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06-03

Yes water is wet

The S&P 500 Climbs for a 9th Straight Day — but the "Breadth Paradox" Is Sending a Rare Warning

The S&P 500 recorded its ninth straight daily gain on Tuesday.The S&P 500's latest string of records has come with a catch: Fewer stocks are participating in the rally.That could leave the large-cap...

The S&P 500 Climbs for a 9th Straight Day — but the "Breadth Paradox" Is Sending a Rare Warning

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However, beneath the surface, the index has posted negative breadth for six straight trading sessions - meaning more S&amp;P 500 stocks fell than rose, even as the index itself kept moving higher.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The top panel in the chart below shows the index rising for several straight sessions, while the bottom panel shows the daily number of advancing stocks minus declining stocks staying negative over the same stretch.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/339024b81c1a2149f27bb68381a79082\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"540\" tg-height=\"349\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">That is historically unusual. Based on data going back to 1996, the S&amp;P 500 has never before risen for six straight days while decliners outnumbered advancers each day, Krinsky wrote in a Tuesday note. In fact, he said, the index had never before done so for more than three straight sessions.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">That could be concerning because it suggests the rally is becoming increasingly reliant on a small group of heavily weighted stocks. The divergence between the S&amp;P 500&#39;s gains and the weakness among many of its members highlights what Krinsky calls the &#34;breadth paradox,&#34; in which the market&#39;s largest stocks can keep pushing the index higher even as weakness spreads across much of the rest of the market.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">As long as those leaders continue to climb, the S&amp;P 500 can keep rising even as many of its individual components struggle. But if momentum in those winners starts to unwind, the same concentration could work in reverse, pulling the index lower even if participation improves elsewhere in the market, according to Krinsky.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;When we finally get a sustained momentum unwind, you can easily get a situation where breadth is strong, yet major indices fall anyway. We continue to think June is a likely spot for this reversion to begin,&#34; Krinsky wrote.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The concentration in the market is striking. Information technology now makes up nearly 40% of the S&amp;P 500, a record high, according to Krinsky. The top 10 stocks in the index also account for roughly 40% of its market value.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">What&#39;s more, over the past five sessions, only two S&amp;P 500 sectors were higher, according to Dow Jones Market Data; technology rose 5.9%, while energy gained 0.3%. By contrast, three sectors were down 3% or more, including real estate, utilities and communication services.</p></body></html>","collect":0,"html":"<!DOCTYPE html>\n<html>\n<head>\n<meta http-equiv=\"Content-Type\" content=\"text/html; charset=utf-8\" />\n<meta name=\"viewport\" content=\"width=device-width,initial-scale=1.0,minimum-scale=1.0,maximum-scale=1.0,user-scalable=no\"/>\n<meta name=\"format-detection\" content=\"telephone=no,email=no,address=no\" />\n<title>The S&P 500 Climbs for a 9th Straight Day — but the \"Breadth Paradox\" Is Sending a Rare Warning</title>\n<style type=\"text/css\">\na,abbr,acronym,address,applet,article,aside,audio,b,big,blockquote,body,canvas,caption,center,cite,code,dd,del,details,dfn,div,dl,dt,\nem,embed,fieldset,figcaption,figure,footer,form,h1,h2,h3,h4,h5,h6,header,hgroup,html,i,iframe,img,ins,kbd,label,legend,li,mark,menu,nav,\nobject,ol,output,p,pre,q,ruby,s,samp,section,small,span,strike,strong,sub,summary,sup,table,tbody,td,tfoot,th,thead,time,tr,tt,u,ul,var,video{ font:inherit;margin:0;padding:0;vertical-align:baseline;border:0 }\nbody{ font-size:16px; line-height:1.5; color:#999; background:transparent; }\n.wrapper{ overflow:hidden;word-break:break-all;padding:10px; }\nh1,h2{ font-weight:normal; line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:.6em; }\nh3,h4,h5,h6{ line-height:1.35; margin-bottom:1em; }\nh1{ font-size:24px; }\nh2{ font-size:20px; }\nh3{ font-size:18px; }\nh4{ font-size:16px; }\nh5{ font-size:14px; }\nh6{ font-size:12px; }\np,ul,ol,blockquote,dl,table{ margin:1.2em 0; }\nul,ol{ margin-left:2em; }\nul{ list-style:disc; }\nol{ list-style:decimal; }\nli,li p{ margin:10px 0;}\nimg{ max-width:100%;display:block;margin:0 auto 1em; }\nblockquote{ color:#B5B2B1; border-left:3px solid #aaa; padding:1em; }\nstrong,b{font-weight:bold;}\nem,i{font-style:italic;}\ntable{ width:100%;border-collapse:collapse;border-spacing:1px;margin:1em 0;font-size:.9em; }\nth,td{ padding:5px;text-align:left;border:1px solid #aaa; }\nth{ font-weight:bold;background:#5d5d5d; }\n.symbol-link{font-weight:bold;}\n/* header{ border-bottom:1px solid #494756; } */\n.title{ margin:0 0 8px;line-height:1.3;color:#ddd; }\n.meta {color:#5e5c6d;font-size:13px;margin:0 0 .5em; }\na{text-decoration:none; color:#2a4b87;}\n.meta .head { display: inline-block; overflow: hidden}\n.head .h-thumb { width: 30px; height: 30px; margin: 0; padding: 0; border-radius: 50%; float: left;}\n.head .h-content { margin: 0; padding: 0 0 0 9px; float: left;}\n.head .h-name {font-size: 13px; color: #eee; margin: 0;}\n.head .h-time {font-size: 11px; color: #7E829C; margin: 0;line-height: 11px;}\n.small {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.9); -webkit-transform: scale(0.9); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.smaller {font-size: 12.5px; display: inline-block; transform: scale(0.8); -webkit-transform: scale(0.8); transform-origin: left; -webkit-transform-origin: left;}\n.bt-text {font-size: 12px;margin: 1.5em 0 0 0}\n.bt-text p {margin: 0}\n</style>\n</head>\n<body>\n<div class=\"wrapper\">\n<header>\n<h2 class=\"title\">\nThe S&P 500 Climbs for a 9th Straight Day — but the \"Breadth Paradox\" Is Sending a Rare Warning\n</h2>\n\n<h4 class=\"meta\">\n\n\n<div class=\"head\" \">\n\n\n<div class=\"h-thumb\" style=\"background-image:url(https://static.tigerbbs.com/150f88aa4d182df19190059f4a365e99);background-size:cover;\"></div>\n\n<div class=\"h-content\">\n<p class=\"h-name\">Dow Jones </p>\n<p class=\"h-time\">2026-06-03 14:08</p>\n</div>\n\n</div>\n\n\n</h4>\n\n</header>\n<article>\n<html><head></head><body><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The S&amp;P 500 recorded its ninth straight daily gain on Tuesday.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The S&amp;P 500&#39;s latest string of records has come with a catch: Fewer stocks are participating in the rally.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">That could leave the large-cap benchmark index vulnerable if momentum in its biggest leaders, many of them tied to artificial intelligence, starts to reverse - a shift that could begin in June, according to Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The S&amp;P 500 SPX on Tuesday recorded its ninth straight daily gain and is on pace for its 10th straight weekly advance, according to Dow Jones Market Data. However, beneath the surface, the index has posted negative breadth for six straight trading sessions - meaning more S&amp;P 500 stocks fell than rose, even as the index itself kept moving higher.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The top panel in the chart below shows the index rising for several straight sessions, while the bottom panel shows the daily number of advancing stocks minus declining stocks staying negative over the same stretch.</p><p class=\"t-img-caption\"><img src=\"https://community-static.tradeup.com/news/339024b81c1a2149f27bb68381a79082\" data-align=\"center\" tg-width=\"540\" tg-height=\"349\"/><span></span></p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">That is historically unusual. Based on data going back to 1996, the S&amp;P 500 has never before risen for six straight days while decliners outnumbered advancers each day, Krinsky wrote in a Tuesday note. In fact, he said, the index had never before done so for more than three straight sessions.