Watching Divergences as Small Caps Lead

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Watching Divergences as Small Caps Lead

📅 6 Oct 2025

The S&P continues to grind higher, but divergences are starting to creep in — three on the daily chart and five on the QQQs. It’s not a full red flag yet, but worth keeping an open mind as momentum begins to stretch.

The breakout in small caps is a big deal. IWM has cleared multi-year resistance, and historically, small-cap leadership tends to support broader market strength.

Meanwhile, the dollar still looks heavy, but those multi-timeframe squeezes could flip long and turn into a headwind for risk assets. Same story with the VIX — if those squeezes fire to the upside, volatility could spike quickly.

Amid that backdrop, I’m adding a new long setup in **MP**.

🎯 Trading Plan

Adding $MP Materials Corp.(MP)$ Nov 21 $70

Cutting $Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd(CRDO)$

# [Mid-Autumn Festival] 🌙 Share Your Mid-Autumn Glow With Us!

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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Ah_Meng
·10-07
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Long MP? Why choose $70? Isn’t it expensive?
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- Flameless Phoenix:
  I think is reasonable and there is still time and room for growth to the upside. Just my thoughts.
  10-07
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CatherineGunter
·10-07
Great analysis
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Why choose $70? Isn’t it expensive?","text":"Long MP? Why choose $70? Isn’t it expensive?","html":"Long MP? Why choose $70? Isn’t it expensive?","likeSize":0,"commentSize":1,"subComments":[{"id":486746602893848,"commentId":"486746602893848","gmtCreate":1759801733321,"gmtModify":1759803930463,"authorId":3587014559420141,"author":{"id":3587014559420141,"idStr":"3587014559420141","authorId":3587014559420141,"name":"Flameless Phoenix","avatar":"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/e64820a51bc95af1d616b3c081af4d0a","vip":1,"currentWearingBadge":{"badgeId":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84-1","templateUuid":"a83d7582f45846ffbccbce770ce65d84","name":"Real Trader","description":"Completed a transaction","bigImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/2e08a1cc2087a1de93402c2c290fa65b","smallImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4504a6397ce1137932d56e5f4ce27166","grayImgUrl":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/4b22c79415b4cd6e3d8ebc4a0fa32604","redirectLinkEnabled":0,"hasAllocated":1,"isWearing":1,"stampPosition":0,"hasStamp":0,"allocationCount":1,"allocatedDate":"2021.12.29","individualDisplayEnabled":0,"individualDisplaySort":0,"categoryType":1100},"crmLevel":12,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":486192943067600,"objectIdStr":"486192943067600","type":1,"supId":486418856215000,"supIdStr":"486418856215000","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"I think is reasonable and there is still time and room for growth to the upside. Just my thoughts.","text":"I think is reasonable and there is still time and room for growth to the upside. Just my thoughts.","html":"I think is reasonable and there is still time and room for growth to the upside. Just my thoughts.","disclaimerType":0}],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"hot","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0},{"id":486492608107288,"commentId":"486492608107288","gmtCreate":1759803202037,"gmtModify":1759977035176,"authorId":9000000000000657,"author":{"id":9000000000000657,"idStr":"9000000000000657","authorId":9000000000000657,"name":"CatherineGunter","avatar":"https://static.tigerbbs.com/3776235f8fbc22077e8df03b2522caf3","vip":8,"crmLevel":1,"crmLevelSwitch":0,"individualDisplayBadges":[]},"repliedAuthorId":0,"objectId":486192943067600,"objectIdStr":"486192943067600","type":1,"supId":0,"supIdStr":"0","prevId":0,"prevIdStr":"0","content":"Great analysis","text":"Great analysis","html":"Great analysis","likeSize":0,"commentSize":0,"subComments":[],"verified":10,"allocateAmount":0,"commentType":"invalid","coins":0,"score":0,"disclaimerType":0}],"hasMoreComment":true,"orderType":2}