creative Cloud, Document Cloud, and Experience Cloud by 2023 - their largest areas for growth. The projected TAM in these segments from 2021 to 2023 has grown 40.4%*, 180.0%*, and 19.4%*, respectively. We see Adobe has the largest potential in its Digital Media segment through Creative Cloud and Document Cloud, although the market for its Experience Cloud has still grown modestly. In the figures below, we take a look at some of these numbers, and some of the plans outlined by Adobe.\n(* - numbers calculated from financial analyst meeting slides from2018,2019, and2020, respectively)\n\n(Figures 3.4, 3.5, & 3.6: Total Addressable Market, various product lines. Source: Financial Analyst Meeting 2020 Slides, Adobe Investor Relations)\nAdobe's product depth, market share, customer loyalty, and high brand recognition for their flagship creative software over the past two decades make a strong case as to why the firm can be expected to successfully execute its intermediate-term growth strategies. Adobe is positioned well to benefit from growth in the total addressable market for all three segments and specific products.\nWe have seen from earlier mentions of Adobe's expansion into key areas that they have already been successful in penetrating markets with web and mobile-based tools, and increased adoption of 3D development. This reinforces my view of Adobe's ability to continue to capture a larger share of the total addressable market for its Creative Cloud.\nThe firm's deep customer loyalty and brand recognition will allow the firm to continue to grab larger shares of the CRM market with their Experience Cloud platform as the company continues to expand further into unique industries like healthcare and education.\nIn this section, I'd also like to explore the importance of strong margins a bit further. According to Bloomberg data, Adobe's subscription revenue (which is generated from its cloud-based business) achieved a gross margin of 91% last quarter. If we look back to 2009, before Adobe began their transition to a cloud-based model, gross margin from subscription revenue was ~35%. For Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), another large-cap application software firm, gross margin last quarter from subscription was ~80%. Previously to their cloud model, in 2008, Salesforce's gross margin for the segment was ~87%.\nMy conclusion is that a company like Salesforce has struggled to execute a long-term cloud strategy that would allow them to truly benefit from scale. With the growth in gross margin for Adobe from 35% to 91% (a 160% increase) from 2009 to 2021, this means that cost of revenue for subscription and cloud-based services has been decreasing proportionally, which makes sense for a strategy that has been executed successfully. Essentially, this gives firms like Adobe the upper hand with the ability to reinvest more capital into the business to achieve its strategic initiatives, such as those outlined in their financial analyst meeting slides above.\nNext is global opportunity. As consumer confidence continues to increase, Global IT Spending is already on the rebound, benefitting Adobe nicely. Results for Q1 FY2021 gave insight toward how enterprises are increasing software spending again post-pandemic, with total revenue up about 26% over the previous quarter. This, along with Adobe's solid performance during the pandemic, prove how strong the company's fundamentals really are.\nFurthermore, Adobe currently generates ~58% of revenues from the Americas, which means that they already have proven success in other areas globally. If Adobe can increase exposure specifically in EMEA it can be lucrative as emerging markets are expected to outperform and benefit from increased foreign investment. There is more to be explored in this area of expansion.\nIV. Major Risks\nAlthough subscription growth is beginning to plateau at about 20% YoY, in the next few years, it may begin to decline. This means Adobe must work harder in gaining a competitive edge, most likely through M&A and R&D. If Adobe does not effectively integrate its acquisitions into its platforms, it can impact margins short-term and prove to be inefficient use of capital. With a strong cash flow and relatively small debt load, even in this scenario, I don't believe it would impact Adobe's ability to generate cash flows intermediate to long term.\nAccording to an analysis of Porter's Five Forces, the application software subsector has a high degree of competition and a medium threat of substitutes. Currently, Salesforce dominates the relationship management space. Adobe is gaining traction, but due to the long enterprise sales cycle nature of the industry, there may be a lag in a shift to an environment that is more favorable for Adobe's Experience Cloud growth. Therefore, stock price may not accurately reflect the success of this segment immediately.\nSoftware products are reliant on the same enterprise IT budget of a given firm. Adobe and other large-cap application software firms may have to develop a strategy to reduce costs and pricing short-term. However, with strong roots in the industry, a successful business model, and a long sales cycle, I don't see this having a huge impact on Adobe's market share.