To The Moon

I've long known that Trump doesn't play by the rules. But the fact that he launched a MEME coin over the weekend still makes me think that if he really gets a second term, he might bring huge risks to the financial markets. And this risk isn't just in the cryptocurrency market. You know, the audience in the cryptocurrency market is relatively small. This risk is likely to spread to the US stock market and even affect the global market.This weekend, people in WeChat Moments and groups were talking about how people got rich overnight with Trump coin. Actually, this kind of thing isn't new. People have made a lot of money from those so-called "shitcoins" and MEME coins before. And Elon Musk is also someone who likes to promote coins. But Trump is about to become the president again. Plus his

Let's talk about what happened in the forex market last week and what to expect this week.Last Week's Market RecapLast week, the US dollar had a short correction but then shot up. It closed the week higher. Meanwhile, non - US currencies kept hitting new lows. On Friday, the latest non - farm data came out way better than expected. This made the market lower its hopes for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in 2025. And this could keep the US dollar strong in the short run.The US dollar had its fifth straight week of gains. On Friday, it had a big daily jump. December's non - agricultural data showed the US created more jobs than we thought. This made people think the Fed will hold off on cutting rates as fast as they thought before. But, the Fed cares a lot about inflation data. So,

In the past week, a lot of things have changed, and most of the changes are opposite to the main trend in the third and fourth quarters of 2024. With Trump officially starting his second term in the White House next week, does this "reverse" trend mean a new trend is coming or just the last correction?First of all, let's look at crude oil prices. The price has gone up for three weeks in a row, but it still hasn't helped the bulls get back to the central axis range or break through the downward trend line since 2023. But at least it's not as weak as it was before, hovering around 70. Since there isn't much direct news to drive the oil prices, it's hard to say how reliable this increase is during the semi-holiday period. Whether it can break through the trend line resistance this week or nex

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.In early Asian trading on Wednesday (15 January), gold oscillated slightly lower and is currently trading at $2,673.5. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ Gold prices rebounded slightly on Tuesday, closing at $2,677.22, after the dollar fell in response to slightly weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation data, which gave investors faint hope that the Federal Reserve will continue to lower interest rates in 2025. Additionally, concerns about Trump's policy uncertainty also provided support for gold prices, although U.S. bond yields continued to climb higher, giving gold bulls pause! Follow me to learn more about analysis!!

2025 is a new year for every investors，but if the turmoil and conflicts increase in this year, it means that the "risk aversion" sentiment will exist for a long time, and it will have a long-term bullish effect on "risk aversion" assets. Of course, long-term bullish does not mean that there will be no major turmoil in the short term. It is just observed at the annual level that the price of gold has a certain increase every year, but the fluctuation in the middle of the year is not necessarily small.How long does the long-term bull market in gold prices last?According to the observation of the interest rate cut and depreciation cycle of the US dollar, the US dollar is in the interest rate cut stage, which usually causes inflationary sentiment; When the US dollar is in a volatile stage, it

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.TECHNICAL: Gold's decline stopped at $2656.7 as it reached the 38.2% Fibonacci correction level of the rise from $2596.10 to $2697.7, starting a bullish rally and resuming its bullish trajectory on an intraday basis on the way to test $2700 as the first positive target. Supported by positive technical indicators, more expected gains are awaited in the coming sessions, noting that a break below $2,659 will stop the bullish wave and push the price to achieve more bearish corrections, with its next targets reaching $2,647 and then the $2,635 level. Today's trading range is expected to be between the $2,655 support level and the $2,695 resistance level. Trend Forecast: Bullish (Hold Buy trade on trade) Strategy: BUY:2663-2665

With the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting in December last year and the landing of the dot plot, a recent Goldman Sachs report pointed out that gold prices are no longer expected to hit US $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025, but need toArrival postponed until mid-2026,In other words, the newly revised view is about half a year later than the original judgment.In 2024, the price of gold will soar by 27.6%, outperforming most major asset classes except the pie and natural gas accident. Statistics in this area, I mentioned in the previous article, the market generally believes that this wave of rise in gold prices is affected by the loose monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, increased demand for safe havens, and continued gold purchases by global central banks.However, since the be

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold continues to have strong upward momentum and with the ADP data favouring gold higher, in line with today's expected move! Buying gold continues to be profitable! Hit 2700 next! ImageFollow me to learn more about analysis!!

