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Wilson4012

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- Wilson4012Wilson4012
  ·2024-05-17
  $SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$
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- Wilson4012Wilson4012
  ·2024-02-15
  $SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$
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- Wilson4012Wilson4012
  ·2024-02-14
  Great ariticle, would you like to share it?
  @JC888：
  Replying to @ShengSoon:The assumption is a performing ETF have been found, right? There are ETFs that never make profits too. And I live to tell...//@ShengSoon:Invest on a consistent basis on index based ETFs of you don't have an appetite for huge risk like me... DCA all the way!
  Replying to @ShengSoon:The assumption is a performing ETF have been found, right? There are ETFs that never make profits too. And I live to tell...//@ShengSoon:Invest on a consistent basis on index based ETFs of you don't have an appetite for huge risk like me... DCA all the way!
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- Wilson4012Wilson4012
  ·2024-02-10
  $SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$
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- Wilson4012Wilson4012
  ·2022-12-29
  $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$
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- Wilson4012Wilson4012
  ·2022-11-11
  Great analysis
  CPI: A Relief For Markets But Details Only Moderately Bullish
  SummaryWe summarize key data and provide in-depth analysis of the monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI)
  CPI: A Relief For Markets But Details Only Moderately Bullish
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- Wilson4012Wilson4012
  ·2022-11-09
  Good
  Pre-Bell｜Dow Futures Slid Over 100 Points; This Mega-cap Stock Gained Over 5%
  U.S. stock futures were slightly lower — following recent market gains — as results of the midterm e
  Pre-Bell｜Dow Futures Slid Over 100 Points; This Mega-cap Stock Gained Over 5%
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- Wilson4012Wilson4012
  ·2022-10-27
  Ok
  Facebook’s Meta faces bleak holiday quarter, shares dive
  Facebook’s Meta faces bleak holiday quarter, shares dive
  Facebook’s Meta faces bleak holiday quarter, shares dive
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- Wilson4012Wilson4012
  ·2022-08-11
  Great article!
  Semiconductor Earnings Season Shows Strong Buys, Sells
  SummaryTSM and AMD strong earnings and guidance.INTC and NVDA had disastrous earnings.There are 3 ma
  Semiconductor Earnings Season Shows Strong Buys, Sells
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- Wilson4012Wilson4012
  ·2022-08-10
  $Occidental(OXY)$Up!
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href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOUN\">$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$</a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOUN\">$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$</a>&nbsp;","text":"$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/306706847469712","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":56,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":274095380979848,"gmtCreate":1707955757498,"gmtModify":1707955760351,"author":{"id":"3581932684752659","authorId":"3581932684752659","name":"Wilson4012","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581932684752659","authorIdStr":"3581932684752659"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOUN\">$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$</a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOUN\">$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$</a>&nbsp;","text":"$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f85ae0a77a7f107d7364c3cea71fdccf","width":"1092","height":"1717"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":3,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/274095380979848","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":155,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":273715601920112,"gmtCreate":1707862879700,"gmtModify":1707862886365,"author":{"id":"3581932684752659","authorId":"3581932684752659","name":"Wilson4012","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581932684752659","authorIdStr":"3581932684752659"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","listText":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","text":"Great ariticle, would you like to share it?","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/273715601920112","repostId":"273245195628760","repostType":1,"repost":{"id":273245195628760,"gmtCreate":1707748203072,"gmtModify":1707748207128,"author":{"id":"3570103090255456","authorId":"3570103090255456","name":"JC888","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/f3e3c0218599fca5c4e265ddbee1fb32","crmLevel":4,"crmLevelSwitch":1,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3570103090255456","authorIdStr":"3570103090255456"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Replying to <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/4111536922020662\">@ShengSoon</a>:The assumption&nbsp; is a performing ETF have been found, right? There are ETFs that never make profits too. And I live to tell...//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/4111536922020662\">@ShengSoon</a>:Invest on a consistent basis on index based ETFs of you don't have an appetite for huge risk like me... DCA all the way!","listText":"Replying to <a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/4111536922020662\">@ShengSoon</a>:The assumption&nbsp; is a performing ETF have been found, right? There are ETFs that never make profits too. And I live to tell...//<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/U/4111536922020662\">@ShengSoon</a>:Invest on a consistent basis on index based ETFs of you don't have an appetite for huge risk like me... DCA all the way!","text":"Replying to @ShengSoon:The assumption is a performing ETF have been found, right? There are ETFs that never make profits too. And I live to tell...//@ShengSoon:Invest on a consistent basis on index based ETFs of you don't have an appetite for huge risk like me... DCA all the way!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/273245195628760","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":0,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":37,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":272217799962760,"gmtCreate":1707497363696,"gmtModify":1707497366667,"author":{"id":"3581932684752659","authorId":"3581932684752659","name":"Wilson4012","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581932684752659","authorIdStr":"3581932684752659"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOUN\">$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$</a>&nbsp;","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/SOUN\">$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$</a>&nbsp;","text":"$SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$","images":[{"img":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/16dd3fec6f43e2202f7e8efd3607557b","width":"1092","height":"1717"}],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/272217799962760","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":202,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":1,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9924273097,"gmtCreate":1672275556820,"gmtModify":1676538663515,"author":{"id":"3581932684752659","authorId":"3581932684752659","name":"Wilson4012","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581932684752659","authorIdStr":"3581932684752659"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/TSLA\">$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$&nbsp;</a>","text":"$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9924273097","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":153,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9960210110,"gmtCreate":1668169258231,"gmtModify":1676538023752,"author":{"id":"3581932684752659","authorId":"3581932684752659","name":"Wilson4012","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581932684752659","authorIdStr":"3581932684752659"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great analysis&nbsp;","listText":"Great analysis&nbsp;","text":"Great analysis","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9960210110","repostId":"1129448010","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1129448010","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1668180841,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1129448010?