TSMC Profits Hit Record Highs — Why Is AI Hardware Still Being Sold?

TSMC fell 1.80% and Nvidia dropped 1.84% despite TSMC beating quarterly estimates. Revenue reached NT$1.49 trillion, net profit hit NT$763.1 billion, and operating margin topped guidance at 58.7%. Bulls cite strong Q4 guidance and advanced-chip demand; bears warn that higher 2026–2028 capex could strain customer funding and AI returns. Should investors follow TSMC’s capacity execution and Nvidia orders, or wait for clearer capex payoffs?

avatarAdz5150
10-23 10:41

💡🤖 NVIDIA SPENT $4 BILLION SECURING AI OPTICS. I WANTED TO KNOW WHY

I started this rabbit hole looking at GPUs. Somehow I ended up researching zinc refineries. Welcome back to ADZ5150. 😂🐅 Everyone knows the AI arms race. NVIDIA GPUs. Hyperscaler capex. Gigawatt data centres. Power shortages. Memory. Cooling. But something caught my attention. In March, NVIDIA announced a US$2 billion investment in Lumentum. On the exact same day, it announced another US$2 billion investment in Coherent. US$4 BILLION. Not into another AI model. Not another GPU company. Into companies that make lasers and optical technology. And both agreements went beyond investments. They included multibillion-dollar purchase commitments and future access to manufacturing capacity. That made me ask the obvious GAZADZ question: 🐇 WHY DOES THE WORLD’S MOST IMPORTANT AI CHIP COMPANY CARE SO M
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💡🤖 NVIDIA SPENT $4 BILLION SECURING AI OPTICS. I WANTED TO KNOW WHY
avatarClaireck
10-19

Singapore Stocks Barely Fell — So Why Did 276 Stocks Drop? | SGX Market Close.

Singapore Stocks Barely Fell — So Why Did 276 Stocks Drop? | SGX Market Close. https://youtu.be/eirPcWWdsLU
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Singapore Stocks Barely Fell — So Why Did 276 Stocks Drop? | SGX Market Close.
avatarCanknee
10-19
Why is TSMC still trading so low
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avatarnerdbull1669
10-19

Silicon Paradox: Reconciling TSMC’s Record Highs with the AI Hardware Equity Sell-Off

Recent financial disclosures revealed a glaring dichotomy in the technology sector: TSMC delivered record-breaking quarterly net profits driven by insatiable demand for advanced 3nm and 5nm nodes, but we saw selloff last week from AI hardware names. In this article, we would like to look at the factors and catalysts that is contributing to this silicon paradox. 1. The Surface Paradox: Record Profits vs. Market Sell-Off When $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ reported its latest quarterly financial results, the figures exceeded even the most bullish consensus estimates. Gross margins expanded beyond key guidance thresholds, operating margins hit historical highs, and revenue derived from High-Performance Computing (HPC)—which encapsulates AI
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Silicon Paradox: Reconciling TSMC’s Record Highs with the AI Hardware Equity Sell-Off
avatarPawsAndProfits
10-16

Start of a bloodbath? Or just a false alarm?

Disclaimer: Nothing I say or post should be considered financial advice. Please do your own due diligence before making any investment decisions.‌ $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$ $Roundhill Memory ETF(DRAM)$ $VanEck Semiconductor ETF(SMH)$ $Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLU)$ $Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLC)$ So the real bloothbath finally started today, with 80 billion dollars wiped out from the AI sector in a single day. The sector did bounce back a little towards end of trading day, but could this be a start of a bearish momentum carrying into en
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Start of a bloodbath? Or just a false alarm?
avatarTiger_Earnings
10-16

[Earnings Recap] TSMC Beats Again. Is the Bar Getting Too High?