In the first week of the year, the U.S. stock index rebounded in a relatively calm environment. As weekly-level lows appear, important swing lows also appear simultaneously. Throughout January, if the stock price goes down again and breaks through the support, we need to be alert to large-scale correction that will follow.Due to the poor performance of heavyweights in the Nasdaq Index, there was actually a slight puncture in the previous weekly market. However, considering the overall synchronization of the index, we still believe that the support area formed by 21000/20983 has not fallen. The last time the Nasdaq broke weekly level was in 24 years, when it fell from 20,000 to around 17,000 at most. In addition, it should be noted that from the monthly chart, the index has left an obvious

Entering the new year, it's time to update the forward-looking series of anticipation for this year's market overview. I have shared and discussed this series with you every January since 2019. It is obvious to all how accurate it is. Although the details are slightly biased, the general direction is generally correct. I suggest you keep it for later use and continue to review it later. Be prepared for more investment. As usual, let's start with the U.S. stock index.Recently, some domestic economists are discussing the situation of the U.S. stock market, believing that the U.S. stock index will burst and fall in the next 3-6 months. Although I am skeptical about whether the data listed in the report will burst within 3-6 months, I agree that there is a bubble in the US stock index.Looking

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Early Tuesday (7 January) Asian market, spot gold narrowly oscillated, currently trading near $ 2637. Gold prices opened slightly lower on Monday, the Federal Reserve recently hinted that it will slow the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025, U.S. Treasury yields climbed to refresh highs since May, gold prices once hit a three-session low of $2,614.69 during the session, but there are conflicting reports about how aggressive the U.S. tariff plan will be, the U.S. dollar index fell to more than a one-week low, and the gold price recovered in the end of the session, closing at $2,635.87 . $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2502(GCm

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ Technical: Gold prices are facing temporary downward pressure in order to retest the broken neckline of the double top pattern at 2640, with the EMA50 reaching that support level to add more strength, while the stochastic indicator is sending clear positive signals.Therefore, these factors prompt us to suggest a bullish rally in the upcoming trades in order to resume the bullish trend expected during the day, with its next major target located at $27000, taking into account that a break below $2640 would expose the price to additional negative pressure towards a bearish wave with $2600. as the first negative target. Today's trading range is expecte

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Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Friday (January 3) Asian morning, spot gold narrowly oscillated, currently trading at $2,651.94, holding on to the overnight gains. Gold prices jumped 1.28% on Thursday, hitting a new high of more than two weeks to $2,660.34 during the session and closing at $2,657.89, driven by safe-haven buying as the market assessed the possible impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook and U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's proposed trade tariffsFollow me to learn more about analysis!!

2024, which is calm but full of opportunities, is about to pass, although there may still be some meanings of fishing for the moon in the water to explore where the most likely market situation will appear next year. But relatively speaking, we expect that the difficulty of transactions in the coming year will increase, and there will be fewer opportunities to "pick up money" in major categories. Therefore, at this time point, it may be safer to prepare for the 2025 transaction with a relatively conservative thinking.The troika created by the Biden administration is the foundation of transactions in 2024, which is why most of the time or in a prolonged cycle, long gold, Bitcoin, and U.S. stocks during this period are stable transactions. As the new Trump's second term is about to take offi

2025 is coming soon, and I wish all investors a successful start!!!Different from previous years, since January 2025, the financial market has ushered in an important drama. Trump, the "new emperor", will hold his inauguration ceremony on January 20th, and the policies and measures implemented after his inauguration will become the focus of the financial market in the future.Because Trump, a businessman, is good at negotiation and flexibility, before the policy is fully implemented, the variables are still large, so the financial market will also cause corresponding fluctuations due to this change. Of course, after the fluctuation, it is better to pay attention to the opportunity.Will U.S. stocks undergo deep adjustments?I have seen some analysis reports recently, and I am not very optimis

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ TECHNICAL: Gold prices continue to fall to test the 2600 handle, hitting a low near 2595.6 yesterday! to confirm a move towards the next major target of 2555.As a result, we will continue to suggest the next phase of the bearish trend supported by the negative pressure formed by the EMA50, noting that a break above 2640 will stop the bearish wave and push the gold price to realise new gains starting from the $2700 area.Expect today's trading range to be between the 2585 support level and the $2620 resistance level.Trend Forecast: Bearish (trade to keep sell orders trading)!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ closed 0.48% lower at $2,620.96 per ounce on Friday (30 December), barely holding above the 100-day SMA at 2,616.01, as rising US Treasury yields diminished the appeal of non-yielding gold in thin holiday trading, with the market focused on the return of President-elect Donald Trump and his inflation-stimulating policies' impact on the Fed's outlook for 2025 Potential Impact. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Follow me to learn more about analysis!!

