How Will Fed's Rate Cut Affect Your Life?

Whether your are Singaporeans or Aussi or Kiwis, people with home loans could see their burden eased as banks will or already follow the Fed by significantly lowering mortgage rates. With the Fed shifting focus from rate hikes to cuts, it signals that inflation might be easing faster than expected. ----------- Do you think rate cut would bring positive impact to your life? Will your investing trend shift?

avatarSamlunch
2024-09-16
$SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust(SPY)$   📈 $SPX NEW ALL TIME HIGHS INCOMING? • Just like the seasonality proposed a very strong week last one before Sept OPEX with all 5 days closing green on the index and almost retracing back the entire dip of the previous week. • What I disliked about the close was the bulls not finishing the job and closing the bear gaps. • To invalidate my fear I would love to see a fill early Monday and have decent pull back into FOMC and rally back up to make new highs. That is SCENARIO 1. • The other way bulls can have a cleaner transition is bull gapping above the bear gaps and creating an island which will act as a cushion irrespective of the FOMC shenanigans. I prefer this SCENARIO 2 over
avatarTiger_James Ooi
2024-09-16

US Market Insights (16-20 Sep): Waiting for the Fed’s First Rate Cut

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 returned 4.06% and 5.96%, respectively, last week. Major market movers included JP Morgan (-3.83%), Berkshire Hathaway (-2.57%), Adobe (-4.71%), Wells Fargo (-2.26%), Exxon Mobil (-1.32%), Amazon (+8.81%), Broadcom (+22.41%), Tesla (+9.28%), Meta (+4.87%), Alphabet (+4.47%), Oracle (+14.26%), and AMD (+13.37%). Important economic events this week include Retail Sales on Tuesday, and the FOMC meeting and Unemployment Claims on Thursday. The Bank of Japan (BOJ) is scheduled to hold its policy meeting on Friday, but no changes are expected. Things You Should Know Before Starting Your Week: 1) Election Uncertainties May Continue to Weigh on Stocks in the Coming Weeks Clean energy stocks rose last week, indicating that Wall Street may be betting on Kamala Harris l
US Market Insights (16-20 Sep): Waiting for the Fed’s First Rate Cut
avatarSmartReversals
2024-09-16

What’s coming after the rate cuts? - An abyss? or a bullish context?

As presented in previous editions, probabilities after breadth signals and historical studies about rate cuts periods suggest new all time highs are coming, and technicals presented last week like Volume Shelves and the McClellan Oscillator suggested that a bounce was around the corner. $S&P 500(.SPX)$ and $NASDAQ 100(NDX)$ bounced from a higher level than expected, $DJIA(.DJI)$ and Small Caps $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$ were the ones reaching the first weekly support and they bounced rapidly on Wednesday. Technical analysis is about probabilities and the S/R Levels are the rapid validators, so once $5,478 and $18,
What’s coming after the rate cuts? - An abyss? or a bullish context?
avatarBarcode
2024-09-15
$Endeavour Silver(EXK)$ $iShares Gold Trust(IAU)$ $FedEx(FDX)$ $General Mills(GIS)$  🎯📉🎯📈 FED Week Frenzy: Gold, Silver & Miners Soar Amid Key Earnings!🎯📉🎯📈🎯 Kia ora Tiger traders! It’s Fed Week, and the markets are heating up! With Gold and Silver surging, plus some major earnings reports on deck, there’s no better time to get ready for action. ☕📈 Key Events This Week: 📅 Tuesday – August Retail Sales Data 🏗️ Wednesday – August Building Consents Data 💸 Wednesday – Fed Interest Rate Decision 📢 Wednesday – Fed Press Conference 🏭 Thursday – Philly Fed Manufacturing Index 🏘️ Thursday – August Existing Home Sales Data 🟡
avatarBullaroo
2024-09-15

Will a U.S. Fed Rate Cut Bring Relief to Australian Borrowers?

