Futures Club

Join Tiger Futures Club to know more about trading futures!

GOLD: The Next Test will be the Psychological Level of $5200

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1. $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Gold prices rose immediately after opening on Monday, successfully breaking through the resistance level of $5119-20! The next test will be the psychological level of $5200. This week, gold prices are expected to challenge $5450; the medium-term trading strategy should focus on buy orders! Image For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. 🎉Cash Boost Account Now Supports 35,000+ Stoc
GOLD: The Next Test will be the Psychological Level of $5200

GOLD Held Above the Key Short-term Support Level

Technical Analysis: Gold has firmly held above the key short-term support level of $5002.31, indicating a bullish near-term bias. It is poised to challenge the recent high of $5119.35 and the Fibonacci resistance at $5143.89. A break above $5143.89 could trigger an accelerated upward move. Should the $5002.31 support level be breached, gold faces downside risks. Key support levels below are $4760.87 and $4744.34, with the 50-day moving average at $4705.42 also serving as a crucial support. This level typically attracts medium-to-long-term buying interest! Gold is expected to maintain its upward trend at Monday's opening. Trading should focus on buy orders! Strategy: If prices open higher and break through $5119-$5120, enter a Buy position with the trend! For short-term pullbacks, consider
GOLD Held Above the Key Short-term Support Level

GOLD Price Surges as Weaker-than-expected US Q4 GDP Data

$Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$prices surged on Friday (February 20) during the US trading session, supported by weaker-than-expected US Q4 GDP data and fueled by market uncertainty surrounding medium- to long-term trade policy following the US Supreme Court's rejection of the Trump administration's comprehensive tariff plan. Gold closed up 2.24% at $5107.75. The Supreme Court's rejection of the tariff policy provided the core support for trade policy uncertainty. The US Supreme Court ruled that the Trump administration's comprehensive global tariff measures under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act lacked legal authorization, rejecting this highly controversial use of presidential power. This ruling directly impacts the global trade la
GOLD Price Surges as Weaker-than-expected US Q4 GDP Data

GOLD: Recover or Retreat?

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1. $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ The 4850 level has been successfully broken, in line with expectations. It will likely test the previous low near 4830 before the close! Gold is expected to continue consolidating and correcting, and the 4800 level is unlikely to hold in the short term! Image Image For SG users only, Welcome to open a CBA today and enjoy access to a trading limit of up to SGD 20,000 with unlimited trading on SG, HK, and US stocks, as well as ETFs. 🎉Cash Boost Account Now Supports 35,000+ Stocks & ETFs – Greater Flexibi
GOLD: Recover or Retreat?

GOLD: Gold Prices Fell Sharply!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1. Gold prices fell sharply during the Asian session on Tuesday (February 17), breaking below $4,900 and currently trading around $4,900 per ounce. The sharp decline was attributed to the closure of US markets on Monday for Presidents' Day and the Chinese New Year holiday, resulting in thin trading liquidity. 2. $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$ Technical Analysis: After experiencing significant volatility, gold prices have entered a high-level consolidation phase. The key psychological support level of $5000 has been broken, and prices are currently fluctuating between $4950 and $5000. Short-term moving averages have turned upwards again, indicating a recovery in the momentum of th
GOLD: Gold Prices Fell Sharply!

GOLD: Wait for the US CPI Data

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1. $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ Technical Analysis: The $5000 level has become the first resistance zone for a short-term rebound. If the rebound is limited and fails to hold, the downtrend will be difficult to reverse. Further key resistance lies around $5020; only a recapture of this level can allow the market to resume its upward trend. Momentum indicators show the daily RSI has rapidly fallen below 50, indicating a significant weakening of bullish momentum. The MACD histogram is also contracting and showing signs of a death cross, reinforcing the short-term pullback signal. Increased trading volume suggests that this decline has a certain degree of emotional release rather t
GOLD: Wait for the US CPI Data

Technical Analysis: Gold Prices Hold Above 20-Day Moving Average, Upward Momentum Accumulating

$Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ The daily chart for gold prices shows the upward trend remains intact. As long as gold prices hold above the 20-day moving average (MA, 4957.36), the market structure remains bullish, and bulls are targeting higher prices. The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is significantly above the midline, indicating a bullish bias; the MACD histogram is narrowing in negative territory, showing that bearish momentum is gradually weakening. On the upside, if gold can continue to recover and hold above the $5100 level, it may accelerate towards the January 30 high of $5450.95. Further strength could see it challenge the historical high of $5596.33. Short-term support is at $5000-$5010! Gold is expected to continue its wide-ran
Technical Analysis: Gold Prices Hold Above 20-Day Moving Average, Upward Momentum Accumulating

GOLD: Continue to Focus on Buy Orders!

