Executive Summary $Seagate Technology PLC(STX)$ reports fiscal Q2 2026 earnings Monday, January 27, after the bell. Consensus calls for $2.76 EPS on $2.73 billion revenue. Our proprietary Entry Indicator is -1.00, flagging severe structural weakness despite the stock trading near 52-week highs at $346. The options market prices in a 9.78% earnings move. That's your corridor: $373.17 to $305.49. The stock sits $26.10 above Max Pain at $320. The Put/Call ratio at 2.21 shows traders are loading up on downside protection. The magnet is pulling hard. The Earnings Risk Corridor: 9.78% Expected Move The market expects STX to swing $33.86 in either direction post-earnings. Upper bound at $373.17. Lower bound at $305.49. This is double the volatility we saw
Q4 Earnings Season: Valuations Stretch, What to Focus?
Q4 earnings from the S&P 500 are sending mixed signals. Blended Q4 earnings growth stands at 8.2%, marking a potential 10th straight quarter of YoY growth, led by Information Technology and Materials, while Energy and Consumer Discretionary lag. Revenues are growing 7.8%, still solid but below long-term averages. Meanwhile, the forward P/E has climbed to 22.2, well above historical norms, raising questions about how much good news is already priced in. What to focus during this earnings season?
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