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">That could be concerning because it suggests the rally is becoming increasingly reliant on a small group of heavily weighted stocks. The divergence between the S&amp;P 500&#39;s gains and the weakness among many of its members highlights what Krinsky calls the &#34;breadth paradox,&#34; in which the market&#39;s largest stocks can keep pushing the index higher even as weakness spreads across much of the rest of the market.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">As long as those leaders continue to climb, the S&amp;P 500 can keep rising even as many of its individual components struggle. But if momentum in those winners starts to unwind, the same concentration could work in reverse, pulling the index lower even if participation improves elsewhere in the market, according to Krinsky.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">&#34;When we finally get a sustained momentum unwind, you can easily get a situation where breadth is strong, yet major indices fall anyway. We continue to think June is a likely spot for this reversion to begin,&#34; Krinsky wrote.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">The concentration in the market is striking. Information technology now makes up nearly 40% of the S&amp;P 500, a record high, according to Krinsky. The top 10 stocks in the index also account for roughly 40% of its market value.</p><p style=\"text-align: left;\">What&#39;s more, over the past five sessions, only two S&amp;P 500 sectors were higher, according to Dow Jones Market Data; technology rose 5.9%, while energy gained 0.3%. By contrast, three sectors were down 3% or more, including real estate, utilities and communication services.</p></body></html>\n\n</article>\n</div>\n</body>\n</html>\n","type":0,"thumbnail":"","relate_stocks":{"NOBL":"ProShares S&P 500 Aristocrats ETF","DBSC":"Deepwater Beachfront Small Cap ETF","VV":"Vanguard Large-Cap ETF","GSLC":"Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta U.S. Large Cap Equity ETF","SPXL":"三倍做多标普500ETF-Direxion","MMAX":"iShares Large Cap Max Buffer Mar ETF","SPYD":"SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 High Dividend ETF","ETFT":"Fundsmith Equity ETF","XYLD":"Global X S&P 500 Covered Call ETF","SMAX":"ISHARES LARGE CAP MAX BUFFER SEP ETF",".SPX":"S&P 500 Index","SCHB":"Schwab US Broad Market ETF","MOAT":"VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF","SPYG":"SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Growth ETF","ITOT":"安硕核心标普全美股市ETF-iShares","SPUS":"SP Funds S&P 500 Sharia Industry Exclusions ETF","VEU":"Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US ETF","SPXS":"三倍做空标普500ETF-Direxion","SPGP":"Invesco S&P 500 GARP ETF","BMAY":"Innovator U.S. Equity Buffer ETF - May","SPYH":"Neos S&P 500 Hedged Equity Income ETF","IJR":"标普小型股600指数ETF-iShares","SH":"做空标普500-Proshares","SPLV":"Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF","IVE":"标普500价值指数ETF-iShares","UPRO":"三倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","SPUU":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bull 2x Shares","SPXU":"三倍做空标普500ETF-ProShares","SPDN":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 Bear 1X Shares","YSPY":"GraniteShares YieldBOOST SPY ETF","IVW":"标普500成长股指数ETF-iShares","ACWI":"MSCI全球ETF-iShares","SFY":"SoFi Select 500 ETF","SPYM":"投资组合标普500指数ETF-SPDR","SPHD":"标普500高股利投资组合ETF-PowerShares","VTI":"大盘指数ETF-Vanguard MSCI","SPYQ":"2倍做多SPY Quarterly ETF-Tradr","RSPN":"Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Industrials ETF","SPHQ":"Invesco S&P 500 Quality ETF","GPIX":"GOLDMAN SACHS S&P 500 CORE PREMIUM INCOME ETF","SCHX":"Schwab US Large-Cap ETF","XDTE":"Roundhill S&P 500 0DTE Covered Call Strategy ETF","SDS":"两倍做空标普500 ETF-ProShares","SPMO":"Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF","HIBL":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bull 3X Shares","VBK":"美国小盘成长股ETF-Vanguard","RSP":"平均加权指数ETF-Rydex S&P","HIBS":"Direxion Daily S&P 500 High Beta Bear 3X Shares","DMAX":"ISHARES LARGE CAP MAX BUFFER DEC ETF","XLG":"Invesco S&P 500 Top 50 ETF","SPYU":"MAX S&P 500 4X Leveraged ETN","JEPI":"JPMorgan Equity Premium Income ETF","RSPA":"Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Income Advantage ETF","SPYV":"SPDR Portfolio S&P 500 Value ETF","ALLW":"SPDR BRIDGEWATER ALL WEATHER ETF","TSPY":"TappAlpha SPY Growth & Daily Income ETF","VTV":"Vanguard