Trying to put this drawdown in AI buildout names into historical context: $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ $Silver Verde May Mining Co., Inc.(SIVE)$ $Lumentum(LITE)$ SNDK.
What history shows is straightforward: the biggest long-term winners almost always went through violent resets before compounding over the long haul.
$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ dropped 94% during the dot-com bust, later becoming a multi-trillion dollar company.
$Apple(AAPL)$ was down 83%, now a global leader.
$Netflix(NFLX)$ fell 82%, then became a massive multi-bagger.
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ declined 74%, still one of the strongest secular growth stories.
$Monster Beverage(MNST)$ dropped 69%, a long-term compounder.
Morgan Stanley data backs this up too: top US winners from 1985–2024 all saw drawdowns greater than 55%, with the biggest wealth creators averaging around 80% peak-to-trough.
Not ignoring survivorship bias—many never recover. But that's precisely where the edge lies: separating structurally weak companies from those that are temporarily discounted.
This is where conviction and time horizon matter more than short-term price action. I remain bullish on the AI buildout continuing to evolve.
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