Q4 Earnings Season: Valuations Stretch, What to Focus?

Q4 earnings from the S&P 500 are sending mixed signals. Blended Q4 earnings growth stands at 8.2%, marking a potential 10th straight quarter of YoY growth, led by Information Technology and Materials, while Energy and Consumer Discretionary lag. Revenues are growing 7.8%, still solid but below long-term averages. Meanwhile, the forward P/E has climbed to 22.2, well above historical norms, raising questions about how much good news is already priced in. What to focus during this earnings season?

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02-24 22:09

[29] CCI, NOW, POOL

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[29] CCI, NOW, POOL
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02-23 22:05

[28] AKAM, CPRT, XYZ

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[28] AKAM, CPRT, XYZ
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02-21

[27] CLX, GD, WDAY

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[27] CLX, GD, WDAY
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02-15

[17] HOOD, NTES, VKTX

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[17] HOOD, NTES, VKTX
AI has entered a full-scale infrastructure build-out phase. We expect annual AI-related infrastructure spending to exceed US$400–500 billion by 2026, driven by accelerated data-centre construction, higher-density compute requirements, and rising power and cooling needs. At this level, AI infrastructure investment approaches ~2% of US GDP, placing it alongside past general-purpose technology cycles such as cloud computing and telecommunications. However, this remains a front-loaded capital cycle. Cash outflows precede revenue, and monetisation remains uneven across sectors. For current equity valuations to be sustained, the AI ecosystem must ultimately generate US$1.7–2.5 trillion in incremental annual revenue by the end of the decade. As infrastructure spending accelerates into 2026, balan

Can Moderna (MRNA) Outrun Regulatory Delays With Its Cost-Cutting?

$Moderna, Inc.(MRNA)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q4 2025 and full-year results on Friday, February 13, 2026, at 8:00 a.m. ET. The company is currently in a high-stakes transition from a pandemic-focused entity to a diversified biotech platform. While recent "pre-announcements" in January have already shared some high-level figures, the official report will be the definitive signal for 2026 sentiment. Moderna’s (MRNA) Fiscal Q3 2025 earnings, reported on November 6, 2025, were a pivotal moment for the company. Despite a steep year-over-year revenue decline, the report was widely viewed as a "win" because the company demonstrated it could aggressively manage its transition into a post-pandemic business. Q3 2025 Financial Summary Moderna signi
Can Moderna (MRNA) Outrun Regulatory Delays With Its Cost-Cutting?

Coinbase Global (COIN) Face "Gut Check" For Its Earnings Release

$Coinbase Global, Inc.(COIN)$ is scheduled to report its fiscal Q4 2025 earnings on Thursday, February 12, 2026, after the market close. Coming off a year of shifting market dynamics, this report is seen as a "gut check" for the stock, which has faced significant downward pressure over the last month. Investors are increasingly looking past volatile trading fees toward the company's "everything exchange" evolution. Earnings Estimates & Expectations Wall Street has become increasingly cautious leading into this print, with the consensus EPS estimate revised downward by roughly 6% in the last 30 days. Coinbase reported its fiscal Q3 2025 results on October 30, 2025. It was a standout quarter that showcased the company's aggressive "Everything Ex
Coinbase Global (COIN) Face "Gut Check" For Its Earnings Release

Look QuantumScape Corp For Long Term -> Development Of Solid-State, Lithium-Metal Battery Technology

