To The Moon
Home
News
TigerAI
Log In
Sign Up
farhan888
+Follow
Posts · 5
Posts · 5
Following · 0
Following · 0
Followers · 0
Followers · 0
farhan888
farhan888
·
2021-08-02
Wow
Save, Invest, Speculate, Trade, Or Gamble?
For some time, I’ve been saying that the economy is in the “eye of the storm” and that when it emerg
Save, Invest, Speculate, Trade, Or Gamble?
看
1.77K
回复
2
点赞
6
编组 21备份 2
Share
Report
farhan888
farhan888
·
2021-08-02
Wow
Sorry, this post has been deleted
看
1.49K
回复
1
点赞
5
编组 21备份 2
Share
Report
farhan888
farhan888
·
2021-08-02
Wow
Now That Amazon’s Pandemic-Era Boom Is Over, Is It Time To Sell The Stock?
After a year of remarkable gains, e-commerce giant, Amazon.com is now finding itself in rough waters
Now That Amazon’s Pandemic-Era Boom Is Over, Is It Time To Sell The Stock?
看
2.03K
回复
1
点赞
2
编组 21备份 2
Share
Report
farhan888
farhan888
·
2021-07-22
Wow
Sorry, this post has been deleted
看
1.70K
回复
1
点赞
8
编组 21备份 2
Share
Report
farhan888
farhan888
·
2021-07-22
Wow
Sorry, this post has been deleted
看
1.62K
回复
1
点赞
5
编组 21备份 2
Share
Report
Load more
Most Discussed
{"i18n":{"language":"en_US"},"isCurrentUser":false,"userPageInfo":{"id":"4088578607242990","uuid":"4088578607242990","gmtCreate":1625475543683,"gmtModify":1628127317974,"name":"farhan888","pinyin":"farhan888","introduction":"","introductionEn":null,"signature":"","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d77411e08481f7c9fe8d3cb53f968a7e","hat":null,"hatId":null,"hatName":null,"vip":1,"status":2,"fanSize":2,"headSize":112,"tweetSize":5,"questionSize":0,"limitLevel":999,"accountStatus":4,"level":{"id":1,"name":"萌萌虎","nameTw":"萌萌虎","represent":"呱呱坠地","factor":"评论帖子3次或发布1条主帖(非转发)","iconColor":"3C9E83","bgColor":"A2F1D9"},"themeCounts":0,"badgeCounts":0,"badges":[],"moderator":false,"superModerator":false,"manageSymbols":null,"badgeLevel":null,"boolIsFan":false,"boolIsHead":false,"favoriteSize":0,"symbols":null,"coverImage":null,"realNameVerified":"success","userBadges":[{"badgeId":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493-3","templateUuid":"1026c425416b44e0aac28c11a0848493","name":" Tiger Idol","description":"Join the tiger community for 1500 days","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/8b40ae7da5bf081a1c84df14bf9e6367","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/f160eceddd7c284a8e1136557615cfad","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/11792805c468334a9b31c39f95a41c6a","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2025.08.14","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1001},{"badgeId":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be-1","templateUuid":"972123088c9646f7b6091ae0662215be","name":"Elite Trader","description":"Total number of securities or futures transactions reached 30","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/ab0f87127c854ce3191a752d57b46edc","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/c9835ce48b8c8743566d344ac7a7ba8c","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/76754b53ce7a90019f132c1d2fbc698f","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.29","exceedPercentage":"60.32%","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a transaction","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"redirectLink":null,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":0,"stamp":null,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.21","exceedPercentage":null,"individualDisplayEnabled":0,"backgroundColor":null,"fontColor":null,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100}],"userBadgeCount":3,"currentWearingBadge":null,"individualDisplayBadges":null,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"location":null,"starInvestorFollowerNum":0,"starInvestorFlag":false,"starInvestorOrderShareNum":0,"subscribeStarInvestorNum":0,"ror":null,"winRationPercentage":null,"showRor":false,"investmentPhilosophy":null,"starInvestorSubscribeFlag":false},"page":1,"watchlist":null,"tweetList":[{"id":805438953,"gmtCreate":1627897446572,"gmtModify":1703497419832,"author":{"id":"4088578607242990","authorId":"4088578607242990","name":"farhan888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d77411e08481f7c9fe8d3cb53f968a7e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088578607242990","idStr":"4088578607242990"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":6,"commentSize":2,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/805438953","repostId":"1155171981","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1155171981","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627896283,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1155171981?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-02 17:24","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Save, Invest, Speculate, Trade, Or Gamble?