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Catch up fast：These events rocked the markets today.
Weekly Five Key Areas: Macro, Singapore Stocks, Options, Futures, Earnings
Covering five major market segments this week to help you stay ahead of market trends and plan your trades effectively!
📈 Wednesday — Options Market Analyze options open interest and implied volatility to track short-term market movements.
Top 10 Option Volumes
U.S. stocks finished nearly unchanged on Monday after a turbulent session marked by early declines following weekend U.S. and Israeli airstrikes on Iran, though dip-buying throughout the day helped stabilize the market. The options market saw heavy activity with 59.4 million contracts traded, 55% of which were calls. Tech giants dominated volume, with Nvidia, Tesla, Netflix, Palantir, Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, AMD, Ondas, and Meta ranking as the top 10 most-active names. Palantir stood out with an 8.1% surge on 810,580 option contracts—62% bullish calls—including a 246% gain on $145 strike calls expiring Friday, as investors rewarded its expanding government cloud contracts and recurring-revenue model.
Defense and energy sectors saw unusual options activity as geopolitical tensions escalated, with Raytheon volume spiking to 121,774 contracts—7.2x its 90-day average. Analysts anticipate accelerated defense spending in 2026, with Stifel noting that prolonged conflict with Iran would make budgets "more urgent and less controversial." This pattern reflects the sector's role as a geopolitical barometer, where military conflict typically drives procurement cycles and crisis-driven investment flows.
📌【Today’s Question】
What's your outlook on crude oil price movements?
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A little surprised that gold is not as strong as I thought it would be.
So crude and oil would be a good play too.
A worst case scenario in the event of an all out war, involving US ground troops, prices could double to even USD 150.
Conversely if there is a cease fire, the "war" premium could evaporate within days, returning oil prices to USD 73 to 75.
$Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLE)$ which represents 22 of the US oil giants in 1 powerful ETF, provides a tactical play during this volatile geopolitical instability.
These include $Exxon Mobil(XOM)$ and $Chevron(CVX)$ which would benefit from the current oil shortage. These 2 oil giants alone make up nearly 40% of XLE holdings.
Let's hope and pray for peace in the region soon as war is never a solution.
@Daily_Discussion
The crude oil outlook for March 2026 is currently dominated by high volatility and a significant "geopolitical risk premium" due to escalating conflict in the Middle East. While long-term fundamentals suggest a surplus, immediate supply fears—specifically regarding the Strait of Hormuz—have pushed prices to multi-month highs.
Current Market Snapshot (March 4, 2026)
WTI Crude: Trading around $76.27 per barrel, up roughly 2.3% on the day.
Brent Crude: Trading near $83.52 per barrel, following a surge of over 12% in the past 48 hours.
📈 Wednesday — Options Market Analyze options open interest and implied volatility to track short-term market movements.
中东局势升温，本质上是通胀预期的二次扰动。油价是最直接的传导变量。只要冲突存在“外溢风险”，原油下方空间就很有限，资金不会轻易做深度看空。但另一方面，美国需求并没有爆发式增长，全球经济也谈不上强劲复苏，所以油价要走出趋势性牛市，也缺乏基本面配合。