To The Moon

how to become successful 

I m new here. need guidance 

I don't think will have economy recession. but definitely it will cause the high inflation in global.

$S&P 500(. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ )$ $NASDAQ(. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ )$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average(. $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ )$ As of April 16, 2025, the S&P 500 faces a critical juncture. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has dashed hopes of a market bailout, stating, “Our focus is on inflation, not equity prices.” Meanwhile, Citi equity strategists, led by Beata Manthey, have downgraded the U.S. stock market from Overweight to Neutral, pointing to fading U.S. exceptionalism amid challenges like Deepseek, Europe’s fiscal stance, and rising trade tensions. With the index hovering near key support levels, is a double bottom forming, or are we headed for 5000—or low

As of April 17, 2025, concerns about "tarifflation" and "Trumpflation" dominate economic headlines, with predictions of steep price hikes for consumer goods due to the Trump administration's sweeping tariffs—145% on $541 billion of Chinese imports, 10% on non-Chinese imports, and 20–100% on select countries. Despite these fears, retail prices have largely held steady: iPhones still start at $799, shirts average $50, and PlayStation 5s remain $499. This price stability—alongside declining inflation (Truflation at 1.4%), plunging consumer sentiment (University of Michigan Sentiment Survey at 50.8, near record lows), and sluggish retail sales growth (1.8% YoY)—suggests Trump's economic agenda may be mitigating the risks of a consumer-led recession and deflation, rather than triggering hyperin

📉 Recent Pullback: A Buying Opportunity? Palantir Technologies (PLTR) has experienced a sharp correction, dropping 5.17% to $106.27, after peaking at $125.41. This pullback has caught many traders off guard, but the technical indicators suggest that the sell-off might be overdone, presenting a potential buying opportunity. 📊 Key Oversold Signals from the Chart 1. Strong Support at EMA Levels • PLTR remains above the 50-day EMA ($87.08) and 30-day EMA ($96.18), indicating that the long-term uptrend is still intact.@TigerStars   @TigerTradingNotes • The price is testing support around the EMA10 ($110.86) and EMA5 ($113.06), which means we are near a possible bounce zone. • The last major correction found strong support at $63.40, leading to a massive r

I find it quite frustrating that a new special task force is quickly set up in response to sweeping US tariffs, yet we don’t see the same urgency when it comes to critical domestic issues like lowering the cost of living or reducing the cost of doing business. For years, these have been pressing concerns—exacerbated by the long-term influx of foreign labour, which has strained our public healthcare system, housing, and transport infrastructure. Yet, there’s no dedicated task force to seriously tackle these challenges head-on. To me, it often feels like these task forces are just another layer of optics. They pull ideas from civil servants and then parade them as ministerial initiatives. A friend of mine who was an ex-MTI officer shared how policies are actually formulated: ministers give t

Tariffs act as a tax on imported goods, making them more expensive.  This increased cost can reduce consumer purchasing power, possibly leading to companies cutting back on investment and even reducing its workforce leading to higher levels of unemployment. Donald Trump's tough tariffs may trigger retaliatory measures and cause a ripple effect where global supply chains are disrupted, trade volumes decline and business confidence takes a big hit.  The global economy faces a double whammy - higher costs domestically with lower demand and reduced exports internationally. This may trigger a  recession. Investing in a Bear Market calls  for a thoughtful disciplined approach on capital preservation, quality assets and to seek out opportunities to buy stocks that are on sal

Regardless how you look at it, do you think paying more taxes like tariffs will have a shrink on your discretionary spending and what happen then? The whole economy will suffer whether some industries are better or not. TSLA and auto manufacturers will also not spared! Consumers will tighten their pockets for a season. So stock market naturally drops, unless Trump once again pulls back tariffs at the last minute! 

With tariff tensions and on-going trade wars still playing out, it is possible for double bottom of S&P 500. Waiting to buy on sharp drops.

