PeterDiCarlo

Quant Trader 💻 NEVER FINANCIAL ADVICE

    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·09:03

      $SOUN $APP $COHR Stocks at Key Inflection Points

      A few names on my radar right now... 🚀 $SoundHound AI Inc(SOUN)$ Up 11% today and still sitting in what I view as a smart money discount zone. We rode the last major move from March 2025 to October 2025. Now I'm watching for confirmation on what could become the next 6-month trend. ✅ $Kratos Defense & Security Solutions(KTOS)$ Already up 25% since we first highlighted it. Well done to everyone who followed the plan and stayed disciplined. 🔥 $Coherent(COHR)$ Shared with subscribers just last week. The stock is now up 40%. Could it eventually revisit all-time highs? Absolutely. But a 40% gain in a week is exceptional. There's nothing wrong with locking in some
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      $SOUN $APP $COHR Stocks at Key Inflection Points
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·08-06 13:49

      UnitedHealth's 80% Rally: Now Comes the Wait

      I've closed all of my $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ long positions. Over the past year, I've remained consistently bullish on UnitedHealth. Last July, we patiently waited for the stock to enter the Smart Money Zone before building long-term positions. That discipline paid off, with the stock rallying roughly 80% from those levels. Now it's time to show that same patience again. While the long-term trend remains bullish, I believe the stock is approaching a short-term top, making the current risk/reward less attractive. Nothing has changed about the broader outlook, but after such a strong advance, I'd rather lock in gains than chase additional upside. Looking further ahead, I still believe UNH has the potential to trade back toward $600 over the next 12 to 2
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      UnitedHealth's 80% Rally: Now Comes the Wait
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·08-06 13:46

      Google Faces Key Resistance After a Two-Year Rally

      $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ has been in a strong, clean bull cycle for almost two years and has been one of the standout “Magnificent 7” names. Trend is still up on the higher timeframe, but we are now pressing into a major resistance area where I start to get more cautious, not more aggressive. ❌ I’m not shorting $GOOGL. I don’t “want” it to go down. I’m just reporting what I see: after a two‑year run, the monthly relative strength is starting to get pulled out of this move. Monthly RSI is now trending below its simple moving average, which is usually a sign that a cycle is shifting from markup into redistribution rather than starting a fresh leg higher. Nothing on the chart screams “short this now,” but I also don’t think this is a great place to be star
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      Google Faces Key Resistance After a Two-Year Rally
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·08-05 11:07

      $QCOM Bottoming, $COHR Up 30%, $AMD Tests Resistance

      $Qualcomm(QCOM)$ is finding solid support at a key Smart Money level, with the technical structure suggesting a potential bottom is forming. As long as this support holds, the risk/reward profile continues to improve. $Duolingo, Inc.(DUOL)$ has fallen nearly 80% over the past year and is now rebounding from a Smart Money discount zone on the monthly chart. After such an extended redistribution phase, recoveries often take 18–24 months to return to prior highs. For long-term investors, this is the type of valuation area worth paying attention to. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ is approaching a decisive technical level. This is where the market will likely dete
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      $QCOM Bottoming, $COHR Up 30%, $AMD Tests Resistance
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·08-05 10:59

      Smart Money May Be Reloading $NFLX

      $Netflix(NFLX)$ just did smart money’s favorite trick: flush retail on earnings, reload at a discount. $NFLX has fully recovered the earnings dump and is now compressing inside the long‑term Smart Money Zone. That kind of compression, this deep in the band, has marked short‑term bottoms about 60–65% of the time in this name. Today’s tape: over $2.5M in calls bought, all November 20, 2026 $80C. I never treat flow as a reason to enter by itself. But when aggressive call flow shows up on top of a smart‑money support level I already had marked, that’s a setup I track closely. From here, I see a realistic path to a 20–30% move into the $88–95 “$90 range” over the next 90–120 days. Above that, the line in the sand is the recent swing high near $108. Tha
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      Smart Money May Be Reloading $NFLX
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·08-05 10:57