After Christmas, the the US Dollar Index continued to fluctuate near the high of 108.25. The previous high point appeared at the high of 108.54 on December 20. It was also the high point pushed up by the strong market buying after the Federal Reserve's hawkish interest rate cut last week.Morgan Stanley pointed out in a latest report that the U.S. fiscal deficit is expected to decrease next year, while the German fiscal deficit will increase, which may lead to the convergence of interest rates between the United States and Europe.This triggered a sharp depreciation of the US dollar.PicturesBescent, the nominated next U.S. Treasury Secretary, has previously said that the goal of reducing the deficit to 3% of GDP will be a priority. Morgan Stanley said in the report that this commitment is ge

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ Technical: Gold price is showing a flat bullish bias approaching the key resistance level at $2,640 Stochastic is showing clear overbought signals waiting to push the price down again, keeping the bearish trend active for the session, with the next major target at $2,555 It is important to note that a break above 2640. would stop the downtrend and allow the price to try to resume the major bullish trend once again.The expected trading range for today is between support at 2615 and resistance at 2650.Trend forecast: bearish! (Trade to keep the sell order trade as the main one)[Happy][Happy][Happy]Follow me to learn more about analysis!!

Last week's Federal Reserve decision had no variables in terms of interest rates, and the interest rate cut of 25 basis points was in line with market expectations. However, at the press conference after the meeting, Chairman Powell gave the expectation of only two interest rate cuts in 2025, which was regarded as an eagle statement, so the market showed an obvious overall general decline. Although the short-term decline is obvious, for some trending varieties, the bad news is likely to bring better entry opportunities.From the news point of view, both the dot plot and the Fed's statement hint at an upward trend in medium and long-term interest rates. But it should be noted that the Fed is not much better at predicting the long-term economy than most market participants. This means that th

I've long known that Trump doesn't play by the rules. But the fact that he launched a MEME coin over the weekend still makes me think that if he really gets a second term, he might bring huge risks to the financial markets. And this risk isn't just in the cryptocurrency market. You know, the audience in the cryptocurrency market is relatively small. This risk is likely to spread to the US stock market and even affect the global market.This weekend, people in WeChat Moments and groups were talking about how people got rich overnight with Trump coin. Actually, this kind of thing isn't new. People have made a lot of money from those so-called "shitcoins" and MEME coins before. And Elon Musk is also someone who likes to promote coins. But Trump is about to become the president again. Plus his

January 20th marked the inauguration of the new U.S. President, Donald Trump, officially kicking off the "Trump 2.0" era. This inauguration was quite different from past ceremonies, breaking several long-standing American traditions. For instance, it was moved from the usual outdoor setting to indoors, foreign leaders were invited—a rare exception—and it set a new record for fundraising. These unique elements definitely made the event stand out.Now, when it comes to the financial markets, what really grabs my attention are the executive orders Trump might sign after taking office. There were plenty of expectations about his policies before, but the real question is whether there will be any surprises. These unexpected moves could shake up the markets, so it's best to tread carefully when t

Let's talk about what happened in the forex market last week and what to expect this week.Last Week's Market RecapLast week, the US dollar had a short correction but then shot up. It closed the week higher. Meanwhile, non - US currencies kept hitting new lows. On Friday, the latest non - farm data came out way better than expected. This made the market lower its hopes for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in 2025. And this could keep the US dollar strong in the short run.The US dollar had its fifth straight week of gains. On Friday, it had a big daily jump. December's non - agricultural data showed the US created more jobs than we thought. This made people think the Fed will hold off on cutting rates as fast as they thought before. But, the Fed cares a lot about inflation data. So,

In the past week, a lot of things have changed, and most of the changes are opposite to the main trend in the third and fourth quarters of 2024. With Trump officially starting his second term in the White House next week, does this "reverse" trend mean a new trend is coming or just the last correction?First of all, let's look at crude oil prices. The price has gone up for three weeks in a row, but it still hasn't helped the bulls get back to the central axis range or break through the downward trend line since 2023. But at least it's not as weak as it was before, hovering around 70. Since there isn't much direct news to drive the oil prices, it's hard to say how reliable this increase is during the semi-holiday period. Whether it can break through the trend line resistance this week or nex

