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11-05 18:08
Jonathan Lo's Playbook: From Sectors to Macro, Putting the Whole Framework Together
Speaker: Jonathan Lo, Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers Singapore, on how sectors are classified, which macro factors move markets, and the order to combine all the tools. [About the Speaker] Jonathan Lo is an Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers (Singapore). With nearly 20 years of practical trading and investment experience, he interprets markets through multi-asset, macro-directed long-short strategies expressed through equities and options. [The Hook] The speaker asked the room a simple question: have you cut back on spending lately? Would you still pay $300 for a T-shirt? That is the economy in miniature: your spending is someone else's income, and when consumers pull back, some companies feel it first. [Sorting the Market: 11 GICS Sectors] The GICS framework groups all
TOPJerry Lam: ๐ฏ From the current macroeconomic perspective, I am more optimistic about the power infrastructure sector than simply chasing popular AI technology stocks. The reason is that the construction of AI data centers is still underway, but insufficient power grid capacity, transformers, and transmission lines are becoming a major bottleneck in the expansion of computing power. Favorable factors: Growing demand for AI electricity, the aging US power grid, and energy infrastructure upgrades are expected to bring continued orders to companies such as ETN and PWR. Headwinds: High interest rates increase project financing costs, regulatory approvals may slow down construction progress, and slowing AI capital expenditures will also affect order expectations. In contrast, the consumer discretionary sector is more susceptible to changes in inflation, employment, and residents' purchasing power. My investment framework is: first judge macroeconomic trends, then select beneficiary industries, and finally combine corporate fundamentals and technical trends to find buying opportunities. However, a tailwind in the industry does not necessarily mean that stock prices will rise, and excessively high valuations may also erode future returns. The most important thing in investing is not to chase the sector with the largest gains, but to find opportunities where macroeconomic trends, corporate profitability, and reasonable valuations resonate! ๐ฏ
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11-05 18:08
Jonathan Lo's Playbook: Valuation Ratios and the Moat Behind the Business
Speaker: Jonathan Lo, Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers Singapore, on P/E, ROE, dividend yield, and why the quality of a business can matter more than the quality of its management. [About the Speaker] Jonathan Lo is an Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers (Singapore). With nearly 20 years of practical trading and investment experience, he interprets markets through multi-asset, macro-directed long-short strategies expressed through equities and options. [The Hook] Is management more important, or the enterprise itself? The speaker leaned on Buffett: a structurally disadvantaged company is hard to turn into a consistently profitable one, even for a good management team. [The Popular Valuation Ratios] P/E ratio comes in two kinds. Trailing 12-month P/E is backward-looking, "l
TOPI would chooseCostco (COST)as one of the strongest examples of a durable economic moat. What makes Costco special is not simply its low prices, but its membership business model. Customers pay an annual fee for access, giving Costco a recurring revenue stream while encouraging repeat purchases. This creates a powerful combination of customer loyalty, economies of scale and cost advantages. The numbers support this argument. In FY2025, Costco generated $5.32 billion in membership fee revenue, up 10% year over year. Its renewal rate reached 92.3% in the US and Canada. That is not just customer satisfaction; it is evidence of a business model customers are willing to keep paying for. However, even an excellent business can become a poor investment if purchased at an excessive valuation. My takeaway:A strong moat protects future earnings, but the purchase price determines our potential returns. Quality matters, but valuation still matters. @TigerClub [้พ็]
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11-05 18:08
Jonathan Lo's Playbook: Is the Profit Real? Reading Income and Cash Flow
Speaker: Jonathan Lo, Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers Singapore, on profitability ratios, why cash flow tells a different story from profit, and how EV/EBITDA levels the playing field. [About the Speaker] Jonathan Lo is an Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers (Singapore). With nearly 20 years of practical trading and investment experience, he interprets markets through multi-asset, macro-directed long-short strategies expressed through equities and options. [The Hook] Near the end of the session, the speaker asked: which ratio tells you whether a business generates enough income to sustain its operations? The answer wasn't profit margin. It was cash flow. Here's why. [The Income Statement: Profitability] Revenue minus the cost of goods sold gives gross profit. Then: Operat
TOPWith Treasury yields, oil prices and interest rate expectations keeping markets uncertain this week, investors should carefully consider their investment strategies. Market conditions can change quickly, so it is important to balance risk and opportunity rather than focus on short-term gains. Personally, I believe investors should focus on diversification and choose investments that match their financial goals and risk tolerance. For example, bank stocks may benefit from higher interest rates because they can earn more from lending activities. However, higher borrowing costs may also affect businesses and consumers. Meanwhile, technology and growth stocks may face pressure when Treasury yields rise because investors become more cautious about future earnings. Just like investing, choosing Tiger Merch also depends on individual preferences and needs. The Tiger Toiletry Bag is a practical choice for people who travel frequently or want to keep their daily essentials organised.