      When Nobody Wants $MSTR, Opportunity Often Starts to Build

      Everyone wanted $Strategy(MSTR)$ at $450. Down 75%, nobody wants it. That’s usually where real bottoms form. $MSTR has been crushed, but price is now compressing right under my Smart Money Zone. Structure has marked long‑term bottoms about 65% of the time. It now looks like we have both a long‑term and short‑term bottom in play. Sentiment across crypto is awful. That’s the job of a bottom. Discounts show up when everyone hates it. Premiums show up when retail is bragging about it. Today’s tape: about $4M in calls traded, October 16 expiry, $130 strike. By itself, that is not a reason for me to buy. But when unusual call flow lines up with smart‑money discount pricing, it usually precedes a meaningful short‑term move. Inside my framework, I’m prici
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      When Nobody Wants $MSTR, Opportunity Often Starts to Build
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·08-05 10:55

      A 30% $PLTR Rally Doesn't Change My Rules

      $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ 's earnings rally has been impressive, but it hasn't changed my process. Every major rebound since the previous bull cycle ended has looked similar at first—strong momentum, renewed optimism, and plenty of traders calling a bottom. More often than not, those rallies became liquidity for late buyers rather than the start of a sustained uptrend. Since losing its weekly Fair Value Band in February, PLTR has remained in a multi-month redistribution phase. Historically, these structures resolve lower into smart-money accumulation zones roughly 70% of the time before a durable trend resumes. While there are always exceptions, the probabilities still favor patience over chasing strength. Even after today's 30%+ earnings
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      A 30% $PLTR Rally Doesn't Change My Rules
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·08-04

      AI Leaders Keep Winning, but the Chip Rally May Not Be Over Yet

      Not all AI trades are telling the same story. $PLTR just delivered another blockbuster quarter, $ORCL continues to reward investors who bought the recent shakeout, while semiconductor stocks are finally bouncing after a sharp correction. The question now isn't whether AI is strong—it's whether chip stocks have actually found a bottom. 1. $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ — Another Quarter, Another Beat $PLTR once again crushed expectations. U.S. commercial revenue surged 150% year over year, highlighting that enterprise AI adoption is still accelerating. The market responded immediately, sending shares up more than 12% after hours. Palantir continues to prove it's one of the strongest execution stories in AI software. 2.
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      AI Leaders Keep Winning, but the Chip Rally May Not Be Over Yet
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·08-04

      $EOSE, $QQQ & $NVDA - Buying the Dip or Chasing the Breakout?

      Markets are entering a pivotal phase where conviction matters more than momentum. Some stocks are offering deep-value opportunities after brutal declines, while others are approaching technical levels that could determine whether the next move is a breakout or another pullback. This week's focus is on $EOSE, $QQQ, and $NVDA—three very different setups, but all approaching key decision points that could shape the remainder of the year. 1. $Eos Energy Enterprises Inc.(EOSE)$ — Sentiment Hits Bottom as Long-Term Value Emerges After losing roughly 80% of its value over the past year, $EOSE has become a classic example of how investor sentiment often reaches its lowest point near deep-discount valuations. For long-term investors willing to tolerate vol
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      $EOSE, $QQQ & $NVDA - Buying the Dip or Chasing the Breakout?
    • PeterDiCarloPeterDiCarlo
      ·08-04

      Bullish Structures Hold: $META, $CRWV & $NBIS Test Key Breakout Levels

      Not every rally is created equal. Some stocks are simply bouncing. Others are rebuilding toward new highs. This week's focus is on $META, $CRWV, and $NBIS—three names that continue to hold their bullish market structure despite recent volatility. While each is approaching an important technical inflection point, the broader trend remains constructive. Meanwhile, $HIMS has already rewarded buyers after entering a smart-money accumulation zone, reinforcing the importance of waiting for high-probability setups rather than chasing momentum. 1. $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$ $META filled the gap from earnings and structure never broke Still very bullish on this name 2. $CoreWeave, Inc.(CRWV)$ fter flushing our r
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      Bullish Structures Hold: $META, $CRWV & $NBIS Test Key Breakout Levels
       
       
       
       

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