While traders are focussed on looking at setups and next trades, elite traders are obsessed with extracting more edges from their system and market. While most traders are taught to focus on risk management, use stop loss, the real shift of a trader comes in finding the edge where potential reward is much higher than the risk you are taking. Within our team, they have been highly debating the pros and cons of these two methods and the market environment/setup in which either of these methods would benefit the most. While everyone thinks and is told the main goal of Risk management is only about reducing losses, It is about creating asymmetric R:R outcomes while staying aligned with opportunity. If you are not familiar with what we are talking about, we are referring to elite traders Jeff T
Momentum remains strong but increasingly stretched in select names, raising near-term pullback risk. Meanwhile, TSLA’s consolidation could position it for relative strength on the next move. 1. $Lightwave Logic, Inc.(LWLG)$ $LWLG — 5th instance crossing 10x ATR% move from the 50-MA within a year. Not the ideal spot the chase the rally based on historical pullback from this extension. 2. $Aehr Test(AEHR)$ $AEHR — Gapped to ~15× ATR% from the 50-MA, likely due for a pullback similar to $Marvell Technology(MRVL)$ within the semiconductor ecosystem 3. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $TSLA let it rest and consolidate above $380 is fine.
AI Catalyst Ignites Tesla: Breakout Meets Key 50-MA Test
$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ — Descending Channel Breakout as AI5 Chip Reveal Puts Stock in Focus +7.8% move out of descending channel range on strong volume run rate (+86% now at 11.54AM ET), but the current first test of the declining 50-MA may face rejection for further consolidation as range has already exceeded +180% of its ATR. TSLA is set to report earnings in a week (April 22 afterhours), which could act as another catalyst, especially if the call provides further clarity on the AI5 production timeline into 2027. " $TSLA shares are in focus on Wednesday after Chief Executive Elon Musk said the company's AI chip design team had finished work on its AI5 autonomous-driving chip, a step that moves Tesla closer to production, according to a Wednesday p
$SPY Seasonality Map Highlights Best and Worst Months
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ Seasonality (Since 1928) 1) January: +1.1% — Often strong from the “January Effect” as capital gets redeployed, though variability is high. 2) February: +0.3% — Moderately positive, but typically softer than January. 3) March: +0.8% — Generally constructive as Q1 wraps up. 4) April: +1.4% — One of the strongest months, supported by optimism and tax-related flows. 5) May: -0.1% — Marks the “Sell in May” period; returns tend to flatten with higher volatility. 6) June: -0.2% — Historically weaker with lower volumes and early summer slowdown. 7) July: +1.3% — Strong, often driven by earnings season tailwinds. 8) August: -0.1% — Volatile and inconsistent, with frequent drawdowns. 9) September: -0.7% — Statistically the