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1155171981","media":"zerohedge","summary":"For some time, I’ve been saying that the economy is in the “eye of the storm” and that when it emerg","content":"<p>For some time, I’ve been saying that the economy is in the “eye of the storm” and that when it emerged, the weather would be far rougher than in 2008. The trillions of currency units created since 2007, combined with artificially suppressed interest rates, have papered over the situation. But only temporarily. When the economy goes into the trailing edge of the hurricane, the storm will be much different, much worse, and much longer lasting than what we experienced in 2008 and 2009.</p>\n<p>In some ways, the immediate and direct effects of this money creation appear beneficial. For instance, by not only averting a sharp complete collapse of financial markets and the banking system, but by taking the stock market to unprecedented highs. It’s allowed individuals and governments to borrow more, and live even further above their means. It may even create what’s known as a “crack-up boom”.</p>\n<p>However, a competent economist (as distinguished from a political apologist, many of whom masquerade as economists) will correctly assess the current prosperity as an illusion. They’ll recognize it as, at best, a natural cyclical upturn – a “dead cat bounce.”</p>\n<p>What we’re really interested in, however, are not the immediate and direct effects of QE— “Quantitative Easing”, and ZIRP—Zero Interest Rate Policy. As much as I love the way they fabricate these acronyms and euphemisms, what we’re really interested in is their indirect and delayed effects. In particular, how do we profit from them? What is likely to happen next in the economy? Which markets are likely to go up, and which are likely to go down?</p>\n<p><b>What Now?</b></p>\n<p>I’ve been looking for bargains, all over the world and in every type of market. And, yes, you can definitely find a stock here or a piece of real estate there that qualifies. But when it comes to any particular asset class, absolutely nothing – with the sole exception of commodities – is cheap at the moment.</p>\n<p>You may ask, how that can possibly be? It’s almost metaphysically impossible for “everything” to be expensive, if for no other reason than that it raises the question: “Relative to what?” Nonetheless, we’re in a genuine economic and financial twilight zone, where nothing is cheap and everything is high risk. This is most unusual because there’s usually <i>something</i> on the other end of the seesaw.</p>\n<p>The reason for this anomaly is worldwide “QE” on a completely unprecedented scale, by practically every government. So much money has been created in the recent years that it’s flowed into almost every sector of every market – stocks, bonds, and property. Even money itself is actually overpriced – the conundrum is that it’s maintaining as much value as it is, despite many trillions having been recently created around the world and much more to come.</p>\n<p>Many people, and most corporations, are staying in cash simply because it allows you to move quickly (which is important when you’re sitting on a financial volcano), and it seems better to suffer a sure loss of perhaps 5% per year than an unexpected loss of 50% in some volatile market. Neither is a good alternative, of course. But I’ve thought about it and feel I can offer some guidance.</p>\n<p>Again, an economist tries to see the indirect and delayed effects of actions. But this isn’t an academic exercise. So although we want to think like economists, we want to act like speculators.</p>\n<p>A speculator sometimes profits from the immediate and direct effects of actions, but that’s not his real forte; almost everyone can predict those, so it tends to be a crowded playing field. Running with the crowd limits your profit potential – the whole crowd is unlikely to get rich. And it’s dangerous, because crowds can change direction quickly and trample the less fleet of foot.</p>\n<p>Rather, the thoughtful speculator prefers to look for the indirect and delayed effects of politically caused distortions in the markets. Because the effects are delayed, we have more time to get positioned. And because far fewer people pay attention to what’s likely to occur over the horizon, versus what’s tucked up under their noses, the potential tends to be much bigger.</p>\n<p>The speculator is a natural contrarian because few tend to share his viewpoint, and he rarely runs with the crowd. He’s always looking for something similar to silver in 1965, when the U.S. was controlling it at $1.29, or gold in 1971, when it was controlled at $35. Although politically guaranteed distortions are best, any kind will do – especially those caused by manias, when things rise way too high, or panics, when things fall way too low.