TSMC delivered a clear beat-and-raise quarter but fell with the broader chip sector. Charles Schwab also declined as a small net-interest-margin miss overshadowed record asset gathering. After the bell, rising costs hit J.B. Hunt, while Interactive Brokers’ dividend increase failed to produce a rally. $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ lost 1.8% TSMC is the world’s largest contract chipmaker and manufactures advanced processors for Nvidia, Apple and other technology companies. Third-quarter revenue jumped 41% to $46.72 billion, beating the $45.67 billion consensus. EPS of $4.60 per ADR topped the $4.46 estimate, while net income surged 69% to a record NT$763.1 billion. Advanced nodes accounted for 79% of wafer revenue, including an 8% contri
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[Earnings Recap] TSMC Beats Again. Is the Bar Getting Too High?
avatarOptionspuppy
10-16

🐶 1️⃣ Every Plunge Is an Opportunity — But Only If Earnings Can Hold Up for qqq SG61 Trading Arena for SGX Listed Securities!

📉🐶 Every Plunge Is an Opportunity? My Take on SOXL, TSMC and QQQ 🐶 1️⃣ Every Plunge Is an Opportunity — But Only If Earnings Can Hold Up When I see semiconductor stocks plunge, I don’t automatically assume the AI story is over. Sometimes, the market is simply repricing growth stocks because inflation is hotter than expected, interest rates may stay higher for longer, or investors are becoming nervous about how much money companies are spending on AI. But I always ask myself one important question: Are company earnings deteriorating, or is the market simply becoming more fearful? If earnings expectations remain strong, a sharp price decline can create an opportunity to buy quality companies at a more attractive valuation. However, if earnings forecasts are being cut, a stock can continue fa
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🐶 1️⃣ Every Plunge Is an Opportunity — But Only If Earnings Can Hold Up for qqq SG61 Trading Arena for SGX Listed Securities!
avatarnerdbull1669
10-16

Anatomy of a Leveraged Semiconductor Selloff: Key Drivers Behind SOXL’s De-Risking and Potential Catalysts for Recovery

A single-day plunge of ~13% in the Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (SOXL) illustrates the extreme structural amplification inherent in 3x daily leveraged ETFs. While major anchor components like Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) may exhibit operational resilience, strong fundamentals alone cannot insulate the semiconductor sector during systemic market pullbacks. In this article, we would like to discuss what are the key drivers behind SOXL’s de-risking and potential catalysts for recovery. 1. The Leverage Architecture: Unpacking a 13% Single-Day Decline To comprehend a severe ~13% daily decline in SOXL, one must first dissect the structural mechanics of the underlying exchange-traded product. SOXL aims to deliver 300% (3x) of the single-day price performance of
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Anatomy of a Leveraged Semiconductor Selloff: Key Drivers Behind SOXL’s De-Risking and Potential Catalysts for Recovery
avatarMarktomarket
10-16

TSMC Beat. The Dow Rallied. AI Hardware Still Fell.

The market: hotter producer prices moved money out of technology and into value sectors $SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$ rose 0.28 per cent to US$771.79 on Thursday, while $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ fell 0.13 per cent to US$728.00. September PPI increased 1.3 per cent from the previous month, above the market's 0.6 per cent expectation and faster than August's 0.4 per cent rise. Wholesale inflation reached 6.3 per cent from a year earlier, with energy prices the main driver. Renewed upstream price pressure reduced expectations for rate cuts and highly valued technology shares. The broad market did not fall with technology because money moved towards financials, consumer companies an
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TSMC Beat. The Dow Rallied. AI Hardware Still Fell.
avatarnerdbull1669
10-14

AI Capex Reality Check: TSMC & ASML Signals

Semiconductor giants $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ TSMC and $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$ ASML release their Q3 earnings, market attention focuses on whether corporate AI capital expenditure (Capex) remains structurally durable. In this article, we would like to share how investors can look out for the signals that TSMC and ASML earnings is giving for the AI Capex reality check. 1. Macro Backdrop: The Global AI Capex Expansion The technology sector’s multi-year rally has been underwritten by an unprecedented surge in capital spending among hyperscale cloud providers (Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, and Meta). Total AI-related Capex is projected to surpass $200 billion annually as tech leaders compete to
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AI Capex Reality Check: TSMC & ASML Signals
avatarMrzorro
10-14
ASML Earnings Review: Profits Doubled, but Will Wall Street Wait Until 2027? $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$   delivered strong Q3 2026 results, with revenue jumping 55% YoY and net profit more than doubling. The company also raised its full-year guidance for the third time this year, reinforcing confidence in the AI-driven semiconductor equipment cycle. However, investment gains boosted reported profits, while the equipment revenue mix deserves closer scrutiny. More importantly, investors may have to wait until June 2027 for an updated long-term financial outlook, even as demand threatens to exceed ASML's planned capacity through 2028. Core Financial Indicators – Q3 revenue reached €11.66 billion, up 55% YoY and 2
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avatarMarktomarket
10-15

CPI Rose Again. AI Hardware Had Three More Problems.

