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avatarIvan_Gan
04-16 07:38

Trump’s Shifting Tariff Expectations: How Should Investors Judge the Direction of US Stocks and Gold

The recent market has become highly disorderly due to fluctuations in Trump's tariff policies, with dramatic falls and rises triggered by mere words. In this emotional market environment, news can only determine short-term trends. Despite significant volatility, these large fluctuations do not represent medium to long-term market directions. Therefore, Trump's statement about delaying tariff policy implementation by 90 days alone cannot confirm that US stock indices have entered a reversal pattern - what if he changes his mind again in the near future?Technical Observation of US Stock IndicesWith neither news nor fundamentals yielding clear conclusions, it's evident that the market is heavily influenced by emotions. Therefore, tracking the market using technical analysis methods will be mo
Trump’s Shifting Tariff Expectations: How Should Investors Judge the Direction of US Stocks and Gold

GOLD: NEW HIGHS CONTINUE TO COME!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1. $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold shock adjustment is complete! Another new round of rise! The direction is already very clear! New highs will NEWcontinue to come! Asian market signal: Buy: 3229-33 TP: 3250-3255 SL3215 ImageImage2.Today's market, with wide fluctuations, is more suitable for short-term trading. There is room for profit in both buy and sell orders! But it still cannot change the momentum of gold's rise! Starting from Wednesday, a series of important data will be released! A bigger market will come! Next, gold can choose to enter the short-term buy order near 3217, TP: 3225! Open a CBA tod
GOLD: NEW HIGHS CONTINUE TO COME!
avatar程俊Dream
04-15 08:41

Trump’s Policy Reversals Signal a Potential Double Bottom for the Market

Last week's financial market was truly spectacular, though it still fell short compared to the face-changing Trump. We previously speculated that Trump would look for a way to step down, thereby helping the market stabilize and rebound. Although his final actions did indeed help risk assets find a bottom, his rhetoric of "I haven't surrendered, these are all strategies" and the weekend hints about "exemptions" strongly suggest that a second market bottom is highly probable1.The Failed Tariff StrategyLooking at the developments on the tariff issue, although things didn't unfold exactly as anticipated, the 90-day postponement essentially represents a delaying tactic forced upon the US after its original strategy failed. Judging from China's rapid responses and countermeasures, Trump's cards
Trump’s Policy Reversals Signal a Potential Double Bottom for the Market

GOLD: Rise for the Weather!

$Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ On Monday (14 April), spot gold pulled back sharply as risk sentiment improved.Spot gold closed Monday's session down a whopping $27, or 0.83 %, at $3,210.64 . Gold prices had touched $3,245.77 , a new all-time high, during Monday's session.The gold price corrected the overbought condition and has now resumed its rise.Gold prices slipped from record highs hit during the session on Monday, mainly due to investors' relief after the White House included key electronics like smartphones and computers in the exemption list. In addition, U.S. President Donald Trump hinted at a possible brief tariff exemption for imported cars and parts.Another factor supporting gold comes from the US dollar, with the Dollar Index (DXY) at
GOLD: Rise for the Weather!

GOLD: Hit Another All-time High!

Image $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold just hit another all-time high! Hit the key $3250 resistance again! It didn't break out effectively! Short-term sell order trades were once again profit-taking! But note: new highs in gold will continue to be made! Medium and long term trading is still dominated by buying trades! How to cope with this situation?For whom haven't open CBA can know more from below:🏦 Open a CBA today and enjoy privileges of up to SGD 20,000 in trading limit with 0 commission. Trade SG, HK, US stocks as well as ETFs unlimitedly!Find out more here:Trade on a Cash Boost Account and enjoy up to 6 months of
GOLD: Hit Another All-time High!

GOLD: Will the Upward Momentum Continue?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Have a good weekend! $S&P 500(.SPX)$ $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Technical surface recommendations: In the medium to long term, if the U.S. inflation data continue to improve, the Fed postponed interest rate cuts, the dollar stabilised and rebounded, may constitute pressure on gold prices. In addition, the world's major central banks still hold a large number of gold reserves, if there is a large-scale profit-taking, may also trigger gold prices to the downside. In this case, gold prices may retrace to the $3,100-$3,000 support zone, or even test the channe
GOLD: Will the Upward Momentum Continue?

Is the Recession Shock Imminent? Should Investors Buy the Dip After the Market Plunge?

The US stock market is undergoing significant turmoil, with concerns over the economy intensifying. President Trump’s announcement of large-scale tariffs has triggered a wave of panic selling in global markets. Further complicating the market outlook, several economic indicators point toward the possibility of a recession. Experts believe that whether the market will experience another massive sell-off depends largely on whether fears of an imminent economic recession are debunked.Growing Recession Risk in the US EconomyEconomic Data Signals Trouble AheadRecent economic predictions paint a grim picture. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow forecasting model has downgraded its outlook for first-quarter 2025 US real GDP growth from 2.3% to a contraction of 2.825%, marking the worst quarter for the US ec
Is the Recession Shock Imminent? Should Investors Buy the Dip After the Market Plunge?