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11-05 18:08
Jonathan Lo's Playbook: Price Is What You Pay, Value Is What You Get
Speaker: Jonathan Lo, Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers Singapore, on how fundamental analysis helps investors tell a stock's price from its value, and how to read a balance sheet in two quick checks. [About the Speaker] Jonathan Lo is an Investment Representative at Tiger Brokers (Singapore). With nearly 20 years of practical trading and investment experience, he interprets markets through multi-asset, macro-directed long-short strategies expressed through equities and options. [The Hook] Stock A trades at $20. Stock B trades at $25. Which one do you buy? Most people go for the cheaper one. Then the speaker added the details: A is a company in trouble that needs to raise funds and is issuing new shares to pay off debt. B is pricier, but pays a regular $5 dividend. Suddenly the an
TOP๐ My Holdings: Why Comparing Within the Same Sector Matters One holding that looks quite different when I compare it with its peers is OKLO. Within the energy sector, I look at companies such as Vistra (VST), Constellation Energy (CEG) and Oklo. Although all three are connected to the growing demand for electricity, their business models and risk profiles are very different. โก VST and CEG are more established energy businesses with existing power generation operations and revenue streams. Their valuations are supported by operating assets and electricity demand. ๐ OKLO, on the other hand, is a much more speculative growth investment. Its potential is linked to advanced nuclear technology, future
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11-05 16:40
Technical Edge: Hang Seng Rally Fades Into Monthly Pressure as Gold Nears a Major Turn
English Version: Hello everyone. Today we will review the latest technical developments in the Nasdaq 100, WTI crude oil, gold and the Hang Seng Index. Market performance remains divergent this week. The Nasdaq and Hang Seng are still correcting, WTI remains under pressure after a downside breakdown, while gold has rebounded from lower levels. Policy changes following the US midterm elections, the interest rate environment and energy supply risks remain key market drivers. We will combine fundamentals with technical structures to identify key support, resistance and the conditions required to confirm the next move. Hang Seng Index: Monthly Correction Continues, Watch Support Near 23,000 $ๆ็ๆๆธ(HSI)$
TOPPMI back under 50 matters more than the GDP print here. If mainland demand stays soft, 23000 support on Hang Seng probably gets tested again
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11-05 16:01
Democrats' First Policy Push: Healthcare, Tariffs, and a Congressional Stock Trading Ban
The U.S. midterm elections are over, but the real policy battle is only beginning. On November 4, following the Democrats' victory in both chambers of Congress, House Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries outlined an ambitious agenda for the next Congress. The priorities are clear: restore Affordable Care Act (ACA) subsidies, reverse Medicaid spending cuts, challenge Trump's tariffs, and ban members of Congress from trading individual stocks. And Wall Street is already reacting. On November 4, the Dow Jones Industrial Average surged 3%, the S&P 500 gained 1.6%, and the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.4%. Healthcare stocks were among the most interesting movers. Centene jumped approximately 12.6%, while Molina Healthcare climbed around 8.9%, as investors began pricing in potential changes to federa
TOPI think healthcare reform could create the most interesting opportunity, particularly for $Centene(CNC)$ & $Molina Healthcare(MOH)$ . However, I would be cautious about chasing the rally because political promises do not automatically translate into legislation or higher earnings. The real impact depends on Medicaid funding, ACA subsidies & reimbursement policies. Tariff changes also deserve attention, especially for AAPL & NKE, which rely on global supply chains. Lower tariffs could improve margins, but with Trump retaining veto power, I would not price in these changes too early. Crypto regulation could also bring clarity, although stricter compliance may create challenges for COIN & HOOD. Personally, I prefer to wait for actual policy details rather than trade on election headlines. My focus remains on companies with strong fundamentals, healthy cash flow and reasonable valuations, while keeping some cash ready for better opportunities. @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @TigerClub
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11-05 15:53
Hot Stock Watchlist: $AAOI, $AMD, $NBIS and $SNDK
๐ Four AI and semiconductor names are showing very different stages of their market cycles. 1. $Applied Optoelectronics(AAOI)$ โ Long-Term Accumulation Zone $AAOI has retraced all the way into the Smart Money Zone, just as anticipated. This is why patience matters. Price is now entering a long-term accumulation zone, with a 12โ24 month target of $206. โญ 2. $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ โ AI Rally Still Has Momentum Everyone was asking whether the AI rally was over. $AMD just delivered an answer: Data Center revenue grew 97%. We bought the Silver Bullet setup. 3. $NEBIUS(NBIS)$ โ Waiting for a Better Entry $NBIS has fallen 46% since reaching the Institutional S
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11-05 15:49
$MU Breaks Short-Term Support. These Are the Next Key Buy Zones
$Micron Technology(MU)$ has been rejected from the Institutional Sell Zone and has now broken short-term support near $900. If the breakdown holds, I'm watching two major long-term demand areas for a potential bullish reaction: ๐ฏ Key Levels: Institutional Buy Zone: $660โ$520 Smart Money Zone: $520โ$470 One important confirmation to watch is the November monthly candle. If MU closes November in the red, it would confirm continued weakness and could set up a more favorable entry as price approaches these longer-term zones. For now, I'm watching how the pullback develops rather than trying to catch the first dip.
