The hardest thing to predict is policy. Sentiment usually follow policies, inflation and earnings reports. Traders use technicals because there is some form of predictability. Policy is unexpected and unpredictable. We only know when it is announced eg chips act, tariffs, retaliation by other countries, new trade agreement are beyond the control of us.
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[Events] What’s the hardest thing to predict in the stock market? Policy, sentiment, or technicals?
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