ππ§ π Is Capital Repricing AI Duration via $PLTR LEAPS? ππ§ π
Iβm watching a very deliberate repricing take shape, and the charts are unusually aligned.
π Long-Dated Conviction In Software
Iβm seeing over $19M in premium flow into Palantir June 2027 $210 calls, with additional size extending into 2028. These contracts were bought to open, clustered, and largely lifted at the ask. This is not short-term gamma or tactical hedging. This is capital committing to duration.
June 2027 sits well beyond quarterly noise and near-term contract variability. Buyers at this strike are implicitly underwriting multi-year commercial expansion, operating leverage, and continued durability in government demand. When flow stretches this far out, I read it as confidence in earnings power rather than a view on the next price swing.
π Semiconductors Are Confirming The Signal
At the same time, Broadcom is behaving exactly as the options data suggests it should. Over $10M in single-leg calls crossed intraday, call premium dominated, put pressure stayed muted, and price followed premium higher by more than 2%.
That sequence matters. Options flow is leading price, not reacting to it, and dealer positioning is being forced to adjust with the move. This is characteristic of accumulation phases, not speculative chasing.
π§ Nvidia Remains The Anchor
Nvidia continues to sit at the centre of the AI complex. Shares are up more than 2% on the session, with roughly 97% of analysts maintaining buy ratings over the past two months. What stands out to me is not optimism, but stability. Consensus has held firm despite enormous gains, suggesting conviction is keeping pace with valuation. $NVDA bears getting steamrolled π€!
π The Macro Layer Explains The Timing
The AI spend chart ties this together cleanly. Global AI investment has expanded from roughly $25B in 2015 to over $512B in 2025. That scale of growth forces capital further along the value chain. Chips first, infrastructure next, and now increasingly into software platforms that monetise inference, deployment, and data advantage.
Thatβs why the timing of long-dated $PLTR calls alongside aggressive $AVGO upside flow is so important. Hardware continues to absorb capital, but software duration is starting to price the downstream payoff.
What Iβm focused on is the synchronisation. Long-dated calls in software, upside pressure in semiconductors, analyst conviction holding steady, and price confirming across the complex. That alignment tends to appear early in durable regimes, not at their peak.
Iβm not watching todayβs candles. Iβm watching what kind of future investors are willing to pay for, years in advance.
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Trade like a boss! Happy trading ahead, Cheers, BC πππππ
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@Barcode Thanks for your analysis!
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