Tech Meltdown Friday: Brave for Impact or Bounce Back? The Long Term View

koolgal
04:36

🌟🌟🌟The end of this week brought a brutal reality check for tech investors like me.  Friday was a sea of red with a sharp broad selloff across AI related names and a significant tumble for stocks like $Broadcom(AVGO)$  and $Oracle(ORCL)$  

The market felt the pain as capital frantically rotated into defensive sectors.  Now we are all standing on the edge of the weekend, holding our breath and dreading next week.

The big question looms: Are we facing a massive bounce next week or is this the beginning of a long painful slide?

The emotional whipsaw is real.  One minute we are riding the AI wave to the moon.  The next minute we are questioning every decision that led us to buy tech stocks .  The sudden weakness in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq has rattled the most stoic investors.

Why the Sudden Slide?

The market's abrupt shift on Friday December 12 was primarily triggered by a double whammy of corporate disappointments that fueled fears of an AI bubble and commentary from Federal Reserve officials that pushed bond yields higher.

Broadcom's Margin Warning: The primary catalyst was $Broadcom(AVGO)$  earnings report.  While the company beat revenue and earnings expectations and reported a massive USD 73 billion AI order backlog, management warned that the mix of higher volume, lower margin custom AI products would squeeze overall profitability in the short term.

This has sparked concerns that the AI business maybe less lucrative than the market had hoped.

Oracle's Spending Spook:  This followed a similar negative reaction to Oracle's report earlier in the week, where it highlighted massive capital spending on AI infrastructure that missed revenue expectations.

Rising Treasury Yields and Fed Commentary: The market also felt pressure from rising US Treasury Yields, which climbed after Federal Reserve officials who recently voted against a rate cut, voiced concerns that inflation remains too high.  

Higher yields typically make high growth tech stocks less attractive to investors.

Profit Taking and Rotation: The disappointments from Broadcom and Oracle prompted a broad rotation of capital out of high flying , richly valued AI stocks and into more defensive sectors.

So What's Next?

The Optimist's Hope (Bounce Back):  Bulls are hoping that this was a necessary healthy correction, a temporary rotation of capital that will reverse itself as value investors step in to buy the dip.  The strong fundamentals of many of these tech companies suggest that they are on sale.

The Pessimist's Fears (More Pain):  Bears see this as the long overdue air coming out of a frothy bubble.  The sharp drop in a major player like Broadcom could be the canary in the coal mine, signalling a shift in sentiment and a potentially protracted downturn.

For now the uncertainty is the most painful part.  For those of us with portfolios that are full of tech stocks , the anxiety of the next trading day is a heavy burden to bear.  Whether we see a strong rebound or another slide , one thing is certain: our emotions are along for the ride.

A Dose of Buffett Inspired Calm: The Magic of Compounding and Long Term Holding

In times of market turmoil, it helps to zoom out and remember the power of time and patience.  This is where the wisdom of Warren Buffett becomes our investment North Star.

Warren Buffett consistently advocates for a Buy and Hold strategy, leveraging the undeniable magic of compounding returns.

Warren Buffett's approach encourages us to view a market downturn not as a crisis but as a potential opportunity to acquire quality assets at a discount.  He has famously said "Our favourite holding period is forever".  This mindset helps us to filter out the daily noise and emotional reactions that drive short term trading decisions and often lead to poor outcome.

So when the market gets volatile and Tech Meltdown Friday rattles our resolve, remember Warren Buffett's simple but powerful philosophy:

"Find great companies, buy them at fair price and let the magic of compounding do the rest."

@Tiger_comments  @TigerStars  @Tiger_SG  @TigerClub  @CaptainTiger  

Tech Meltdown Friday: Bounce Next Week or More Pain Ahead?
U.S. tech stocks plunged, with AI-related names seeing a broad sell-off as capital rotated into defensive sectors. Weakness in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq was largely driven by a sharp drop in Broadcom, whose shares tumbled 11.4% on the day. Despite beating earnings expectations, investors were disappointed by lower-than-expected AI margins and the lack of AI guidance for fiscal 2026, weighing heavily on the stock. After Friday’s sell-off, will the market stage a strong rebound next week β€” or continue to slide?
Disclaimer: Investing carries risk. This is not financial advice. The above content should not be regarded as an offer, recommendation, or solicitation on acquiring or disposing of any financial products, any associated discussions, comments, or posts by author or other users should not be considered as such either. It is solely for general information purpose only, which does not consider your own investment objectives, financial situations or needs. TTM assumes no responsibility or warranty for the accuracy and completeness of the information, investors should do their own research and may seek professional advice before investing.

Comments

  • Enid Bertha
    10:15
    Enid Bertha
    AVGO does big moves all the time and will explode up at some point trapping short sellers like a dead fish bitting the hook!

    • koolgal:Β 
      Happy Trading next week πŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸ’°πŸ’°πŸ’°
    • koolgal:Β 
      May you have a wonderful weekend πŸ–οΈπŸ–οΈπŸ–οΈ
    • koolgal:Β 
      Nonetheless it is a great company to buy and hold long term πŸ‘πŸ‘πŸ‘
    • koolgal:Β 
      It is a scary time for AVGO investors .
    • koolgal:Β 
      Thanks for sharing your valuable insights 😍😍😍
  • Mortimer Arthur
    10:18
    Mortimer Arthur
    Buy AVGO, NVDA and MSFT. All have been beaten down and now undervalued.

    • koolgal:Β 
      May you have lots of winning trades next week πŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸŒˆπŸ’°πŸ’°πŸ’°
    • koolgal:Β 
      Happy weekend πŸ–οΈπŸ–οΈπŸ–οΈ
    • koolgal:Β 
      As Warren Buffett once said When there is Fear in the markets it is time to be greedy.
    • koolgal:Β 
      Brilliant ideaπŸ‘πŸ‘πŸ‘
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