\nAlthough consumer confidence has continued to increase post-pandemic, there are still unprecedented effects that are unexpected and cannot be measured. If Global IT Spending does not rebound as quickly as expected, Adobe may continue to see quarters of unexpectedly slow growth. This is most damaging for companies that rely on large enterprise spending. However, the technology firms that seem to be benefitting the most from the pandemic and lockdown orders are cloud-based software.\nV. Valuation\n1) Comparative Valuation\n(Figure 4.1: Comparable Analysis. Source: Bloomberg)\nStarting with a quick comparative analysis, we see that Adobe is trading at a slight discount to its peers. In an industry that is highly speculative, Adobe provides an investment in a stock with less risk and solid returns.\nAn interesting analysis I conducted was a comparison of R&D expenditures to future projected revenue growth to get insight as to how efficient software firms are at utilizing their profits to focus on firm growth. In an industry where differentiation and innovation are key, I thought this concept would be interesting to observe. The graph below displays the top 25 application software firms, by market cap. Essentially, any firm above the line is currently using their capital efficiently towards greater growth, while those below the line are not using their capital efficiently. Comparing the findings of this graph with the risk vs. return of stocks above the line, we further see that Adobe is a solid long-term pick.\n(Figure 4.2: R&D vs. Future Revenue Growth Forecast. Source: Bloomberg; Personal Pitch Deck)\n2) Intrinsic Valuation\nThe first set of calculations was forecasting future revenue streams of the business segments. Based on my research and assumptions, I used a weighted moving average to calculate growth rates, then used a regression of historical market and industry growth expectations to adjust the top-line revenue estimates. The rest of the model was built upon a mix of more industry expectations, as well as assumptions, estimates, and long-term goals set forth by management.\nI calculated a discount rate of 6.87%, which was used to discount the projected cash flows until 2025. To calculate the present value of the cash flows of 2026-beyond, I used the perpetual growth rate method, and based on my concluding research, assumed a perpetual growth rate of 3.5%. This brought me to a 12-month PT of ~$590.\nIn a bull case scenario where revenue growth exceeds 20% YoY from 2022-2025, or where the perpetual growth rate assumed in the model is changed to 4.0%, we see the price target soaring above $600.\nWhen initially developing my model and report, Adobe stock was ~$485. However, we've seen a run up of the price over the past few days, from about $515 to surpassing $550. It is typical to see a rally in tech stocks before their earnings, which deflates the potential return. This means that there may be a solid entry point immediately post-earnings, depending on if the price drops or not.\nFurthermore, this does not consider Adobe's share buyback plan that was authorized, which would increase the value of shares and earnings. I think that Q2 earnings should provide more clarity.\nVI. Conclusion\nAdobe has seen major success in growth and scale, which will support its strategic initiatives. The firm has proven to be a leader in 2021 macroeconomic and software industry trends, which will provide tailwinds for growth of its subscription-based segments.\nWith inflation fears, right now is the time to shift investments diversified across technology to more fundamentally stable large-cap firms, like Adobe, to combat uncertainty. I think there should be an optimal entry point immediately post-earnings, unless earnings drive the price higher after-hours. Regardless, as a growth prospect with proven cash flows and healthy margins, I see any entry in Adobe as a solid-long term pick that is less speculative of a play.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"ADBE":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1786,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":110240507,"gmtCreate":1622463787309,"gmtModify":1704184761942,"author":{"id":"3581857536181239","authorId":"3581857536181239","name":"Nan_naN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbe1d677fb31b7977cb4a2abfbebf92e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581857536181239","authorIdStr":"3581857536181239"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OTLY\">$Oatly Group AB(OTLY)$</a>yay!!","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OTLY\">$Oatly Group AB(OTLY)$</a>yay!!","text":"$Oatly Group