Long_Equity
Long_Equity
Concentrated Global Equity Fund | ROC + FCF | Linear Compounders | Value Creation + Pricing Power | “There’s never a bad time to buy a compounding machine.”
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04-01 00:23

The top contributors to performance were ATOSS & CDNS in March 2025

Portfolio at the end of March 2025March performance: -8.1%YTD: -7.6%FCF ROC = 39%FCF per share CAGR (5yr) = 23%FCF Linearity (5yr) = 0.93FCF Margin = 36%FCF Margin Expansion (5yr) = 6%FCF Yield = 2.85%There were no outright sales or purchases. The top contributors to performance were ATOSS Software and Cadence Design Systems $Cadence Design(CDNS)$ . The top detractors from performance were NVIDIA $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ and Fortinet $Fortinet(FTNT)$ .ImageOpen a Cash Boost Account (CBA) today and unlock a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000!Enjoy the benefits of upcoming 0-commission, unlimited trading across Singapore, Hong Kong, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. Start tradi
The top contributors to performance were ATOSS & CDNS in March 2025

Here are top 10 positions of QQQ

Here are top 10 positions of QQQ

The quantitative and qualitative factors when analysing a company

There’s not one metric that makes a company investable. Here are some of the quantitative and qualitative factors I consider when analysing a companyQuantitativeConsistently high return on capital Consistently high FCF growth rate Expanding profit margins (operating efficiency)Prudent and sustainable approach to SBC, buybacks and dividendsCapital and asset lightAffordable debtQualitativeRecurring revenuesAffordable product that customers are highly dependent on (ideally mission critical) and unlikely to be cut during a downturnSales not highly cyclical Product not overly reliant on raw materials and therefore profitability not tied to commodity cycles Barriers to entry and barriers to scale
The quantitative and qualitative factors when analysing a company

The principles on how I see equity markets

When you buy and sell shares, you transact with market participants.The stock market consists of a range of:Type of investors -financial institutions(investing other people's money) down to retail investors (investing their own money).Risk appetites - reckless to prudent.Timespans-seconds/minutes (day traders) to decades (retirement planning) to centuries (family offices sovereign wealth funds).Skill, expertise and knowledge - PhDs,investors with 50+ years of experience and insiders all compete with the uneducated, young and uninformed
The principles on how I see equity markets

Applied Materials: What’s your view on the future growth of the company?

$Applied Materials(AMAT)$ is the world's largest manufacturer of semiconductor fabrication equipment. AMAT generates revenue through equipment sales (majority) and service contracts (~25% of revenue).While once dominated by conglomerates like $IBM(IBM)$ and $Intel(INTC)$ , the semiconductor industry now has distinct players in chip design, fabrication and equipment manufacturing. AMAT is crucial in semiconductor manufacturing, providing essential tools and services to industry leaders such as $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ , $Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.(SSNGY)$ and I
Applied Materials: What’s your view on the future growth of the company?

Quality investing has outperformed value investing

Over the last 15 years, quality investing has outperformed value investing.• The MSCI's quality index has an average outperformance of 2.71%, compared to -2.32% for their value index.• Quality has outperformed in 11/15 years, while value only managed 5/15 years.• Quality delivered the lowest volatility (SD=4.36%).Critics may argue that 15 years is a short time frame, but the consistency and lower volatility speaks for itself. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ ImageYear 1 - you invest $20 and make $10Year 2 -
Quality investing has outperformed value investing

The companies benefiting from high barriers to entry

Here are the holdings of the Tema Monopolies and Oligopolies ETF. They invest in companies benefiting from high barriers to entry, in the form of regulation and switching costs.I’ve highlighted the companies that I own or follow.Any thoughts on the portfolio? $GE Aerospace(GE)$ $Moody's(MCO)$ $Visa(V)$ $Intercontinental Exchange(ICE)$ $S&P Global(SPGI)$ $Tyler(TYL)$ $Airbus SE(EADSY)$ $Intuit(INTU)$ $Copart(CPRT)$
The companies benefiting from high barriers to entry