Value ETF","SSO":"2倍做多标普500ETF-ProShares","IVV":"标普500ETF-iShares","RSPU":"Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight Utilities ETF","IJH":"标普中型股400指数ETF-iShares"},"source_url":"https://dowjonesnews.com/newdjn/logon.aspx?AL=N","is_english":true,"share_image_url":"https://static.laohu8.com/e9f99090a1c2ed51c021029395664489","article_id":"2640592471","content_text":"The S&P 500 recorded its ninth straight daily gain on Tuesday.The S&P 500's latest string of records has come with a catch: Fewer stocks are participating in the rally.That could leave the large-cap benchmark index vulnerable if momentum in its biggest leaders, many of them tied to artificial intelligence, starts to reverse - a shift that could begin in June, according to Jonathan Krinsky, chief market technician at BTIG.The S&P 500 SPX on Tuesday recorded its ninth straight daily gain and is on pace for its 10th straight weekly advance, according to Dow Jones Market Data. However, beneath the surface, the index has posted negative breadth for six straight trading sessions - meaning more S&P 500 stocks fell than rose, even as the index itself kept moving higher.The top panel in the chart below shows the index rising for several straight sessions, while the bottom panel shows the daily number of advancing stocks minus declining stocks staying negative over the same stretch.That is historically unusual. Based on data going back to 1996, the S&P 500 has never before risen for six straight days while decliners outnumbered advancers each day, Krinsky wrote in a Tuesday note. In fact, he said, the index had never before done so for more than three straight sessions.That could be concerning because it suggests the rally is becoming increasingly reliant on a small group of heavily weighted stocks. The divergence between the S&P 500's gains and the weakness among many of its members highlights what Krinsky calls the \"breadth paradox,\" in which the market's largest stocks can keep pushing the index higher even as weakness spreads across much of the rest of the market.As long as those leaders continue to climb, the S&P 500 can keep rising even as many of its individual components struggle. But if momentum in those winners starts to unwind, the same concentration could work in reverse, pulling the index lower even if participation improves elsewhere in the market, according to Krinsky.\"When we finally get a sustained momentum unwind, you can easily get a situation where breadth is strong, yet major indices fall anyway. We continue to think June is a likely spot for this reversion to begin,\" Krinsky wrote.The concentration in the market is striking. Information technology now makes up nearly 40% of the S&P 500, a record high, according to Krinsky. The top 10 stocks in the index also account for roughly 40% of its market value.What's more, over the past five sessions, only two S&P 500 sectors were higher, according to Dow Jones Market Data; technology rose 5.9%, while energy gained 0.3%. By contrast, three sectors were down 3% or more, including real estate, utilities and communication services.","news_type":1,"symbols_score_info":{"RSP":0.6,"XDTE":0.6,"GSLC":0.6,"VEU":0.6,"TSPY":0.6,"RSPU":0.6,"IJR":0.6,"IVW":0.6,"MMAX":0.6,"SH":0.6,"UPRO":0.6,"YSPY":0.6,"SPUU":0.6,"DMAX":0.6,"IJH":0.6,"SDS":0.6,"SCHX":0.6,"SPYQ":0.6,"SPYD":0.6,"SMAX":0.6,"ACWI":0.6,"SPXU":0.6,"SPYV":0.6,"SPDN":0.6,"BMAY":0.6,"ETFT":0.6,"SFY":0.6,"SPYG":0.6,"SPYM":0.6,"SPMO":0.6,"VTV":0.6,"VV":0.6,"SPLV":0.6,"XYLD":0.6,"NOBL":0.6,"SPGP":0.6,"SSO":0.6,"XLG":0.6,"VTI":0.6,"HIBL":0.6,"IVV":0.6,".SPX":1.97,"SPYU":0.6,"SPUS":0.6,"VBK":0.6,"ITOT":0.6,"RSPN":0.6,"IVE":0.6,"MOAT":0.6,"SPHD":0.6,"DBSC":0.6,"ALLW":0.6,"SPXL":0.6,"JEPI":0.6,"HIBS":0.6,"SCHB":0.6,"SPHQ":0.6,"SPYH":0.6,"GPIX":0.6,"SPXS":0.6,"RSPA":0.6}},"isVote":1,"tweetType":1,"viewCount":32,"commentLimit":10,"likeStatus":false,"favoriteStatus":false,"reportStatus":false,"symbols":[],"verified":2,"subType":0,"readableState":1,"langContent":"EN","currentLanguage":"EN","warmUpFlag":false,"orderFlag":false,"shareable":true,"causeOfNotShareable":"","featuresForAnalytics":[],"commentAndTweetFlag":false,"andRepostAutoSelectedFlag":false,"upFlag":false,"length":13,"optionInvolvedFlag":false,"xxTargetLangEnum":"ORIG"},"commentList":[],"hasMoreComment":false,"orderType":2}