AB(OTLY)$yay!!","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/34be33ab5a9602da36aecbeea13feeed","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/110240507","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2654,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138870475,"gmtCreate":1621930440097,"gmtModify":1704364626463,"author":{"id":"3581857536181239","authorId":"3581857536181239","name":"Nan_naN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbe1d677fb31b7977cb4a2abfbebf92e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581857536181239","authorIdStr":"3581857536181239"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Should I consider this? It's relatively low price, but not sure if it has growth potential&nbsp;","listText":"Should I consider this? It's relatively low price, but not sure if it has growth potential&nbsp;","text":"Should I consider this? It's relatively low price, but not sure if it has growth potential","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/63043d4e6d186a0174236b09bf9c21aa","width":"1080","height":"2801"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/138870475","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1407,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":138847326,"gmtCreate":1621930370365,"gmtModify":1704364624035,"author":{"id":"3581857536181239","authorId":"3581857536181239","name":"Nan_naN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbe1d677fb31b7977cb4a2abfbebf92e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581857536181239","authorIdStr":"3581857536181239"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OTLY\">$Oatly Group AB(OTLY)$</a>grow grow grow","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OTLY\">$Oatly Group AB(OTLY)$</a>grow grow grow","text":"$Oatly Group AB(OTLY)$grow grow grow","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/25cff5702ca2dae2d6f1ad8e6be3884a","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/138847326","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2116,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131492105,"gmtCreate":1621871521007,"gmtModify":1704363697294,"author":{"id":"3581857536181239","authorId":"3581857536181239","name":"Nan_naN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbe1d677fb31b7977cb4a2abfbebf92e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581857536181239","authorIdStr":"3581857536181239"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Just bought this stock, looking forward to it growing in the time to come!","listText":"Just bought this stock, looking forward to it growing in the time to come!","text":"Just bought this stock, looking forward to it growing in the time to come!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":4,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/131492105","repostId":"2137153118","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2416,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[{"author":{"id":"3581331938298103","authorId":"3581331938298103","name":"SandDust","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea6083d742fc232449a625fb122842c8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581331938298103","authorIdStr":"3581331938298103"},"content":"Will consider. Just that I never tried before if it is any good.","text":"Will consider. Just that I never tried before if it is any good.","html":"Will consider. Just that I never tried before if it is any good."},{"author":{"id":"3581331938298103","authorId":"3581331938298103","name":"SandDust","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ea6083d742fc232449a625fb122842c8","crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"idStr":"3581331938298103","authorIdStr":"3581331938298103"},"content":"Great, at what price?","text":"Great, at what price?","html":"Great, at what price?"}],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":131493394,"gmtCreate":1621871298718,"gmtModify":1704363691310,"author":{"id":"3581857536181239","authorId":"3581857536181239","name":"Nan_naN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbe1d677fb31b7977cb4a2abfbebf92e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581857536181239","authorIdStr":"3581857536181239"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Please like and comment!","listText":"Please like and comment!","text":"Please like and comment!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/131493394","repostId":"2137155528","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"2137155528","kind":"highlight","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"The leading daily newsletter for the latest financial and business news. 33Yrs Helping Stock Investors with Investing Insights, Tools, News & More.","home_visible":0,"media_name":"Investors","id":"1085713068","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c"},"pubTimestamp":1621868886,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2137155528?lang=en_US&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-05-24 23:08","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Trading A Broken Wing Butterfly In Netflix Stock","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2137155528","media":"Investors","summary":"For those with a slightly bearish outlook, a broken wing butterfly could be a nice way to trade Netflix stock.","content":"<p><b>Netflix</b> stock is struggling to break above 500 and is currently below the 50- and 200-day moving averages.