To The Moon

$AST SpaceMobile, Inc.(ASTS)$ $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$ $Robinhood(HOOD)$ 🛰️📈💥 AST SpaceMobile: Targeting $77 as Wave 5 Commences, Spectrum, Structure, and Sentiment Aligned 💥📈🛰️

📍 Wave 5 Initiation: Technical Integrity Meets Asymmetric Risk

$ASTS has just completed a textbook Wave 4 retracement, bouncing cleanly between the 0.382 ($42.00) and 0.5 ($38.27) Fibonacci levels. With the structure intact, we now enter Wave 5; a terminal impulsive move that, under a full bullish scenario, could culminate near the 1.618 extension at $77.90.

The current price structure supports three defined levels ahead:

• $61.87 (0.618 extension from Wave 3)

• $73.89 (standard Wave 5 projection)

• $77.90 (Fib confluence and primary Wave III objective)

This setup reflects precision in market structure, not speculation. A sustained break below $51 would invalidate this thesis and indicate premature exhaustion.

📊 Fundamentals: Strategic Spectrum Access Underpinned by Institutional Capital

On 18Jul25, AST SpaceMobile’s subsidiary Spectrum USA I entered a $550M non-recourse, senior secured credit agreement with Sound Point Agency. The funds are earmarked for Ligado-related obligations and grant access to 45 MHz of lower mid-band spectrum across 🇺🇸 U.S. and 🇨🇦 Canada; regions critical for low-latency, direct-to-device satellite infrastructure.

The agreement is backed by a first-priority lien over nearly all operational assets, indicating robust collateralization and institutional confidence in the asset base. Regulatory conditions must be met before drawdown, but the framework reflects a clear path to capital deployment for commercial scale.

In essence, $ASTS is no longer a speculative satellite narrative; it’s an operationalising infrastructure entity with spectrum exposure analogous to terrestrial mobile operators.

🔥 Catalysts: Capital Inflow, ETF Exposure, and Sentiment Surge

MarketWatch has flagged $ASTS as a core holding in the VanEck BUZZ ETF, which tracks momentum-driven retail sentiment. Since 8Apr25, $ASTS is up +182%, outperforming the S&P 500’s +26% rally over the same period.

While BTIG’s Jonathan Krinsky warns of short-term sentiment froth, particularly as BUZZ trades 29% above its 200-DMA, $ASTS offers a different profile. Unlike other social-media favorites, often loss-making and narrative-driven, $ASTS has secured spectrum rights, credit facilities, and is actively progressing toward monetisation.

The key distinction? This is not merely a “meme stock” surge; it’s a rerating based on capital structure evolution, regulatory asset acquisition, and structural thematic tailwinds in global connectivity.

📌 Peer Benchmarking: $ASTS Among 2025’s Top Growth Equities

Futurum Equities ranks $ASTS as the 7th best-performing growth equity of 2025, with a YTD gain of +175%. It stands alongside major outperformers such as:

• $MP +305% (Rare Earths)

• $PGY +235% (AI & Fintech)

• $QS +182% (Battery Innovation)

The common thread among these? Strategic positioning within secular growth verticals, validated by both institutional activity and retail sentiment.

🧠 Trading Framework: Probabilities, Not Predictions

If you’re managing exposure here as I am, the next 10–15% upside must be weighed against structural invalidation below $51. This is a clear risk-defined opportunity. Trailing stops should be respected. If price accelerates toward $73.89 or $77.90 without divergence, it likely confirms Wave 5 completion and a need for tactical exit or reassessment.

The objective isn’t to anticipate tops; it’s to identify zones of high reward asymmetry backed by structure, fundamentals, and positioning.

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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC 📈🚀🍀🍀🍀

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