Just when the markets seemed to find their footing, fresh tariff tensions have re-entered the scene — and the S&P 500 is showing signs of stress. With volatility creeping back and investor sentiment turning cautious, the question on many traders’ minds is this: are we about to revisit the recent lows… or worse? Historically, double bottoms form when a market tests its previous low, shakes out the weak hands, and either rebounds or breaks. But in this case, global macro conditions aren't making things easy. Tariff battles, especially between the U.S. and China, are flaring up again, and this time they’re hitting sensitive sectors like semiconductors, EVs, and tech hardware — the very pillars that propped up recent market gains. Earnings season has been a mixed bag, inflation prints rema

The current market fear index remains at its lowest. The effect of the tariffs war is still rippling through out the markets. Markets will continue to be jittery until the final tariff outcomes. Compare to 2018, 2025 is more complicated and recession risks are still hanging over the market. Anything can happen… Thanks @Tiger_comments @icycrystal

The mortgage crisis vs this tariff crap is definitely incomparable. This was engineered to drop the markets

I believe the current correction is more complicated than what we saw in 2018. While the S&P 500’s recent drop has already surpassed 2018’s levels, today’s backdrop includes elevated valuations, lingering recession risks, and tariff uncertainty. Unlike 2018, a clear rebound catalyst like a Fed pivot hasn’t emerged yet. A breakthrough in US-China talks could provide a short-term boost, especially if it helps cool inflation and support growth. But with markets still pricing in optimistic earnings expectations, I wouldn’t rule out a second wave of selling — particularly if economic data softens or guidance gets revised down. That said, I don’t expect a deep crash. If GDP stays above recession territory and inflation stabilizes, a second dip could set up a double bottom. I’m watching close

I just buy S&P 500 just to try if it go up. 

$Netflix(NFLX)$ has shown notable strength recently, delivering a YTD return of +9.5%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 (.SPX), which is down -8.25%.Last week's rally could be attributed to the market's belief that Netflix is relatively immune to tariff-related headwinds. This week's strength, however, appears more related to heightened earnings expectations. What's surprising is that NFLX rose 6.31% in the week leading up to its earnings, despite its Monday-implied volatility (IV) pricing in a ±10% move post-earnings.More interestingly—perhaps coincidentally or by design—the anticipated earnings gap (post-earnings gap-up/down) will not impact the weekly options expiring on April 17, as the market is closed on April 18 due to a holiday

I'm expecting another lower low...then that's enough for me to buy in. after that, some deal will be made and stock market rally to the moon..

From the S&P500 weekly chart 📉📈, if the Low 4835.04 is taken out, this will trigger a potential Next Selling wave 🌊.  Prior to this, I will view that the market will be Super Choppy & Ranging . But there's always short term Opportunities with these ranging movements  Stay Nimble & Keep Cash 💰 A Big Game changer will definitely be the Breakthrough of the US -China talks But there's no sign of this happening soonest 😞

$S&P 500(. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ )$ $NASDAQ(. $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ )$ $Dow Jones Industrial Average(. $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ )$ As of April 16, 2025, the S&P 500 faces a critical juncture. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has dashed hopes of a market bailout, stating, “Our focus is on inflation, not equity prices.” Meanwhile, Citi equity strategists, led by Beata Manthey, have downgraded the U.S. stock market from Overweight to Neutral, pointing to fading U.S. exceptionalism amid challenges like Deepseek, Europe’s fiscal stance, and rising trade tensions. With the index hovering near key support levels, is a double bottom forming, or are we headed for 5000—or low

As of April 17, 2025, concerns about "tarifflation" and "Trumpflation" dominate economic headlines, with predictions of steep price hikes for consumer goods due to the Trump administration's sweeping tariffs—145% on $541 billion of Chinese imports, 10% on non-Chinese imports, and 20–100% on select countries. Despite these fears, retail prices have largely held steady: iPhones still start at $799, shirts average $50, and PlayStation 5s remain $499. This price stability—alongside declining inflation (Truflation at 1.4%), plunging consumer sentiment (University of Michigan Sentiment Survey at 50.8, near record lows), and sluggish retail sales growth (1.8% YoY)—suggests Trump's economic agenda may be mitigating the risks of a consumer-led recession and deflation, rather than triggering hyperin

Just when the markets seemed to find their footing, fresh tariff tensions have re-entered the scene — and the S&P 500 is showing signs of stress. With volatility creeping back and investor sentiment turning cautious, the question on many traders’ minds is this: are we about to revisit the recent lows… or worse? Historically, double bottoms form when a market tests its previous low, shakes out the weak hands, and either rebounds or breaks. But in this case, global macro conditions aren't making things easy. Tariff battles, especially between the U.S. and China, are flaring up again, and this time they’re hitting sensitive sectors like semiconductors, EVs, and tech hardware — the very pillars that propped up recent market gains. Earnings season has been a mixed bag, inflation prints rema

