To The Moon

In last Thursday's post, I discussed an important point: the market must first reset before it can restart. Has the market reset yet? From both a macro and micro perspective, it might still not be enough.If, at that time, you also started shorting during the intraday session and added your positions during the overnight trading, you probably made close to 5% in intraday gains. While it may not seem like much, being able to make money in this kind of market is already a victory. What more could you want?This week is crucial. The S&P 500 index has been hovering at its 50-week moving average for three weeks now, and this week will determine the outcome. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ There are two major events for the US stock market this week: On Wednesday

A friend called me a "jinx"—I wrote about the market lacking beta yesterday, and boom, Nasdaq tanked overnight...Market Performance Recap: $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -2.04% $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -1.12%Russell 2000: -1.03%Dow Jones: -0.31%Why Did the Market Drop?1. Auto Tariffs & Trade TensionsStarting next week, Trump is imposing a 25% tariff on imported cars, affecting both fully assembled vehicles and key components like engines, transmissions, and electronics.Winners? Tesla. Since all its U.S. sales come from domestic factories, it's shielded from the tariff impact. $Ford(F)$ also has a partial advantage, as 80% of its U.S. sales come from locally built vehicles.Lose

A friend told me yesterday that trading has been exhausting lately—U.S. stocks are going up one day, down the next, struggling to break higher. Meanwhile, China’s A-shares wiped out a month’s gains in just three days, leaving many traders feeling lost.That got me thinking:What if there’s no beta return this year? How do we find alpha?Understanding Alpha and Beta🔹 Alpha (α): If your stock rises 15% while the market gains 10%, or if the market drops 5% but your stock still gains 5%, that extra return is alpha. It comes from stock-picking skills, trading strategies, or investment decisions—independent of overall market trends.🔹 Beta (β): If your stock or fund moves in line with the broader market (e.g., $S&P 500(.SPX)$,

PLTR is down again—but I’m STILL not buying. Yes, the stock has sold off from $120 to $80 in just a few weeks, but that doesn’t mean it’s time to jump in. Here’s why patience is key: The weekly BX is still making lower lows—big money is leaving, and until that flips, there’s no real support. The daily chart is in the golden pocket but hasn’t hit the Smart Money Zone yet. We could see a pop to $100 before another rejection—but a real bottom likely won’t happen until $73-$70 holds.

Two of the largest U.S. tech superpowers, Amazon and Alphabet, exhibit strong growth tailwinds despite the rise of Chinese AI challenger DeepSeek.Both stocks have been neck and neck, with returns hovering around 25.5% over the past year, yet have also fallen in 2025, returning -2.6% and -4.5% YTD, respectively. $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ holds a "Strong Buy" rating, while $Alphabet(GOOG)$ is rated "Hold," according to Seeking Alpha’s Quant Factor Grades. Amazon's forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 37.3, higher than Alphabet's 22.7, reflecting investor confidence in Amazon's growth prospects. Amazon Web Services (AWS) reported a 19% revenue increase to $28.79 billion in the latest quarter, slightly be

Fun fact: $Apple(AAPL)$ made about $16,000,000 every second for 3 months straight.

Image $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$

ImageAnyone read this? What is the problem? Confused $阿斯麦(ASML)$

$ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ down 3.6% in Amsterdam 2 reasons: 1. Dutch Prime Minister Dick Schoof gave an interview to Bloomberg TV and said the export restrictions on $ASML's sales to China will remain in place under Trump. No Did anyone really believe that would not be the case??? 2. SK Hynix had good earnings, but sait that "additional investments" this year will be "limited." SK Hynix is an $ASML customer. Doesn't change anything to the long-term thesis, short term there could be some pressure on price. Not worried at all.

I got some research to do