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-11 23:34","market":"us","language":"en","title":"CPI: A Relief For Markets But Details Only Moderately Bullish","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1129448010","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryWe summarize key data and provide in-depth analysis of the monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI)","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>We summarize key data and provide in-depth analysis of the monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) report released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).</li><li>All Items and Core CPI inflation were significantly below expectations.</li><li>Results were significantly impacted by &#34;one-off&#34; results in a few volatile items.</li><li>Overall, the report should be received with &#34;relief&#34; by bond and equity markets.  This month’s CPI should provide a &#34;window of opportunity&#34; - all other factors remaining equal - for bond and stock markets to rally between now and the next CPI report.</li></ul><p><b>Summary Data and Analysis</b></p><p>Figure 1 below highlights key summary data and analysis for this month’s All Items CPI.</p><p><b>Figure 1: All Items: Change, Acceleration, Expectations &amp; Surprise</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ac944013c561cbd51419e48b3b0191d4\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"201\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>All Items CPI(BLS, Investor Acumen)</p><p><i>Source: BLS, Investing.com, Investor Acumen</i></p><p>As can be seen above, All-Items CPI decelerated significantly and significantly surprised to the downside.</p><p>Figure 2 below highlights key summary data and analysis for this month’s Core CPI.</p><p><b>Figure 2: Core: Change, Acceleration, Expectations &amp; Surprise</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/6f264b104d5a955d3fb515054f5dece2\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"201\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Core CPI(BLS, Investor Acumen)</p><p><i>Source: BLS, Investing.com, Investor Acumen</i></p><p>As can be seen above, Core CPI also decelerated significantly, providing a significant downside surprise.</p><p><b>Analysis of Contributions of Key Aggregate Components of CPI</b></p><p>In Figure 3, we display the contributions to CPI inflation of five major aggregate components to the MoM (month-over-month) change in CPI and the MoM acceleration of CPI.</p><p><b>Figure 3: Analysis of Key Aggregate Components of CPI</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8c424208ff68f6001105ee86af25625a\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"231\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Aggregate CPI Component Analysis(BLS, Investor Acumen)</p><p><i>Source: BLS, Investor Acumen</i></p><p>We will briefly review how to interpret the table above (as well as other tables in this report), describing each column from left to right. The first column contains the MoM percent change for the current month. The second column contains the MoM percent change in the prior month. The third column contains the MoM acceleration – i.e. the difference between the percent change this month minus the percent change last month. The fourth column contains the Cumulative Contribution to the percent MoM change of CPI. This describes exactly how much each component contributed to the cumulative All Items MoM percent change in CPI. The sum of the values in this column will yield the MoM percent change of All Items CPI (with minor discrepancy due to rounding). Finally, the rightmost column contains the Cumulative Contribution to MoM Acceleration of All Items CPI. The sum of the contributions in this column adds up to the MoM Acceleration of All Items CPI. Although all five columns provide important information, we recommend that readers pay special attention to the rightmost column (Cumulative Contribution to Acceleration) as it reveals exactly what drove the MoM acceleration/deceleration in CPI during the current month compared to the prior month.</p><p>As can be seen in the table above, Core Services ex Housing and Core Goods decelerated very significantly, accounting for most of the overall deceleration in CPI. More details will be provided below.</p><p><b>Analysis of CPI Components that Contributed Most to Change &amp; Acceleration of CPI</b></p><p>In the following section, we perform the same contribution analysis as above, but at a more granular level of detail. In Figure 4 below, we list the top 10 CPI components (most granular level) that contributed negatively and positively to the MoM percent change in All Items CPI. These contributions take into account both the magnitude of the MoM change in each component as well as the weight of each component in All Items CPI.</p><p><b>Figure 4: Top Contributors to MoM Percent Change</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/1c5eb11c7ef16be2432eb9d0345e7896\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Top CPI Contributors(BLS, Investor Acumen)</p><p><i>Source: BLS, Investor Acumen</i></p><p>One thing that emerges from this analysis is that a significant share of the deceleration of core CPI this month came from relatively volatile items, that might be considered &#34;one-offs&#34;. For example, the significant decline in new and used car prices and health insurance may not be representative of core inflationary dynamics.</p><p>In Figure 5 below, we list the top 10 CPI components, at the most granular level, that contributed negatively and positively to the MoM acceleration (expressed in percent change) of All Items CPI. These contributions take into account both the magnitude of the MoM accelerations in the components as well as the weight of each component All Items CPI.</p><p><b>Figure 5: Top Contributors to MoM Acceleration</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/12530cb431b76e29e34a948288b58b42\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Top CPI Acceleration Contributors(BLS, Investor Acumen)</p><p><i>Source: BLS, Investor Acumen</i></p><p>As can be seen above, new and used cars, utilities and health insurance accounted for 0.26% of CPI deceleration -- the lion-share of deceleration and &#34;surprise&#34; for the month.</p><p>Also, somewhat notable, was the deceleration in Owner&#39;s Equivalent rent as well as Rent of Primary Residence -- both decelerating by 0.1% relative to last month. This indicates that housing inflation may possibly have peaked for this cycle and could be headed in a downward direction.</p><p>It is worthwhile to examine tables 4 and 5 above carefully as they are likely to include most or all of the items which surprised forecasters during the month.</p><p><b>Top Movers</b></p><p>In Figure 6 below, for general interest purposes, we show the components with the largest positive and negative MoM change (%). The YoY change in these particular components is to the right.</p><p><b>Figure 6: Top Movers MoM Percent Change</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d770ddfdf887ba1577ae1e942d27d45e\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"400\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\"/></p><p>Top CPI Movers(BLS, Investor Acumen)</p><p><i>Source: BLS, Investor Acumen</i></p><p><b>Implications for Policy and Economic Performance</b></p><p>In this section, we review the potential implications of this month’s CPI report on policy (monetary &amp; or fiscal) and the overall outlook for the US economy.</p><p><b>Impact on Policy.</b> On the margin, this month’s deceleration of All-Items and Core CPI incrementally decreases pressure on the Fed to tighten overall financial conditions more than markets have expected. In fact, today’s numbers may tend to lower market expectations regarding how much (“terminal rate”), how fast and for how long the Fed may increase the Federal Funds interest rate.</p><p><b>Impact on Economic Performance.</b> On the margin, the numbers may lead to speculation that inflation has peaked and is heading down in the intermediate term. This will take pressure off of interest rates across the economy such as mortgage interest rates. This could alleviate some of the headwinds that the economy has recently been experiencing, particularly in interest rate sensitive sectors.</p><p><b>Potential Financial Markets’ Impact</b></p><p>The CPI report, on the margin, will likely decrease risk perceptions regarding the probability of the Fed being forced to tighten monetary policy to a degree that would induce recession. In particular, market expectations of the Fed’s so-called “terminal rate” may decrease. This would cause the cost of financing across the economy to decrease and overall financial conditions to ease somewhat. This should provide a positive boost for both bond and equity markets.