$Netflix(NFLX)$ has shown notable strength recently, delivering a YTD return of +9.5%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 (.SPX), which is down -8.25%.Last week's rally could be attributed to the market's belief that Netflix is relatively immune to tariff-related headwinds. This week's strength, however, appears more related to heightened earnings expectations. What's surprising is that NFLX rose 6.31% in the week leading up to its earnings, despite its Monday-implied volatility (IV) pricing in a ±10% move post-earnings.More interestingly—perhaps coincidentally or by design—the anticipated earnings gap (post-earnings gap-up/down) will not impact the weekly options expiring on April 17, as the market is closed on April 18 due to a holiday

On Mon, 14 Apr 2025, the S&P 500 reached an ominous-sounding milestone even as stocks largely added to their gains from last week’s rebound. When trading ended at 4pm, the large-cap index managed to tally a “death cross” — its first since March 2022, according to Dow Jones Market Data. S&P 500 - 14 Apr 2025 - Death Cross !! What is a “Death Cross” ? A death cross occurs when the 50-day moving average (ma) of a stock or index dips below its 200-day ma. Technical analysts interpret it as a sign that a correction could be metastasizing into a deeper downtrend. Did You Know ? As US stocks continue to struggle of late in 2025, a death cross has already appeared to: The small-cap Russell 2000 index. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ , it has flashed this pat

I find it quite frustrating that a new special task force is quickly set up in response to sweeping US tariffs, yet we don’t see the same urgency when it comes to critical domestic issues like lowering the cost of living or reducing the cost of doing business. For years, these have been pressing concerns—exacerbated by the long-term influx of foreign labour, which has strained our public healthcare system, housing, and transport infrastructure. Yet, there’s no dedicated task force to seriously tackle these challenges head-on. To me, it often feels like these task forces are just another layer of optics. They pull ideas from civil servants and then parade them as ministerial initiatives. A friend of mine who was an ex-MTI officer shared how policies are actually formulated: ministers give t

I m new here. need guidance 

how to become successful 

I don't think will have economy recession. but definitely it will cause the high inflation in global.

📉 Recent Pullback: A Buying Opportunity? Palantir Technologies (PLTR) has experienced a sharp correction, dropping 5.17% to $106.27, after peaking at $125.41. This pullback has caught many traders off guard, but the technical indicators suggest that the sell-off might be overdone, presenting a potential buying opportunity. 📊 Key Oversold Signals from the Chart 1. Strong Support at EMA Levels • PLTR remains above the 50-day EMA ($87.08) and 30-day EMA ($96.18), indicating that the long-term uptrend is still intact.@TigerStars   @TigerTradingNotes • The price is testing support around the EMA10 ($110.86) and EMA5 ($113.06), which means we are near a possible bounce zone. • The last major correction found strong support at $63.40, leading to a massive r

Will the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ form a double bottom?The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ 0 index is currently in a downtrend, approaching the previous low of 5168.98. If it can stabilize near the MA200 (5753.47) and show a rebound with reduced volume, it may form a double bottom. However, it is necessary to pay attention to the changes in the RSI and KDJ indicators; if there are oversold or overbought signals, cautious operations are needed. Changes in trading volume are also crucial; if a stabilization with reduced volume occurs near the support level, it may indicate the formation of a double bottom. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ EPS Estimates for 2025 are now at $263.05, with a growth

Market volatility from tariffs also poses a challenge to the 2025 outlook for U.S. airlines.Despite a strong start to the year and optimistic forecasts, the U.S. airline industry is now facing significant headwinds due to economic uncertainty, rising inflation and shifting consumer behavior.While the long-term growth trajectory through 2030 remains optimistic, immediate concerns about declining passenger traffic and spending have prompted airlines to implement capacity adjustments for the upcoming quarter. $United Continental(UAL)$ reported first quarter earnings after the bell on April 15, 2025, and the company delivered its best quarterly financial performance in nearly five years, despite the uncertainty of the macroeconomic environment.Market F

Recently $ Jingdong (JD) $ takeaway heat, Liu Qiangdong a takeaway business for the internal speech "no surprise" to "accidentally" out, alluding to the United States group profits are too high.But look carefully at the full version, this is just Liu Qiangdong down the PUA, outside the persona of the marketing strategy.Do takeaway according to Liu Qiangdong this line of thinking, is unable to pose any threat to the United States group.His three core ideas have logical problems.First, the control of profit margins, to maintain net profit within 5%, in order to ensure that the merchant profitsJingdong gives the public a preconceived illusion that takeout can be very simple to achieve "very high profits", but Jingdong "good intentions" convergence, delibe

