AfraSimon

    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·07:18

      $SPX Breakdown Deepens, Worst Start Since 1926 Raises Red Flags

      $S&P 500(.SPX)$ The S&P 500 is showing historically weak momentum, with just 3 positive weeks so far this year—matching one of the worst starts on record. The index is also on track for its longest stretch below the 200-day moving average since 2025, reinforcing bearish technical pressure. Seasonality adds another layer of risk: historically, midterm election cycles have seen average drawdowns of over 18% before stabilizing, suggesting further volatility may lie ahead before a more durable bottom forms. 1.S&P 500 $SPX has only had 3 green weeks during the first 12 weeks this year, equaling the worst start to a year in history 🚨🚨🚨 2.S&P 500 $SPX on track for its 8th consecutive close below the 200-day moving average, the longest str
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      $SPX Breakdown Deepens, Worst Start Since 1926 Raises Red Flags
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·06:43

      $SOFI Down 50%, Sentiment Reset or Broken Thesis?

      $SoFi Technologies Inc.(SOFI)$ is officially in a 50%+ Drawdown. In situations like this, one needs to examine the causes to determine whether the thesis is broken. 1) What is driving this sell-off? The sell-off is mostly caused by macro fears, not company-specific weakness. The recent short-seller report has mostly been brushed off by the market as BS. However, global uncertainty, including tensions like the Iran war, has made investors more cautious with growth stocks. At the same time, rising interest rate concerns and general market volatility are pushing fintech stocks down together. There has also been short-term worry about consumer health, especially after reports questioning spending strength. Overall, this looks like a sentiment-driven p
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      $SOFI Down 50%, Sentiment Reset or Broken Thesis?
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·03-30 06:50

      Leaders Cracking: $META Below 200DMA, $SPX Bleeds, $SNAP Destroyed

      Markets are showing clear signs of stress. $META is deeply below its 200DMA, $SPX is heading for its worst month since 2022, and $UNH has erased key institutional levels. Meanwhile, $SNAP highlights long-term value destruction — a reminder that not all dips recover. 1. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $META has now fallen below its 200-day moving average by the largest margin since 2022 📉📉📉 2. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ S&P 500 $SPX on track for its biggest monthly loss since September 2022 📉👻😱👀 3. $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ UnitedHealth $UNH has now plunged all the way back below Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway 2025 purchase price 📉💸 4.
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      Leaders Cracking: $META Below 200DMA, $SPX Bleeds, $SNAP Destroyed
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·03-28

      5 Simple Reasons Why I am Bullish on $IREN

      5 Simple Reasons Why I am Bullish on $IREN Ltd(IREN)$ 1/ Huge Demand "We can't meet the demand fast enough," Dan Roberts There is a huge demand for AI computing power, as hyperscalers invest hundreds of billions of dollars. IREN is perfectly situated to meet that demand. 2/ Focus on Bare Metal over Colocation "Colocation would be a lot easier, but we don't feel that it is the best value-creating opportunity." Dan Roberts, $IREN CEO AI cloud (bare metal) services can generate roughly $10M per megawatt, whereas simply leasing data center space (collocation) only brings in about $1.5-2M. We can see these dynamics at play with the $MSFT contract. The deal involves a 200MW deployment and will generate $9.7B in 5 years. A colocation contract would have
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      5 Simple Reasons Why I am Bullish on $IREN
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·03-28

      Size Up or Sit Out? Let $SPY $VIX $BTC Decide

      How much money to risk per trade: Risk tolerance should fluctuate. I get questions all the time about "exactly how much do u risk per trade". And I have to give the annoying non-answer of "it depends"...bc there's variables. It's nuanced. 5 buckets I use to determine level of risk: - current environment - relative strength of leaders - $vix behavior - breadth / participation - macro backdrop Here's each one with more detail: Current environment: - $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ trend (up/down bias?...don't overcomplicate) - spy, $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ relationship to key moving averages (above/below 50sma, 200sma?) - btc behavior...use to gauge risk/speculation appetite (ex: relative weakness = risk off grow
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      Size Up or Sit Out? Let $SPY $VIX $BTC Decide
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·03-27

      Grab Taiwan Entry: One-Off or A Blueprint For the Future?

