On Friday night, the U.S. Supreme Court voted 6–3 to overturn President Donald Trump’s broad-based tariff policy, ruling that it exceeded presidential authority. Because the decision had been widely anticipated, the market reaction was relatively muted, and U.S. equity indices even rebounded. However, Trump quickly voiced his dissatisfaction and announced a 15% global tariff (up from 10%) while launching a new investigation, stating, “We will be able to levy tariffs—more tariffs.” Since the additional tariff measures were announced over the weekend, Monday becomes the first real test of how sensitive the market is to this news. Overall, the tariff hike is a modest negative for U.S. equity indices, but for gold and silver it may serve as a catalyst for a renewed upswing. Will higher tariffs

Ahead of the holiday, I told everyone to temporarily consider taking profits on bullish positions in the U.S. equity market, and to look at building small long put option positions once the S&P moved below its 20-week moving average; alternatively, you could try buying VIX-long exposure on dips, using the VIX 20-day moving average as the stop level. From what we’ve seen so far, the VIX-long position should already be profitable： $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ $ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF(VIXY)$ $ProShares Ultra VIX Short-Term Futures ETF(UVXY)$ $Volatility Index - main 2603(VIXmain)$ My strategy remains un

Geopolitical escalation involving Iran sits directly in the category of events that affect risk perception rather than immediate physical gold demand. Precious metals therefore react less to the event itself and more to how markets price uncertainty, liquidity, and policy response. --- 1. Initial market reaction to geopolitical threats Historically, precious metals respond in three stages: Phase A: Shock premium Gold rises quickly as safe-haven flows enter. Oil spikes amplify inflation fears. Real yields often fall as investors move into Treasuries. Silver usually lags initially because it carries industrial exposure. This move is often fast but emotionally driven. Phase B: Reality pricing Markets then assess whether conflict becomes: a contained strike, or a prolonged regional disruption.

$Silvercorp Metals Inc(SVM)$ No prize guessing what's the other two charts are about. I didn't guess the whole narrative right but last US trading session happened to be a reasonable profitable session for my portfolio position. It would have done better if I had shorted cryptocurrency in general!  With March quickly approaching, the clock is ticking for silver March contract delivery. It will be interesting in just a week what will happen to the silver price movement. If the contracts are not rolling over, and the world ran out of physical silver to deliver, a lot of the settlement is going to be the so-called fiat paper notes, or currency as we called it. Those same currencies that could simply be printed and losing confidence among the cent

🌟🌟🌟The Fire Horse is breathing heat into the metals market currently.  We are at a historic crossroad.  Spot Gold is currently trading around USD 5,122.60/Oz and Spot Silver is near USD 85.34/Oz.  While prices may flicker daily, the structural trend is a powerful uphill climb. The Inverse Logic : Why Metals Are Rising Now After A Sharp Drop  The USD 38 Trillion Elephant : The US National Debt has crossed a mind numbing USD 38 Trillion.  In the Year of the Fire Horse, investors are terrified of Currency Debasement.  When you print more "paper" hard assets like Gold and Silver naturally gallop higher to maintain their value. Central Banks' Hoarding :  We are seeing a historic "Golden Grab".  Central banks led by China, Poland and Brazil are diversifyin

Geopolitics involving Iran rarely moves markets in a straight line. The reaction in precious metals depends on credibility, duration, and escalation risk, not headlines alone. --- 1. Immediate reaction: knee-jerk safe-haven bid In the event of credible military escalation: Gold typically spikes first Silver follows with higher beta The US dollar may strengthen initially Real yields become the key counterforce Gold reacts to uncertainty and capital preservation flows. Silver reacts both to fear and to speculative positioning. If strikes are limited and quickly contained, the spike often fades within days. --- 2. Is every dip a buy? Not necessarily. There are three types of dips: 1. Liquidity-driven pullbacks Risk assets fall, funds sell gold to raise cash. These dips are often buyable. 2. Y

In my humble opinion. Based on a lot of research and understanding the emotions of investors trump has zero impact on the price of precious metals. The banks control the prices and more importantly the narrative. But this week paper silver (spot price) @TigerTrade is going to be tested, while china sleeps. The spot price of silver I'm my opinion will become meaningless. COMEX will fail massively. Or not. Money talks after all. But everyone in the know, knows paper silver is screwed this week. Gold, no.  I hope companies like $Pan American Silver(PAAS)$  take a dive. I'll buy more cause well they don't trade paper silver. They mine silver, and I'd encourage you all to look at their

