To The Moon

Market Outlook of S&P500 (30Jun25)

Technical observations:

• MACD - a top crossover is completed, and this implies another rally in the cards.

• Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing an uptrend.

• Both the 50 MA line and the 200 MA line are showing an uptrend. This speaks of a bullish outlook for both the short and long term. We can expect the formation of a golden cross in the coming days. This is typically a bullish signal when backed with strong volume.

• The CMF is positive at 0.15, indicating more buying pressure over the past 20 periods.

The technical analysis shows a rating of “Strong Buy” from the daily interval.

20 indicators show a “Buy” rating, and no indicator shows a “Sell” rating.

Note that the Stochastic RSI is showing a “Sell” rating.

Here are the recent candlestick patterns.

Outlook from Candlestick patterns (from Grok):

• Short-Term Outlook: The emerging Evening Star and Bearish Engulfing patterns suggest a bearish short-term trend, with the S&P 500 likely to continue correcting. A break below 5,796.34 with high volume could accelerate the decline toward 5,629.83 (50 MA).

• Long-Term Outlook: The long-term trend is at a crossroads. The recent high of 6,000.36 and the current drop to 5,845.90 indicate a potential reversal. If the price holds above the 200 MA (5,796.34), the bullish trend could resume; otherwise, a deeper correction toward 5,629.83 or lower is possible.

• Actionable Insight: The bearish candlestick patterns suggest a short-term sell-off or consolidation. Traders should watch for a test of support at 5,796.34; a bounce from this level could signal a resumption of the uptrend, while a break below it with high volume may confirm a bearish shift. Monitor volume and MACD (which showed divergence on June 2) for confirmation of the next move.

The candlestick patterns indicate a shift to a bearish short-term outlook, with the longer-term trend at risk of turning neutral or bearish unless key support levels hold. The S&P 500 appears to be entering a correction phase following its recent peak.

From the technical analysis and candlestick patterns, the market can rally in the coming days. A double top looks to be forming, and a reversal is possible following this. The S&P 500 can range sideways.

@TigerStars

$S&P 500(.SPX)$

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$