3-Month 100% Return: How a First-Time US Stock Trader Uses AI to Read the Semiconductor Cycle

Meet @Yongjian Zhang — a rising voice in the Tiger Community. A home textiles entrepreneur based in Singapore, he only started trading US stocks this March — no finance background, no investing books, no formal training. Instead, he built his own edge from scratch: running ChatGPT and Claude side by side to read the market, and anchoring almost everything to one conviction — semiconductors. A few months in, his net asset return is already north of 100%.

👀 Stick around until the end for an exclusive interview with @Yongjian Zhang—plus your chance to score extra Tiger Coins and get featured next!

Briefly introduce yourself and walk us through how you got started.

Hi Tiger Community! I run a home textiles business here in Singapore — I sell across Shopee, Lazada, and TikTok, plus some offline channels. I've been in Singapore since 2011, originally from Jiangxi. Investing wasn't really part of my life until this March, when I decided to properly start trading US stocks. Before that, I'd only ever touched A-shares casually.

I didn't come in with any formal training, and I haven't read the classic investing books — honestly, I don't think they'd help much in this market anymore. Instead, I lean on AI. I run ChatGPT and Claude side by side to help me read a stock's fundamentals and the broader market mood. It's been my substitute for years of market experience I don't have.

What's been your most successful or memorable trading experience so far?

May and June, hands down. Sentiment across the market was running really hot, and I had some standout days — over 10% in a single day at one point. That stretch is a big part of why my return is where it is now, just a few months in.

May 2026 — a standout month, +46.58%

One of my AMD trades — +20.68%

July was a different story, though, and I'll be upfront about it — I gave back a chunk of those gains. Looking back, it wasn't that my read on the market was wrong, it's that I held onto positions longer than I should have. That's the piece I'm still working on.

How do you pick stocks, and how do you manage risk?

I don't really look at valuations before I trade — no P/E ratios, no traditional screening. Instead, I watch how the Japanese and Korean markets open, since that usually gives me an early read on sentiment before US semiconductor names move. I trade with that sentiment rather than against it.

On sector choice, I've stayed narrow and focused: semiconductor storage names and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$, almost exclusively. I actually stay away from something like NVIDIA — it's a great company, but at its size I don't think there's much room left for the kind of outsized moves I'm looking for. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ and storage names give me more volatility to work with, both for holding and for shorter trades.

Walk us through your current positioning and what's next.

My approach splits into two buckets. My own cash goes into mid-to-long-term core positions in semiconductor storage and $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ — that's where I'm playing the bigger industry trend. Leveraged funds are reserved purely for short-term trades, where I'm trying to capture the day-to-day swings.

Cumulative P&L on my AMD position, March–July 2026

I've also just started learning to short — recently bought into an inverse ETF because I think the semiconductor sector is close to a bottom. My expectation is a short-term rebound first, with more downside likely after that plays out.

What's your outlook for H2 2026?

Still semiconductor storage — I haven't wavered on that. I think the recent pullback is a normal correction rather than the start of something worse, and I expect the sector to find its footing and head higher again in the back half of the year.

How disciplined are you with entries and exits, day to day?

Honestly, this is where I'm still a work in progress, and I'd rather be upfront about that than pretend otherwise. My July drawdown came down to exactly this — not sticking to a clear stop-loss or take-profit point, and holding on when I probably should have closed the position.

A few things I'm trying to hold myself to now: setting a stop-loss/take-profit range of around 5–10% instead of trading on gut feel; stepping back or going short instead of forcing trades when the data stops working in a falling market; staying flexible on direction rather than locking into one view; and just trading less overall — chasing fewer, clearer setups instead of frequent low-conviction ones.

Who or what has shaped your approach the most?

Honestly, it's been AI. I didn't have a mentor showing me the ropes — I built that role myself using ChatGPT and Claude, using them to analyze capital flow, trading data, and sector sentiment side by side. It's not perfect, and it doesn't replace discipline, but it's given me a way to compete without years of experience behind me.

Any advice for other Tiger users?

“Traditional investment logic doesn't always keep up with how fast the market moves now. New traders should be open to using tools to read the market, rather than relying only on the old playbooks.”

“Market analysis is just the starting point. Real stop-loss discipline and a level head are what actually make the difference over time. A good trader has to be comfortable going long, going short, or staying out entirely.”

Thanks @Yongjian Zhang for the honest sharing! Follow along as he keeps refining his approach to semiconductors and trading discipline.


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# 💰Stocks to watch today?(24 July)

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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  • TimothyX
    ·07-24 22:38
    July was a different story, though, and I'll be upfront about it — I gave back a chunk of those gains. Looking back, it wasn't that my read on the market was wrong, it's that I held onto positions longer than I should have. That's the piece I'm still working on.
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  • Cadi Poon
    ·07-24 22:37
    May and June, hands down. Sentiment across the market was running really hot, and I had some standout days — over 10% in a single day at one point. That stretch is a big part of why my return is where it is now, just a few months in.
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  • L.Lim
    ·07-24 20:10
    Even gambling on AI is not a sure win, look at Google, constantly spending money even s a highly successful juggernaut, it is still struggling to convince investors, having to constantly sell shares and debt.
    Look at Larry and our dear Orcl, trying to make a big play to build out AI centres and getting burned, then constantly selling more debt to finance the projects and firing workers.
    Very morbid and gross
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  • L.Lim
    ·07-24 20:08
    Honestly AMD is not a hard call to make, timing it would be tricky if you want to maximise profit.
    Do you take profit at the various highs, then catch a ride back in when it dips, do you just wait until it goes to the peak before the AI bubble bursts...
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  • 北极篂
    ·07-24 18:26
    我觉得最值得学习的不是他几个月做到超过100%回报,而是愿意坦承7月因纪律不足,把大部分利润回吐。很多人只分享成功,却很少分享犯错。我也认同AI已经成为投资的重要辅助工具,但AI只能提升分析效率,不能代替风险管理。真正决定长期成绩的,还是仓位控制、止损纪律和执行力。牛市里赚钱不难,难的是把利润留下来。能够不断检讨、修正交易系统,比一次高回报更有价值,这也是投资能够长期走下去的关键。
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  • Shyon
    ·07-24 18:17
    Congratulations on achieving such an impressive return in just a few months. I also appreciate your honesty about the July drawdown. Sharing the importance of stop-losses and position management makes your experience much more relatable and valuable.

    I found your use of ChatGPT and Claude for research especially interesting. AI can greatly improve research efficiency, but discipline and execution are still what determine long-term success. I also like your focus on staying within your circle of competence instead of chasing every trending sector.

    My question is: @Yongjian Zhang if the semiconductor cycle weakens more than expected in H2 2026, what key indicators would make you reduce your AMD and memory positions or switch to a more defensive strategy?

    @TigerClub @Tiger_comments @TigerStars

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  • JC888
    ·07-24 17:58
    One suggestion is to read posts in Community page, for nuances that AI chat bot may not offer.

    There are prolific contributors to the page. Hee hee...

    Investment is as much a skill as it is in a perverse way - an art form.

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  • AI_FocusedTrader
    ·07-24 18:27
    Very happy to know your logic and trend analysis before trading. Always remember risk and position control. Good luck in investing. @Yongjian Zhang

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  • BillionaireN
    ·35 minutes ago
    Congratulations!
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