$XAG/USD(XAGUSD.FOREX)$  $SPDR Gold ETF(GLD)$  Gold chart looks like breaking out of a triangle, which is bullish. it looks to continue on an uptrend to recapture its all time high again. With the tension going on in Iran and uncertainty of tariff we can expect safe haven assets to continue to be strong Where investor go to risk off. look at it this way, the central banks around the world are still holding or increasing their gold position. As long there is demand from central banks then gold have very good potential for ATH again and again. Therefore I'm holding gold and don't intend to sell anytime soon. are you holding gold? Look

$XAG/USD(XAGUSD.FOREX)$  $iShares Silver Trust(SLV)$  Silver breakout of resistance level where it has been consolidating. With the current confusion on tariff and uncertainty, I think silver have a good chance to recapture $100 level before breaking all time high again. Now $84 will be support level. Would you still add to your silver position at current level? I'm holding on and don't intend to sell any time soon. I will consider again at the end of Donald Trump presidency. As long he is president, we will have uncertainty which is good for safe haven assets. Do you agree?

Trump's jaw-dropping comments yesterday at the White House governors breakfast – admitting he's considering limited military strikes on Iran to force a nuclear deal – have sent shockwaves through global markets, reigniting precious metals as ultimate geopolitical hedges. 😤 With tensions escalating in the Middle East, gold surged to $5,000 per ounce on February 21, 2026, marking a 2% rebound from recent dips, while silver climbed 3% to $68 amid supply crunches widening deficits to 220 million ounces. This Iran standoff adds nitro to already boiling risks from tariffs crimp 5% on allies and Fed pauses delaying cuts to July – but how will metals react to this crisis, is every pullback a screaming buy, or will consolidation drag on as macro cycles cool? Emerging markets feel the heat, with Asi

Precious metals react less to headlines themselves and more to how geopolitical risk alters liquidity, real yields, and currency confidence. A potential Iran escalation fits a classic safe-haven framework, but the reaction is rarely linear. --- 1. Immediate market reaction to geopolitical escalation If military action becomes credible, markets typically move in phases: Phase A: Shock response (hours to days) Gold rises first as a liquidity hedge and reserve asset. Silver initially follows but may lag due to industrial exposure. Oil spikes → inflation expectations rise → real yields often fall temporarily. USD reaction is mixed: safe-haven inflow vs fiscal/geopolitical risk. Gold benefits because it prices uncertainty and tail risk, not just inflation. --- 2. Why metals sometimes sell off a

Recent headlines matter because markets are reacting not to war itself, but to probability of escalation. During the White House governors’ breakfast, President Trump openly said he is considering limited military strikes on Iran if negotiations fail, signalling a credible geopolitical tail risk rather than mere rhetoric.  This distinction explains why precious metals are rising yet not exploding higher. --- 1. How precious metals typically react to geopolitical crises Phase A: Threat escalation → immediate safe-haven bid Gold and silver attract capital when uncertainty rises because they function as liquidity hedges and geopolitical insurance. Gold has already reclaimed the $5,000 level as US-Iran tensions increased safe-haven demand.  Silver tends to move more aggressively once

The intersection of aggressive price targets (Gold $5,000) and escalating geopolitical tensions creates a volatile backdrop for precious metals. Here is an analysis of how these factors typically interact: 1. How will precious metals react to geopolitical crisis? Precious metals, particularly gold, are the ultimate "fear barometer." In the event of a military strike or a breakdown in diplomatic relations with Iran, metals typically react in three phases: The Knee-Jerk Spike: Gold and silver usually see an immediate price surge as investors flee "risk assets" (stocks) for "safe havens." Currency Correlation: If the crisis leads to a stronger U.S. Dollar (also a safe haven), it can sometimes cap gold's gains, as gold is priced in dollars. However, in a true Middle East crisis, the "geopoliti

So many uncertainties still at play in geopolitics - metals are still a safe haven 

Common sense suggests, precious metals, especially gild, typically serve as safe-haven assets during geopolitical crises, with prices often spiking as investors seek refuge from uncertainty. The trend is likely to continue. But is Every Dip a Buy? Well, I for one consider pullbacks as entries because the medium-to-long-term outlook for gold and silver remains positive due to central bank accumulation and monetary policy easing. But sudden diplomatic resolution or change in Fed. policy can trigger sharp retracements also. So there ciuld at least be Range-Bound Action, geopolitical stress and central bank demand provide a floor allowing metals to consolidate at elevated levels rather than reversing sharply. 

Hi investors [Sly]   Major U.S. stock indices ended higher as of the last trading session on Friday, February 20, 2026, following a week of volatility driven by uncertain interest rate outlooks and strong performance in the technology sector. The Nasdaq Composite led the gains, rising 0.90% to close at 22,886.07, while the S&P 500 climbed 0.69% to end at 6,909.51. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 0.47%, settling at 49,625.97.

Not just precious metals surge, oil prices jump as tensions ramp up between Iran and the US. Watch news of the deal.

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