Hello everyone! Today i want to share some macro analysis with you! 1. Gold Technical Analysis $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ Gold prices continue to fluctuate between $5000 and $5100, failing to break through the top/bottom of this range and awaiting a new catalyst. The Relative Strength Index (RSI), while bullish, is converging towards neutral levels. This suggests that sellers are limiting further price increases. If gold breaks through $5100, it could rise further to $5200, subsequently potentially challenging the January 30 high of $5451 and approaching the all-time high of $5600. Currently, gold is in a wide-range consolidation phase, making this market more suitable for short-term trading. Pay close attention to the NFP data today! Continue
GOLD: Continue to Focus on Buy Orders!

Brace for a High-Volatility Market—Don’t Put Too Much Faith in Any Bounce

Since the crash last October, the weakness in crypto has not eased. With ETH breaking below 2,000 last week and BTC approaching the 60,000 level, the crypto complex has essentially been abandoned by the market. This also means its value as a leading indicator is no longer valid. After last week’s wide-range swings, precious metals are expected to enter a period of back-and-forth between bulls and bears.​ Using Bitcoin as the reference point, price broke below two key levels in a relatively short time: 100,000 and 80,000/75,000. The market’s rebound attempts have been feeble and did not even reach 100,000. Price has now fallen back to the lows from before Trump was elected; if this zone also breaks, there is basically open space below. This area also marks where many ETFs initially built po
Brace for a High-Volatility Market—Don’t Put Too Much Faith in Any Bounce

February Volatility Is Back: Is It Time to Buy the Dip in U.S. Stocks and Silver?

U.S. equity indices have recurring time windows each year that deserve extra attention—February, May, August, and October—and the first week of February that just passed seems to have “worked” again in influencing U.S. equity indices. Think back to last year: U.S. equity indices formed a cyclical top during February, and then, on news that Trump would impose tariffs globally, they fell about 20% in a short period.​ That move also produced a near-10% single-day drop—an historical record in recent years.​ Even though the pace of tariff implementation later slowed and U.S. equity indices went on to make new highs, these kinds of sharp, fast pullbacks still caused many investors unnecessary panic and losses.​ This year, at the same time window, U.S. equity indices have again experienced a simi
February Volatility Is Back: Is It Time to Buy the Dip in U.S. Stocks and Silver?

Why I’m Not Buying the Dip in U.S. Stocks—or Gold and Silver

The market’s focus is gradually shifting from gold and silver to U.S. equities, but we want to remind everyone that around the coming Spring Festival period, U.S. equities are actually the asset most in need of bearish “protection.” After a sharp sell-off, the U.S. stock market has recently seen a modest rebound, which is technically normal. However, I would not take this small rebound as evidence that Hong Kong stocks, A-shares, and U.S. equities have returned to a sustained upward trend. On the contrary, I prefer to interpret it this way: the volatility cycle in U.S. equities most likely has not finished, and this rebound looks more like a “covering” move within volatility rather than a signal that a trend has been confirmed. First signal: the DXY The first signal that U.S. equities may
Why I’m Not Buying the Dip in U.S. Stocks—or Gold and Silver
avatarReynor
02-06

VIX Rising, S&P Flat — Is a Crash Brewing?

Good evening, everyone.$Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ $E-Micro Gold - main 2604(MGCmain)$ $1-Ounce Gold - main 2604(1OZmain)$ I’ve compiled the key points from the February 5 session into a ready-to-read transcript, so those who missed the live broadcast can easily catch up and review. $Silver - main 2603(SImain)$ $E-mini Silver - main 2603(QImain)$ $Silver - Mar 2026(SI2603)$ $Gold - main 2604(GCmain)$ $E-Micro Gold - main 2
VIX Rising, S&P Flat — Is a Crash Brewing?

How to Buy the Dip After Gold and Silver Crash?

After a near-vertical rally, gold and silver were finally “punished” last Friday, with both plunging sharply in a single day. Silver, measured from its peak, even suffered a drawdown close to being cut in half. After such a violent round-trip, do ordinary investors still have a viable trading opportunity?​ From a volatility standpoint, the current environment is no longer suitable for the vast majority of retail and traditional precious-metals traders. Moves that used to take a full year can now happen in a single day or within a week. This kind of irrational volatility also means the old stop-loss logic and methods stop working. Whether you try to buy the dip or fade a rebound, there’s a high probability you’ll get stopped out. And if someone dares to skip a stop-loss to avoid getting wic
How to Buy the Dip After Gold and Silver Crash?
avatarReynor
01-28

Don’t Miss the Second Act: Base Metals After Gold’s Run?

If there’s one clear focus in the futures market recently, it’s undoubtedly silver.But today, let’s take a step back from silver and zoom out for a broader perspective: Does the recent surge in gold and silver signal the start of a bull market in base metals? There’s a well-known commodity cycle that combines the Merrill Lynch Investment Clock with Jeremy Grantham’s concept of the “commodity supercycle launch sequence.” It goes like this: The early warning sign that an economic downturn is ending is a rise in gold and silver prices. $白银主连 2603(SImain)$ Why? Because during late-stage slowdowns, real demand is weak and industrial commodities languish—so capital flows into safe-haven assets like precious metals. At the same time, central banks w
Don’t Miss the Second Act: Base Metals After Gold’s Run?

