Sky’s the Limit? Will Gold Hit $3500 or Time to Exit?

Goldman Sachs’ commodities research team raised their year-end gold price forecast to $3,700, noting upside tail risks that could push prices as high as $4,500. UBS responded to Goldman’s outlook by also revising its gold forecast upward to $3,500. If a recession trade emerges, is gold the best choice?

Whatever goes up will come down eventually

If Equities Revisit Their Lows, Gold Could Surge Well Above $3,500/oz

As volatility returns today, with the $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ down over -3%, gold has surged by another +$100/oz. Meanwhile, the US Dollar index, $ $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ , is pushing below 100 for the first time since September 2024. If equities revisit their lows, $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ could surge well above $3,500/oz. By@KobeissiLetterHeading into this week, our premium members took shorts in the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ . We called for a drop below 5325 which was just crossed. Gold has been a key leading indicator for all risky assets.Gold is trading like we are in a depression: Over the last 20 years,
If Equities Revisit Their Lows, Gold Could Surge Well Above $3,500/oz

Gold at a Crossroads: $3,500 in Sight or Time to Sell?

$Gold - main 2406( $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ )$ $SPDR Gold Shares( $SPDR Gold Shares(GLD)$ )$ $iShares Gold Trust( $iShares Gold Trust(IAU)$ )$ Gold’s on fire! As of April 16, 2025, gold prices have climbed to $3,246 per ounce, fueled by trade war jitters and inflation pressures. Goldman Sachs’ commodities team just boosted their year-end forecast to $3,700, hinting at a wild upside of $4,500 if economic chaos erupts. Not to be outdone, UBS upped their target to $3,500, citing recession risks. But with everyone rushing to buy, should you sell now—or hold for more gains? And in a recession trade, does gold still reign supreme? Let’s break it down with fresh dat
Gold at a Crossroads: $3,500 in Sight or Time to Sell?
avatarZash
07:12
Please do your own research. This just a research finding ​As of April 17, 2025, gold prices have surged to record highs, with spot gold reaching approximately $3,350 per ounce. This marks a more than 25% increase since the beginning of the year, driven by escalating U.S.-China trade tensions, expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, and strong central banks  Will Gold Reach $3,500? Analysts are divided on whether gold will hit $3,500 in 2025. Some, like Jeffrey Gundlach of DoubleLine Capital, are bullish, predicting a potential rise to $4,000 per ounce, citing accelerating central bank purchases and economic uncertainty . Others, such as Goldman Sachs, have set more conservative targets around $3,300, emphasizing the role of central bank demand and ETF inflows. Is It Time

Gold keeps hitting new highs! How to sell options long?

Gold hit a new high as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's warning about the impact of the trade war added to volatility on Wall Street, sending stocks and the dollar down sharply.Gold rose 0.4% to $3,357.78 an ounce, after jumping 3.5% on Wednesday for its biggest one-day gain since March 2023. The dollar fell to a new six-month low as traders were once again battered by a flurry of tariff news and Powell stifled hopes that the Federal Reserve would act quickly to reassure investors, underscoring the unpredictability of Washington's tariff announcements.Gold is up nearly 28% this year, outpacing the 27% gain it saw in 2024, as the escalating trade war raised fears of a possible global recession. Meanwhile, the Trump administration is preparing to put pressure on countries to restrict trade with
Gold keeps hitting new highs! How to sell options long?
avatarKKLEE
04-16 15:36
Gold fever is back — and with it, the age-old investor dilemma: do you ride the wave or take your profits before the tide turns? With gold soaring and analysts now throwing out targets of $3500 and beyond, many are asking: is this the beginning of the next big leg up… or the final stretch before a pullback? Why Gold Is Hot Again Several macro tailwinds are pushing gold higher in 2025: Central bank demand remains robust, with countries diversifying away from the U.S. dollar. Geopolitical tensions continue to simmer, keeping safe-haven demand alive. Rate cut speculation is fueling investor appetite for non-yielding assets like gold. Persistent inflation concerns and long-term debt levels are boosting the long-term bull thesis. All of this has driven gold to new highs, breaking through psycho
avatarAqa
04-16 15:28
Gold is still very solid as a safe haven. As long as the US-China tariff tensions remains unsettled, market fear stays at its highest. Any moment China might sell US Treasury assets, pushing yields sharply higher. However, if gold reaches unrealistically high, another steep sell-off could still trigger gold liquidation. Do trade carefully. Do due diligence before each trade. Thanks @Tiger_comments @icycrystal
avatarELI_59
04-16 13:29
I don’t know if young people really borroe to buy gold. Those young people I know spend money on travel and food. Lol
avatarTiger_Chart
04-16 13:23

