BTS
02-27 01:08

$NVIDIA Corp(NVDA)$  

The earnings performance of NVIDIA (NVDA), combined with a 5-year low in stock valuation, creates a compelling dilemma

NVDA's record-breaking results show that even good news may no longer be enough to satisfy lofty earnings expectations; this price action intensifies the valuation debate of bargain or value trap, especially as "2027 Anxiety" persists over whether the moat is intact amid rising competition and shifting market conditions

If Blackwell shipments exceed expectations, Jensen silences doubters with strong AI dominance data, and the second leg of the AI bull market begins, likely leading to a bullish breakout toward $200

Even with solid earnings, but enthusiasm fades amid broader macro risks and profit-taking, with institutions locking in gains and the stock searches for near-term support, likely resulting in a Sell-the-News pullback toward $180

Ultimately, NVDA's next move hinges on growth momentum versus macro risks, with potential for upside or a near-term pullback。。。

Nvidia Earnings: Valuation at 5-Year Low! Can Nvidia Break "Earnings Curse"?

@Tiger_comments：
Tomorrow after the close, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ will report earnings. On one side, Wall Street’s ever-rising expectations; on the other, macro geopolitical tensions, renewed tariff noise tied to Trump, and growing market anxiety over whether AI spending can stay this hot into 2027. 1. Earnings Expectations: Good News May No Longer Be Enough Current consensus puts Q4 revenue around $57 billion, with data center expectations the most aggressive — analysts have lifted forecasts from about $52.7B six months ago to roughly $60.1B now. Recently, even when Nvidia beats expectations, the stock hasn’t reacted strongly. Once “surprise” becomes standard, marginal impact declines. Options pricing currently implies about a ~6% move this week — in either direction. 2. Valuation Debate: Bargain or Value Trap? Nvidia’s forward P/E is now below 24x — not only below its 5-year average (~38x) but close to the lowest level in five years. For a stock once widely labeled “expensive,” it now arguably looks relatively cheap among mega-cap tech. If tomorrow’s guidance is solid, this valuation compression could become the trigger for fresh buying. 3. The “2027 Anxiety”: Is the Moat Still Intact? Market concerns are focused on two main questions: 1. Can Big Tech Keep Spending? Microsoft, Google, and other hyperscalers are investing aggressively in 2026, but their cash flow outlook for 2027 looks less certain. 2. Beyond $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$, major tech players are developing in-house inference chips to reduce reliance on Nvidia. Current stock weakness partly reflects pricing in this potential competition risk. But the good news is Nvidia has been trading in low range. More than revenue numbers, we should watch how Jensen Huang frames the post-Blackwell roadmap. He needs hard data showing that even with in-house chips, Nvidia maintains dominance in AI inference. If Jensen successfully reinforces the “inference leadership” narrative — combined with today’s compressed valuation — Nvidia could have room to restart its uptrend. Is Tomorrow Nvidia’s Breakthrough Moment or a Trial by Fire? With NVDA trading around $190, where do you think the stock goes? A. Bullish Breakout — Toward $200 Blackwell shipments exceed expectations, Jensen silences doubters with strong dominance data, and the second leg of the AI bull market begins. B. Sell-the-News Pullback — Toward $180 Solid earnings, but enthusiasm fades amid macro risks and profit-taking; institutions lock in gains and the stock searches for near-term support. 🎁 Earnings Prediction Challenge — Join the Discussion 1. Participation Reward: Anyone commenting with a trend or target price forecast receives 5 Tiger Coins. 2. Lucky Draw Bonus: Among those correctly predicting direction (A or B), winners will split 1,000 Tiger Coin Example: “I pick A — valuation looks cheap now; expecting a breakout after earnings.” Leave your comments to win tiger coins!
Nvidia Earnings: Valuation at 5-Year Low! Can Nvidia Break "Earnings Curse"?

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