2025 is a new year for every investors，but if the turmoil and conflicts increase in this year, it means that the "risk aversion" sentiment will exist for a long time, and it will have a long-term bullish effect on "risk aversion" assets. Of course, long-term bullish does not mean that there will be no major turmoil in the short term. It is just observed at the annual level that the price of gold has a certain increase every year, but the fluctuation in the middle of the year is not necessarily small.How long does the long-term bull market in gold prices last?According to the observation of the interest rate cut and depreciation cycle of the US dollar, the US dollar is in the interest rate cut stage, which usually causes inflationary sentiment; When the US dollar is in a volatile stage, it

Entering the new year, it's time to update the forward-looking series of anticipation for this year's market overview. I have shared and discussed this series with you every January since 2019. It is obvious to all how accurate it is. Although the details are slightly biased, the general direction is generally correct. I suggest you keep it for later use and continue to review it later. Be prepared for more investment. As usual, let's start with the U.S. stock index.Recently, some domestic economists are discussing the situation of the U.S. stock market, believing that the U.S. stock index will burst and fall in the next 3-6 months. Although I am skeptical about whether the data listed in the report will burst within 3-6 months, I agree that there is a bubble in the US stock index.Looking

In the first week of the year, the U.S. stock index rebounded in a relatively calm environment. As weekly-level lows appear, important swing lows also appear simultaneously. Throughout January, if the stock price goes down again and breaks through the support, we need to be alert to large-scale correction that will follow.Due to the poor performance of heavyweights in the Nasdaq Index, there was actually a slight puncture in the previous weekly market. However, considering the overall synchronization of the index, we still believe that the support area formed by 21000/20983 has not fallen. The last time the Nasdaq broke weekly level was in 24 years, when it fell from 20,000 to around 17,000 at most. In addition, it should be noted that from the monthly chart, the index has left an obvious

2024, which is calm but full of opportunities, is about to pass, although there may still be some meanings of fishing for the moon in the water to explore where the most likely market situation will appear next year. But relatively speaking, we expect that the difficulty of transactions in the coming year will increase, and there will be fewer opportunities to "pick up money" in major categories. Therefore, at this time point, it may be safer to prepare for the 2025 transaction with a relatively conservative thinking.The troika created by the Biden administration is the foundation of transactions in 2024, which is why most of the time or in a prolonged cycle, long gold, Bitcoin, and U.S. stocks during this period are stable transactions. As the new Trump's second term is about to take offi

2025 is coming soon, and I wish all investors a successful start!!!Different from previous years, since January 2025, the financial market has ushered in an important drama. Trump, the "new emperor", will hold his inauguration ceremony on January 20th, and the policies and measures implemented after his inauguration will become the focus of the financial market in the future.Because Trump, a businessman, is good at negotiation and flexibility, before the policy is fully implemented, the variables are still large, so the financial market will also cause corresponding fluctuations due to this change. Of course, after the fluctuation, it is better to pay attention to the opportunity.Will U.S. stocks undergo deep adjustments?I have seen some analysis reports recently, and I am not very optimis

With the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting in December last year and the landing of the dot plot, a recent Goldman Sachs report pointed out that gold prices are no longer expected to hit US $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025, but need toArrival postponed until mid-2026,In other words, the newly revised view is about half a year later than the original judgment.In 2024, the price of gold will soar by 27.6%, outperforming most major asset classes except the pie and natural gas accident. Statistics in this area, I mentioned in the previous article, the market generally believes that this wave of rise in gold prices is affected by the loose monetary policy of the Federal Reserve, increased demand for safe havens, and continued gold purchases by global central banks.However, since the be

Last week's Federal Reserve decision had no variables in terms of interest rates, and the interest rate cut of 25 basis points was in line with market expectations. However, at the press conference after the meeting, Chairman Powell gave the expectation of only two interest rate cuts in 2025, which was regarded as an eagle statement, so the market showed an obvious overall general decline. Although the short-term decline is obvious, for some trending varieties, the bad news is likely to bring better entry opportunities.From the news point of view, both the dot plot and the Fed's statement hint at an upward trend in medium and long-term interest rates. But it should be noted that the Fed is not much better at predicting the long-term economy than most market participants. This means that th

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.TECHNICAL: Gold's decline stopped at $2656.7 as it reached the 38.2% Fibonacci correction level of the rise from $2596.10 to $2697.7, starting a bullish rally and resuming its bullish trajectory on an intraday basis on the way to test $2700 as the first positive target. Supported by positive technical indicators, more expected gains are awaited in the coming sessions, noting that a break below $2,659 will stop the bullish wave and push the price to achieve more bearish corrections, with its next targets reaching $2,647 and then the $2,635 level. Today's trading range is expected to be between the $2,655 support level and the $2,695 resistance level. Trend Forecast: Bullish (Hold Buy trade on trade) Strategy: BUY:2663-2665