Trump’s TACO Play Delivers—But How Long Can Gold and Silver Keep Soaring?

The “tariffs-for-Greenland” drama, which had markets on edge for days, quieted down Wednesday night after Trump’s latest “TACO” move. U.S. equity indices, having touched their 20-week moving average, bounced back as expected—thanks to a clean alignment of news flow and technical support.What is the “TACO trade”?It stands for “Trump Always Chickens Out,” a term coined in 2025 by Robert Armstrong, a columnist at the Financial Times. It describes a recurring pattern in Trump’s policy playbook since returning to office: his administration loudly announces aggressive measures—like steep tariffs on foreign nations—sparking market panic and sell-offs. But under pressure, it soon pauses, scales back, or reverses course, triggering a swift rally.This cycle has worked repeatedly in 2025. The recent
Trump’s TACO Play Delivers—But How Long Can Gold and Silver Keep Soaring?

A weaker dollar and higher gold may be entering a new phase.

Last week, the upward momentum in precious metals ignored clear overbought signals on both daily and weekly timeframes. Gold and silver kept hitting fresh all-time highs, with silver firmly breaking above $ 100.This week, gold $Gold - main 2602(GCmain)$ has already climbed past the 5,000 mark, potentially opening the door to even more explosive gains.Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar $USD Index(USDindex.FOREX)$ is teetering on the edge of a major long-term trendline breakdown. If current support fails, the dollar could face a depreciation of 10% or more.On the news front, last week should have been dominated by easing geopolitical tensions—but investors weren’t buying it.Notably, the long-standing
A weaker dollar and higher gold may be entering a new phase.

Why I Believe The Coming Gold Surge Could Be Bigger Than You Imagine

The U.S. dollar has been unusually weak recently, and multiple signs suggest this choppy weakness may persist for a while longer. The real turning point is likely to fall somewhere between March and April this year. First, China’s official USD/CNY fixing was set around 6.9 today—previously it had been in the 7-handle. This is the strongest official RMB fixing since 2023, and with the official rate now back below 7, it indicates the dollar has indeed remained weak lately. The central bank apparently does not see a problem with setting the fixing this strong。 $USD/CNH(USDCNH.FOREX)$ Second, Bloomberg reported that India again sold a large amount of U.S. Treasuries over the most recent month. India’s U.S. Treasury holdings have now fallen to
Why I Believe The Coming Gold Surge Could Be Bigger Than You Imagine

Why Does Trump Keep Pressuring America’s Allies—and Why It Could Be an Opportunity for EUR Shorts

Last week’s macro framework is still working this week, and Trump has kicked off yet another farce: he floated the idea of purchasing Greenland from Europe and also imposed tariffs on eight European countries that opposed him.​ The situation has become even more turbulent.Why Trump Threatened 11 Countries in Just Two Weeks: The Dollar on the Edge Tells the StoryThis is almost certainly not the last step in Trump’s external provocation, but it is very likely an important move within his broader foreign strategy.​Today, let’s take a little time to briefly discuss the logic behind the Greenland dispute.First, one point must be clarified: why is Trump deliberately stirring trouble in his own “backyard”?​ One day it’s Venezu
Why Does Trump Keep Pressuring America’s Allies—and Why It Could Be an Opportunity for EUR Shorts

Geopolitical Risk Rises—So Why Isn’t Gold Following?

Trump’s Tariff Gambit to “Buy” Greenland—What’s at Stake?Trump is clearly in full midterm-election mode—and since the start of the year, he’s delivered a new headline every week. First a strike on Venezuela, then brinkmanship with Iran, now talk of “buying” Greenland. Each move has jolted markets to some degree.The pattern is unmistakable: these regions matter because of what lies beneath them. Venezuela sits just 230 kilometers from U.S. shores and holds the world’s largest proven oil reserves. Its heavy crude perfectly complements refining capacity along the Gulf Coast.Greenland, though deep in the Arctic, is only 320 kilometers from Alaska—yet over 3,000 kilometers from Copenhagen. Geographically, it’s more America’s backyard than Denmark’s. And beneath its ice lie vast mineral deposits
Geopolitical Risk Rises—So Why Isn’t Gold Following?

Why We’re Trimming Longs in Silver ,Even Though It’s Still Bullish

Gold and silver gapped higher to fresh record highs, but the weekly time frame is sending mixed signals.Last week, precious metals continued their upward momentum, led by silver. At the start of this week, gold gapped sharply higher to a new all-time high, driven by escalating geopolitical tensions surrounding Greenland. Both fundamental (news-driven) and technical factors are currently supporting further upside. $Gold - main 2602(GCmain)$ From a timing perspective, the "ninth signal" on the weekly chart is notably more pronounced in silver’s price behavior. Historically, during the previous five occurrences of this signal—even when silver was firmly entrenched in a strong bullish trend—it still experienced some degree of correction or sideway
Why We’re Trimming Longs in Silver ,Even Though It’s Still Bullish