FICO remains acompelling long-term investment

$Fair Isaac(FICO)$ operates a consumer credit scoring system that's widely used in consumer loans and banking. They also have a software business that provides solutions for fraud detection, loan origination and customer relationship management. The company's revenue is typically split evenly between scores and software, though scores contribute 75% of operating income due to higher marginsFICO Scores:The industry-standard credit score, used in over 90% of U.S. lending decisionsGenerates high-margin revenue.Used in mortgages, auto loans, credit cards and loan securitisation.Scores are inexpensive (often under $1), but essential to financial institutions.Software Business:Provides analytics for fraud detection, credit origination, and customer mana
FICO remains acompelling long-term investment

Compares the current FCF yield to the 5yr average FCF yield

This table compares the current FCF yield to the 5yr average FCF yield of the companies in my portfolio (yellow) and investable (universe).- $Qualys(QLYS)$ $Atossa Genetics(ATOS)$ $MSCI Inc(MSCI)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ have all become slightly cheaper.- $Technology One, Ltd.(THNOF)$ $Fair Isaac(FICO)$ $Fortinet(FTNT)$ have all become slightly more expensive.I also include the coefficient of variation, which is a measure of volatility.- $Qualys(QLYS)$
Compares the current FCF yield to the 5yr average FCF yield

Triple Frond Partners’ current holdings and previously held positions

Triple Frond Partners is an interesting fund to follow through 13F filings. Here are their current holdings and previously held positions.What are your thoughts on the portfolio?I've been following them for a while. I like quality focused portfolios that are concentrated and have low turnover. Valley Forge is also worth following. $Alphabet(GOOG)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$ $Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Lam Research(LRCX)$ $Visa(V)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$
Triple Frond Partners’ current holdings and previously held positions

What are your thoughts on Pro Medicus?

What are your thoughts on $PRO MEDICUS LTD(PME.AU)$ $Pro Medicus, Ltd.(PMCUF)$ ? Their recent share price growth has been magnificent.Here's a quick 1-pager:Busincss summatyPro Medicus is a healthcare software company specialising in medical imaging, They employ a AAS model that allows them to generate revenue from long-term contracts, predominantly on a transaction based licensing model, 'This allows clients to pay per usc, ensuring a steady revenue stream and long-term relationships.Busincgs segmentsTheir main products are Visage 7 Finterprise lmaging Platform and Visage RlS, both designed to improve workflow effcicncy and diagnostic accuracy in radiology.Pro Medicus operates across Australia, North
What are your thoughts on Pro Medicus?

WiseTech Global up 500% over the last 5 years

$WISETECH GLOBAL LTD(WTC.AU)$ $Wisetech Global(WIGBY)$ W'ise'Tech Global is an Australian-based company that sells software solutions for the logisties industry, aiming to become the operating system for global logistics.Their flagship product, CargoWise, is an integrated platform for freight forwarding, customs clearance, warehouse manapement ind transportaton solutions.The company has expanded through acquisitions, integrating new technologies and expertise to enhance its offerings.WWise'Tech sells to global freight forwarders, customs brokers, and logistics providers, ensuring efficient, operations across international supply chains.They operate a AAS business model, generating recurring revenue thr
WiseTech Global up 500% over the last 5 years

CDNS - Key Player in Semiconductor EDA Software

$Cadence Design(CDNS)$ operates within the semiconductor industry, providing Electronic Design Automation(EDA) software essential for chip design. This software enables companies to create increasingly powerful and efficient chips, Alongside competitor $Synopsys(SNPS)$ , Cadence plays a critical role in the global semiconductor ecosystem. Founded in 1989 through the merger of ECAD and SDA, Cadence emerged during the industry's shift from vertical integration to specialisation, Originally, semiconductor companies developed their own design tools, but as chip complexity increased, firms began outsourcing EDA needs to specialised providers like Cadence. Over time, Cadence expanded its offerings from specific
CDNS - Key Player in Semiconductor EDA Software

The top contributors to performance were Fortinet and Visa in FEB

Portfolio at the end of February 2025February performance: -2.0%YTD: 0.5%FCF ROC = 39%FCF per share CAGR (5yr) = 23%FCF Linearity (5yr) = 0.93FCF Margin = 36%FCF Margin Expansion (5yr) = 6%FCF Yield = 2.85%We exited our position in Microsoft and began a new position in $Technology One, Ltd.(THNOF)$ . The top contributors to performance were $Fortinet(FTNT)$ and $Visa(V)$ .The top detractors from performance were $Cadence Design(CDNS)$ and $Applied Materials(AMAT)$ .PS:Sadly the semis still hyper volatile...Probably always will be, but definitely less now there are multiple drivers
The top contributors to performance were Fortinet and Visa in FEB

