Dollar General Breaks $108 as Holiday Momentum Builds

$Dollar General(DG)$

Surges +4.28%: Discount Retail Giant Breaks Through $108 Resistance, Holiday Season Momentum Building

Latest Close Data

DG closed at $108.77 on November 27th, gaining +4.28% (+$4.46) from yesterday's $104.31.

The stock reached a session high of $109.25, positioning just 7.8% below its 52-week high of $117.95, signaling strong recovery momentum.

Core Market Drivers

Holiday shopping season drives consumer traffic to discount retailers as inflation-conscious shoppers seek value.

DG's resilient business model benefits from economic uncertainty, with management's strategic store expansion and inventory optimization initiatives supporting operational efficiency during peak retail periods.

Technical Analysis

  • Volume surged to 3.12M shares with RSI(6) climbing to 79.17, indicating overbought conditions but strong bullish momentum.

  • MACD shows positive divergence at 1.20 with DIF crossing above DEA at 0.595, confirming upward trend acceleration.

  • The breakout occurred on above-average volume, validating the move.

Key Price Levels

  • Primary Support: $104.25 (previous resistance now support)

  • Strong Resistance: $112.00 (psychological level toward 52-week high)

  • Immediate Pivot: $108.00 (today's breakout confirmation level)

Valuation Perspective

Trading at P/E TTM of 20.14x, slightly above retail sector average but justified by consistent earnings growth.

Forward P/E of 16.92x suggests reasonable valuation with EPS TTM of $5.40. P/S ratio of 0.57x remains attractive for the discount retail space.

Analyst Targets

27 analysts coverage with average target of $120.16 (10.5% upside potential).

Consensus shows 8 Strong Buy, 4 Buy, and 18 Hold ratings, reflecting cautious optimism about holiday quarter performance and 2025 outlook.

Weekly Outlook

Expect continued momentum toward $112-115 resistance zone if volume sustains above 3M daily average.

RSI overbought conditions may trigger short-term consolidation between $106-109 before next leg higher. Holiday sales data will be key catalyst.

Risk Disclaimer

This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Please conduct your own research before making investment decisions.

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