</p><p>Today, I want to look at a strategy with very low risk on the upside and a healthy profit zone on the downside.</p><p>The strategy is called a broken wing butterfly, and we'll use puts because the strikes will all be out-of-the-money. This helps to reduce assignment risk.</p><p>With a regular butterfly option trade, the wings are placed an equal distance from the short strike, but with a broken wing butterfly we leave a larger gap on a particular side. This results in less risk on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> side and more risk on the opposite side.</p><h2>Netflix Stock Broken Wing Butterfly</h2><p>Let's take a look at how a broken wing butterfly trade might be set up on Netflix stock.</p><ul><li>Buy 1 June 18 475 put at 6.25</li><li>Sell 2 June 18 450 put at 2.60</li><li>Buy 1 June 18 400 put at 0.85</li></ul><p>Notice that the upper strike put is 25 points away from the middle put and the lower put is 50 points away. This broken wing butterfly trade will cost $190 to open, and this is the maximum risk on the upside.</p><p>The worst that can happen is all the puts expire worthless and the trade loses the $190 premium.</p><p>On the downside, the maximum loss can be calculated by taking the width between the first two strikes (25) multiplied by 100 and adding the premium paid (190).</p><p>That gives us 25 x 100 + 190 = $2,690.</p><p>The maximum gain can be calculated as 25 x 100 - 190 = $2,310</p><p>The ideal scenario for the trade is that Netflix stock stays flat initially and then slowly drifts lower to close around 450 at expiration. The total profit zone is between 427 and 472.</p><h2>Trade For Those With Bearish Outlook On Netflix Stock</h2><p>Because the trade starts with delta of -7, this strategy would not be appropriate for bullish traders. The initial exposure is roughly equivalent to being short seven shares of NFLX stock.</p><p>For those with a slightly bearish outlook, a broken wing butterfly could be a nice way to trade Netflix stock.</p><p>In terms of risk management, I would set a stop loss of 20% of the capital at risk (0.2 x $2,690 = $538), or if Netflix broke below 425.</p><p>It's important to remember that options are risky and investors can lose 100% of their investment.</p><p>This article is for education purposes only and not a trade recommendation. Remember to always do your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Trading A Broken Wing Butterfly In Netflix Stock</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nTrading A Broken Wing Butterfly In Netflix Stock\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/608dd68a89ed486e18f64efe3136266c);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Investors </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2021-05-24 23:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<p><b>Netflix</b> stock is struggling to break above 500 and is currently below the 50- and 200-day moving averages.</p><p>Today, I want to look at a strategy with very low risk on the upside and a healthy profit zone on the downside.</p><p>The strategy is called a broken wing butterfly, and we'll use puts because the strikes will all be out-of-the-money. This helps to reduce assignment risk.</p><p>With a regular butterfly option trade, the wings are placed an equal distance from the short strike, but with a broken wing butterfly we leave a larger gap on a particular side. This results in less risk on <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AONE\">one</a> side and more risk on the opposite side.</p><h2>Netflix Stock Broken Wing Butterfly</h2><p>Let's take a look at how a broken wing butterfly trade might be set up on Netflix stock.</p><ul><li>Buy 1 June 18 475 put at 6.25</li><li>Sell 2 June 18 450 put at 2.60</li><li>Buy 1 June 18 400 put at 0.85</li></ul><p>Notice that the upper strike put is 25 points away from the middle put and the lower put is 50 points away. This broken wing butterfly trade will cost $190 to open, and this is the maximum risk on the upside.</p><p>The worst that can happen is all the puts expire worthless and the trade loses the $190 premium.</p><p>On the downside, the maximum loss can be calculated by taking the width between the first two strikes (25) multiplied by 100 and adding the premium paid (190).</p><p>That gives us 25 x 100 + 190 = $2,690.</p><p>The maximum gain can be calculated as 25 x 100 - 190 = $2,310</p><p>The ideal scenario for the trade is that Netflix stock stays flat initially and then slowly drifts lower to close around 450 at expiration. The total profit zone is between 427 and 472.</p><h2>Trade For Those With Bearish Outlook On Netflix Stock</h2><p>Because the trade starts with delta of -7, this strategy would not be appropriate for bullish traders. The initial exposure is roughly equivalent to being short seven shares of NFLX stock.</p><p>For those with a slightly bearish outlook, a broken wing butterfly could be a nice way to trade Netflix stock.