AMAT: Dominant Player in Semiconductor Equipment with Strong Growth and Risks

$Applied Materials(AMAT)$ is the worid's largest manufacturer of semiconductor fabrication equipment. AMAT generates revenue through equipment sales (majority) and service contracts(~25% of revenue).While once dominated by conglomerates like $IBM(IBM)$ and $Intel(INTC)$ , the semiconductor industry now has distinct players in chip design, fabrication and equipment manufacturing. AMAT is crucial in semiconductor manufacturing, providing essential tools and services to industry leaders such as $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ , $Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.(SSNGY)$ and in
AMAT: Dominant Player in Semiconductor Equipment with Strong Growth and Risks

FICO remains acompelling long-term investment

$Fair Isaac(FICO)$ operates a consumer credit scoring system that's widely used in consumer loans andbanking. They also have a software business that provides solutions for fraud detection, loan originationand customer relationship management. The company's revenue is typically split evenly between scoresand software, though scores contribute 75% of operating income due to higher margins.FlCO Scores:The industry-standard credit score, used in over 90% of U.S. lending decisions.Generates high-margin revenue.Used in mortgages, auto loans, credit cards and loan securitisation.Scores are inexpensive (often under $1), but essential to financial institutions.Software Business:Provides analytics for fraud detection, credit origination, and customer manag
FICO remains acompelling long-term investment

What investors Need to Know About Corporate Finance

Corporate finance principles influence financial decision-making and determine a company's value, profitabilitand risk profile. Understanding corporate finance helps assess whether a company is a good investment. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $DJIA(.DJI)$ 1.Capital StructureA company finances itself through a mix of equity (shares) and debt (loans and bonds).Debt-to-equity ratio: High debt can mean high risk, but also potentially high returns.Cost of capital: Companies with lower borrowing costs are often more financially
What investors Need to Know About Corporate Finance

From 2023… still long FICO

$Fair Isaac(FICO)$ Business model: Fair lsaac, commonly known as FICO, specialises in providing credit scores. The FICO scoreis an industry benchmark for establishing creditworthiness and is a widely used by fnancial institutions. The offer a range of products and services to help businesses make data-driven decisions, manage risk, prevent fraud,and optimise operations.Diversification: Approximately 82% of their revenue comes from the Americas, 11% from EMEA and 7% from Asia Pacifc.Growth: FICO's drivers for growth over the next decade include increasing demand for analytics and expansioninto new markets. FICO is well positioned to utilise big data and Al to leverage its expertise in predictive modelling to meet growing demand. FICO traditionally
From 2023… still long FICO

Favourite Canadian stocks

I'm currently working on a report into Canadian equities. Apart from $Constellation Software, Inc.(CNSWF)$ (!), what's the highest quality Canadian🇨🇦 company? Descartes Systems $Descartes(DSGX)$ ? TerraVest $TerraVest Industries Inc.(TRRVF)$ ? Something else?Thanks to everyone who shared their favourite Canadian stocks:The list is below. $Brookfield Corp(BN)$ , $Dollarama, Inc.(DLMAF)$ , $Fairfax Financial Holdings Ltd.(FRFHF)$ and $Auto Trader Group Plc.(ATDRF)$ all rose to the top. Note th
Favourite Canadian stocks

Equities vs. Bonds: Earnings Yield Spread Turns Negative

Historically, equities offered a higher earnings yield than bonds to compensate for their additional risk.Since 2023 the spread between the S&P 500 earnings yield and the 10yr Treasury yield has been negative.This reflects a combination of a high interest rates, elevated stock valuations and potential economic concerns.My research is always company based, rather than markets as a whole. But there are some interesting ones. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR® S&P 500® ETF Trust(SPY.AU)$ $E-mini S&P 500 - main 2503(ESmain)$ Image
Equities vs. Bonds: Earnings Yield Spread Turns Negative

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