Shyon
11-22

When markets fall sharply, many say it’s the best time for ordinary investors to build wealth, but it’s hard to tell whether the drop is a true crash or just a correction. Sentiment helps, but it’s not precise — fear is high now at 7, yet in April it hit 4 and the market still sank further. With the NASDAQ only down about 8% and still positive for the year, this doesn’t look like a real crash.

I also watch the mood in stock groups. Early in a decline, people still rant and blame CEOs. The real bottom often appears when everyone goes quiet — when losses are deep and no one has energy to complain. That kind of silence is a stronger signal than any index, and we’re not there yet.

So at this point, I don’t think this is a true crash. The drop is sharp but lacks clear signs of capitulation. To find the real bottom, I look for extreme fear, investor silence, forced selling, and irrationally oversold prices. Until those show up, I stay patient.

@Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Tiger_SG

# How Do You Tell When a Market Armageddon Is Coming?

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  • Sandyboy
    ·11-22
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    Good way to gauge. Agree but may be difficult to identify also. Different investors enter at diff levels and what may work for one may not work for another.
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    • Shyon: 
      Fully agree
      11-24
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