On April 2, 2025, NVIDIA ( $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ) saw its stock tumble over 5% in after-hours trading, a sharp decline that has investors questioning whether the semiconductor cycle—typically spanning 3-5 years—has run its course. Since 2008, the global semiconductor market has weathered four complete cycles, with the current one bottoming in Q1 2023. Some argue this cycle has ended, pointing to NVIDIA’s struggles as evidence, while others see its relatively low PE ratio (37-52) as a buying signal, tempered by concerns over Blackwell’s margin impact. This article dissects the cycle’s status and dives deep into NVIDIA’s underperformance, blending industry data, economic pressures, and company-specific dynamics to answer: Is this a cycle crash or an NVIDI

President Donald Trump announcing long-awaited reciprocal tariffs. On April 2, 2025, Eastern Time, former President Donald Trump officially unveiled his reciprocal tariff policy, a cornerstone of his "America First" economic agenda. Announced in a White House Rose Garden ceremony, the policy aims to level the playing field in global trade by imposing tariffs on imports that mirror those levied on U.S. goods by foreign nations. Dubbed a "Declaration of Economic Independence" by Trump, the move has jolted financial markets and sparked widespread debate about its implications. While the announcement clarified key details such as tariff rates and timelines, it also introduced fresh uncertainties, from potential trade retaliation to broader economic fallout. This article examines the policy’s s

Gold has shattered expectations, breaking above $3,100 per ounce and reaching a new all-time high of $3,157.40 as of April 1, 2025, according to the COMEX Gold chart. This milestone, reflecting a 4.79% gain over the past five days, underscores gold’s enduring appeal as a safe-haven asset amid a turbulent global landscape. Let’s dive into the factors driving this rally, analyze the chart’s implications, and explore what lies ahead for the precious metal. The Rally in Context The COMEX chart illustrates gold’s meteoric rise over the past five days, with prices climbing steadily from around $3,000 on March 27 to $3,157.40 by March 31. The 1.38% daily increase on March 31 alone highlights the momentum behind this surge. This breakout aligns with broader economic and geopolitical dynamics that

Micron Technology ( $Micron Technology(MU)$ ) has been on a downward trajectory since its fiscal second-quarter 2025 earnings report on March 20, 2025, with the stock closing at $81.32 on April 1, 2025, down 1.42% for the day and over 20% from its February peak of $114. Despite a strong earnings beat, investor sentiment has soured, driven by a mix of self-inflicted challenges, broader market dynamics, and a sharp decline in NAND sales. This article delves into the highlights of Micron’s earnings, the reasons behind the stock’s continued decline, the drivers of the NAND segment’s weakness, and the stock’s potential trajectory in the context of economic conditions, industry outlook, and U.S. government policies. Earnings Highlights: A Mixed Bag Micron

As the first week of April 2025 kicks off, financial markets are bracing for a series of economic data releases and a high-profile Federal Reserve appearance that could shape investor sentiment and dictate near-term trends. With trade policy uncertainties, inflation pressures, and shifting Federal Reserve expectations in the backdrop, this week’s calendar is packed with potential catalysts. Below, we outline the critical events, their likely market impacts, and an assessment of volatility, spotlighting three standout moments: Tuesday’s ISM Manufacturing PMI, Friday’s Nonfarm Payrolls, and Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech. Key Economic Events and Data Releases 1. Monday, March 31: Chicago PMI and Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index Regional manufacturing gauges kick off the week, offering an ear

AppLovin ( $AppLovin Corporation(APP)$ ), a leading ad tech company, faced its third short-seller attack of 2025 on March 27, when Muddy Waters Research released a scathing report alleging that the company’s ad tactics “systematically” violate app store terms of service by “impermissibly extracting” user data from platforms like Meta, Reddit, and Alphabet. The report triggered a 20% plunge in AppLovin’s stock price, dropping it from a previous close of $327.620 to a close of $261.700, with a low of $252.510. This marked the steepest one-day decline in the company’s history since its 2021 IPO, wiping out nearly $17 billion in market value. As the dust settles, investors are left with a critical question: Is this a buying opportunity, or should they