After the Market Turmoil Caused by Trump, Should We Buy U.S. Stocks at Low Levels?

Global investors and American voters may now regret elevating Trump—a leader whose erratic nature has repeatedly pushed financial markets to "witness history" within days. While Trump insists these developments are part of his grand plan, feedback from China and Europe clearly indicates his bluffing strategies have backfired. At this point, figuring out a graceful way to step back has become the most urgent task.Previously, we discussed how the new president would need to trigger a correction in overvalued assets while fostering his own leading stocks. However, the real challenge lies in managing the market disruption caused by these operational adjustments. The last double-digit weekly drop in U.S. equities happened five years ago during Trump's presidency, though this time, there's no ex
After the Market Turmoil Caused by Trump, Should We Buy U.S. Stocks at Low Levels?

Gold: The Upward Trend Unchanged?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some trading analysis with you!1.$Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ From a technical point of view, gold prices are expected to retest the all-time highs in the $3,160 area. On the daily chart, technical indicators are moving higher within positive levels with a clear bullish slope.Meanwhile, gold prices have rallied above the bullish 20 simple moving average (SMA), which is currently around $3,044. Finally, the 100-day SMA and 200-day SMA continue to move steadily higher, well below the aforementioned short-term averages, in line with the dominant bullish trend.Image2.Thursday (April 10) Asian morning trading, spot gold narrow range shock,
Gold: The Upward Trend Unchanged?

GOLD: Stock Market Volatility Still Dominate Short-term Sentiment

1. $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Wednesday (9 April) Asian morning trading, spot gold to maintain a narrow range of oscillation, trading in the vicinity of 2978 U.S. dollars. The previous trading day, gold prices rebound blocked, the plate once rushed to 3022 U.S. dollars, but by the U.S. bond yields climbed and U.S. stocks fell dragged down, and ultimately retracted the gains, closing near 2982. Despite the weakening of the dollar and trade tensions to provide safe-haven support for gold, the market's concerns about weak demand for U.S. bond markdowns, the outlook for Federal Reserve policy and increased stock market volatility still dominate short-term sentiment !2.Gold
GOLD: Stock Market Volatility Still Dominate Short-term Sentiment

U.S. Tariff Hike: How Will Markets Price in a Recession?

On April 4, China announced a series of countermeasures against the United States' imposition of tariffs, including a decisive move to impose a 34% tariff on all imported goods originating from the U.S. This unprecedented response caught global markets off guard, highlighting China's preparedness since the 2018 trade war and revealing vulnerabilities in Western financial markets. As news spread, commodities faced significant sell-offs, and global markets began pricing in a potential economic recession. The U.S. stock indices’ sharp decline echoed patterns seen during the initial outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, signaling growing pessimism about the global economy.U.S. Stock Indices Enter Recession Mode, Resembling 2020 Pandemic TrendsThough skepticism toward U.S. stock performanc
U.S. Tariff Hike: How Will Markets Price in a Recession?

GOLD: Will it Enter the Shock Adjustment or Rebound Phase

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Spot gold extended its losses on Monday (7 April), once losing the 3,000 round figure mark and refreshing its low since 13 March to $2,978.50, as international trade concerns rose, US stock index futures continued to plunge, and Japanese, Australian and New Zealand stock markets followed suit, as investors continued to sell gold to make up for their losses in the wider market meltdown. Stocks in Europe and the US plunged on Friday and investors were already selling gold at the time, causing spot gold to plunge 2.47 % on Friday to close at $3,036.98. Fears of a full-blown trade war, possible EU countermeasures to full-blown US tariffs, US inflation data, and the RBNZ interest rate resolution will keep traders on their toes
GOLD: Will it Enter the Shock Adjustment or Rebound Phase

GOLD: Will the Plunge Continue?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!Spot gold extended its losses on Monday (7 April), once losing the 3,000 round figure mark and refreshing its low since 13 March to $2,978.50, as international trade concerns rose, US stock index futures continued to plunge, and Japanese, Australian and New Zealand stock markets followed suit, as investors continued to sell gold to make up for their losses in the wider market meltdown. Stocks in Europe and the US plunged on Friday and investors were already selling gold at the time, causing spot gold to plunge 2.47 % on Friday to close at $3,036.98. Fears of a full-blown trade war, possible EU countermeasures to full-blown US tariffs, US inflation data, and the RBNZ interest rate resolution will keep traders on their toes t
GOLD: Will the Plunge Continue?
If I sell my shares now, is there after hours trading for me to sell

Should You Buy the Dip on Bitcoin Right Now?