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11-05 15:47
$PLTR: Is the Long-Term Bearish Thesis Starting to Fall Apart?
I may have been wrong about the long-term rejection in $Palantir(PLTR)$ . Technically, the weekly structure remains bearish. Price has not yet made a clear break above the $208 swing high, so the possibility of a deeper correction over the next 6โ12 months remains. A move into the long-term Smart Money Zone is still on the table, although the odds appear much lower now. Here's what has changed: Daily Smart Money Zone: Bullish Monthly BX: Green Weekly structure: Still bearish until $208 is reclaimed The key downside level to watch is $160. A break below that level would make the bearish scenario much more interesting again. For now, I'm watching how the structure develops. Let's see what happens.
TOPThis is a great article to share. This is a great article to share. This is a great article to share.
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11-05 15:45
$NVDA Breaks Short-Term Swing Low
$NVIDIA(NVDA)$ has broken below its short-term swing low, putting its internal market structure under pressure. Unless the stock reclaims the $208โ$210 area by next week, the short-term structure remains broken. That raises the probability of further downside toward the Institutional Buy Zone, also known as the weekly Smart Money Zone. This is the risk I highlighted back in July. โ Although Nvidia broke out last month, it never recorded a weekly close above the previous swing high. As a result, the active weekly trading range remains: Weekly range low: $163.90 Weekly range high: $235 Key recovery zone: $208โ$210 The next move is important. Reclaiming $208โ$210 would help repair the short-term structure. Failure to do so leaves room for a deeper pu
TOPRevenue and earnings per share exceeded expectations, but their outlook was disappointing.
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11-05 15:43
$SITM โ A+ Weekly Setup With a $900 Long-Term Target
๐ฃ $SiTime Corp(SITM)$ is currently trading in a strong discount range on the weekly chart. Based on the current market structure, a move toward the previous swing high near $900 remains possible over the next 12โ18 months, provided the setup continues to hold. ๐ฏ Key Levels: Weekly Smart Money Zone: Current trading range Upside target: $900 Invalidation: Weekly structure breaks below $300 Major catalyst: Upcoming earnings Earnings will be an important test. The results could determine whether this setup gains momentum, consolidates or becomes invalidated. I'm not taking a position at this level because my capital is allocated elsewhere. However, from a rules-based, longer-term perspective, $SITM remains an A+ setup on my watchlist.
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11-05 15:34
Solar Just Ripped 12% Overnight. Here's What Actually Changed.
Solar stocks exploded higher after Democrats won both the House and Senate. As of roughly 10:15 AM ET: $Eos Energy Enterprises Inc.(EOSE)$ : +21% $Array Technologies Inc.(ARRY)$ : +22% $T1 ENERGY INC(TE)$ : +13% $Nextpower(NXT)$ : +12% $Canadian Solar(CSIQ)$ : +12% $First Solar(FSLR)$ : +12% $Enphase Energy(ENPH)$ : +12% $Plug Power(PLUG)$ : +11% $Sunrun(RUN)$ : +10% $Invesco
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11-05 15:29
$SPY Rebounds From $748 to $768. Is $800 the Next Target?