</p><p>This month&#39;s report may provide a “window of opportunity” for bonds and stocks to rise during the next month, until the next CPI report comes out.</p><p>I would caution that the internal details of this report, although generally positive, may not be quite as bullish as they appear on the surface. Much of the deceleration in both All-Items CPI and Core CPI was due to a few volatile components, which may not be representative of underlying inflationary trends. Still, this is the best news on inflation that the market has had in quite a while, and a significant relief rally in stocks and bonds can probably be expected.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>CPI: A Relief For Markets But Details Only Moderately Bullish</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nCPI: A Relief For Markets But Details Only Moderately Bullish\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-11-11 23:34 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555901-cpi-relief-for-markets-but-only-moderately-bullish><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryWe summarize key data and provide in-depth analysis of the monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) report released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).All Items and Core CPI inflation were ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555901-cpi-relief-for-markets-but-only-moderately-bullish\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".DJI":"道琼斯"},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4555901-cpi-relief-for-markets-but-only-moderately-bullish","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1129448010","content_text":"SummaryWe summarize key data and provide in-depth analysis of the monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) report released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).All Items and Core CPI inflation were significantly below expectations.Results were significantly impacted by \"one-off\" results in a few volatile items.Overall, the report should be received with \"relief\" by bond and equity markets.  This month’s CPI should provide a \"window of opportunity\" - all other factors remaining equal - for bond and stock markets to rally between now and the next CPI report.Summary Data and AnalysisFigure 1 below highlights key summary data and analysis for this month’s All Items CPI.Figure 1: All Items: Change, Acceleration, Expectations & SurpriseAll Items CPI(BLS, Investor Acumen)Source: BLS, Investing.com, Investor AcumenAs can be seen above, All-Items CPI decelerated significantly and significantly surprised to the downside.Figure 2 below highlights key summary data and analysis for this month’s Core CPI.Figure 2: Core: Change, Acceleration, Expectations & SurpriseCore CPI(BLS, Investor Acumen)Source: BLS, Investing.com, Investor AcumenAs can be seen above, Core CPI also decelerated significantly, providing a significant downside surprise.Analysis of Contributions of Key Aggregate Components of CPIIn Figure 3, we display the contributions to CPI inflation of five major aggregate components to the MoM (month-over-month) change in CPI and the MoM acceleration of CPI.Figure 3: Analysis of Key Aggregate Components of CPIAggregate CPI Component Analysis(BLS, Investor Acumen)Source: BLS, Investor AcumenWe will briefly review how to interpret the table above (as well as other tables in this report), describing each column from left to right. The first column contains the MoM percent change for the current month. The second column contains the MoM percent change in the prior month. The third column contains the MoM acceleration – i.e. the difference between the percent change this month minus the percent change last month. The fourth column contains the Cumulative Contribution to the percent MoM change of CPI. This describes exactly how much each component contributed to the cumulative All Items MoM percent change in CPI. The sum of the values in this column will yield the MoM percent change of All Items CPI (with minor discrepancy due to rounding). Finally, the rightmost column contains the Cumulative Contribution to MoM Acceleration of All Items CPI. The sum of the contributions in this column adds up to the MoM Acceleration of All Items CPI. Although all five columns provide important information, we recommend that readers pay special attention to the rightmost column (Cumulative Contribution to Acceleration) as it reveals exactly what drove the MoM acceleration/deceleration in CPI during the current month compared to the prior month.As can be seen in the table above, Core Services ex Housing and Core Goods decelerated very significantly, accounting for most of the overall deceleration in CPI. More details will be provided below.Analysis of CPI Components that Contributed Most to Change & Acceleration of CPIIn the following section, we perform the same contribution analysis as above, but at a more granular level of detail. In Figure 4 below, we list the top 10 CPI components (most granular level) that contributed negatively and positively to the MoM percent change in All Items CPI. These contributions take into account both the magnitude of the MoM change in each component as well as the weight of each component in All Items CPI.Figure 4: Top Contributors to MoM Percent ChangeTop CPI Contributors(BLS, Investor Acumen)Source: BLS, Investor AcumenOne thing that emerges from this analysis is that a significant share of the deceleration of core CPI this month came from relatively volatile items, that might be considered \"one-offs\". For example, the significant decline in new and used car prices and health insurance may not be representative of core inflationary dynamics.In Figure 5 below, we list the top 10 CPI components, at the most granular level, that contributed negatively and positively to the MoM acceleration (expressed in percent change) of All Items CPI. These contributions take into account both the magnitude of the MoM accelerations in the components as well as the weight of each component All Items CPI.Figure 5: Top Contributors to MoM AccelerationTop CPI Acceleration Contributors(BLS, Investor Acumen)Source: BLS, Investor AcumenAs can be seen above, new and used cars, utilities and health insurance accounted for 0.26% of CPI deceleration -- the lion-share of deceleration and \"surprise\" for the month.Also, somewhat notable, was the deceleration in Owner's Equivalent rent as well as Rent of Primary Residence -- both decelerating by 0.1% relative to last month. This indicates that housing inflation may possibly have peaked for this cycle and could be headed in a downward direction.It is worthwhile to examine tables 4 and 5 above carefully as they are likely to include most or all of the items which surprised forecasters during the month.Top MoversIn Figure 6 below, for general interest purposes, we show the components with the largest positive and negative MoM change (%). The YoY change in these particular components is to the right.Figure 6: Top Movers MoM Percent ChangeTop CPI Movers(BLS, Investor Acumen)Source: BLS, Investor AcumenImplications for Policy and Economic PerformanceIn this section, we review the potential implications of this month’s CPI report on policy (monetary & or fiscal) and the overall outlook for the US economy.Impact on Policy. On the margin, this month’s deceleration of All-Items and Core CPI incrementally decreases pressure on the Fed to tighten overall financial conditions more than markets have expected. In fact, today’s numbers may tend to lower market expectations regarding how much (“terminal rate”), how fast and for how long the Fed may increase the Federal Funds interest rate.Impact on Economic Performance. On the margin, the numbers may lead to speculation that inflation has peaked and is heading down in the intermediate term. This will take pressure off of interest rates across the economy such as mortgage interest rates. This could alleviate some of the headwinds that the economy has recently been experiencing, particularly in interest rate sensitive sectors.Potential Financial Markets’ ImpactThe CPI report, on the margin, will likely decrease risk perceptions regarding the probability of the Fed being forced to tighten monetary policy to a degree that would induce recession. In particular, market expectations of the Fed’s so-called “terminal rate” may decrease. This would cause the cost of financing across the economy to decrease and overall financial conditions to ease somewhat. This should provide a positive boost for both bond and equity markets.This month's report may provide a “window of opportunity” for bonds and stocks to rise during the next month, until the next CPI report comes out.I would caution that the internal details of this report, although generally positive, may not be quite as bullish as they appear on the surface. Much of the deceleration in both All-Items CPI and Core CPI was due to a few volatile components, which may not be representative of underlying inflationary trends. Still, this is the best news on inflation that the market has had in quite a while, and a significant relief rally in stocks and bonds can probably be expected.