Considering the battery is the most critical component of an electric vehicle (EV), understanding its condition, technology, and management is essential for ensuring long-term satisfaction, reliability, and value in your next vehicle. The battery determines the vehicle's driving range, performance, and charging speed, and it represents a significant portion of the car's overall cost and resale value.  Here is why EV battery consideration is crucial for your next vehicle purchase: 1. It Dictates Real-World Range and Performance  Capacity Loss (Degradation): EV batteries, primarily lithium-ion, naturally degrade over time, losing maximum capacity. While modern batteries are designed to last, understanding that a 10%–15% loss might occur over several years helps manage expectat
Look QuantumScape Corp For Long Term -> Development Of Solid-State, Lithium-Metal Battery Technology
avatarkoolgal
02-06
🌟🌟🌟If  I can only hold 1 stock during a government shutdown it would be $Alphabet(GOOG)$ and not $General Motors(GM)$ .  This is because in a government shutdown I want a fortress , not a factory. General Motors is a solid proud American icon but it is also tied to consumer sentiment which tanks during political chaos, credit markets which get jittery fast and union negotiations which can flare up when the government is distracted. GM is like holding a car that might stall when the traffic lights stop working . Alphabet on the other hand is like the kid who brings snacks, cash and straight A grades to the apocalypse. Alphabet has USD 100 billion plus in cash, global revenue streams , AI dominan

🎁What the Tigers Say | Forget Hype? Earnings Special on Tigers Pick Cash Cows & Value

Hi Tigers 🐯 Welcome to “What the Tigers say.” 👋 The past week was the absolute peak of the Q4 Earnings Season 📊. It was a week that separated the "Real Deal" 💪 from the "Paper Tigers." 📄 We tracked the results of 10 market movers that define our economy right now 🌍: 🤖 The AI Giants: $Microsoft(MSFT)$, $Alphabet(GOOG)$, $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$, $SUPER MICRO COMPUTER INC(SMCI)$ 💾 The Chip Warriors:$Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$,$Intel(INTC)$, $Texas Instruments(TXN)$ 🏗️ The Economic Backbone:
🎁What the Tigers Say | Forget Hype? Earnings Special on Tigers Pick Cash Cows & Value

Look For Qualcomm (QCOM) Earnings Concrete "AI revenue" Timeline

$Qualcomm(QCOM)$ is set to report its fiscal Q1 2026 earnings on Wednesday, February 4, 2026, after the market close. The stock enters this print at a crossroads: while it remains the king of the mobile SoC (System on Chip) world, it is fighting a "show me" battle to prove its AI-driven diversification into PCs, automotive, and data centers. Here is an analysis of the upcoming report and the "AI narrative" comparison with AMD. Key Metrics to Watch (Fiscal Q1 2026) The market is bracing for a "beat-and-lower" scenario, where current results look good, but future guidance reflects headwinds in the smartphone market. Qualcomm’s Fiscal Q4 2025 earnings (reported November 5, 2025) were a masterclass in "operational excellence vs. headline noise." While
Look For Qualcomm (QCOM) Earnings Concrete "AI revenue" Timeline
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02-02

🔥📊🌍 Liquidity, Labour & Earnings Collide: The Week That Decides Whether Markets Break Higher or Reset Risk 📈⚡🔥

$Amazon.com(AMZN)$ $Alphabet(GOOGL)$  $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  This week isn’t just another earnings cycle, it’s a stress test of whether liquidity, labour data, and earnings momentum can keep equities climbing while macro and political risks crowd the tape. I’m positioning where that decision shows up first, not after it’s obvious. 02Feb26 ET 🇺🇸 and we’re entering one of those weeks where everything converges at once. Earnings weight, labour data, shutdown politics, tariff talk, sector rotation and global policy signals are all colliding. When catalysts stack like this, price rarely moves gently. It reprices. I’m not trading headlines.
🔥📊🌍 Liquidity, Labour & Earnings Collide: The Week That Decides Whether Markets Break Higher or Reset Risk 📈⚡🔥
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02-02

[11] NKE, V, MRK

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[11] NKE, V, MRK
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01-31

[10] GS, VZ, CL1!