</p>\n<p>Rothschild’s famous dictum “Buy when blood is running in the streets” is the speculator’s motto.</p>\n<p>This concept is especially critical at the moment. You have to decide – basically right now – how you’re going to play your cards over the next few years. If you don’t, you’re going to find yourself acting in an <i>ad hoc</i> way in what will likely be a chaotic situation. If that’s the case, you’re likely to wind up as financial road kill.</p>\n<p>There are basically three realistic actions available to you: saving, investing, and speculating. I urge you to burn the distinctions into your consciousness. When people don’t fully understand the words they use, they can’t understand the concepts they convey; the result is confusion.</p>\n<p><b>Saving</b></p>\n<p>Saving means taking the excess of what you produce over what you consume and setting it aside. It’s basic and essential, because it creates capital. It is capital, in turn, that allows you to advance to the next level. An individual or a society that doesn’t save will soon find itself in trouble.</p>\n<p>A major problem is looming, however, that transcends the fact that many, or even most, people don’t save. It’s that those who do almost always save in the form of some currency – dollars, euros, yen, etc. If those currencies disappear, so do the savings, devastating exactly the most productive and prudent people. That is exactly what I believe is going to happen all over the world in the years to come. With predictably catastrophic consequences.</p>\n<p><b>Investing</b></p>\n<p>Investing is the process of allocating capital to a productive business, in the anticipation of creating more wealth. You can’t invest, however, unless you have capital, which usually only comes from saving.</p>\n<p>Investing necessarily becomes harder, more unpredictable, and less likely to succeed as government interventions – in the forms of currency inflation, taxation, and regulation – increase. And all three are going to increase vastly in the years to come.</p>\n<p>In addition, as society reorders itself to different and lower patterns of consumption, most businesses will suffer serious declines in earnings, and many will go bust. Investing, which thrives in a stable, business-friendly atmosphere, is going to be a tough row to hoe.</p>\n<p><b>Speculating</b></p>\n<p>This is the process of capitalizing on government-caused distortions in the markets. In a free-market society, speculators would have few opportunities. But that’s not the kind of world we live in, so speculators will have many opportunities to choose from.</p>\n<p>Sadly, speculators have an unsavory reputation among the unwashed. That’s true for several reasons. Their returns are often outsized, inciting envy. Their returns are often realized in times of crisis, which prompts the thoughtless to presume they caused the crisis. And since speculators usually act counter to the wishes of governments and counter to their propaganda, they’re made to appear anti-social.</p>\n<p>In point of fact, I wish we lived in a world where speculation was redundant and unnecessary – but that would be a world where the state had no involvement in the economy.</p>\n<p>As it now stands, however, the speculator is actually a hero, and something of an unloved good Samaritan. When everyone wants to buy, he stands ready to provide what others want. And when everyone wants to sell, he stands ready with cash in their hour of need. He’s a bit like a fire fighter – his services aren’t usually needed, but when they are, it’s typically a time of danger.</p>\n<p>One mistake that novices make is to confuse a speculator with a trader, or worse, with a gambler. Again, let’s define our terms.</p>\n<p><b>A trader</b>is generally one who’s in the market for a living, a short-term player who tries to buy low and sell high, often scalping for fractions, typically relying on technical analysis or a read of the market’s mood at the moment. There are some extremely successful traders, but it’s a real specialty.</p>\n<p>I’m disinclined to trade for two reasons. First, it’s necessarily very time and attention intensive, and therefore psychologically draining. Second, you’re always swimming upstream against lots of commissions and bid/ask spreads. A trader and a speculator are two very different things.</p>\n<p><b>A gambler</b>relies on the odds, or sometimes just luck, in an attempt to turn a buck. While luck and statistical probabilities are elements in most parts of life, they shouldn’t play a big part in your financial activities. People who think so are either ignorant or losers who want to attribute their lack of success to the will of the gods.</p>\n<p>The years to come are going to be tough on everybody, but the speculator has by far the best chance of coming out ahead.