Michele Bullock, The RBA governor As the U.S. Federal Reserve moves closer to cutting interest rates, Australian borrowers might wonder what this means for them. Historically, economic moves in the U.S. tend to ripple across the globe, influencing policies in nations like Australia. While U.S. Fed Chair Jerome Powell signals rate cuts aimed at easing inflation and stimulating the economy, Australians hoping for similar relief might be disappointed. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), led by Governor Michele Bullock, has made it clear that rate cuts are unlikely in the near future. The Global Trend of Rate Cuts The U.S. is poised to join other major economies, including the UK, Canada, China, and New Zealand, in reducing interest rates. These cuts reflect a global trend toward easing mone
Will a U.S. Fed Rate Cut Bring Relief to Australian Borrowers?
avatarPinkspider
2024-09-15

Recession similarity

Four days until the #FOMC meeting, where Powell will likely cut by .25 (odds are currently 50% for .25 and 50% for .50). The similarities between 2007 and 2024 are wild! Charts in comments: Fed's First Rate Cut: Sept 18, 2007 Sept 18, 2024 (high probability) Unemployment Rate Sept 2007: 4.7 Sept 2024: 4.2 US Inflation Rate YoY Sept 2007: 2.5 Sept 2024: 2.5 US Housing Starts: Sept 2007: 1.238 Sept 2024: 1.235 US Leading Economic Activity Sept 2007: 100.4 Sept 2024: 100.4 US Existing Home Sales Sept 2007: 4.5 Million Sept 2024: 3.95 Million (This post is not calling for a 2007 crash. I am simply pointing out the intriguing similarities in timing and economic indicators.$S&P 500(.SPX)$  
Recession similarity
avatarDaveaPhoenix
2024-09-15
Here’s how a rate cut could affect my life and investment approach: Personal Finances: - Lower Borrowing Costs: Since I have a mortgage, a rate cut will reduce my monthly repayments, freeing up some cash. This extra cash could go toward saving, investing, or spending on other priorities. - Savings Impact: On the flip side, the interest I earn from my savings account or term deposits will likely go down, so I’ll need to rethink where to keep my short-term cash or emergency fund, as it won’t grow as much in the bank. Investments: - Stock Market: With rates going down, I expect the stock market to perform better since companies can borrow at lower costs, potentially boosting their profits. This might make me want to shift more towards growth stocks, especially in tech or co
avatarTiger V
2024-09-15

Fed Rate Cut: Navigating Market Waves and Your Investments

Overview:  As the Federal Reserve's highly anticipated September 17-18 meeting approaches, the global market holds its breath. With an 87% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut, investors are eager to know how this move will impact their portfolios. A Fed rate cut could bring short-term relief to markets, potentially fueling growth, but it’s a delicate balance, especially with lingering economic uncertainty. Let’s dive into what a potential rate cut could mean for various segments of the market. Stock Markets: Bullish or Bearish?  A Fed rate cut often lowers borrowing costs, allowing companies to expand more easily, which could spark a short-term rally, or even a mini bull market. Tech and growth stocks, in particular, could see a boost as cheaper financing benefits innovation-driv
Fed Rate Cut: Navigating Market Waves and Your Investments
avatarTiger V
2024-09-14

Fed Rate Cut Playbook: Tapping Into Defensive Stocks and Bonds

Overview of Market Trends:  As the Federal Reserve (Fed) gears up for an anticipated rate cut next week, investors are shifting to a more defensive stance. This shift has spurred strong demand for safe-haven assets such as gold, U.S. Treasury bonds, and defensive stocks. Economic recession concerns and the uncertainties surrounding the upcoming U.S. presidential election have driven this move, with real estate, utilities, and consumer staples emerging as top-performing sectors. Gold has also hit new historical highs, reflecting increased demand for risk-off assets. Gold Shines Amid Rate Cut Expectations: Since March, gold $XAU/USD(XAUUSD.FOREX)$  has seen a surge in prices, repeatedly setting new hi
Fed Rate Cut Playbook: Tapping Into Defensive Stocks and Bonds
avatarIykyk
2024-09-14
Time to invest more for asset appreciation 
avatarSC CBK
2024-09-14
Buy lendlease laggard trading at 6.5%yield and digicore reit at 6.1% yield
avatarDoTrading
2024-09-13

Markets Anticipate Fed Rate Cut Amid Mixed Inflation Data

As the Federal Reserve’s September meeting approaches, speculation is growing over the magnitude of the expected rate cut. While many traders are pricing in a quarter-point reduction, recent market movements suggest the possibility of a half-point cut is gaining traction. Amid mixed inflation signals and cooling labor market data, all eyes are on how the Fed will respond. This report also highlights developments from the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ), alongside key movements in precious metals and technology sectors. Federal Reserve Speculation and Inflation Data Fed Faces Tough Decision The Fed is set to make a critical decision next week, with the balance shifting toward a quarter-point rate cut. However, a recent decline in Treasur
Markets Anticipate Fed Rate Cut Amid Mixed Inflation Data
avatarTheStrategist
2024-09-13
How ah? Will make me rich loh, switch to BTC 