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":175,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9987723810,"gmtCreate":1668001330230,"gmtModify":1676537996803,"author":{"id":"3581932684752659","authorId":"3581932684752659","name":"Wilson4012","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581932684752659","authorIdStr":"3581932684752659"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Good","listText":"Good","text":"Good","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":4,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9987723810","repostId":"1132930348","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1132930348","kind":"news","weMediaInfo":{"introduction":"Providing stock market headlines, business news, financials and earnings ","home_visible":1,"media_name":"Tiger Newspress","id":"1079075236","head_image":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba"},"pubTimestamp":1667998796,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1132930348?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-11-09 20:59","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Pre-Bell｜Dow Futures Slid Over 100 Points; This Mega-cap Stock Gained Over 5%","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1132930348","media":"Tiger Newspress","summary":"U.S. stock futures were slightly lower — following recent market gains — as results of the midterm e","content":"<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock futures were slightly lower — following recent market gains — as results of the midterm elections provided no clear answers about who would control Congress yet.</p><p><b>Market Snapshot</b></p><p>At 7:50 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 130 points, or 0.39%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 12 points, or 0.31%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 31.25 points, or 0.28%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7296328586c629e4cc15547dff2b24f3\" tg-width=\"258\" tg-height=\"141\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a></b> – SEC filings show CEO Elon Musk sold nearly $4 billion in Tesla shares in the days following his purchase of Twitter. Tesla shares added 1.5% in the premarket.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms, Inc.</a></b> – The Facebook parent’s shares rallied 4.3% in premarket trading after the company announced it was laying off 13% of its workforce, or more than 11,000 workers.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DHI\">D.R. Horton</a></b> – The home builder’s stock slid 3.1% in the premarket after it missed top and bottom line estimates for its latest quarter. It also said it would not provide guidance due to housing market uncertainty.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a></b> – Walt Disney tumbled 7.4% in the premarket after missing top and bottom line estimates for its latest quarter. Disney’s profits took a hit from higher costs at its Disney+ streaming service, and the company plans to cut marketing and content budgets.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFRM\">Affirm Holdings, Inc.</a></b> – Affirm Holdings plunged 12.2% in premarket trading after the buy-now-pay-later firm reported a wider-than-expected quarterly loss. Affirm has been particularly popular among buyers ofPelotonbikes, and is seeing an impact from slowing Peloton equipment sales.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">Upstart Holdings, Inc.</a></b> – Upstart plummeted 23.8% in premarket action after the AI-driven lending platform issued a much weaker-than-expected revenue forecast for the current quarter, citing challenging economic conditions.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a></b> – AMC reported a quarterly loss of 22 cents per share, smaller than the 26 cents loss anticipated by analysts, and revenue topped consensus. CEO Adam Aron said AMC’s results were impacted by soft box office results in the latter part of the quarter. AMC fell 3.9% in premarket action.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">Lucid Group Inc</a></b> – Lucid slid 8.3% in the premarket after saying it may raise up to $1.5 billion through stock sales to fund the electric vehicle maker’s operations.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXON\">Axon Enterprise, Inc.</a></b> – Axon rallied 8.5% in premarket trading after the Taser maker reported better-than-expected profit and revenue for the third quarter. It also raised its full-year outlook, citing robust demand.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SFM\">Sprouts Farmers</a></b> – Sprouts Farmers Markets staged an 8.2% off-hours rally on better-than-expected third-quarter results. The organic products grocer also raised its full-year forecast, saying it benefited from an increasing emphasis on health and wellness by consumers.</p><p><b>Market News</b></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a></b> may have to offer concessions to address EU antitrust concerns about its $69 billion bid for &#34;Call of Duty&#34; maker Activision Blizzard after regulators opened a full-scale investigation on Tuesday and warned about the impact of the deal.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a></b> Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk has sold $3.95 billion worth of shares in the electric vehicle maker, according to U.S. regulatory filings, days after he completed his purchase of Twitter Inc for $44 billion.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a></b> reported Q4 revenue of $20.15 billion, up 9% year-over-year, and reported fourth-quarter earnings per share of 30 cents. Total subscribers, including those for its Hulu and ESPN+ products, rose to almost 236 million.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">Occidental</a></b>’s net income in the third quarter was $2.55 billion, or $2.52 a share, a four-fold increase from $628 million, or 65 cents per share, from a year earlier. But profit decreased 29% from the $3.6 billion posted in the second quarter.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a></b> reported a Q3 net loss of $226.9 million, or a net loss of 22 cents a share, compared with a net loss of $224.2 million, or a net loss of 22 cents a share, in the same period last year. Sales were $968.4 million, compared with $763.2 million in the same period last year. </p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b> cut its full-year revenue forecast on Tuesday for the second time in three months, hurt by a global supply glut in COVID-19 vaccine and waning demand. The company now expects annual revenue to be near the low end of its prior forecast range of between $2 billion and $2.3 billion.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">Upstart Holdings, Inc.</a></b> took a third-quarter net loss of $56.2 million, or 69 cents a share. It generated a net income of $27.8 million, or 30 cents a share, in the year-prior quarter.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">Lucid Group Inc</a></b>’s loss was 40 cents a share, wider than analysts’ average estimate of a 31-cent loss. Revenue was $195.5 million, missing the $204 million prediction.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Pre-Bell｜Dow Futures Slid Over 100 Points; This Mega-cap Stock Gained Over 5%</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nPre-Bell｜Dow Futures Slid Over 100 Points; This Mega-cap Stock Gained Over 5%\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<a class=\"head\" href=\"https://laohu8.com/wemedia/1079075236\">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/8274c5b9d4c2852bfb1c4d6ce16c68ba);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Tiger Newspress </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2022-11-09 20:59</p>\n</div>\n\n</a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p>U.S. stock futures were slightly lower — following recent market gains — as results of the midterm elections provided no clear answers about who would control Congress yet.