Tariffs act as a tax on imported goods, making them more expensive.  This increased cost can reduce consumer purchasing power, possibly leading to companies cutting back on investment and even reducing its workforce leading to higher levels of unemployment. Donald Trump's tough tariffs may trigger retaliatory measures and cause a ripple effect where global supply chains are disrupted, trade volumes decline and business confidence takes a big hit.  The global economy faces a double whammy - higher costs domestically with lower demand and reduced exports internationally. This may trigger a  recession. Investing in a Bear Market calls  for a thoughtful disciplined approach on capital preservation, quality assets and to seek out opportunities to buy stocks that are on sal

$Apple( $Apple(AAPL)$ )$ $NVIDIA Corp( $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ )$ $S&P 500(. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ )$ $Citigroup( $Citigroup(C)$ )$ The U.S. stock market is at a pivotal moment as of April 14, 2025. Citi equity strategists, led by Beata Manthey, have downgraded their U.S. market rating from Overweight to Neutral, citing fading economic exceptionalism amid pressures like China’s DeepSeek AI, Europe’s fiscal policies, and escalating trade tensions. Yet, a tariff exemption on tech goods has sent Apple (AAPL) and NVIDIA (NVDA) soaring in overnight trading. With the S&P 500 teetering and tech stocks rallying, investors face a burni

I believe the current correction is more complicated than what we saw in 2018. While the S&P 500’s recent drop has already surpassed 2018’s levels, today’s backdrop includes elevated valuations, lingering recession risks, and tariff uncertainty. Unlike 2018, a clear rebound catalyst like a Fed pivot hasn’t emerged yet. A breakthrough in US-China talks could provide a short-term boost, especially if it helps cool inflation and support growth. But with markets still pricing in optimistic earnings expectations, I wouldn’t rule out a second wave of selling — particularly if economic data softens or guidance gets revised down. That said, I don’t expect a deep crash. If GDP stays above recession territory and inflation stabilizes, a second dip could set up a double bottom. I’m watching close

In 2018, US stock market suffered its worst performance in a decade. The Dow fell 5.6% for the year, the S&P 500 dropped 6.2%, and the Nasdaq slid 4%.2018 vs. 2025: Has the S&P 500 Fallen Enough?As of April 7, 2025, the YTD drop in $S&P 500(.SPX)$ has already exceeded the lowest point of December 2018. Meanwhile, headlines suggest that China is seeking renewed dialogue with the US.If history is repeating itself, there are two possible paths forward:Another sharp drop ahead? Just like the late-2018 capitulation before a V-shaped rebound.Have we already bottomed? However, in terms of the decline degree, the drop on April 7 has already exceeded the 2018 levels. If the dialogue resumes, the market has the possibility of rebounding immediat

Last week's financial market was truly spectacular, though it still fell short compared to the face-changing Trump. We previously speculated that Trump would look for a way to step down, thereby helping the market stabilize and rebound. Although his final actions did indeed help risk assets find a bottom, his rhetoric of "I haven't surrendered, these are all strategies" and the weekend hints about "exemptions" strongly suggest that a second market bottom is highly probable1.The Failed Tariff StrategyLooking at the developments on the tariff issue, although things didn't unfold exactly as anticipated, the 90-day postponement essentially represents a delaying tactic forced upon the US after its original strategy failed. Judging from China's rapid responses and countermeasures, Trump's cards

In today’s volatile market, investors are grappling with a combination of geopolitical risks, economic shifts, and market corrections that are shaping investment strategies. With recent market volatility, changes in trade policies, and significant corporate developments, it's crucial to take a measured approach when deciding whether to "buy the dip" or "sell the rally." In this blog post, we synthesize insights from recent analyses to help you navigate these uncertain times and refine your investment strategy. 1. The Market Pulse: Key Developments Citi’s Downgrade of U.S. Equities: A Shift in Market Sentiment In a notable move, Citigroup downgraded U.S. equities from "Overweight" to "Neutral" in early March 2025. This marked a significant shift, with the bank also upgrading Chinese stocks.

Regardless how you look at it, do you think paying more taxes like tariffs will have a shrink on your discretionary spending and what happen then? The whole economy will suffer whether some industries are better or not. TSLA and auto manufacturers will also not spared! Consumers will tighten their pockets for a season. So stock market naturally drops, unless Trump once again pulls back tariffs at the last minute!