The market: inflation returned as AI hardware faced both rate and earnings pressure The $S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell 1.11 per cent to 7,718.94 on Wednesday, while $Invesco QQQ(QQQ)$ lost 1.97 per cent to close at US$728.95. Headline CPI rose 3.7 per cent from a year earlier in September, above the market's 3.6 per cent expectation and August's 3.4 per cent reading. The return of inflation pushed rate expectations higher, and technology fell substantially more than the broader market. As rate expectations move higher, the present value of future earnings falls; the more a share price depends on growth further into the future, the greater the valuation pressure. AI hardware also f
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CPI Rose Again. AI Hardware Had Three More Problems.
avatarIsleigh
10-14

ASML Earnings Are the Real AI Capex Test. I Would Watch Orders Before Revenue.

Semiconductor stocks have just endured another uncomfortable reset. Memory names have fallen sharply. Asian chip stocks sold off again. Concerns around China's semiconductor progress have returned. Meanwhile, investors are increasingly questioning whether the enormous AI capex cycle can continue at the same pace. Now ASML reports. For me, this is one of the most important semiconductor reports of the quarter. Not because ASML tells us what happened during the last three months. It can tell us what the world's biggest chipmakers expect to need 12 to 18 months from now. That makes ASML's order book more important than the headline EPS number. The Number I Care About Most: Bookings ASML sits unusually far upstream. TSMC, Samsung, Intel, SK Hynix and Micron cannot simply decide to produce subs
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ASML Earnings Are the Real AI Capex Test. I Would Watch Orders Before Revenue.
avatarD1ane
10-16

🚨 TSMC Just Posted Record Profits. So Why Are AI Stocks Still Falling?

$Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$  delivered another blockbuster quarter. Yet TSMC and $NVIDIA (NVDA)$ fell as investors continued selling semiconductor stocks. If AI demand is so strong, why isn’t the market celebrating? 📊 1. The numbers are impressive TSMC’s third-quarter 2026 results showed just how powerful the AI chip boom has become: 🔥 Revenue reached NT$1.494 trillion, up 50.9% year over year. 🔥 Net profit hit NT$763.1 billion, up 68.7%. 🔥 Operating margin reached 58.7%. 🔥 Fourth-quarter revenue guidance came in at US$52.3–54.3 billion, above the previous quarter’s level. These aren’t the numbers of a business experiencing an obvious demand collapse. TSMC continues to benefit from demand for advanced chips used in AI infras
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🚨 TSMC Just Posted Record Profits. So Why Are AI Stocks Still Falling?
avatarMarktomarket
10-14

A Chip Rally and a Memory Rout on the Same Day. What Split Them?

The indices: barely moved, but chips and memory went in opposite directions The three indices were nearly flat on Tuesday: the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell 0.02 per cent to 7,805.45; the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell 0.15 per cent to 27,204.38; and the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ fell 0.35 per cent to 51,670.10. The 10-year Treasury yield eased from 5.24 per cent to 5.22 per cent. The compute chips that had been falling since last Thursday bounced: $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ rose 0.97 per cent to US$228.52 and AMD rose 1.90 per cent to US$605.53, with the specific AMD driver in the next sect
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A Chip Rally and a Memory Rout on the Same Day. What Split Them?
avatarIsleigh
10-06