Gold Fund Net Inflows Double the High from 2020 Covid Time

Gold Fund Net Inflows Double the High from 2020 Covid Time
avatarTiger_Contra
04-16 08:53

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avatarPigpen
04-16 06:09
Hold gold. Sell dollars. 
avatarShyon
04-16 05:03
I’ve been watching gold closely & the sharp rebound after the recent 7% drop highlights strong demand. While some investors sold to cover losses elsewhere, the quick recovery to $3,263 shows gold’s safe-haven appeal remains intact. With US dollar weakness, surging Treasury yields, and central banks buying at record levels, I believe gold has a solid path toward $3,500 this year. I’ve started increasing my gold exposure gradually. While short-term volatility is real—especially during crises where gold can be sold off for liquidity—I still see it as a core hedge. At the same time, I’m holding some cash for flexibility if we see a deeper correction. For me, cash offers short-term safety, but gold is essential for long-term protection in an unstable macro environment. Looking forward, I th
avatarJimmyHua
04-16 03:32
While gold's rally is impressive, jumping to $4000 feels overly optimistic. Much depends on Fed policy, and a surprise rate hike could slam momentum.Also, if risk appetite returns, capital may rotate out of gold. Great hedge, but not a guaranteed moonshot.
avatarJimmyHua
04-16 03:31
Gold keeps getting upgraded for a reason—central banks are buying, inflation remains sticky, and geopolitical risks are rising.If real rates stay low and the dollar weakens, $3500 or even $4000 isn't crazy. This is a textbook flight-to-safety setup.
avatarBunifa Latif
04-16 00:04
It would break $4,000 given the developments in the US. I would load up on gold as a hedge
avatarKienBoon
04-15 23:58
Understand there is no regular dividend from gold ETF etc. Hence, it may not be suitable for long term investment in comparison to equities like bank counters. Gold price is increasing currently due to so called  safe haven during market turbulence times. It may drop back to below 3000 once Trump's storm is calm. Might not seems feasible to borrow money to buy gold in view of borrowing interest rate, etc. However, no harm buying some gold ETF at this stage to take advantage of the tailwind now. Say about 10% of your investment portfolio. Cheers. Have a good day ahead. [Smile]
avatarKwLau
04-15 22:17
Gold would most likely go down to 3000 when all the uncertainties are cleared.
avatarkoolgal
04-15 22:01
🌟🌟🌟Gold Fever has hit the markets at a rate that is simply amazing!  Gold's historic surge has reinvigorated investors interest  amid volatility in the Global Market s. With prices over USD 3200, will Gold go higher? Many people even the young are getting into Gold due to FOMO - Fear of Missing Out! I believe that Spot Gold Prices will continue to accelerate to a higher level and even reach USD 4000 as Gold is regarded as a safe haven asset in times of market volatility. Central banks around the world are also buying up Gold as Gold is seen as a time tested store of value.  Unlike Fiat currencies which can lose value during periods of high inflation, Gold tends to preserve purchasing power. I am fortunate that I have invested in $iSha
avatarAN88
04-15 21:42
won't borrow to buy
avatarECLC
04-15 17:32
Though possible to hit upgraded gold price target, think it is still risky to borrow to buy gold and go for big bet.
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