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04-05 08:23

Market Recap: Tariff Turmoil Sends Global Stocks Reeling

Summary: Markets endured a historic two-day plunge as President Donald Trump’s sweeping new tariff regime shocked global investors. The Nasdaq Composite officially entered a bear market, and the S&P 500 saw its largest back-to-back decline since March 2020. Fears of a worldwide recession are mounting as retaliatory moves from China and other key trading partners intensify the economic threat. Markets Key Market Moves (Friday): $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -5.8% (now >20% off December highs — bear market) $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)$ Tech in bear market Tech Dow Jones Industrial Averag
Market Recap: Tariff Turmoil Sends Global Stocks Reeling
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04-04 06:33

Markets in Shock: Trump Tariffs Unleash 2025’s First True Meltdown

Here's a concise Market Intelligence Brief synthesizing the core themes from today’s events and Thursday, April 3, 2025 - Market Recap & Macro Pulse 🔻 Equities: Deepest Selloff Since 2020 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -4.8% $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -6.0% Dow: -4.0% (-1,679 pts) Market cap wiped: ~$3.1 trillion VIX: Elevated, stuck in “no-man’s-land” (uncertainty, but not peak fear) The tariff barrage has upended market assumptions, pricing in a materially higher recession probability. Analysts and traders, caught flat-footed by the scale of the action, scrambled to reprice risk across all sectors. Fair value on the S&P 500 is estimated near 4,900—but that’s assuming no further shocks. With market structure frag
Markets in Shock: Trump Tariffs Unleash 2025’s First True Meltdown
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04-03 06:34

Markets Reel as Trump Unveils Aggressive Reciprocal Tariffs

Market Reaction (April 2, 2025 – After Hours Trading) Dow Futures: -2.4% S&P 500 Futures: -3.4% Nasdaq 100 Futures: -4.3% 🔻 Big Tech Hit Hard $Apple(AAPL)$ (AAPL): -6.9% $Nike(NKE)$ : -7% $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ : -6.1% $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ : -4.9% Trump's “Liberation Day” Tariff Plan Tariffs 10% baseline tariff on all imports starting April 5 Higher reciprocal tariffs for countries with significant trade imbalances: China: 34% (on top of existing 20% tariffs → effective 54%) Vietnam: 46% Taiwan: 32% European Union: 20% Japan: 26% Exemptions: Steel, aluminum, autos, auto parts, and planned tariffs on copper, pharmaceuticals,
Markets Reel as Trump Unveils Aggressive Reciprocal Tariffs

Markets Await Trump's Tariff Decision Amid Rising Inflation Concerns

Market Recap (April 2, 2025) $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : +0.4% $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : +0.9% (broke 4-day losing streak) Dow Jones: -0.1% (flat) Key Market Themes: U.S. Labor Market Softens But Remains Resilient Job Openings to Unemployed Workers Ratio: 1.1x (lowest since 2021, but still high historically). Hires to Layoffs/Discharges Ratio: 3.0x, signaling a slowdown. Quits Rate: Elevated, indicating worker confidence. Labor market weakness could limit the Fed’s flexibility, but it’s not weak enough to justify rate cuts just yet. Tariff Anxiety Reaches Peak Ahead of “Liberation Day” Tariffs Trump expected to announce new reciprocal tariffs targeting trade partners with high duties on U.S. goods. Uncertainty over in
Markets Await Trump's Tariff Decision Amid Rising Inflation Concerns

Markets Brace for Q2 2025 as Tariff Uncertainty Looms

Q1 2025 Market Performance Recap: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -4.6% (worst quarter since 2022) Dow Jones: -1.3% (relative outperformance) $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -10.2% (tech rout) $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ Global Markets: +6.3% (benefiting from U.S. dollar weakness and policy shifts) Key Market Drivers: Tariffs, Trade Wars & Trump’s “Liberation Day” (April 2) Trump to announce new reciprocal tariffs against countries with high duties on U.S. goods. “Dirty 15” list of top U.S. trade partners in the crosshairs. Could trigger global retaliation and further market
Markets Brace for Q2 2025 as Tariff Uncertainty Looms