Musk’s Terafab Talks With TSMC: I’d Buy the Bottleneck, Not Chase the Headline

The Terafab headline looks bullish for TSMC and uncomfortable for Intel. But I think the market may be simplifying the story too much. TSMC closed at a record $485.80, up 2.75%, after Elon Musk confirmed that Tesla is in early discussions with TSMC regarding his enormous Terafab chip-manufacturing ambition. Intel fell 2.63% to $116.19. SpaceX jumped 7.63% to $171.09. The immediate interpretation is obvious: TSMC wins. Intel loses. Musk gets his chips. I think reality is more interesting. Terafab could become so enormous that the ultimate winner isn't necessarily whichever foundry gets the project. It could be the company that becomes indispensable to the entire ecosystem. And right now, that still looks like TSMC. What Musk Actually Confirmed Terafab is Musk's vision for semiconductor manu
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Musk’s Terafab Talks With TSMC: I’d Buy the Bottleneck, Not Chase the Headline
avatarKentzw
10-15

SOXL Crashes 13% — Can Strong TSMC Earnings Rescue Semiconductor Stocks? 📉

What if the biggest risk for semiconductor investors isn’t falling chip demand, but paying too much for future growth? The recent sell-off has put semiconductor stocks under pressure. $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bull 3X Shares (SOXL)$ plunged 13.35%, while its bearish counterpart, $Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X Shares (SOXS)$, surged 13.63%. Hotter-than-expected US inflation, rising interest-rate concerns and questions about the returns on AI investment have all contributed to the nervousness. But there’s an important distinction: a correction in chip stocks doesn’t automatically mean the semiconductor industry is losing its growth potential. 🔍 1. TSMC delivers the numbers — but what comes next? $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM)$ has reported record third-quarter net profi
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SOXL Crashes 13% — Can Strong TSMC Earnings Rescue Semiconductor Stocks? 📉
avatarTiger_comments
10-13

SK hynix Plunges 10%, Samsung Drops 7%: Is AI Memory’s Scarcity Premium Under Threat?

Asian semiconductor stocks suffered a sharp selloff today. SK hynix dropped roughly 10%, Samsung Electronics fell 7.4%, South Korea’s KOSPI declined more than 5%, and Japan’s Kioxia also saw double-digit losses. What makes this interesting is that AI memory demand has not suddenly disappeared. Instead, investors are reacting to a potential shift in the global memory supply landscape, driven partly by a technological breakthrough from China. On October 12, Chinese memory manufacturer CXMT (ChangXin Memory Technologies) disclosed progress in its next-generation 4F² DRAM cell architecture, with plans to introduce server memory products using the technology by the end of this year. Compared with the industry’s mainstream 6F² structure, the new architecture could potentially increase memory den
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SK hynix Plunges 10%, Samsung Drops 7%: Is AI Memory’s Scarcity Premium Under Threat?
avatarMarktomarket
10-13

Memory Stocks Had One Reason to Sell Last Week. Monday Added a Second.

The indices: the Dow outran the Nasdaq for the third session in a row All three indices split again on Monday: the $Dow Jones(.DJI)$ rose 0.38 per cent to 51,850.55; the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ fell 0.06 per cent to 7,807.24, essentially flat; and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ fell 0.44 per cent to 27,245.90. The 10-year Treasury yield stayed at 5.24 per cent, unchanged from Friday. Monday was the third consecutive session in which the Dow outperformed the Nasdaq. Nvidia fell 1.29 per cent to US$226.32 and AMD fell 2.28 per cent to US$594.24, extending the declines that began last Thursday on the OpenAI revenue report. Memory st
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Memory Stocks Had One Reason to Sell Last Week. Monday Added a Second.
avatarKentzw
10-13

🚨 AI’S NEXT TEST: RECORD DEMAND ISN’T ENOUGH. SHOW US THE RETURNS.

Two semiconductor giants. Two earnings reports. One question hanging over the AI trade: How much more growth can the market realistically expect? $ASML Holding(ASML)$ reports on October 14, followed by $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ on October 15. Both are crucial to understanding whether AI infrastructure spending can continue supporting semiconductor growth.  But I’m watching more than whether they beat earnings estimates. 🔬 1. ASML: Are chipmakers still willing to spend? ASML makes the advanced lithography equipment required to manufacture cutting-edge semiconductors. Its extreme ultraviolet (EUV) systems are particularly important for producing advanced chips. In July, ASML raised its 2026 revenue outlook to €43 billion–€45 billion and said customer demand remained strong.
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🚨 AI’S NEXT TEST: RECORD DEMAND ISN’T ENOUGH. SHOW US THE RETURNS.