FICO remains acompelling long-term investment

Long_Equity
03-01

$Fair Isaac(FICO)$ operates a consumer credit scoring system that's widely used in consumer loans andbanking. They also have a software business that provides solutions for fraud detection, loan originationand customer relationship management. The company's revenue is typically split evenly between scoresand software, though scores contribute 75% of operating income due to higher margins.

FlCO Scores:

The industry-standard credit score, used in over 90% of U.S. lending decisions.

Generates high-margin revenue.

Used in mortgages, auto loans, credit cards and loan securitisation.

Scores are inexpensive (often under $1), but essential to financial institutions.

Software Business:

Provides analytics for fraud detection, credit origination, and customer management. Key products include Falcon Fraud Manager (protects 2/3 of global credit card transactions) and Triad Customer Manager (oversees 65% of global credit accounts)

Competitive Advantages:

Near-monopoly on credit scores.

Although there is potential for regulatory scrutiny over its monopoly status.High switching costs for financial institutions due to integration in lending and securitisation. Has pricing power due to its indispensable role in financial decision-making.Capital-light model with strong cash flow, enabling aggressive share buybacks (20% of shares repurchased in 5 years). lts main competitor is Vantage Score (owned by credit bureaus), but FlCO remains dominant dueto its network effect and integration into financial infrastructure.

Al advancements could alter credit scoring models.

Conclusion:

FlCO is a rare example of a business with strong pricing power, a near-monopoly, and high operating leverage. With continued demand for its scoring model and growth in its software business, it remains acompelling long-term investment.

Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

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