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[10] GS, VZ, CL1!
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01-31

[9] IBM, HIMS, PANW

The information and materials provided here, whether or not provided on TBI’s Substack (TBI), on third party websites, in marketing materials, newsletters or any form of publication are provided for general information and circulation only. None of the information contained here constitutes an offer (or solicitation of an offer) to buy or sell any currency, product or financial instrument, to make any investment, or to participate in any particular trading strategy. TBI does not take into account of your personal investment objectives, specific investment goals, specific needs or financial situation and makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided here. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constit
[9] IBM, HIMS, PANW

10 Quarters of SPX Growth — But Mag 7 Still Carries the Load

As 2025 Q4 earnings season enters its most critical week in late January 2026, the US stock market stands at a crossroads of multiple narratives. This week, more than 100 S&P 500 components are scheduled to report their results.I. S&P 500 Status Quo: 10 Consecutive Quarters of Growth and Valuation ChallengesAccording to the latest FactSet data, the performance of the S&P 500 for Q4 2025 is characterized by steady growth but a declining "surprise factor":Earnings Performance: The blended earnings growth rate for the S&P 500 currently stands at 8.2%. If this holds, it will mark the 10th consecutive quarter of year-over-year earnings growth for the index.Revenue Growth: The blended revenue growth rate is 7.8%, representing the second-highest growth rate for the index since Q3
10 Quarters of SPX Growth — But Mag 7 Still Carries the Load

General Motors (GM) Earnings Watch Aggressively Bullish 2026 Roadmap Or Buyback Authorization Increase

$General Motors(GM)$ is scheduled to release its fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 financial results on Tuesday, January 27, 2026, before the market opens. Coming off a strong 2025 where GM reclaimed its title as the top-selling automaker in the U.S., the Q4 report will be a balancing act between resilient internal combustion engine (ICE) profits and a significant "EV strategy reset." Key Expectations & Estimates Earnings Per Share (EPS): Analysts expect an adjusted EPS of approximately $2.19, a notable increase from $1.92 in Q4 2024. Revenue: Consensuses are pegged at roughly $45 billion, which would represent a ~6% decline year-over-year. Special Charges: GM will record roughly $6 billion in one-time charges related to its EV rollback and stra
General Motors (GM) Earnings Watch Aggressively Bullish 2026 Roadmap Or Buyback Authorization Increase

Seagate (STX) January 27 Earnings: HAMR Dreams vs. Structural Weakness

Executive Summary $Seagate Technology PLC(STX)$ reports fiscal Q2 2026 earnings Monday, January 27, after the bell. Consensus calls for $2.76 EPS on $2.73 billion revenue. Our proprietary Entry Indicator is -1.00, flagging severe structural weakness despite the stock trading near 52-week highs at $346. The options market prices in a 9.78% earnings move. That's your corridor: $373.17 to $305.49. The stock sits $26.10 above Max Pain at $320. The Put/Call ratio at 2.21 shows traders are loading up on downside protection. The magnet is pulling hard. The Earnings Risk Corridor: 9.78% Expected Move The market expects STX to swing $33.86 in either direction post-earnings. Upper bound at $373.17. Lower bound at $305.49. This is double the volatility we saw
Seagate (STX) January 27 Earnings: HAMR Dreams vs. Structural Weakness
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01-25
$IREN Ltd(IREN)$ sharing for coins. have faith in crypto

UnitedHealth (UNH) | January 27, 2026 Pre-Market Earnings

Executive Summary $UnitedHealth(UNH)$ reports Q4 2025 and full-year results Monday, January 27, before the bell. Consensus calls for $2.09 per share on $113.64 billion in revenue. That's a 69.3% earnings collapse from Q4 2024. Our proprietary Entry Indicator sits at -1.00, the most bearish signal possible, flagging structural breakdown. The options market prices in a 4.77% earnings move. That's your corridor: $369.86 to $335.85. The stock sits at $356.26, a full $16.26 above Max Pain at $340. Dealers are pulling the stock toward that level. This is a profitability crisis, not a revenue story. The Earnings Risk Corridor: 4.77% Expected Move The market expects UNH to swing $16.99 in either direction post-earnings. Upper bound at $369.86. Lower bound
UnitedHealth (UNH) | January 27, 2026 Pre-Market Earnings