</p>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Save, Invest, Speculate, Trade, Or Gamble?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nSave, Invest, Speculate, Trade, Or Gamble?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-02 17:24 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/save-invest-speculate-trade-or-gamble><strong>zerohedge</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>For some time, I’ve been saying that the economy is in the “eye of the storm” and that when it emerged, the weather would be far rougher than in 2008. The trillions of currency units created since ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/save-invest-speculate-trade-or-gamble\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{".IXIC":"NASDAQ Composite",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index",".DJI":"道琼斯","SPY":"标普500ETF"},"source_url":"https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/save-invest-speculate-trade-or-gamble","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1155171981","content_text":"For some time, I’ve been saying that the economy is in the “eye of the storm” and that when it emerged, the weather would be far rougher than in 2008. The trillions of currency units created since 2007, combined with artificially suppressed interest rates, have papered over the situation. But only temporarily. When the economy goes into the trailing edge of the hurricane, the storm will be much different, much worse, and much longer lasting than what we experienced in 2008 and 2009.\nIn some ways, the immediate and direct effects of this money creation appear beneficial. For instance, by not only averting a sharp complete collapse of financial markets and the banking system, but by taking the stock market to unprecedented highs. It’s allowed individuals and governments to borrow more, and live even further above their means. It may even create what’s known as a “crack-up boom”.\nHowever, a competent economist (as distinguished from a political apologist, many of whom masquerade as economists) will correctly assess the current prosperity as an illusion. They’ll recognize it as, at best, a natural cyclical upturn – a “dead cat bounce.”\nWhat we’re really interested in, however, are not the immediate and direct effects of QE— “Quantitative Easing”, and ZIRP—Zero Interest Rate Policy. As much as I love the way they fabricate these acronyms and euphemisms, what we’re really interested in is their indirect and delayed effects. In particular, how do we profit from them? What is likely to happen next in the economy? Which markets are likely to go up, and which are likely to go down?\nWhat Now?\nI’ve been looking for bargains, all over the world and in every type of market. And, yes, you can definitely find a stock here or a piece of real estate there that qualifies. But when it comes to any particular asset class, absolutely nothing – with the sole exception of commodities – is cheap at the moment.\nYou may ask, how that can possibly be? It’s almost metaphysically impossible for “everything” to be expensive, if for no other reason than that it raises the question: “Relative to what?” Nonetheless, we’re in a genuine economic and financial twilight zone, where nothing is cheap and everything is high risk. This is most unusual because there’s usually something on the other end of the seesaw.\nThe reason for this anomaly is worldwide “QE” on a completely unprecedented scale, by practically every government. So much money has been created in the recent years that it’s flowed into almost every sector of every market – stocks, bonds, and property. Even money itself is actually overpriced – the conundrum is that it’s maintaining as much value as it is, despite many trillions having been recently created around the world and much more to come.\nMany people, and most corporations, are staying in cash simply because it allows you to move quickly (which is important when you’re sitting on a financial volcano), and it seems better to suffer a sure loss of perhaps 5% per year than an unexpected loss of 50% in some volatile market. Neither is a good alternative, of course. But I’ve thought about it and feel I can offer some guidance.\nAgain, an economist tries to see the indirect and delayed effects of actions. But this isn’t an academic exercise. So although we want to think like economists, we want to act like speculators.\nA speculator sometimes profits from the immediate and direct effects of actions, but that’s not his real forte; almost everyone can predict those, so it tends to be a crowded playing field. Running with the crowd limits your profit potential – the whole crowd is unlikely to get rich. And it’s dangerous, because crowds can change direction quickly and trample the less fleet of foot.