November is over! $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ closed down 1.51%, while $S&P 500(.SPX)$ rose 0.13%.The S&P 500 gained 3.7% this week, marking its strongest weekly performance in six months. $Bitcoin(BTC.USD.CC)$ climbed back above $90,000; and commodities rebounded in sync. However, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ lost 12%, $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ lost 5.78% this month.This November marks a divergence from the historical norm. According to the Stock Trader’s Almanac, the S&P 500 has risen an average of 1.8% in November since 1950. And in the year following a U.S. presidential election, it typ
As of the close on Friday, $S&P/ASX 200(XJO.AU)$ closed at 8,614.10 on Friday, up 1.44% in the past 5 days.1. $Alcoa Corp(AAI.AU)$ +14.97%Alcoa announced its intention to redeem $141 million of its high-yield 5.500% notes due in 2027 ahead of schedule . This move, funded by cash on hand, is seen as a disciplined capital management strategy that will reduce interest costs and strengthen the balance sheet.The stock's rise coincided with a recent upgrade from Zacks Research to a "Strong-Buy" rating . This positive outlook from analysts, coupled with a general "Moderate Buy" consensus and rising price targets from other firms, likely contributed to the bullish momentum.The price surge was accompanied
$NVDA This week, $NVDA$ closed in the ~$170–185 range, and price is likely to keep swinging roughly between $160–190 next week. Institutions are still actively selling the $185–190 calls ($NVDA 20251205 190.0 CALL$ ) as a hedge, which makes a clean breakout above that zone harder in the short term. On the downside, the $160 puts ($NVDA 20251205 160.0 PUT$ ) saw around 29k new contracts, hinting that markets are starting to accept a lower support area. Heavy put opening for next week’s expiry also signals expectations of a pullback – which could turn into a potential volatility-selling setup. If that scenario plays out, short-dated cash-secured puts may
$SOFI 20251128 26.0 PUT$ sharing profitable options trade to earn weekly coins. Going to expire this Friday so it's almost fully depleted. Slight scare last week when it dipped to $23.52 last week and was in the money with strike $26. Price recovered sharply this whole week and it trades above strike so I'm going to let it expire worthless since Fri is only half day trading due to Thanksgiving holidays.
$Alphabet(GOOG)$ Gemini 3.0, which could significantly strengthen Google’s AI leadership. Wall Street has clearly warmed to Alphabet’s AI strategy, and the stock has shifted from being seen as an AI laggard to an AI winner. Valuation also played a role: GOOG traded much of the third quarter below a 20x forward P/E, later rising to about 25x, a level that still looks reasonable for its growth profile. Even Warren Buffett’s reported stake reinforces the value-and-growth appeal.
Black Friday isn’t just about shopping — it’s also one of the most emotionally charged trading days of the year.Volatility spikes, headlines fly, and opportunity and risk show up at the same time.Some traders buy the panic.Some chase the trend.Others stay on the sidelines and wait.👉 Answer the 4 questions below and find out: What kind of trader are you on Black Friday?How it works:Choose A / B / C for each question. Whichever letter you pick the most reveals your trading personality.Q1: If a stock you hold suddenly drops 8% in one day, what do you do?A. Buy the dip and add to my positionB. Wait to see if there’s a technical reboundC. Do nothing and wait for clearer directionQ2: A hot stock surges 10% on heavy volume in a single session. What’s your move?A. Jump in — strong momentum means m
Which 2026 Prediction Do You Think Is Most Likely to Happen or Fail?
Morgan Stanley has just released its 2026 global strategy, and the message is clear: risk assets are set to lead. Supported by AI capital expenditure, a rare alignment of fiscal, monetary, and deregulation policies, and resilient U.S. economic growth, 2026 could be a strong year for investors who know where to focus.Morgan Stanley expects strong performance for U.S. equities next year, with a year-end target of 7,800 for the S&P 500. They believe the U.S. recession is over, and that policy support and strong corporate earnings will continue.Here’s a breakdown of their 10 key predictions:1. Risk Assets Overall Poised to ShineEquities are expected to outperform credit and government bonds.U.S. stocks take the lead, with AI investment and supportive policies driving growth.2. US Equities
$NVDA$This week's closing range: $170–185. Expected range for next week is similar, oscillating between $160–190.Institutions continue selling the 185 call $NVDA 20251205 190.0 CALL$ as a hedge, making a significant breakout above this level difficult.The 160 put $NVDA 20251205 160.0 PUT$ saw 29k contracts opened with unclear direction, indicating support expectations are shifting lower. Additionally, heavy put opening for next week's expiry suggests strong pullback expectations, potentially creating a volatility selling opportunity. Consider short-dated sell puts if that materializes.$SPY$Closed above 680 on Friday. Likely tests 690 next week before
got some excellent queries on the requirement to maintain the performance for much lower trade frequency; the lower the frequency, the higher the expectancy value is required of your trading.Yesterday's 35 trades average per month example will equate a trade 'Expectancy' of 0.65R per tradeExpectancy per R = (win rate x Avg R Gain) + ( (1 - win rate) x Avg R Loss).To churn a 6% avg monthly return to compound beyond 100% annualized return at lower trade frequency will require higher trade expectancy more than 0.65R per trade. I will further reduce 35 to 20, this is 40% reduction in trade frequency.eg. Reduce '35' trades avg per month to '20'since per R is 0.3% risk in my example. 6% monthly compounded return will require 20R. 20 R / 20 trade = trade expectancy of 1R per trade (up from 0.65R
Weekly | Global Stocks Rebound on Dovish Fed Sentiment
Hong Kong markets snapped back this week. The $HSI(HSI)$ climbed 2.53%.Macro: Fed Dovish Turn Fuels Risk-On MoodLast Friday, John Williams — the Fed’s No. 3 official and President of the New York Fed — said cooling labor data leaves room for more rate cuts soon.Fresh U.S. data echoed that softness: retail sales rose just 0.2% in September, slowing 0.4ppt from last month and missing expectations.Another shocker: Kevin Hassett, head of the White House National Economic Council, has reportedly become the leading candidate for the next Fed Chair. He has openly suggested the new Fed leadership could cut rates.The CME FedWatch tool now assigns an 84.7% probability to a 25bp cut in December — a jump of 45.6ppt in just one week.No surprise: U.S. equities r