As of March 27, 2025, Tesla ( $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ) remains one of the most polarizing stocks in the market. Optimists like Cathie Wood of ARK Invest have forecasted a staggering $4,200 price target, while pessimists argue the stock could plummet to $150 or lower by year-end. With such extreme predictions, investors face a dilemma: Is Tesla poised for a historic rally or a steep decline? This article dives into the detailed bullish and bearish factors driving these scenarios and concludes why a short-term "wait-and-see" strategy may be the most prudent approach. Bullish Factors: Could Tesla Reach $4,200? The bullish case for Tesla reaching $4,200—a 14-fold increase from an assumed current price of $250-$300—rests on transformative growth and mark

Tesla’s ( $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ) stock has roared back to life, climbing over 30% from a March 11 low of $217.02 to $288.14 by Tuesday’s close on March 25, 2025. But this isn’t the usual Tesla rollercoaster tale. The rally, sparked by Elon Musk’s unscripted defiance and fueled by investor bets on robotaxis and robotics, signals a deeper shift: Tesla isn’t just fighting to reclaim its EV crown—it’s gambling on a future where cars take a backseat to tech. A closer look at Musk’s recent moves, technical signals, and the stakes at play reveals why this surge feels different. A General’s Rally: Musk’s All-Hands Moment On March 20, 2025, Elon Musk didn’t step into Tesla’s all-hands meeting as a CEO with a polished script. He came as a general rallying h

Apple Inc. ( $Apple(AAPL)$ ) has long been hailed as a cornerstone stock—a reliable anchor for portfolios seeking stability, growth, and income. With a market cap of approximately $3.38 trillion and a global brand synonymous with innovation, Apple’s appeal is undeniable. However, in the current environment—marked by geopolitical tensions, regulatory scrutiny, and a shifting technical landscape—is Apple still a suitable cornerstone for portfolios? This article examines Apple’s fundamentals, technical setup, recent developments, strategic partnership with the Trump administration, and the impact of Trump’s trade policies to determine its role across different portfolio styles. Apple’s Fundamentals: A Rock-Solid Foundation Apple’s financials make a c

March 25, 2025 – AMD ( $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$ ) soared 7% today, reaching $114.10 when this article was writing, as reports surfaced that the Trump administration may scale back its planned "reciprocal tariffs" set for April 2, potentially sparing semiconductors from the trade measures. The news, which also lifted Nvidia by 3.4% to $121.70, sparked a broader rally in chip stocks, with investors breathing a sigh of relief over reduced trade tensions. For AMD, this marks a continuation of a strong rebound, with the stock climbing 20.4% from its March 11 low of $94.73. But what’s driving this surge, and can the momentum hold? Let’s break down the factors, fundamentals, technicals, and what’s next for AMD. AMD A Month of Gains for AMD AMD’s stoc

Tesla ( $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ ) has long been a stock market darling, driven by its innovative EVs, ambitious AI projects, and the larger-than-life persona of CEO Elon Musk. However, as of March 24, 2025, the company finds itself at a crossroads, grappling with a volatile stock price, global sales declines, and a controversial "political halo" stemming from Musk’s role in the Trump administration. Recent developments—such as U.S. Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick’s public endorsement of Tesla stock on March 19, 2025, and whispers of a potential drop to $200—have sparked heated debates about Tesla’s future. In this analysis, we’ll dive into TSLA’s fundamentals, Musk’s recent updates, technical indicators, and the company's broader sentiment, offe

The FOMC March 18-19, 2025, meeting flipped the script: “Starting in April, the committee will slow the pace of tapering, lowering the monthly redemption cap for U.S. Treasuries from $25 billion to $5 billion.” After years of draining its balance sheet through quantitative tightening (QT), the Fed’s easing off—not reversing, just braking. Paired with Chair Jerome Powell’s dovish tone and a pledge to “wait for more clarity” before bold moves, markets roared back. The S&P 500 surged, Bitcoin hit $87,000, and Treasuries steadied. But with Trump’s reciprocal tariffs set for April 2, does this QT slowdown juice liquidity enough to sustain the rally—or is it a mirage masking more considerable risks? Powell’s Dovish Dance Ignites a Rally Rates held at 4.25%-4.5%—no shock there. The kicker was