\nRather, the thoughtful speculator prefers to look for the indirect and delayed effects of politically caused distortions in the markets. Because the effects are delayed, we have more time to get positioned. And because far fewer people pay attention to what’s likely to occur over the horizon, versus what’s tucked up under their noses, the potential tends to be much bigger.\nThe speculator is a natural contrarian because few tend to share his viewpoint, and he rarely runs with the crowd. He’s always looking for something similar to silver in 1965, when the U.S. was controlling it at $1.29, or gold in 1971, when it was controlled at $35. Although politically guaranteed distortions are best, any kind will do – especially those caused by manias, when things rise way too high, or panics, when things fall way too low.\nRothschild’s famous dictum “Buy when blood is running in the streets” is the speculator’s motto.\nThis concept is especially critical at the moment. You have to decide – basically right now – how you’re going to play your cards over the next few years. If you don’t, you’re going to find yourself acting in an ad hoc way in what will likely be a chaotic situation. If that’s the case, you’re likely to wind up as financial road kill.\nThere are basically three realistic actions available to you: saving, investing, and speculating. I urge you to burn the distinctions into your consciousness. When people don’t fully understand the words they use, they can’t understand the concepts they convey; the result is confusion.\nSaving\nSaving means taking the excess of what you produce over what you consume and setting it aside. It’s basic and essential, because it creates capital. It is capital, in turn, that allows you to advance to the next level. An individual or a society that doesn’t save will soon find itself in trouble.\nA major problem is looming, however, that transcends the fact that many, or even most, people don’t save. It’s that those who do almost always save in the form of some currency – dollars, euros, yen, etc. If those currencies disappear, so do the savings, devastating exactly the most productive and prudent people. That is exactly what I believe is going to happen all over the world in the years to come. With predictably catastrophic consequences.\nInvesting\nInvesting is the process of allocating capital to a productive business, in the anticipation of creating more wealth. You can’t invest, however, unless you have capital, which usually only comes from saving.\nInvesting necessarily becomes harder, more unpredictable, and less likely to succeed as government interventions – in the forms of currency inflation, taxation, and regulation – increase. And all three are going to increase vastly in the years to come.\nIn addition, as society reorders itself to different and lower patterns of consumption, most businesses will suffer serious declines in earnings, and many will go bust. Investing, which thrives in a stable, business-friendly atmosphere, is going to be a tough row to hoe.\nSpeculating\nThis is the process of capitalizing on government-caused distortions in the markets. In a free-market society, speculators would have few opportunities. But that’s not the kind of world we live in, so speculators will have many opportunities to choose from.\nSadly, speculators have an unsavory reputation among the unwashed. That’s true for several reasons. Their returns are often outsized, inciting envy. Their returns are often realized in times of crisis, which prompts the thoughtless to presume they caused the crisis. And since speculators usually act counter to the wishes of governments and counter to their propaganda, they’re made to appear anti-social.\nIn point of fact, I wish we lived in a world where speculation was redundant and unnecessary – but that would be a world where the state had no involvement in the economy.\nAs it now stands, however, the speculator is actually a hero, and something of an unloved good Samaritan. When everyone wants to buy, he stands ready to provide what others want. And when everyone wants to sell, he stands ready with cash in their hour of need. He’s a bit like a fire fighter – his services aren’t usually needed, but when they are, it’s typically a time of danger.\nOne mistake that novices make is to confuse a speculator with a trader, or worse, with a gambler. Again, let’s define our terms.\nA traderis generally one who’s in the market for a living, a short-term player who tries to buy low and sell high, often scalping for fractions, typically relying on technical analysis or a read of the market’s mood at the moment. There are some extremely successful traders, but it’s a real specialty.