</p><p><b>Market Snapshot</b></p><p>At 7:50 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 130 points, or 0.39%, S&amp;P 500 e-minis were down 12 points, or 0.31%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 31.25 points, or 0.28%.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/7296328586c629e4cc15547dff2b24f3\" tg-width=\"258\" tg-height=\"141\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p><b>Pre-Market Movers</b></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a></b> – SEC filings show CEO Elon Musk sold nearly $4 billion in Tesla shares in the days following his purchase of Twitter. Tesla shares added 1.5% in the premarket.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/META\">Meta Platforms, Inc.</a></b> – The Facebook parent’s shares rallied 4.3% in premarket trading after the company announced it was laying off 13% of its workforce, or more than 11,000 workers.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DHI\">D.R. Horton</a></b> – The home builder’s stock slid 3.1% in the premarket after it missed top and bottom line estimates for its latest quarter. It also said it would not provide guidance due to housing market uncertainty.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a></b> – Walt Disney tumbled 7.4% in the premarket after missing top and bottom line estimates for its latest quarter. Disney’s profits took a hit from higher costs at its Disney+ streaming service, and the company plans to cut marketing and content budgets.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AFRM\">Affirm Holdings, Inc.</a></b> – Affirm Holdings plunged 12.2% in premarket trading after the buy-now-pay-later firm reported a wider-than-expected quarterly loss. Affirm has been particularly popular among buyers ofPelotonbikes, and is seeing an impact from slowing Peloton equipment sales.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">Upstart Holdings, Inc.</a></b> – Upstart plummeted 23.8% in premarket action after the AI-driven lending platform issued a much weaker-than-expected revenue forecast for the current quarter, citing challenging economic conditions.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a></b> – AMC reported a quarterly loss of 22 cents per share, smaller than the 26 cents loss anticipated by analysts, and revenue topped consensus. CEO Adam Aron said AMC’s results were impacted by soft box office results in the latter part of the quarter. AMC fell 3.9% in premarket action.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">Lucid Group Inc</a></b> – Lucid slid 8.3% in the premarket after saying it may raise up to $1.5 billion through stock sales to fund the electric vehicle maker’s operations.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AXON\">Axon Enterprise, Inc.</a></b> – Axon rallied 8.5% in premarket trading after the Taser maker reported better-than-expected profit and revenue for the third quarter. It also raised its full-year outlook, citing robust demand.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/SFM\">Sprouts Farmers</a></b> – Sprouts Farmers Markets staged an 8.2% off-hours rally on better-than-expected third-quarter results. The organic products grocer also raised its full-year forecast, saying it benefited from an increasing emphasis on health and wellness by consumers.</p><p><b>Market News</b></p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/MSFT\">Microsoft</a></b> may have to offer concessions to address EU antitrust concerns about its $69 billion bid for &#34;Call of Duty&#34; maker Activision Blizzard after regulators opened a full-scale investigation on Tuesday and warned about the impact of the deal.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/TSLA\">Tesla Motors</a></b> Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk has sold $3.95 billion worth of shares in the electric vehicle maker, according to U.S. regulatory filings, days after he completed his purchase of Twitter Inc for $44 billion.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/DIS\">Walt Disney</a></b> reported Q4 revenue of $20.15 billion, up 9% year-over-year, and reported fourth-quarter earnings per share of 30 cents. Total subscribers, including those for its Hulu and ESPN+ products, rose to almost 236 million.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/OXY\">Occidental</a></b>’s net income in the third quarter was $2.55 billion, or $2.52 a share, a four-fold increase from $628 million, or 65 cents per share, from a year earlier. But profit decreased 29% from the $3.6 billion posted in the second quarter.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMC\">AMC Entertainment</a></b> reported a Q3 net loss of $226.9 million, or a net loss of 22 cents a share, compared with a net loss of $224.2 million, or a net loss of 22 cents a share, in the same period last year. Sales were $968.4 million, compared with $763.2 million in the same period last year. </p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/NVAX\">Novavax</a></b> cut its full-year revenue forecast on Tuesday for the second time in three months, hurt by a global supply glut in COVID-19 vaccine and waning demand. The company now expects annual revenue to be near the low end of its prior forecast range of between $2 billion and $2.3 billion.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/UPST\">Upstart Holdings, Inc.</a></b> took a third-quarter net loss of $56.2 million, or 69 cents a share. It generated a net income of $27.8 million, or 30 cents a share, in the year-prior quarter.</p><p><b><a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/LCID\">Lucid Group Inc</a></b>’s loss was 40 cents a share, wider than analysts’ average estimate of a 31-cent loss. Revenue was $195.5 million, missing the $204 million prediction.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1132930348","content_text":"U.S. stock futures were slightly lower — following recent market gains — as results of the midterm elections provided no clear answers about who would control Congress yet.Market SnapshotAt 7:50 a.m. ET, Dow e-minis were down 130 points, or 0.39%, S&P 500 e-minis were down 12 points, or 0.31%, and Nasdaq 100 e-minis were down 31.25 points, or 0.28%.Pre-Market MoversTesla Motors – SEC filings show CEO Elon Musk sold nearly $4 billion in Tesla shares in the days following his purchase of Twitter. Tesla shares added 1.5% in the premarket.Meta Platforms, Inc. – The Facebook parent’s shares rallied 4.3% in premarket trading after the company announced it was laying off 13% of its workforce, or more than 11,000 workers.D.R. Horton – The home builder’s stock slid 3.1% in the premarket after it missed top and bottom line estimates for its latest quarter. It also said it would not provide guidance due to housing market uncertainty.Walt Disney – Walt Disney tumbled 7.4% in the premarket after missing top and bottom line estimates for its latest quarter. Disney’s profits took a hit from higher costs at its Disney+ streaming service, and the company plans to cut marketing and content budgets.Affirm Holdings, Inc. – Affirm Holdings plunged 12.2% in premarket trading after the buy-now-pay-later firm reported a wider-than-expected quarterly loss. Affirm has been particularly popular among buyers ofPelotonbikes, and is seeing an impact from slowing Peloton equipment sales.Upstart Holdings, Inc. – Upstart plummeted 23.8% in premarket action after the AI-driven lending platform issued a much weaker-than-expected revenue forecast for the current quarter, citing challenging economic conditions.AMC Entertainment – AMC reported a quarterly loss of 22 cents per share, smaller than the 26 cents loss anticipated by analysts, and revenue topped consensus. CEO Adam Aron said AMC’s results were impacted by soft box office results in the latter part of the quarter. AMC fell 3.9% in premarket action.Lucid Group Inc – Lucid slid 8.3% in the premarket after saying it may raise up to $1.5 billion through stock sales to fund the electric vehicle maker’s operations.Axon Enterprise, Inc. – Axon rallied 8.5% in premarket trading after the Taser maker reported better-than-expected profit and revenue for the third quarter. It also raised its full-year outlook, citing robust demand.Sprouts Farmers – Sprouts Farmers Markets staged an 8.2% off-hours rally on better-than-expected third-quarter results. The organic products grocer also raised its full-year forecast, saying it benefited from an increasing emphasis on health and wellness by consumers.Market NewsMicrosoft may have to offer concessions to address EU antitrust concerns about its $69 billion bid for \"Call of Duty\" maker Activision Blizzard after regulators opened a full-scale investigation on Tuesday and warned about the impact of the deal.Tesla Motors Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk has sold $3.95 billion worth of shares in