In the early morning of Thursday, Beijing time, the Federal Reserve held its last interest rate meeting at the end of this year. As in the past, the results of the meeting itself have been fully expected by the market. What is important is the dot plot after the meeting and the expectation of next year's interest rate path revealed by the Federal Reserve Chairman's speech, which is the core that affects market prices. After last week's meeting, gold prices in the stock market plummeted.It shows that the market has lowered its expectation of the number of interest rate cuts next year. I'm afraid this expectation will not change until the new president takes office and the next interest rate meeting, so I hope everyone will remain cautious about the market.Does it have any impact on the US s

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.In early Asian trading on Wednesday (15 January), gold oscillated slightly lower and is currently trading at $2,673.5. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ Gold prices rebounded slightly on Tuesday, closing at $2,677.22, after the dollar fell in response to slightly weaker-than-expected U.S. inflation data, which gave investors faint hope that the Federal Reserve will continue to lower interest rates in 2025. Additionally, concerns about Trump's policy uncertainty also provided support for gold prices, although U.S. bond yields continued to climb higher, giving gold bulls pause! Follow me to learn more about analysis!!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold continues to have strong upward momentum and with the ADP data favouring gold higher, in line with today's expected move! Buying gold continues to be profitable! Hit 2700 next! ImageFollow me to learn more about analysis!!

After Christmas, the the US Dollar Index continued to fluctuate near the high of 108.25. The previous high point appeared at the high of 108.54 on December 20. It was also the high point pushed up by the strong market buying after the Federal Reserve's hawkish interest rate cut last week.Morgan Stanley pointed out in a latest report that the U.S. fiscal deficit is expected to decrease next year, while the German fiscal deficit will increase, which may lead to the convergence of interest rates between the United States and Europe.This triggered a sharp depreciation of the US dollar.PicturesBescent, the nominated next U.S. Treasury Secretary, has previously said that the goal of reducing the deficit to 3% of GDP will be a priority. Morgan Stanley said in the report that this commitment is ge

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2502(GCmain)$ Technical: Gold prices are facing temporary downward pressure in order to retest the broken neckline of the double top pattern at 2640, with the EMA50 reaching that support level to add more strength, while the stochastic indicator is sending clear positive signals.Therefore, these factors prompt us to suggest a bullish rally in the upcoming trades in order to resume the bullish trend expected during the day, with its next major target located at $27000, taking into account that a break below $2640 would expose the price to additional negative pressure towards a bearish wave with $2600. as the first negative target. Today's trading range is expecte

Gold showed an obvious surge and fall last week, suggesting that an important head of the market has been formed around 2800, and a new round of downward market is in the process of running. At the same time, the performance of the gold-silver ratio above the historical central axis also provides a solid long-term long-term direction of long-gold and short-silver.From the weekly chart of the gold-silver ratio, it can be found that, except for some special stages, the overall ratio will still fluctuate within a relatively reasonable range. Generally speaking, the period when silver is strong and gold is weak will represent the situation where silver makes up for the increase and the overall precious metal is strong, while the environment where gold is particularly strong may only be due to

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Early Tuesday (7 January) Asian market, spot gold narrowly oscillated, currently trading near $ 2637. Gold prices opened slightly lower on Monday, the Federal Reserve recently hinted that it will slow the pace of interest rate cuts in 2025, U.S. Treasury yields climbed to refresh highs since May, gold prices once hit a three-session low of $2,614.69 during the session, but there are conflicting reports about how aggressive the U.S. tariff plan will be, the U.S. dollar index fell to more than a one-week low, and the gold price recovered in the end of the session, closing at $2,635.87 . $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2502(GCm

After Shigeru Ishiba was re-elected as Prime Minister of Japan on November 11th, the Japanese economy still faces several major challenges, among which it is particularly important to seek a balance between inflation and economic growth. Recently, the Japanese stock market has fallen into a range-bound trend, and the yen exchange rate no longer depreciates unilaterally. By next year, the direction of Shigeru Ishiba's economic stimulus is to increase residents' income and fight inflation through subsidies, but the effect remains to be seen. The tariff increase imposed by Trump's new administration may have an additional impact on the Japanese economy, and the sustainability of Japan's debt is also problematic. Therefore, the Japanese stock market has not yet ushered in a new upward driver.