\nI’m disinclined to trade for two reasons. First, it’s necessarily very time and attention intensive, and therefore psychologically draining. Second, you’re always swimming upstream against lots of commissions and bid/ask spreads. A trader and a speculator are two very different things.\nA gamblerrelies on the odds, or sometimes just luck, in an attempt to turn a buck. While luck and statistical probabilities are elements in most parts of life, they shouldn’t play a big part in your financial activities. People who think so are either ignorant or losers who want to attribute their lack of success to the will of the gods.\nThe years to come are going to be tough on everybody, but the speculator has by far the best chance of coming out ahead.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{".DJI":0.9,".IXIC":0.9,"SPY":0.9,".SPX":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1766,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805256776,"gmtCreate":1627886223395,"gmtModify":1703497201534,"author":{"id":"4088578607242990","authorId":"4088578607242990","name":"farhan888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d77411e08481f7c9fe8d3cb53f968a7e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088578607242990","idStr":"4088578607242990"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/805256776","repostId":"1139536467","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1485,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":805256806,"gmtCreate":1627886192405,"gmtModify":1703497200567,"author":{"id":"4088578607242990","authorId":"4088578607242990","name":"farhan888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d77411e08481f7c9fe8d3cb53f968a7e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088578607242990","idStr":"4088578607242990"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":2,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/805256806","repostId":"1161638572","repostType":4,"repost":{"id":"1161638572","kind":"news","pubTimestamp":1627885628,"share":"https://ttm.financial/m/news/1161638572?lang=&edition=fundamental","pubTime":"2021-08-02 14:27","market":"us","language":"en","title":"Now That Amazon’s Pandemic-Era Boom Is Over, Is It Time To Sell The Stock?","url":"https://stock-news.laohu8.com/highlight/detail?id=1161638572","media":"investing.com","summary":"After a year of remarkable gains, e-commerce giant, Amazon.com is now finding itself in rough waters","content":"<p>After a year of remarkable gains, e-commerce giant, <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a> is now finding itself in rough waters.</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/22027d5f542d1ce780c211ac2b908609\" tg-width=\"828\" tg-height=\"740\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">AMZN Weekly TTM</p>\n<p>Shares of the company plunged almost 8% on Friday, the stock's biggest slump in more than a year, after the e-tail behemoth disappointed investors with its latestearnings report, released on Thursday, after the close.</p>\n<p>On its face, Q2 earnings weren’t bad. The Seattle-based tech giant made $113.1 billion in sales, a jump of 27% in the period that ended on June 30, slightly missing analysts’ consensus estimate of $115 billion. Profit was $15.12 a share in the period, surpassing the average estimate of $12.28.</p>\n<p>Investors also overlooked better-than-predicted profits and a strong performance from the company’s advertising business as well as from Amazon Web Services, the company's cloud unit. AWS revenue jumped 37% in the quarter to $14.8 billion—the biggest year-over-year sales jump in two years. The company’s “other” revenue category, primarily advertising sales, gained 87% to $7.92 billion. Both units topped analysts’ estimates.</p>\n<p>But beyond these fantastic growth numbers, Amazon didn’t have much to satisfy growth-hungry investors, concerned that the remarkable run the online retailer had during the pandemic is perhaps already in the rearview mirror.</p>\n<p>Shareholder focus is on the company's core e-commerce business which is, indeed, slowing, especially at the same time that founder Jeff Bezos has handed over the executive role to a long-time lieutenant, Brian Olsavsky. In a conference call, the new CEO didn’t mince words regarding the situation, telling analysts the slowdown in sales will continue through the remainder of the year.</p>\n<p>“People are getting out more and doing things besides shopping,” Olsavsky said in a call with reporters, referring to the reopening of the economy after more than a year of restrictions which created a conducive environment for online shopping.</p>\n<p><b>Analysts Remain Bullish On The Stock</b></p>\n<p>Revenue will be $106 billion to $112 billion in the period ending in September, Amazon said. Operating profit will be $2.5 billion to $6 billion. Analysts, on average, projected $8.11 billion in profit on sales of $118.7 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.