$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ $Microsoft(MSFT)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$  💡 AI Circularity Meets Liquidity Risk I’m watching the most complex feedback loop in markets today, and I’m seeing an inflection point that could define the next bull leg. The AI ecosystem has gone circular. $NVDA invests in OpenAI, OpenAI buys Nvidia chips, $MSFT bankrolls both, and $CoreWeave rents compute back to everyone. $AMD and $ORCL close the loop, creating what looks like a self-sustaining machine until liquidity tightens. If data-centre budgets contract, it hits twice: collapsing chip demand and shrinking equity stakes in the same customers they funded. 🚀 The Most Leveraged Inno

$NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ I’m watching this week’s Asia tour with heightened focus; it sits at the intersection of geopolitics, liquidity and market psychology. NASDAQ’s seven-month rally has thrived on dovish expectations, yet the deeper question now is whether diplomacy will reinforce or unsettle that confidence. Macro Context: Inflation Cools, Optimism Holds September CPI rose 3.0% year-on-year, the highest since January 2025 but still beneath the 3.1% forecast. Core CPI matched at 3.0%, confirming that inflation is plateauing rather than reigniting. Shelter inflation eased to 0.2% monthly, and services ex-shelter steadied. Futures

$CME Bitcoin - main 2510(BTCmain)$ $Gold - main 2512(GCmain)$ I’m witnessing one of the most telling capital shifts of the quarter as money flows out of defensive gold and into risk-on digital assets. I’m aligning this move with the renewed China-US trade dialogue that’s rekindling global risk appetite across crypto and equities. This is not just a chart move; it’s a sentiment reset backed by policy alignment, liquidity, and conviction. Gold is down 5% on the week while Bitcoin is up 3%, a divergence that rarely appears this clean. I’m treating it as the first leg of a broader rotation, one that’s beginning to echo through correlated names like Coinbase and Ethereum as capital repositions for Nov

$USA Rare Earth Inc.(USAR)$  Key Points Asia Rallies on Truce: Japan’s Nikkei hits a record as a Trump–Xi rare-earths truce lifts risk sentiment; Korea gains on Nvidia-led AI investments while China’s PMI at 49 underscores drag. Auto Chip Squeeze: Dutch takeover of Nexperia and China export blocks spark a legacy-chip shortage; Honda trims output and OEM “war rooms” race to avoid Q4 line stoppages. Rare Earths Pop: U.S.-listed rare-earths miners rise as Beijing delays new export controls for one year after the Trump–Xi meeting, easing near-term supply risk though prior curbs remain. China More Investible (Cautiously): Tariff relief and limited tech access temper geopolitical overhangs, but foreign exposure stays low despite strong CSI 300/HSI

🌏 US–China Talks Ease Global Tensions: A New Wave for Stocks, a Pause for Gold The long-standing tension between the United States and China appears to be easing after the recent Kuala Lumpur consultations, where both sides reportedly reached a basic consensus. This breakthrough moment—especially progress on TikTok, soybean purchases, and rare-earth export restrictions—has ignited optimism across global markets. With diplomacy back on the table, investors are watching closely to see if this could mark the start of a sustained rally across sectors sensitive to trade and tariffs. ⸻ 💹 A Breath of Fresh Air for Tariff-Affected Stocks The easing of US–China trade tensions is particularly bullish for companies like NVIDIA (NVDA) and other technology firms heavily reliant on global semiconductor

The Fed’s two-day meeting wraps up tomorrow night (Oct 29) — and the stakes couldn’t be higher.Markets are betting big on a rate cut: CME data now shows a 98% chance of a 25bp move, signaling that the era of “higher for longer” may finally be ending.Market expectations ahead of the Oct 29 Fed meetingYet behind this week’s policy suspense lies a much bigger story — Trump’s quiet campaign to reshape the Fed itself.His five potential Fed Chair nominees are all singing the same tune: keep the easing going.The race to replace Jerome Powell is heating up — and it’s no longer just about who will lead the Federal Reserve. It’s about how far Donald Trump is willing to go to reshape America’s central bank in his own image.On Monday, Treasury Secretary Bessent confirmed the final five contenders for

Bank earnings season: The Big Four U.S. banks kicking off on October 14— $JPMorgan Chase(JPM)$ $Citigroup(C)$ $Goldman Sachs(GS)$ $Wells Fargo(WFC)$ —released their third-quarter earnings reports and delivered intriguing signals during subsequent earnings calls. Overall, performance generally exceeded market expectations, with investment banking showing clear signs of recovery. However, management consistently conveyed a tone of "measured recovery and cautious progress."1. JPMorgan (JPM): The Calm and First Move Behind the "Cockroach Theory"One-sentence conclusion: Stable interest rate spreads, investment banking recovery, and

Here’s my view on the current market environment — in particular, the interplay between equities (stocks) and gold — given the latest key developments from the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the recent behaviour of bullion. --- Key background/context The Fed cut interest rates by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.75 %–4.00 %.  The Fed also announced it will end or very sharply reduce its quantitative-tightening (QT) / balance sheet runoff programme from 1 December, meaning it will stop shrinking its holdings of Treasuries and instead roll them over.  Importantly, the Fed emphasised that a rate cut in December is by no means assured — the decision remains data-dependent.  On gold: The metal recently breached USD $4,000 per ounce for the first time and is being driven by a com