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ staged a sharp reversal, climbing from $748 to $768 in a single day. The next upside target is $800+. Here are 8 reasons a Democratic-controlled Congress could be bullish for stocks: ๐บ๐ธ 1. Potential Iran War De-escalation Congress controls war powers and funding. A path toward de-escalation could reduce geopolitical risk. ๐ข๏ธ 2. Falling Oil Prices Brent crude dropped below $100 for the first time in weeks, easing pressure on energy-driven inflation. ๐ 3. More Room for Fed Rate Cuts Lower oil prices and cooler CPI readings could give the Fed greater flexibility to ease monetary policy. ๐๏ธ 4. Congressional Gridlock A divided government could make sweeping legislation harder to pass, reducing the risk of major policy s
TOPUS indexes all red red. Dow is dow 2%+, Nasdaq is dow 5%. Seem like market going to crash
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11-05 15:27
You Don't Need to Quit Your 9โ5 to Become a Profitable Trader
The biggest lie in trading is that you can't make money because you work a full-time job. You don't need to watch charts all day. You need about 30 minutes to prepare your $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ watchlist and identify potential setups. Here's a simple routine: 1. Find 4โ6 stocks to watch Focus on stocks with: The highest trading volume The biggest catalysts The strongest percentage gains 2. Mark your key levels Before the opening bell, identify: Previous day's high Previous day's low Premarket high Premarket low Previous day's close Market open 3. Focus on the opening hour When the market opens at 9:30 AM EST, you only need to actively watch for 30 minutes to an hour at most. The biggest mistake new traders make is believing they need to
TOPI also share the same sentiments as the author, you still can keep your job and be a profitable trader, really appreciate that the author come up with a systematic approach in executing this strategy.
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11-05 15:24
$NDX: One More Leg Lower Could Set Up a Bullish $SPX Reversal
$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ is showing the cleaner bearish Elliott Wave count, with its Wave 4/Wave 5 structure still intact. As long as price remains below today's high, I'm leaning toward one more move lower to complete Wave 5. Here's the scenario I'm watching: $NDX makes a lower low to finish its fifth wave, while $S&P 500(.SPX)$ holds a higher low. That would create a bullish SMT divergence between the two indices and could provide the catalyst for $SPX to rally toward the 7,725 trendline. The ABC Model also nailed all three major $E-mini Nasdaq 100 - main 2612(NQmain)$ moves over the past two days. Look at the reactions around the 90%โ100% Fibonacci extensions.
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11-05
The Great Grab Awakening: From Beatdown Stock to Cash Monster
๐๐๐The market finally woke up and stopped treating $Grab Holdings(GRAB)$
TOPNoโGRABโs implied volatility looks elevated in absolute terms, but not unusually elevated versus its own recent history after the Q3 earnings pop. Grab Holdings (GRAB) watchlist reported Q3 results before the US open on 2026-11-03 . The stock closed at US$2.86 immediately before the release, then US$3.12 on the earnings day and US$3.36 the following sessionโan approximately 17.48% two-session move, calculated from the reported closes. As of 2026-11-05 : 30-day IV: 63.26% โ high in absolute terms for a stock option. IV percentile: 50.60% โ essentially around the middle of its own trailing IV distribution, rather than near an extreme. IV/HV ratio: 1.25x โ implied volatility is 25% above historical realized volatility, so options still embed a volatility premium. Call/put ratio: 2.71 โ call activity is materially greater than put activity, consistent with bullish/speculative positioning following the price jump. The chainโs stated expected move is about US$0.26 , or 7.76% of the curre
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11-05
ARKG Investment Tracker position change: Increased position in Pacific Biosciences of California by 246,575 shares, the number of shares held increased 2.09% compared to the previous period and now represents 1.35% of the total position.
PACB
2026/11/03
USPacific Biosciences of California
| Side | Reported Price | Filled | Portfolio changes |
|---|---|---|
| Buy Increase | 2.35 246,575 | +2.09% Holding |
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11-05
ARKK Investment Tracker position change: Decreased position in Kratos Defense & Security Solutions by 38,216 shares, the number of shares held decreased 2.24% compared to the previous period and now represents 1.27% of the total position.
KTOS
2026/11/03
USKratos Defense & Security Solutions
| Side | Reported Price | Filled | Portfolio changes |
|---|---|---|
| Sell Decrease | 40.23 38,216 | -2.24% Holding |
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