</p><p>In terms of risk management, I would set a stop loss of 20% of the capital at risk (0.2 x $2,690 = $538), or if Netflix broke below 425.</p><p>It's important to remember that options are risky and investors can lose 100% of their investment.</p><p>This article is for education purposes only and not a trade recommendation. Remember to always do your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.</p>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"QNETCN":"纳斯达克中美互联网老虎指数","NFLX":"奈飞"},"is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2137155528","content_text":"Netflix stock is struggling to break above 500 and is currently below the 50- and 200-day moving averages.Today, I want to look at a strategy with very low risk on the upside and a healthy profit zone on the downside.The strategy is called a broken wing butterfly, and we'll use puts because the strikes will all be out-of-the-money. This helps to reduce assignment risk.With a regular butterfly option trade, the wings are placed an equal distance from the short strike, but with a broken wing butterfly we leave a larger gap on a particular side. This results in less risk on one side and more risk on the opposite side.Netflix Stock Broken Wing ButterflyLet's take a look at how a broken wing butterfly trade might be set up on Netflix stock.Buy 1 June 18 475 put at 6.25Sell 2 June 18 450 put at 2.60Buy 1 June 18 400 put at 0.85Notice that the upper strike put is 25 points away from the middle put and the lower put is 50 points away. This broken wing butterfly trade will cost $190 to open, and this is the maximum risk on the upside.The worst that can happen is all the puts expire worthless and the trade loses the $190 premium.On the downside, the maximum loss can be calculated by taking the width between the first two strikes (25) multiplied by 100 and adding the premium paid (190).That gives us 25 x 100 + 190 = $2,690.The maximum gain can be calculated as 25 x 100 - 190 = $2,310The ideal scenario for the trade is that Netflix stock stays flat initially and then slowly drifts lower to close around 450 at expiration. The total profit zone is between 427 and 472.Trade For Those With Bearish Outlook On Netflix StockBecause the trade starts with delta of -7, this strategy would not be appropriate for bullish traders. The initial exposure is roughly equivalent to being short seven shares of NFLX stock.For those with a slightly bearish outlook, a broken wing butterfly could be a nice way to trade Netflix stock.In terms of risk management, I would set a stop loss of 20% of the capital at risk (0.2 x $2,690 = $538), or if Netflix broke below 425.It's important to remember that options are risky and investors can lose 100% of their investment.This article is for education purposes only and not a trade recommendation. Remember to always do your own due diligence and consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"QNETCN":0.9,"NFLX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1902,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":130112863,"gmtCreate":1621518708252,"gmtModify":1704358958506,"author":{"id":"3581857536181239","authorId":"3581857536181239","name":"Nan_naN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbe1d677fb31b7977cb4a2abfbebf92e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581857536181239","authorIdStr":"3581857536181239"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OV8.SI\">$SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$</a>going up ever since the heightened measures","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OV8.SI\">$SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$</a>going up ever since the heightened measures","text":"$SHENG SIONG GROUP LTD(OV8.SI)$going up ever since the heightened measures","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/98ca96da73af9ed529ffc234e071d980","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/130112863","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1750,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":198086008,"gmtCreate":1620914009604,"gmtModify":1704350385062,"author":{"id":"3581857536181239","authorId":"3581857536181239","name":"Nan_naN","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/bbe1d677fb31b7977cb4a2abfbebf92e","crmLevel":11,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581857536181239","authorIdStr":"3581857536181239"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/G13.SI\">$GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED(G13.SI)$</a>better get up soon leh","listText":"<a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/G13.SI\">$GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED(G13.SI)$</a>better get up soon leh","text":"$GENTING SINGAPORE LIMITED(G13.SI)$better get up soon leh","images":[{"img":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b746677311fa10e1a2abaf6caa45cd9","width":"1080","height":"1920"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":1,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/198086008","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2440,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}