Last Week's Recap1. The US Market - Major indices reaching record highsDriven by robust economic data and positive investor sentiment last week. The $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ rose by approximately 1.2%, closing at 48,710.97; the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ index surged by about 1.4%, closing at a new record high of 6,929.94. The $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ increased by around 1.2%, ending the week at 23,593.096. GDP acceleration: GDP expanded at an annualized rate of 4.3% in the July-through-September period versus the consensus forecast for 3.2%, the fastest in two years. 2026 rate outlook: the Fed's minutes contributed to the positive market sentiment, bond market trading continued to su

My Investing Muse (29Dec25) Layoffs, Bankruptcy & Closure news This offshoring jobs to India and other countries thing was already happening. It has been for quite some time. - X user Amanda Goodall L.A.’s entertainment economy is spiralling downward: Work is evaporating, businesses are closing, and the city’s creative middle class is hanging on by a thread. - WSJ "The job market is so bad, people in their 40s are resorting to going back to school instead of looking for work," per FORTUNE “Auto Delinquencies Hit Record High as Consumers Caught Off Guard.” “PYMNTS Intelligence data showed that 34% of consumers who live paycheck to paycheck and struggle to pay their bills have had to spend more than usual in the past six months, which in turn has eaten into their savings. The cost of foo

News and my thoughts from the past week (29Dec25) Private equity firms are struggling in late 2025 due to high interest rates, tariffs, and a weak economy. This has created a record backlog of over 30,000 unsold companies, hurting investors (like pension funds and wealthy individuals) by locking up their money longer, delaying cash payouts, and causing returns to lag the stock market. To raise quick cash, more firms are selling small stakes in their own management companies—a trend continuing strongly into 2025 and beyond. This helps the firms but signals ongoing industry weakness that impacts investor returns. (Source is WSJ) - X user Kristen Shaughnessy Debts, deliquencies and defaults from federal, private equity, shadow banking, junk bonds, corporate credit, consumer debts like credit

Market Outlook of S&P500 (29Dec25) Technical Analysis Overview MACD Indicator Following the recent top crossover, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator continues to suggest an uptrend. Moving Averages The price action, as depicted by the candlesticks, is currently situated above both the 50-day and 200-day moving average (MA) lines. This positioning indicates a bullish trend in both the short-term and long-term outlooks. Furthermore, both the 50 MA and the 200 MA are trending upward, reinforcing the positive trend. Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs) The three Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) lines are showing a bullish outlook as they fan outwards. This convergence and subsequent uptrend further support the case for continued bullish momentum in the market. Chaiki

The S&P 500 successfully hold above 6800 with the onslaught of the biggest “Quadruple Witching” on Friday. With roughly $5 trillion of this exposure tied to S&P 500, there was some market pressure leading into year-end. Expect some market volatility into the beginning of year 2026. Thanks @Tiger_comments @TigerStars @Tiger_SG

Santa Rally is lost! BOJ rate hike always deepen market downturn as shown in history. Cautiously optimistic is the way to go for anyone planning to buy the dips. Thanks @Tiger_comments @1PC @icycrystal

$MercadoLibre(MELI)$ sharing for coins

$iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$  $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$  26 Dec 2025 🇺🇸 | 27 Dec 2025 🇳🇿 One of the most persistent and under-appreciated positioning imbalances I’ve seen in years is now developing across U.S. equities. Short interest is rising across small caps, mega-cap tech, and the S&P 500 simultaneously, yet price continues to hold and grind higher. 📉 Short Interest Is Rising Everywhere, Not Selectively Short positioning has pushed into the 100th percentile across Russell 2000 constituents versus both the past 1Y and 5Y. Exposure is now up +45% in 2025 and +23% over the

$Micron Technology(MU)$ Bullish $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Bullish $Target(TGT)$  $Silver - main 2603(SImain)$ Bullish 26 Dec 2025 🇺🇸 | 27 Dec 2025 🇳🇿 Intraday Market Pulse 📊📉 I’m watching markets digest gains through rotation, not risk distribution. In thin post-holiday trading with volumes running roughly 29% below average, price action lacked urgency but not intent. The Dow Jones Industrial Average hovered near 48,674, down -0.12%. The S&P 500 sat near 6,931, slipping just -0.01% after briefly tagging fresh record highs earlier in the session. The Nasdaq Composite held a modest +0.03%

Possibly rally into January if nothing unusual happens. May be January effect happening soon.