</p>\n<p>Despite the setback on the earnings front, the majority of Wall Street analysts remain bullish on the company’s long-term prospects and its leading position in e-commerce. Though some have adjusted their price targets on the stock as sales slow, many believe any lingering weakness offers a buying opportunity.</p>\n<p>The Telsey Advisory Group has an outperform rating and $4,000 price target for Amazon. Analysts said in its note that the company is becoming more valuable in the post-pandemic environment:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “We understand Amazon shares are likely to trade down, given soft 2Q21 results and a lower 3Q21 outlook. That said, we believe Amazon is executing at a high level and should continue to gain market share by leveraging its sticky customer base, small business relationships, and retail consolidation. The focus on newer businesses and initiatives—grocery, pharmacy, fashion, home, private brands, third-party, same-day/one-day delivery, and Amazon Logistics—is making Amazon more valuable.”\n</blockquote>\n<p>Stifel Nicolaus, which also has a buy rating on the stock with a price target of $4,400, said:</p>\n<blockquote>\n “We now have better visibility into the 2H and estimates are adjusted better reflecting the new normal as we emerge from the pandemic. We believe the setup is attractive now that the shares are on the other side of the COVID comp reset. We would be buyers on the share decline stemming from tonight’s report.”\n</blockquote>\n<p>Of 49 analysts polled by Investing.com, 48 had a buy rating on AMZN, labeling it a stock that will 'outperform.'</p>\n<p><img src=\"https://static.tigerbbs.com/fdc251f85f600e7cdf53f8796b6eb627\" tg-width=\"1003\" tg-height=\"652\" referrerpolicy=\"no-referrer\" width=\"100%\" height=\"auto\">AMZN Consensus Estimate</p>\n<p><i>Chart: Investing.com</i></p>\n<p>The average, 12-month price target provided by respondents was $4,169, or a +25% upside.</p>\n<p><b>Bottom Line</b></p>\n<p>Shares of <a href=\"https://laohu8.com/S/AMZN\">Amazon.com</a> may experience more downside after the weak Q3 guidance for its core e-commerce sales, post the brisk buying activity seen during the pandemic.</p>\n<p>But that weakness offers an entry point for investors sitting on the sidelines, given the company’s rapidly expanding revenues from its cloud and ad businesses, along with its still-dominant position in the e-commerce arena.</p>","source":"lsy1594375853987","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>Now That Amazon’s Pandemic-Era Boom Is Over, Is It Time To Sell The Stock?</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nNow That Amazon’s Pandemic-Era Boom Is Over, Is It Time To Sell The Stock?\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n2021-08-02 14:27 GMT+8 <a href=https://www.investing.com/analysis/now-that-amazons-pandemicera--boom-is-over-is-it-time-to-sell-the-stock-200595368><strong>investing.com</strong></a>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<div>\n<p>After a year of remarkable gains, e-commerce giant, Amazon.com is now finding itself in rough waters.\nAMZN Weekly TTM\nShares of the company plunged almost 8% on Friday, the stock's biggest slump in ...</p>\n\n<a href=\"https://www.investing.com/analysis/now-that-amazons-pandemicera--boom-is-over-is-it-time-to-sell-the-stock-200595368\">Web Link</a>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"AMZN":"亚马逊"},"source_url":"https://www.investing.com/analysis/now-that-amazons-pandemicera--boom-is-over-is-it-time-to-sell-the-stock-200595368","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"1161638572","content_text":"After a year of remarkable gains, e-commerce giant, Amazon.com is now finding itself in rough waters.\nAMZN Weekly TTM\nShares of the company plunged almost 8% on Friday, the stock's biggest slump in more than a year, after the e-tail behemoth disappointed investors with its latestearnings report, released on Thursday, after the close.\nOn its face, Q2 earnings weren’t bad. The Seattle-based tech giant made $113.1 billion in sales, a jump of 27% in the period that ended on June 30, slightly missing analysts’ consensus estimate of $115 billion. Profit was $15.12 a share in the period, surpassing the average estimate of $12.28.\nInvestors also overlooked better-than-predicted profits and a strong performance from the company’s advertising business as well as from Amazon Web Services, the company's cloud unit. AWS revenue jumped 37% in the quarter to $14.8 billion—the biggest year-over-year sales jump in two years. The company’s “other” revenue category, primarily advertising sales, gained 87% to $7.92 billion. Both units topped analysts’ estimates.