During phases of temporary market adjustments, the intensity and duration of such trends often surpass expectations. These circumstances can lead many investors to either hesitate in buying the dip or surrender their positions amid repeated fluctuations and reversals. This phenomenon is one of the underlying reasons for the common saying: "Holding onto losses stubbornly, but hesitating to hold onto profits." If your investment strategy is guided by the mindset of "breaking even is earning," then quick trading with low risk is a reasonable approach. However, for those seeking above-average returns, attempting to buy during uncertain or potentially risky market turning points becomes an essential skill.Currently, Bitcoin presents itself in a similar situation. On one hand, the market previou
Should You Buy the Dip on Bitcoin Right Now?

Tariff disruptions resurface, US stock indices' rebound fades

On March 26, U.S. President Donald Trump signed an announcement at the White House declaring a 25% tariff on imported cars. The measure will take effect on April 2. Trump emphasized that the tariff would be permanent, adding that cars manufactured within the United States would be exempt from the tax.Trump's statement quickly triggered backlash from U.S. trade partners, including the European Union, Canada, and Japan. 1. Where is the Support Level for the Second Phase of the U.S. Stock Index Decline?Recent analyses suggest that the U.S. stock index rebound seen earlier was merely temporary and not indicative of a full recovery. In fact, the rebound was weaker than expected, reinforcing the likelihood that February's peak will remain the high point for the year. Given the renewed downward t
Tariff disruptions resurface, US stock indices' rebound fades

GOLD: Uptrend Momentum Still?

$XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2506(GCmain)$ Technical: On the upside, gold prices will aim for 3130 (the upper limit of the four-month long uptrend channel) as it breaks above the psychological short-term resistance at 3100. Once the latter is breached, gold prices will rise to $3200.The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the D1 chart has risen above 70, suggesting an overbought condition in the near term. In case of a technical correction in gold, $3060/(the midpoint of the uptrend channel) could be seen as the first support level; if it breaks below this support, sellers will aim for $3000-2990 (static level, the lower limit of the uptrend channel) and $2,980 (the 20-day simple moving a
GOLD: Uptrend Momentum Still?

GOLD: Still Stronger Now!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.First of all, have a great weekend! Technical surface: whether it is D1 or H4 trend indicators are strong, the overall trend of bias upward development. Comprehensive point of view, gold in the continuous upward trend, the price is climbing, the lows continue to move up, the highs continue to refresh, at present, the price of gold is still rising space, for the lower support first pay attention to the 3060 near, above continue to continue to test the 3090-3100 area or higher prices! If gold successfully fell below 3060, then the real adjustment may come. Next Monday's trading range in the support 3065-resistance 3110! Trading to maintain the main buy trading! Meanwhile, you need to keep an eye on the market news over the
GOLD: Still Stronger Now!

Will OPEC+ Supply Disruptions Trigger a Crude Oil Rebound?

Since mid-March, international crude oil prices have experienced a rebound. NYMEX WTI crude oil futures rose from $65.6 per barrel on March 10 to $69.37 per barrel by March 25, an increase of about 5.7%. Similarly, ICE Brent crude oil futures rose from $68.65 per barrel to $72.54 per barrel during the same period.This price rally is driven by supply-side disruptions, including geopolitical crises and U.S. sanctions, which have led to downward revisions in crude oil production forecasts for 2025. OPEC+'s implementation of compensatory production cuts has eased concerns about oversupply. However, factors such as China’s shift to new energy vehicles and reduced oil demand in the U.S. due to tariffs and fiscal tightening make it unlikely that crude oil will break away from its oversupply trend
Will OPEC+ Supply Disruptions Trigger a Crude Oil Rebound?

Where will the yield of the 10-year US Treasury bond lead the market?

At the latest Federal Reserve meeting last week, policymakers unsurprisingly chose to maintain the status quo on interest rates. The relatively dovish tone of the communication improved market sentiment slightly, yet significant uncertainty remains over the future trajectory of monetary policy. Opinions are split: some believe that former President Trump's anti-globalization policies might lead to inflation or stagflation, preventing the Fed from cutting rates, while others anticipate that recession risks will compel the Fed to implement aggressive monetary easing to stabilize the economy. Examining bond market data can help determine which of these scenarios is more plausible.Recent Trends in 10-Year Treasury YieldsSince peaking at over 5% during the previous U.S. rate-hiking cycle, the 1
Where will the yield of the 10-year US Treasury bond lead the market?

GOLD: Whether the Price can be Supported or not?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you!1.Early Wednesday (26 March) Asian market, gold narrowly oscillated, currently trading near 3020.83 U.S. dollars. Gold prices rose slightly on Tuesday, closing at $3019.84, temporarily holding above the 3000 round number mark, on the one hand, tariff concerns still provide safe-haven support, on the other hand, the U.S. consumer confidence data performed poorly, dragging down the U.S. dollar and U.S. bond yields, to give support to the gold price. [Great][Great][Great] $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ $Gold - main 2504(GCmain)$
GOLD: Whether the Price can be Supported or not?
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