wait for clarity

A conservative setup For a large bank like $星展集团控股(D05.SI)$ , I prefer to avoid binary bets and focus on confirmation. The clean signals are:

  • Guidance on NIM (especially how management frames deposit betas)

  • Credit cost guidance (are provisions still conservative, or drifting toward “normal”?)

  • Loan growth quality (not just growth for growth’s sake)
    If NIM is flat-to-down but credit remains benign and fees improve, the earnings profile can stay attractive. If NIM is down and credit costs are rising, the market usually compresses the multiple quickly.
    The key is that banks are “confidence assets”—once investors fear a turn in asset quality, it often takes multiple quarters of clean prints to rebuild trust. That’s why I keep a bias toward patience and data, not narratives.

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  • Todamoon
    ·2025-12-24
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    wait for confirmation too late. By that time it will be $60 then you will buy at the peak only to see it drop to $55 then you cry about it. lol
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  • BK99
    ·2025-12-24
    It’s will be too late if you wait for clarity ! Go read more and act fast
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