the electric vehicle maker, according to U.S. regulatory filings, days after he completed his purchase of Twitter Inc for $44 billion.Walt Disney reported Q4 revenue of $20.15 billion, up 9% year-over-year, and reported fourth-quarter earnings per share of 30 cents. Total subscribers, including those for its Hulu and ESPN+ products, rose to almost 236 million.Occidental’s net income in the third quarter was $2.55 billion, or $2.52 a share, a four-fold increase from $628 million, or 65 cents per share, from a year earlier. But profit decreased 29% from the $3.6 billion posted in the second quarter.AMC Entertainment reported a Q3 net loss of $226.9 million, or a net loss of 22 cents a share, compared with a net loss of $224.2 million, or a net loss of 22 cents a share, in the same period last year. Sales were $968.4 million, compared with $763.2 million in the same period last year. Novavax cut its full-year revenue forecast on Tuesday for the second time in three months, hurt by a global supply glut in COVID-19 vaccine and waning demand. The company now expects annual revenue to be near the low end of its prior forecast range of between $2 billion and $2.3 billion.Upstart Holdings, Inc. took a third-quarter net loss of $56.2 million, or 69 cents a share. It generated a net income of $27.8 million, or 30 cents a share, in the year-prior quarter.Lucid Group Inc’s loss was 40 cents a share, wider than analysts’ average estimate of a 31-cent loss. Revenue was $195.5 million, missing the $204 million prediction.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":159,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9988440976,"gmtCreate":1666826812895,"gmtModify":1676537811044,"author":{"id":"3581932684752659","authorId":"3581932684752659","name":"Wilson4012","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581932684752659","authorIdStr":"3581932684752659"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Ok","listText":"Ok","text":"Ok","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9988440976","repostId":"2278086463","repostType":2,"repost":{"id":"2278086463","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1666819951,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/2278086463?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-10-27 05:32","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Facebook’s Meta faces bleak holiday quarter, shares dive","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=2278086463","media":"CNA:","summary":"Facebook’s Meta faces bleak holiday quarter, shares dive","content":"<div>\n<p>Facebook’s Meta faces bleak holiday quarter, shares dive</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://t.co/tX099Z3Nsl\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n","source":"redbox_twitter","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Facebook’s Meta faces bleak holiday quarter, shares dive</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nFacebook’s Meta faces bleak holiday quarter, shares dive\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-10-27 05:32 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://t.co/tX099Z3Nsl><strong>CNA:</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>Facebook’s Meta faces bleak holiday quarter, shares dive</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://t.co/tX099Z3Nsl\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"LU1548497426.USD":"安联环球人工智能AT Acc","LU0985489474.SGD":"First Eagle Amundi International AHS-C SGD-H","LU1718418525.SGD":"JPMorgan Investment Funds - Global Select Equity A (acc) SGD","LU0211327993.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1267930490.SGD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"AS\" (SGD) INC A","LU0878866978.SGD":"First Eagle Amundi International AHS-QD SGD-H","META":"Meta Platforms, Inc.","LU0211328371.USD":"TEMPLETON GLOBAL EQUITY INCOME \"A\" (MDIS) (USD)   INC","LU0433182093.SGD":"First Eagle Amundi International AS-C SGD","LU1720051108.HKD":"ALLIANZ GLOBAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE \"AT\" (HKD) ACC","LU0198837287.USD":"UBS (LUX) EQUITY SICAV - USA GROWTH \"P\" (USD) ACC","BK4077":"互动媒体与服务","LU1839511570.USD":"WELLS FARGO GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"I\" (USD) ACC","LU0068578508.USD":"First Eagle Amundi International Cl AU-C USD","LU0170899867.USD":"EASTSPRING INVESTMENTS WORLD VALUE EQUITY  \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU2357305700.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence ET H2-SGD","SGXZ99366536.SGD":"United Global Innovation A Acc SGD-H","IE00B19Z3581.USD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc USD","IE00B19Z9505.USD":"美盛-美国大盘成长股A Acc","LU1429558221.USD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA USD","LU1435385759.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity RA SGD-H","SG9999001077.SGD":"United International Growth Fund SGD","IE00B19Z3B42.SGD":"Legg Mason ClearBridge - Value A Acc SGD","SGXZ81514606.USD":"大华环球创新基金A Acc USD","SGXZ51526630.SGD":"大华环球创新基金A Acc SGD","LU0234572021.USD":"高盛美国核心股票组合Acc","LU0310799852.SGD":"FTIF - Templeton Global Equity Income A MDIS SGD","LU1489326972.SGD":"First Eagle Amundi International AHS-MD SGD-H","LU2326559502.SGD":"Natixis Loomis Sayles US Growth Equity P/A SGD-H","LU2087621335.USD":"ALLSPRING GLOBAL FACTOR ENHANCED EQUITY \"A\" (USD) ACC","LU1720051017.SGD":"Allianz Global Artificial Intelligence AT Acc H2-SGD","IE0002270589.USD":"LEGG MASON CLEARBRIDGE VALUE \"A\" (USD) INC"},"source_url":"https://t.co/tX099Z3Nsl","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2278086463","content_text":"Facebook’s Meta faces bleak holiday quarter, shares dive","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":139,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9907413184,"gmtCreate":1660230459350,"gmtModify":1703503241040,"author":{"id":"3581932684752659","authorId":"3581932684752659","name":"Wilson4012","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581932684752659","authorIdStr":"3581932684752659"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Great article!&nbsp;","listText":"Great article!&nbsp;","text":"Great article!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9907413184","repostId":"1138137980","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1138137980","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1660228622,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1138137980?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2022-08-11 22:37","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Semiconductor Earnings Season Shows Strong Buys, Sells","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1138137980","media":"Seeking Alpha","summary":"SummaryTSM and AMD strong earnings and guidance.INTC and NVDA had disastrous earnings.There are 3 ma","content":"<html><head></head><body><p><b>Summary</b></p><ul><li>TSM and AMD strong earnings and guidance.</li><li>INTC and NVDA had disastrous earnings.</li><li>There are 3 main factors (COVID, crypto, competition) driving the semiconductor industry.</li><li>Stock valuations are absurd for several firms.</li></ul><p><b>The semiconductor earnings season has been eventful. So far we have seen these key data points:</b></p><ul><li>Micron (MU) reported solid earnings but weak guidance, and then further reduced full-year guidance a month later</li><li>Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) reported strong earnings, and guided for solid growth, while acknowledging that their customers were facing reduced demand in some product segments but still clamoring for more supply in others</li><li>Intel (INTC) reported a disastrous quarter (a very rare net loss!) and terrible guidance for the rest of the year</li><li>AMD (AMD) reported a solid quarter, with strong growth, and maintained strong guidance for the rest of the year, while acknowledging that the industry was facing reduced demand in client and gaming but strong demand in the datacenter</li><li>Nvidia (NVDA) pre-announced a horrendous quarter, with “gaming” revenue down 44% sequentially</li></ul><p>Why are some companies showing strength and others falling off a cliff? There are multiple factors at play.</p><p><b>The first is easing of supply chain constraints and reduction of COVID-induced demand.</b></p><p>During the first couple years of the COVID era there was a lot of demand for computers for employees and students to use while working and being educated at home. There was also increased demand for at home entertainment. This resulted in increased sales of PCs (especially low-end laptops like Chromebooks), and gaming equipment (especially gaming consoles and graphics cards). Many data points indicate that these demand spikes have been met and with more people returning to in-person activities, it is not surprising that demand for these pandemic-related items would take a step down.