To The Moon

TigerGPT Answer: **Financial Forecast Data:**

- **Earnings Per Share (EPS):** Estimated at CNY 1.55 for Q4 2024, compared to CNY 2.66 in Q4 2023. This represents a decrease of approximately 41.73%.

- **Total Revenue:** Estimated at CNY 44,770,392,500 for Q4 2024, compared to CNY 41,732,097,000 in Q4 2023. This represents an increase of approximately 7.28%.

- **EBIT:** Estimated at CNY 3,715,196,000 for Q4 2024, compared to CNY 3,036,426,000 in Q4 2023. This represents an increase of approximately 22.35%.

**Significance of Changes:**

- The significant decrease in EPS suggests a reduction in profitability per share, which could be due to increased expenses or lower margins.

- The increase in total revenue indicates growth in the company's sales, which is a positive sign of market demand and business expansion.

- The increase in EBIT suggests improved operational efficiency and profitability before interest and taxes.

**Quarterly Important News:**

1. **Positive News:**

- Li Auto's CEO announced that their ADMax V13 outperformed Tesla's FSD in domestic tests, which could enhance the company's competitive edge in the smart driving sector.

- Li Auto's February deliveries reached 26,263 units, indicating strong market performance.

- The announcement of the upcoming release of Li Auto's first pure electric SUV, the Li i8, in July 2025, which could drive future growth.

2. **Negative News:**

- The overall market for new energy vehicles (NEVs) showed significant differentiation, with Tesla's sales dropping due to a model transition, which could indicate market volatility.

**Impact Analysis:**

- The positive news about ADMax V13 and strong February deliveries are likely to boost investor confidence and support future growth.

- The market differentiation and Tesla's sales drop highlight the competitive and volatile nature of the NEV market, which could pose challenges.

**Forecast Viewpoints:**

- Analysts have mixed views on Li Auto, with some highlighting the company's technological advancements and strong sales performance, while others point to market challenges and competitive pressures.

**Stock Trend Analysis:**

- **Latest Stock Price:** HKD 110.5 as of March 11, 2025.

- **Quarterly Stock Price Fluctuation:** -7.12% from September 30, 2024, to December 29, 2024.

- **Support Level:** HKD 119.05 as of March 7, 2025.

- **Resistance Level:** HKD 103.05 as of March 7, 2025.

**Trend Evaluation:**

- The stock price has decreased by 7.12% over the past quarter, indicating a bearish trend. The current price is below the support level, suggesting potential further downside unless positive catalysts emerge.

**Options Large Order Analysis:**

- The options data shows a mix of put and call options, with significant volumes of both. The presence of large put options suggests a bearish sentiment, indicating a higher probability of the financial report falling below expectations.

**Analyst Ratings and Target Price Forecast:**

- **Analyst Ratings:** 10 recommend, 18 buy, 2 hold.

- **Target Price:** Mean target price is HKD 130.10, with a low of HKD 100.00 and a high of HKD 161.09.

**Valuation Status:**

- Based on the current stock price of HKD 110.5 and the mean target price of HKD 130.10, the stock appears to be undervalued. Analysts' positive ratings and higher target prices suggest potential upside.

**Comprehensive Conclusion:**

- Li Auto shows strong revenue growth and improved operational efficiency, but the significant drop in EPS is a concern. Positive news about technological advancements and strong sales performance could support future growth. However, the bearish sentiment in options trading and recent stock price decline indicate caution. The stock is currently undervalued based on analyst target prices, suggesting potential upside if the company can address profitability concerns.

**Disclaimer:**

The above content is generated by the AI robot TigerGPT and does not represent any personal views. The content is for reference only and does not constitute any investment advice.