\nBut beyond these fantastic growth numbers, Amazon didn’t have much to satisfy growth-hungry investors, concerned that the remarkable run the online retailer had during the pandemic is perhaps already in the rearview mirror.\nShareholder focus is on the company's core e-commerce business which is, indeed, slowing, especially at the same time that founder Jeff Bezos has handed over the executive role to a long-time lieutenant, Brian Olsavsky. In a conference call, the new CEO didn’t mince words regarding the situation, telling analysts the slowdown in sales will continue through the remainder of the year.\n“People are getting out more and doing things besides shopping,” Olsavsky said in a call with reporters, referring to the reopening of the economy after more than a year of restrictions which created a conducive environment for online shopping.\nAnalysts Remain Bullish On The Stock\nRevenue will be $106 billion to $112 billion in the period ending in September, Amazon said. Operating profit will be $2.5 billion to $6 billion. Analysts, on average, projected $8.11 billion in profit on sales of $118.7 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.\nDespite the setback on the earnings front, the majority of Wall Street analysts remain bullish on the company’s long-term prospects and its leading position in e-commerce. Though some have adjusted their price targets on the stock as sales slow, many believe any lingering weakness offers a buying opportunity.\nThe Telsey Advisory Group has an outperform rating and $4,000 price target for Amazon. Analysts said in its note that the company is becoming more valuable in the post-pandemic environment:\n\n “We understand Amazon shares are likely to trade down, given soft 2Q21 results and a lower 3Q21 outlook. That said, we believe Amazon is executing at a high level and should continue to gain market share by leveraging its sticky customer base, small business relationships, and retail consolidation. The focus on newer businesses and initiatives—grocery, pharmacy, fashion, home, private brands, third-party, same-day/one-day delivery, and Amazon Logistics—is making Amazon more valuable.”\n\nStifel Nicolaus, which also has a buy rating on the stock with a price target of $4,400, said:\n\n “We now have better visibility into the 2H and estimates are adjusted better reflecting the new normal as we emerge from the pandemic. We believe the setup is attractive now that the shares are on the other side of the COVID comp reset. We would be buyers on the share decline stemming from tonight’s report.”\n\nOf 49 analysts polled by Investing.com, 48 had a buy rating on AMZN, labeling it a stock that will 'outperform.'\nAMZN Consensus Estimate\nChart: Investing.com\nThe average, 12-month price target provided by respondents was $4,169, or a +25% upside.\nBottom Line\nShares of Amazon.com may experience more downside after the weak Q3 guidance for its core e-commerce sales, post the brisk buying activity seen during the pandemic.\nBut that weakness offers an entry point for investors sitting on the sidelines, given the company’s rapidly expanding revenues from its cloud and ad businesses, along with its still-dominant position in the e-commerce arena.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"AMZN":0.9}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":2033,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172827691,"gmtCreate":1626953589413,"gmtModify":1703481228045,"author":{"id":"4088578607242990","authorId":"4088578607242990","name":"farhan888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d77411e08481f7c9fe8d3cb53f968a7e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088578607242990","idStr":"4088578607242990"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":8,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/172827691","repostId":"1161555269","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1700,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0},{"id":172824280,"gmtCreate":1626953445740,"gmtModify":1703481227236,"author":{"id":"4088578607242990","authorId":"4088578607242990","name":"farhan888","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/d77411e08481f7c9fe8d3cb53f968a7e","crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"followedFlag":false,"authorIdStr":"4088578607242990","idStr":"4088578607242990"},"themes":[],"htmlText":"Wow","listText":"Wow","text":"Wow","images":[],"top":1,"highlighted":1,"essential":1,"paper":1,"likeSize":5,"commentSize":1,"repostSize":0,"link":"https://ttm.financial/post/172824280","repostId":"1161555269","repostType":4,"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":1615,"authorTweetTopStatus":1,"verified":2,"comments":[],"imageCount":0,"langContent":"EN","totalScore":0}],"defaultTab":"posts","isTTM":true}