</p><p><i>The net result is a decrease in demand for certain semiconductor products.</i></p><p><b>The second is the bursting of the GPU-powered cryptocurrency mining bubble.</b></p><p>As illustrated in my recent article, GPU-based cryptocurrency mining (primarily Ethereum) has consumed an enormous amount of computing resources over the past two years. The increase in Ethereum hash rate represents the millions of GPUs (primarily from Nvidia) that were purchased to use for crypto mining, along with systems to put the GPUs in, and memory to go into the systems. With Ethereum ending GPU-based mining permanently in the next few months, that is an enormous source of demand that is going away and not coming back. People thinking Nvidia’s earnings collapse is a cyclical dip are fooling themselves.</p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/b96cfac3a90268022c80c34292c38b95\" tg-width=\"640\" tg-height=\"234\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>BitInfoCharts</p><p>(image source)</p><p><i>The net result is a dramatic decrease in demand for NVDA and AMD GPUs.</i></p><p><b>The third is a shift in market share from Intel and Nvidia to TSM and AMD.</b></p><p>Without going too far into the weeds, TSM has the world’s most advanced semiconductor manufacturing technology, so its customers (like AMD) have a significant competitive edge in product performance. Nvidia has started to shift its products more towards TSM’s foundries to better compete with AMD’s rapidly advancing GPU offerings. And as AMD takes more and more market share from Intel, it has in turn increased demand for TSM capacity.</p><p>The net result of these shifts is strong demand for AMD and TSM offerings at the expense of Intel and Nvidia.</p><p><b>Key Takeaways:</b></p><p><b>TSM is a strong buy</b> as it continues to consolidate market share and has long term hard contractual commitments (including multibillion dollar prepayments) from its customers. TSM is shielded from much of the current market conditions we have observed. With TSM in a global monopoly position, growing earnings at something around 50% per year, the stock is stupidly cheap at approximately 13x 2022 earnings.</p><p><b>AMD is a strong buy</b> as it continues to gain market share in high margin products and can continue to grow earnings despite the demand dip in the industry. The stock is also stupidly cheap at a mid- or upper-teens multiple of likely 2022 earnings given something around 50% per year earnings growth.</p><p><b>MU is a buy</b> as the valuation is quite low relative to its prospects and the nature of the demand downturn.</p><p><b>INTC is a sell</b> as its business (and profits) continues to flow to AMD (and TSM). The dividend is a risk. Intel needs a miracle (and a number of years) to turn itself around into an investable business.</p><p><b>NVDA is a strong sell</b> as its valuation remains egregiously high at 47x TTM earnings despite earnings falling off a cliff now as the crypto mining demand ends.</p><p><b>Pair Trade Idea</b></p><p>AMD has fallen about 7% in the two days since Nvidia’s pre-announcement of disastrous earnings. Perhaps traders assume that NVDA’s GPU sales falling off a cliff is bad news for AMD. But the problem with this assumption is that AMD just announced their Q2 earnings *seven days ago*. At the time AMD gave an update on their GPU sales and guided for Q3. It is extremely unlikely that the entire GPU market suddenly cratered in the handful of days since AMD reported and guided.</p><p>Instead, what we are seeing is a result of cryptocurrency mining demand for GPUs falling off a cliff. Nvidia shrewdly capitalized on this temporary source of demand and sold many millions of GPUs - and at enormously inflated prices - to crypto miners (primarily for mining Ethereum). AMD also benefitted somewhat from increased GPU demand, but since AMD is a diversified business with several business lines besides discrete GPUs, it was not as reliant on GPU sales. All of AMD’s business lines have been supply constrained for a couple years, so AMD dedicated their production capacity primarily to other products and left the crypto-fueled GPU demand largely to Nvidia.</p><p>On the Q2 earnings call, AMD’s CEO Lisa Su indicated that they saw declining GPU sales, and that the declines would continue in Q3. AMD was well aware of the GPU marketplace demand situation when it delivered solid guidance for Q3.</p><p>AMD continues to be enormously undervalued relative to NVDA, despite AMD’s strong fundamentals and Nvidia’s shaky earnings future.</p><p>I suspect a lot of pain is ahead for Nvidia. The company’s revenues are almost entirely from GPU sales, and a huge portion of those sales are likely going away permanently as crypto mining demand falls off a cliff. A significant earnings drop is likely. NVDA is currently trading at 47x TTM earnings. If the stock price doesn’t fall significantly, the earnings multiple could easily approach triple digits in the coming quarters.</p><p>In contrast, AMD is showing continued strength, especially from the data center.</p><p><b>Q2 comparison</b></p><p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3d2a7cf7e7f40fa2069cab2c4d52e370\" tg-width=\"563\" tg-height=\"238\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\"/></p><p>Both firms are now similar in size. AMD continues to grow at a fast rate, especially in the lucrative datacenter. AMD’s growing margins surpassed Nvidia’s newly cratered margins. And yet Nvidia’s valuation is almost 3x the size of AMD’s. I suspect this imbalance will be corrected over time as AMD continues to perform and Nvidia’s true underlying fundamentals become clear. In a reasonable market, AMD’s market cap should soon exceed Nvidia’s.</p><p>As AMD continues to grow market share, especially in the high-margin datacenter, earnings should grow quickly. I suspect we will see AMD earning at a $10+ per share rate sometime next year. The stock is trading at less than 10x that figure.</p><p>Nvidia is a great company, but the stock is wildly overpriced, especially given the deteriorating fundamentals. AMD is a great company with increasingly strong fundamentals and a lot of room to continue to take market share from Intel and Nvidia with very competitive products (and strong products in the pipeline). Why anyone would pay almost 3 times as much for Nvidia is beyond me.</p><p>Investors can consider a pair trade of long AMD and short NVDA. This trade would seek to capture the upside for AMD as its valuation moves up to a reasonable valuation reflecting its growing earnings power. The trade would also capture the downside for NVDA as the market realizes the hypergrowth narrative is broken and the multiple adjusts far downwards to appropriately reflect a company with declining earnings. The pair trade would attempt to hedge out macroeconomic fluctuations in the broader indexes and strength/weakness in the semiconductor industry.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Semiconductor Earnings Season Shows Strong Buys, Sells</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSemiconductor Earnings Season Shows Strong Buys, Sells\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2022-08-11 22:37 GMT+8&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;<a href=https://seekingalpha.com/article/4532697-semiconductor-earnings-season-shows-strong-buys-sells?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A27><strong>Seeking Alpha</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>SummaryTSM and AMD strong earnings and guidance.INTC and NVDA had disastrous earnings.There are 3 main factors (COVID, crypto, competition) driving the semiconductor industry.Stock valuations are ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4532697-semiconductor-earnings-season-shows-strong-buys-sells?