Unless you are long term investors, always watch your back on Friday. Market marauders, grab your popcorn 🍿 and maybe a whisky double 🥃, because 1010 was a straight-up bloodbath. 🩸 ⚖️Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Markets are volatile and unforgiving, Always and YES, ALWAYS consult your own advisor before you ape in. Able to take some profit off $Bit Digital, Inc.(BTBT)$  , $Navitas Semiconductor Corp(NVTS)$   and $SEALSQ Corp(LAES)$  before Trump's News (It is now like a habitual, really a media person) The CNN Fear & Greed Index nosedived to a bone-chilling 29 (Fear)

$BGF WORLD GOLD "A2" (SGDHDG)(LU0368265764.SGD)$  Key Points Saudi Arabia Accelerates Post-Oil Transition: The kingdom is channeling resources into AI, tourism, and sports, with over half its economy now decoupled from oil revenues as it targets sustainable, diversified growth. Google and NextEra Revive Nuclear Power for AI: The companies will restart Iowa’s Duane Arnold nuclear plant by 2029 to meet surging AI-driven electricity demand, underscoring a broader tech shift toward reliable, carbon-free energy. Tech Megacaps to Dictate Market Direction: Earnings from Apple, Amazon, Alphabet, Meta, and Microsoft this week will determine near-term equity momentum, with investors watching cloud, AI, and consumer trends for guidance. G

Here is a structured, professional assessment of your four questions regarding the Gold market in light of the recent Kuala Lumpur consultations on US-China relations and ongoing macro dynamics. --- 1. Will this week’s US-China meeting go well? There are several positive signals and some risks: Positive signs: Reports indicate that US and Chinese negotiators have reached a basic consensus in the Kuala Lumpur consultations and that tensions are “easing”. For example, gold’s decline is explicitly linked to the reduction in safe-haven demand as US-China trade optimism rises.  Market consensus appears to anticipate a meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping (or senior officials) this week, which suggests there is at least a roadmap in place.  Risks / caveats: “Going well” in such

Buckle up, investors – the Fed just unleashed a 25bps rate cut, slamming rates to 3.75%-4.00% and declaring quantitative tightening dead as of December 1. That's a massive liquidity injection straight into the veins of the economy, fueling risk assets like never before. Powell threw some cold water, insisting a December cut isn't locked in amid economic uncertainties, but the market shrugged it off with fresh records. The S&P 500 clawed to 6898, up 0.10% in a volatile session, while the Nasdaq surged 0.55% to 23,958, powered by tech giants digesting earnings beats. Dow dipped slightly to 47,632, down 0.16%, but overall breadth screams resilience despite mixed signals. Nvidia's the rocket fuel here – blasting past $5 trillion market cap on stellar data center revenue exploding to $115 b

Here’s a structured assessment of your questions, based on the available information and broader market-dynamics. While none of this is investment advice, I’ll provide a reasoned view in a formal tone. --- 1. Will this week’s Kuala Lumpur / US-China meeting go well? Short answer: Yes — probability is reasonably good that the meeting will proceed smoothly (at least in terms of headline outcomes), though meaningful risks remain. Supporting points: Several credible sources report that the United States Treasury and People’s Republic of China have reached a “preliminary consensus”/“basic consensus” in talks held in Kuala Lumpur, covering key areas such as export controls, agricultural purchases (soybeans) and avoiding new tariffs.  The talks are being described as “constructive”, with bot

With Fed chair signalling QT may come to an end to avoid excessive liquidity tightening harming economic growth, are we seeing the bull run coming to a stop for highly liquidity-sensitive assets? We might say that it is quite possible that we’re entering a more choppy / less linear bull-run phase for equities, and that the crypto sector — which is very sensitive to liquidity — could see sharper swings. But the dynamics are nuanced. Here is a breakdown: What Powell / Fed Signalling Means for Equities QT nearing its end is a dovish pivot Fed Chair Powell recently said that the balance-sheet drawdown (QT) “may be approaching” its end in coming months. If the Fed stops shrinking its balance sheet, that effectively halts further liquidity withdrawal from markets, which could ease pressure on ra

$Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ 🚨📈🌀 VIX Ignites: October’s Fear Trade, Exhaustion Signal, and the High-Stakes Path Into Year-End 🌀📈🚨 Volatility finally snapped out of hibernation this week. The $VIX surged into the historic 28–30.8 danger zone, then staged its sharpest intraday reversal since April; a classic panic burst followed by aggressive dealer re-hedging. I’m breaking down why this move matters technically, what’s driving it beneath the surface, and how I’m positioning as we head toward one of the most event-packed stretches of the year. 📊 Technical Breakdown: Exhaustion or Inflection? I’m watching the same

$S&P 500(.SPX)$ $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $CME Bitcoin - main 2510(BTCmain)$ I’m layering technicals with flows because isolated signals mislead, and the confluence here screams reversal. The S&P’s RSI dipped to 35 from 75, hugging the 50-day EMA at 5,850. A close above 5,900 triggers my buy for a run to 6,200 by December. Semiconductors (SOX index) formed a hammer at 4,800 support, with NVDA’s MACD crossover turning bullish. I’m watching $220 for entry, eyeing $280 on AI tailwinds. Flows confirm it. Hedge funds like Bridgewater added $2.3 billion to cyclicals pre-dip. BlackRock’s iShares semis ETF saw $500 million inflows last week. Analyst consensus is leanin