💰5 Charts to Know the Historical Fed Rate Cuts Impact & Strategic Insights

On September 18th, the Federal Reserve is expected to usher in a new round of interest rate cuts, with the U.S. stock market in September enveloped in an environment of high volatility expectations.According to data from Trading Economics, the U.S. federal funds rate is projected to be around 4.75% in 2024 and around 3.75% in 2025.The vast majority of economists surveyed by Reuters indicated that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at each of the three remaining meetings in 2024.The impact of interest rate cuts on the entire financial market will be multifaceted, see the figure below:Read more>>📅 Global Impacts Study Before the Coming 2024 Fed Rate Cuts
💰5 Charts to Know the Historical Fed Rate Cuts Impact & Strategic Insights
avatarTiger_Chart
2024-09-13

📅 Global Impacts Study Before the Coming 2024 Fed Rate Cuts

The US 🗣️Federal Reserve's interest rate is expected to cut since sep.18th 2024📅.Usually the rate cut decisions have far-reaching effects on the global economy and financial markets. Here is an explanation of the main impacts that may arise from the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts:Global Impact:Federal Reserve rate cuts typically lead to a decline in global bond yields, as U.S. Treasury bonds $Micro 10-Year Yield - main 2409(10Ymain)$ , serving as a benchmark for global asset pricing, will see their yields fall, driving down yields across the global bond market.With reduced financing costs, businesses and individuals are more inclined to borrow, which may stimulate consumption and investment, thereby boosting the growth of the U.S. econo
📅 Global Impacts Study Before the Coming 2024 Fed Rate Cuts
avatarValue_investing
2024-09-13

Fed Rate Cut Imminent: Small Caps Set for a Rally!

Despite facing a tougher September compared to large caps, U.S. small caps outperformed the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ in the third quarter. Liz Ann Sonders, Chief Investment Strategist at Charles Schwab, noted: “Overall, the Fed’s clear signal for a more accommodative policy at the Jackson Hole symposium in late August has buoyed small caps. Small caps typically thrive during rate-cutting cycles, especially when the Fed cuts rates to combat a recession, as investors prepare for economic recovery.”However, Sonders also pointed out, “We are not in a recession yet. Despite the economic slowdown, the economy is still performing reasonably well.”According to FactSet, the Russell 2000 Index $iShares Russell 2000 ETF(IWM)$
Fed Rate Cut Imminent: Small Caps Set for a Rally!
avatarSR050321
2024-09-13
I still have $Sasseur Reit(CRPU.SI)$ which gives quarterly dividend but somehow the stock price also drop as per the dividend given. I think this reit is not so popular unlike others 😢

BIG TECH WEEKLY | How's Techs In Non-Recessionary Rate Cuts Cycle?

Big-Tech’s PerformanceThis week's market was, in four words, a "comeback".After last week's jobs report, the entire market began to expect the first rate cut and priced in a different "recession or no recession".Risky and safe-haven assets took turns in the flow of funds, and as a result, volatility rose in the market.But this week's strength in tech stocks, such as Tesla's FSD expectation boost, Apple's launch superstar, and NVIDIA's Jen-Hsun Huang reiterating the market's strong demand for AI in his talk, have all rekindled investor sentiment towards tech companies.The market is now implying that the Fed, by December, will cut rates by 100 basis points, and by June next year by more than 200 basis points to around the 3% level.By the close of trading on September 12, big tech companies w
BIG TECH WEEKLY | How's Techs In Non-Recessionary Rate Cuts Cycle?
avataricycrystal
2024-09-13
Fed cutting rate will most probably affect market. better to keep to companies with good, stable fundamentals, this way can  sleep well / better at night no matter how the market swings... @Aqa @GoodLife99 @Universe宇宙 @rL @HelenJanet @Shyon @LMSunshine @koolgal @SPACE ROCKET
avatarSGX_Stars
2024-09-13

How the First Fed Rate Cut Impacts SGX Stocks: Key Sectors Set to Benefit

What Happens When the Fed Cuts Rates for the First Time?The Federal Reserve typically lowers interest rates to stimulate economic activity during recessions or slowdowns, which often benefits the stock market.This analysis examines the performance of the S&P 500 following a rate cut, focusing on forward returns and drawdowns over the next 12 months. The results largely hinge on whether the rate cut signals an upcoming recession.Not every rate cut leads to a recession, nor does every recession bring a bear market. The chart below illustrates a range of potential outcomes, helping investors navigate the complex narrative around rate cuts and avoid misleading conclusions.Josh Brown points out two crucial takeaways for investors:The average drawdown in the 12 months following the first rat
How the First Fed Rate Cut Impacts SGX Stocks: Key Sectors Set to Benefit
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