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11-24

Predicting a Market Armageddon or its exact timing is challenging, but a combination of indicators such as extreme sentiment, economic signals, technical breakdowns and market behavior can help signal when a downturn is imminent or nearing a bottom, though no single indicator guarantees an outcome。。。

Key indicators of a market crash include overvaluation, rising debt levels, interest rate hikes, yield curve inversions, extreme investor sentiment, and weakening economic fundamentals, such as slow GDP growth, rising unemployment, and falling corporate earnings

To identify a market bottom, watch for extreme fear, high trading volume signaling capitulation, and signs of recovery in key stocks or indices

The most effective approach is not to try to time the market, but to use these indicators for risk management, recognizing when the warning signs point to a risky top and when bottom indicators suggest capitulation

Tag :@Huat99  @Snowwhite  

[Discussion] How Do You Tell When a Market Armageddon Is Coming?

@Tiger_SG：
Some say that a market crash is the best opportunity for ordinary people to make money. Most retail investors have small capital and average trading skills, so they rarely make significant profits in normal markets. But a crash is different — after a major plunge or even a 50% wipeout, going all-in can lead to outsized gains. But how can you tell whether something is truly a market crash? And when should you start bottom-fishing? For most investors, the biggest question during a downturn is when to buy the dip. If you buy too early, the volatility will shred your nerves; buy too late, and you miss the bottom — or hesitate to buy during the rebound. Either way, you end up making nothing. Some say sentiment is the key to judging whether it’s time to bottom-fish and whether the situation qualifies as a crash. Today, the fear index for the market has already reached 7 — extreme fear. But back in April, extreme fear dropped as low as 4. So does that mean we haven’t bottomed yet? If we really repeat April, the downside could be much worse. And for now, $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ is only down about 8% from its high and still up 14% year-to-date, which hardly counts as a crash. Others say you can judge it by watching your friends or your stock-trading groups. At the start of a decline, everyone still blames the CEO or curses at the market. But once most investors are deep in losses, out of cash, and too defeated to complain, that’s when the bottom is in. So some believe you should always keep at least 50% of your funds available — ready for the next real crash. Although the market is dropping sharply right now, the scale of the decline still doesn’t look like what we saw in April. So how do you know when a true market crash has begun? And which indicators can help you pick the bottom? Leave your comments to win tiger coins! —————————— For SG users only, A tool to boost your purchasing power and trading ideas with a Cash Boost Account! For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below: 🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly! Complete your first Cash Boost Account trade with a trade amount of ≥ SGD 5000* to get SGD 688 stock vouchers*! The trade can be executed using any payment type available under the Cash Boost Account: Cash, CPF, SRS, or CDP. Click to access the activity Other helpful links: 💰Join the TB Contra Telegram Group to Get $10 Trading Vouchers Now🎉 How to open a CBA. How to link your CDP account. Other FAQs on CBA. Cash Boost Account Website.
[Discussion] How Do You Tell When a Market Armageddon Is Coming?

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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