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A27\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{},"source_url":"https://seekingalpha.com/article/4532697-semiconductor-earnings-season-shows-strong-buys-sells?source=content_type%3Aall%7Cfirst_level_url%3Aportfolio%7Csection%3Aportfolio_content_unit%7Csection_asset%3Alatest%7Cline%3A27","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1138137980","content_text":"SummaryTSM and AMD strong earnings and guidance.INTC and NVDA had disastrous earnings.There are 3 main factors (COVID, crypto, competition) driving the semiconductor industry.Stock valuations are absurd for several firms.The semiconductor earnings season has been eventful. So far we have seen these key data points:Micron (MU) reported solid earnings but weak guidance, and then further reduced full-year guidance a month laterTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSM) reported strong earnings, and guided for solid growth, while acknowledging that their customers were facing reduced demand in some product segments but still clamoring for more supply in othersIntel (INTC) reported a disastrous quarter (a very rare net loss!) and terrible guidance for the rest of the yearAMD (AMD) reported a solid quarter, with strong growth, and maintained strong guidance for the rest of the year, while acknowledging that the industry was facing reduced demand in client and gaming but strong demand in the datacenterNvidia (NVDA) pre-announced a horrendous quarter, with “gaming” revenue down 44% sequentiallyWhy are some companies showing strength and others falling off a cliff? There are multiple factors at play.The first is easing of supply chain constraints and reduction of COVID-induced demand.During the first couple years of the COVID era there was a lot of demand for computers for employees and students to use while working and being educated at home. There was also increased demand for at home entertainment. This resulted in increased sales of PCs (especially low-end laptops like Chromebooks), and gaming equipment (especially gaming consoles and graphics cards). Many data points indicate that these demand spikes have been met and with more people returning to in-person activities, it is not surprising that demand for these pandemic-related items would take a step down.The net result is a decrease in demand for certain semiconductor products.The second is the bursting of the GPU-powered cryptocurrency mining bubble.As illustrated in my recent article, GPU-based cryptocurrency mining (primarily Ethereum) has consumed an enormous amount of computing resources over the past two years. The increase in Ethereum hash rate represents the millions of GPUs (primarily from Nvidia) that were purchased to use for crypto mining, along with systems to put the GPUs in, and memory to go into the systems. With Ethereum ending GPU-based mining permanently in the next few months, that is an enormous source of demand that is going away and not coming back. People thinking Nvidia’s earnings collapse is a cyclical dip are fooling themselves.BitInfoCharts(image source)The net result is a dramatic decrease in demand for NVDA and AMD GPUs.The third is a shift in market share from Intel and Nvidia to TSM and AMD.Without going too far into the weeds, TSM has the world’s most advanced semiconductor manufacturing technology, so its customers (like AMD) have a significant competitive edge in product performance. Nvidia has started to shift its products more towards TSM’s foundries to better compete with AMD’s rapidly advancing GPU offerings. And as AMD takes more and more market share from Intel, it has in turn increased demand for TSM capacity.The net result of these shifts is strong demand for AMD and TSM offerings at the expense of Intel and Nvidia.Key Takeaways:TSM is a strong buy as it continues to consolidate market share and has long term hard contractual commitments (including multibillion dollar prepayments) from its customers. TSM is shielded from much of the current market conditions we have observed. With TSM in a global monopoly position, growing earnings at something around 50% per year, the stock is stupidly cheap at approximately 13x 2022 earnings.AMD is a strong buy as it continues to gain market share in high margin products and can continue to grow earnings despite the demand dip in the industry. The stock is also stupidly cheap at a mid- or upper-teens multiple of likely 2022 earnings given something around 50% per year earnings growth.MU is a buy as the valuation is quite low relative to its prospects and the nature of the demand downturn.INTC is a sell as its business (and profits) continues to flow to AMD (and TSM). The dividend is a risk. Intel needs a miracle (and a number of years) to turn itself around into an investable business.NVDA is a strong sell as its valuation remains egregiously high at 47x TTM earnings despite earnings falling off a cliff now as the crypto mining demand ends.Pair Trade IdeaAMD has fallen about 7% in the two days since Nvidia’s pre-announcement of disastrous earnings. Perhaps traders assume that NVDA’s GPU sales falling off a cliff is bad news for AMD. But the problem with this assumption is that AMD just announced their Q2 earnings *seven days ago*. At the time AMD gave an update on their GPU sales and guided for Q3. It is extremely unlikely that the entire GPU market suddenly cratered in the handful of days since AMD reported and guided.Instead, what we are seeing is a result of cryptocurrency mining demand for GPUs falling off a cliff. Nvidia shrewdly capitalized on this temporary source of demand and sold many millions of GPUs - and at enormously inflated prices - to crypto miners (primarily for mining Ethereum). AMD also benefitted somewhat from increased GPU demand, but since AMD is a diversified business with several business lines besides discrete GPUs, it was not as reliant on GPU sales. All of AMD’s business lines have been supply constrained for a couple years, so AMD dedicated their production capacity primarily to other products and left the crypto-fueled GPU demand largely to Nvidia.On the Q2 earnings call, AMD’s CEO Lisa Su indicated that they saw declining GPU sales, and that the declines would continue in Q3. AMD was well aware of the GPU marketplace demand situation when it delivered solid guidance for Q3.AMD continues to be enormously undervalued relative to NVDA, despite AMD’s strong fundamentals and Nvidia’s shaky earnings future.I suspect a lot of pain is ahead for Nvidia. The company’s revenues are almost entirely from GPU sales, and a huge portion of those sales are likely going away permanently as crypto mining demand falls off a cliff. A significant earnings drop is likely. NVDA is currently trading at 47x TTM earnings. If the stock price doesn’t fall significantly, the earnings multiple could easily approach triple digits in the coming quarters.In contrast, AMD is showing continued strength, especially from the data center.Q2 comparisonBoth firms are now similar in size. AMD continues to grow at a fast rate, especially in the lucrative datacenter. AMD’s growing margins surpassed Nvidia’s newly cratered margins. And yet Nvidia’s valuation is almost 3x the size of AMD’s. I suspect this imbalance will be corrected over time as AMD continues to perform and Nvidia’s true underlying fundamentals become clear. In a reasonable market, AMD’s market cap should soon exceed Nvidia’s.As AMD continues to grow market share, especially in the high-margin datacenter, earnings should grow quickly. I suspect we will see AMD earning at a $10+ per share rate sometime next year. The stock is trading at less than 10x that figure.Nvidia is a great company, but the stock is wildly overpriced, especially given the deteriorating fundamentals. AMD is a great company with increasingly strong fundamentals and a lot of room to continue to take market share from Intel and Nvidia with very competitive products (and strong products in the pipeline). Why anyone would pay almost 3 times as much for Nvidia is beyond me.Investors can consider a pair trade of long AMD and short NVDA. This trade would seek to capture the upside for AMD as its valuation moves up to a reasonable valuation reflecting its growing earnings power. The trade would also capture the downside for NVDA as the market realizes the hypergrowth narrative is broken and the multiple adjusts far downwards to appropriately reflect a company with declining earnings. The pair trade would attempt to hedge out macroeconomic fluctuations in the broader indexes and strength/weakness in the semiconductor industry.","news_type":1},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":211,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":9904592186,"gmtCreate":1660075675349,"gmtModify":1703477486743,"author":{"id":"3581932684752659","authorId":"3581932684752659","name":"Wilson4012","avatar":"https://static.laohu8.com/default-avatar.jpg","crmLevel":5,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"idStr":"3581932684752659","authorIdStr":"3581932684752659"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/OXY\">$Occidental(OXY)$</a>Up!","listText":"<a href=\"https://ttm.financial/S/OXY\">$Occidental(OXY)$</a>Up!","text":"$Occidental(OXY)$Up!","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":1,"commentSize":0,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/9904592186","isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":104,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}