On March 18, 2025, GOOGLE ( $Alphabet(GOOG)$ ) experienced a notable decline, trading at approximately $161.1 during active U.S. trading hours. The drop coincides with significant company news and broader market trends, raising questions about the financial implications of Alphabet’s ambitious moves. This article delves into the reasons behind the sell-off, the impact of a massive acquisition and high AI capital expenditure (capex), and whether investors are justified in their concerns. The Catalyst: $32 Billion Wiz Acquisition The primary driver of GOOG’s decline appears to be Alphabet’s announcement of advanced negotiations to acquire Wiz, an Israeli cybersecurity firm, for $32 billion. Reported on March 18, 2025, by outlets like Reuters and The

As a content creator in the Tiger Community, I’m holding myself accountable with a retrospective review of my TIGR ( $Tiger Brokers(TIGR)$ ) analyses following the company’s jaw-dropping Q4 2024 earnings on March 18, 2025. UP Fintech Holding Ltd. (TIGR) smashed expectations with $124.1 million in revenue and $0.172 non-GAAP EPS, sending the stock to $8.895 (high $9.19) on the latest K-line chart. My pre-earnings forecasts fell short—why? Let’s dissect the surprise, compare my calls, and reassess TIGR’s price trajectory for 2025. Retrospective: My Forecasts vs. Reality My March 9, 2025, preview ("TIGR’s Q4 2024 Earnings Preview") predicted Q4 metrics based on Q3’s $101.1 million revenue and 105% trading volume growth. Here’s how I stacked up: Reven

Part 1 of a GTC 2025 Commentary Series As NVIDIA’s ( $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ ) GTC 2025 kicks off today, March 17, in San Jose, the tech world—and Wall Street—turns its eyes to Jensen Huang. The conference, running through March 21, arrives at a precarious moment: the U.S. stock market is mired in volatility, AI’s explosive growth faces scrutiny, and NVIDIA, once the darling of the AI boom, navigates a crossroads of its own. A provocative quote circulating among analysts captures the stakes: “If Jen-Hsun Huang did not persuade Wall Street or NVIDIA revealed any pessimistic outlook on the future, then not only can it not promote the U.S. stock market to come out, but also the U.S. stock market as a whole will be pushed to greater trouble.” This is the fir

As the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) convenes for its two-day policy meeting on March 18-19, 2025, all eyes are on the Federal Reserve’s next move. With the interest rate decision and accompanying statements set to drop on March 19, investors, analysts, and policymakers are parsing the latest data for clues. Here’s what we know as of March 17, 2025, about the meeting, the expectations, and what a surprise could mean for markets. The Latest on the Fed’s March Meeting The FOMC meeting is underway, but no official hints have leaked yet—it’s business as usual for now. Fed Chair Jerome Powell and other officials have kept their cards close, stressing a cautious stance in recent weeks. With a strong economy, a robust labor market, and inflation still hovering above the Fed’s 2% target, th

Intel Corporation ( $Intel(INTC)$ ), once the undisputed king of the semiconductor world, has faced persistent headwinds over the past decade. From missed product timelines to losing technological leadership to rivals like AMD and Nvidia, the company has struggled to reclaim its former dominance. However, on March 18, 2025, Intel boldly steps by appointing Lip-Bu Tan as its new Chief Executive Officer. In the immediate aftermath, Intel’s stock surged 16%, signaling renewed investor optimism. But the critical question remains—can Tan lead Intel to a sustainable comeback, or will this be yet another temporary market rally? Market Reaction: Investor Euphoria vs. Structural Reality 1. Short-term Market Optimism As the former CEO of Cadence Design Syst