To The Moon

$Riot Platforms(RIOT)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2508(BTCmain)$ I’m extremely confident this is the credibility reset moment that will define the next leg of the crypto bull market. The executive order unlocking $8.9 trillion in retirement capital for crypto and alternative assets is the largest single policy shift for this sector in history. Bitcoin has surged ~4 % to ~$122,308 and I’m positioning for the 140K-plus target as the next major milestone if institutional inflows maintain velocity.

Chart Breakdown

RIOT’s weekly RSI sits between 47.93 and 52.50, showing neutral momentum with significant upside room. Short-term stochastics at ~18 are oversold, setting up a textbook rebound scenario. Weekly MACD (DIF = 0.7015, DEA = 0.3422, histogram = 0.7186) is turning higher after a consolidation phase. Price is anchored at $10.55–$10.54 support, with resistance at $11.47, $12.22, $13.25, and $14.69–$15.73. ATR near 8.7 % and ADX around 30 confirm high-volatility strength. On the 4H chart, price is compressed between EMA 13 and EMA 21 inside the Keltner mid-band, with Bollinger Bands tightening in preparation for a volatility breakout. Fractal comparisons to past Bitcoin-driven surges point to potential triple-digit percentage gains if BTC clears $125K.

Flow & Institutional Moves

Pre-market, Riot is up 4.1 %, Hut 8 +4.2 %, Marathon Digital +4.8 %, all tracking Bitcoin’s breakout. Trump’s policy shift opens retirement capital to miners, attracting hedge funds like Fasanara Digital and Edge Capital, while MicroStrategy has added $2.46 billion in Bitcoin this year. This is the first coordinated liquidity cycle where miners, corporate treasuries, and retail are aligned.

Valuation Check

Trading at $11.08, RIOT remains deeply discounted relative to operational leverage. Consensus 12-month price target is $17.33 (+56 % upside), with top-end forecasts at $24. Sustained Bitcoin strength above $125K would likely drive rapid multiple expansion.

Analyst PTs & Sentiment

The Fear & Greed Index is at 62 today (Greed), up from 59 last week and 55 on the monthly; a rare multi-timeframe bullish alignment. Forums are dominated by phrases like “retirement liquidity unleashed” and “401(k) Bitcoin supercycle.” Options flow skews strongly bullish with a put/call ratio of 0.16 and OI ratio of 0.33, showing institutional confidence in upside continuation.

I’m Building My Trade Plan

I’m accumulating near $10.55–$10.54 support with stops just below $10.50. Targets are $12.22, $13.25, and $14.69–$15.73, with a stretch goal above $20 if Bitcoin’s breakout accelerates. Position sizing will increase on confirmation of BTC clearing $125K with sustained volume.

Conclusion

If Bitcoin breaches $125K on unleashed retirement flows, corporate treasury accumulation, and synchronized sentiment, RIOT could retest $15–$16 rapidly and then drive toward $20–$25. This is a rare alignment of policy, liquidity, and momentum; conditions that historically deliver outsized returns for leveraged crypto equities.

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