At least 60% of the time it will every time. [Surprised]  [Strong]  [Allin]  

The rally will continue in 2026 unless some geopolitical tension breaks it.

📈 S&P 500 hit its 39th record high at 6937 🎅🔥. Will the Santa Rally extend into January? I believe Yes ✅ — Seasonality & calendar effect often support strength into the new year. My plan: go Long 🐂, Ride the momentum, and let the rally carry into January [Miser]🌊✨. @JC888 @Barcode @koolgal @Shyon @Shernice軒嬣 2000 @Aqa @DiAngel

Seeing the S&P 500 $S&P 500(.SPX)$  $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$   notch its 39th record high around 6,927 reinforces how powerful year-end seasonality can be, especially when liquidity improves and positioning turns more supportive. Historically, the Santa rally isn't just a festive myth — it reflects tax-loss selling ending, performance chasing by funds, and generally lighter risk aversion into year-end. That backdrop helps explain why markets can keep grinding higher even when valuations already look stretched. Whether the Santa rally extends into January, in my view, depends less on sentiment and more on posi

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My conviction stays strong with AI related stocks! If the Santa Rally extends into January, AI stocks are likely to lead the charge. Historically, the final five trading days of December and the first two of January deliver positive returns nearly three‑quarters of the time. This year, optimism is fueled by resilient U.S. economic data, falling jobless claims, and growing expectations that the Federal Reserve will begin easing rates in 2026. Momentum is strongest in sectors tied to secular growth themes. Semiconductors and AI infrastructure remain front and center. Nvidia (NVDA) remains the poster child of the AI boom. Despite concerns about valuation, its GPUs are the backbone of generative AI, cloud computing, and enterprise adoption. Demand from hyperscalers and corporates shows no

Historical data suggests that the market tends to continue its upward momentum in Jan' after a positive Dec'. Also a positive Jan also historically leads to above-average returns for the full year. Given the historical calendar effects, one might be tempted to consider going long. However, past performance is never a guarantee of future results. And now let us come to the golden dictum: DON'T TRY TO TIME THE MARKET. Timing the market is inherently risky, and a long-term, disciplined approach is always more effective than focusing solely on seasonal patterns. 

Current Market Context Recent trading saw the S&P 500 at yet another record high (~6927) as the traditional “Santa Claus rally” window began in the last trading days of December. Analysts link this to seasonal demand, lighter volumes, and cautious optimism around earnings and monetary policy expectations such as rate cuts.  What the Seasonal Patterns Suggest Santa Claus rally refers to the tendency for the S&P 500 to rise during the last five trading days of the year and the first two of January. Historically this pattern: Has seen positive returns in ~75 per cent of years since 1950. Generates average gains around 1.2–1.4 per cent over the seven-day window.  This is not a structural market driver but a seasonal statistical pattern, not a fundamental guarantee. The Januar

Wedbush analysts see $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ hitting a $1 trillion valuation over the next two to three years. Palantir's ability to "close up" (justify) its high valuation in 2026 would be in intense debate among analysts, with a possible outcome dependent on the company sustaining its current explosive growth, especially in its commercial AI platform business. In this article, we would like to discuss if Palantir (PLTR) could gather a rally into 2026, focusing on valuation concerns, potential catalysts, and what specific trading opportunities might emerge. I am holding PLTR for long-term but have been trading using option or swing trade whenever there is an upside opportunities from Palantir, so for 2026, I might be doing the same wit