      After rising $1.5B using convertible notes, $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$ ended 2025 with $6.8B in cash! Retail investors are not very patient, so for many months, Grab has been criticized for not putting its large cash balance to good use, and some even questioned why a profitable company would raise this much in the first place. However, the funds were clearly intended to purchase its biggest competitor in Indonesia, Gojek. While that deal has been rumored to be in the works for years, it seems Gojek will have to remain an independent company for longer, as any potential deal is stalled while Gojek goes through various scandals and government investigations. Grab was forced to pivot and find another M&A target, and they finally did. Grab is buying
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      Grab Taiwan Entry: One-Off or A Blueprint For the Future?
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·03-26

      $SPY $MSFT $GOOGL Break Down as $SRPT $CORZ $FLY Surge on Momentum

      Markets are showing clear divergence, with $SPY, $MSFT, and $GOOGL breaking down technically, while select high-beta names like $SRPT, $CORZ, and $FLY surge on strong momentum and catalysts. 1. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ S&P 500 $SPY on track for its 5th consecutive close below the 200-day moving average, the longest streak since May 📉🤯👀 2. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Microsoft $MSFT on track to close below its 200-week moving average for the first time in more than 13 years 📉📉 3. $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ Alphabet $GOOGL has entered a technical correction after falling more than 10% from its February all-time high 📉📉📉 4.$Sarepta T
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      $SPY $MSFT $GOOGL Break Down as $SRPT $CORZ $FLY Surge on Momentum
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·03-26

      $ADBE $CRM $ZM: Buybacks Rise as Software Weakness Deepens

      As Software stocks fall, they are resorting to BuyBacks in hopes to stabilise the share price. - $Dropbox Inc.(DBX)$ 31.7% - $Docusign(DOCU)$ 11.6% - $Adobe(ADBE)$ 10.5% - $Box(BOX)$ 10.2% - $Workday(WDAY)$ 9.4% - $Zoom(ZM)$ 7.9% - $Asana, Inc.(ASAN)$ 7.3% - $Salesforce.com(CRM)$ 6.6% - $Fair Isaac(FICO)$ 6% - $UiPath(PATH)$ 5.7% BuyBacks only increase EPS and share price
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      $ADBE $CRM $ZM: Buybacks Rise as Software Weakness Deepens
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·03-26

      10 High-Growth Stocks to Hold Till 2040

      10 High-Growth Stocks to Hold Till 2040 1/ $Ondas Holdings Inc.(ONDS)$ $ONDS is developing an autonomous military infrastructure platform that combines AI-driven drones and robotics with advanced wireless networks. Furthermore, $ONDS is also actively expanding through M&A, consolidating the fragmented military drone and robotics industries. In the context of the Iran War, the demand for its capabilities has become especially clear. The company is moving beyond the technology validation stage and shifting into the rapid execution and deployment phase. It is securing new contracts for its drones and robotic systems almost every week. 2025 revenues are up 605% Y/Y, whilst 2026 guidance was increased to $375M, up from $180M Consensus estimate. Fol
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      10 High-Growth Stocks to Hold Till 2040
    • AfraSimonAfraSimon
      ·03-25

      Mixed Signals: Stocks & Silver Weak, Gold Shows Strength

      This week, key markets show a mix of weakness and resilience. $SPY and $MSFT are testing critical 200-day moving averages, while $SLV extends its losing streak. Meanwhile, $GLD is bouncing off its 200-day MA, hinting at potential upside. Investors should watch these levels closely as volatility remains elevated. 1. $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ S&P 500 $SPY closed below its 200-day moving average for 4 consecutive days, the longest streak since May 📉 2. $Microsoft(MSFT)$ Microsoft $MSFT is now trading below its 200-day moving average by the largest margin since the Global Financial Crisis 📉🤯👀 3. $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$ Silver on track for its 10th conse
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      Mixed Signals: Stocks & Silver Weak, Gold Shows Strength
       
       
       
       

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