Markets Rattled as Stagflation Fears Take Hold

Friday’s Market Performance: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -2.0% Dow Jones: -1.7% (-716 points) $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -2.7% Weekly Streak: 7 of the past 9 weeks in the red The latest economic data stoked fears of stagflation, a toxic mix of high inflation and stagnant growth. Key Indicators: Inflation Remains Sticky Core PCE Core PCE (Fed’s preferred inflation gauge): +0.4% MoM (vs. 0.3% est.) Inflation expectations: 5% (highest since Nov. 2022) Consumer Spending is Slowing US Consumer Real spending: +0.1% last month Consumer sentiment: 57 (lowest in 2+ years) Tariff Uncertainty Adding to Woes Trump's 25% auto tariffs take effect next week Investors worry about higher costs and retaliation What is Stagflation? Stagf
Markets Rattled as Stagflation Fears Take Hold

Trump’s Auto Tariffs Rattle Stocks

Major Index Performance (Wednesday): $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -0.3% $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -0.5% Dow Jones: -0.4% (-155 points) Markets swung sharply throughout the trading session before sliding into the close. Wall Street is struggling to price in the latest round of Trump administration tariffs—this time, a 25% levy on all imported cars and car parts. Auto Stocks Tumble: $General Motors(GM)$ : -7.3% (biggest loser in the S&P 500) Ford: -4.8% Toyota, Honda, Volkswagen, BMW, and Mercedes-Benz also fell sharply in overseas trading. "The tariff announcement was arguably worse than Wall Street’s worst-case scenario." Investors should brace for volatility as markets dige
Trump’s Auto Tariffs Rattle Stocks

Tech Sinks as Tariff Fears Take Center Stage

Major Index Performance (Wednesday): Dow Jones: -0.3% $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -1.1% Nas $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -2.0% The market’s four-day winning streak came to an end as tariff fears sent investors back into risk-off mode. Non-US Stocks Continue to Outperform Q1 Performance: Non-US Stocks: +8.1% S&P 500: -2.9% Q4 2024 Recap: Non-US Stocks: -8.8% S&P 500: +2.1% Why it Matters: The outperformance isn't just a mean reversion—it reflects policy-driven headwinds for U.S. markets. U.S. small caps have been hit the hardest, reinforcing this trend. Expect near-term U.S. underperformance, though long-term prospects remain positive. Microsoft, Amazon, Nvidia: The Earnings Bellwethers These three stocks make up
Tech Sinks as Tariff Fears Take Center Stage

Market Recap: Investors Shrug Off Weak Consumer Confidence

Major Index Performance (Tuesday): $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : +0.2% $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : +0.5% Dow Jones: +0.01% (barely positive after spending most of the day in the red) $Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF(RSP)$ Despite yet another weak consumer confidence report, markets managed to inch higher—suggesting investors are focusing more on corporate profitability and Fed policy than on soft sentiment data. 5 Key Issues Driving Market Volatility Individually, these issues aren't overly bearish, but together, they create an unpredictable mix: Uncertain Fed Policy – No clear timeline for rate cuts. Tariff Concerns – Policy shifts are rattling businesses & consumers. Co
Market Recap: Investors Shrug Off Weak Consumer Confidence

Markets Start the Week with a Strong Rally

Major Index Performance (Monday): Dow Jones: +1.4% $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : +1.8% $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : +2.3% 🌟 Why the Rally? Reports suggest broad sectoral tariffs (autos, semiconductors, etc.) might be delayed beyond April 2. Markets interpreted this as a sign of stabilization in trade policy. Risk-on assets surged: $Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF(MAGS)$ +3.3% $iShares Bitcoin Trust(IBIT)$ Bitcoin: Even bigger gains and VIX (Fear Gauge): -9% Tech Markets cheered the possibility of "peak chaos" in trade policy passing—but uncertainty remains. The VIX Playbook in Action S&P 500 has gained 2.7% since March 10, when the VI
Markets Start the Week with a Strong Rally
Bull Trap, not sure because the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$   seems to crash. The $Cboe SKEW Index(SKEW)$   does not reflect panic or even a paradigm shift. 6,000 $S&P 500(.SPX)$   will be a test to watch.

Markets End the Week on a Positive Note

Major Index Performance (Friday & Weekly Gains): Dow Jones: +0.1% (+1.2% for the week). $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : +0.1% (+0.5% for the week) and $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : +0.5% (+0.2% for the week) First positive week after weeks of losses: S&P & Nasdaq snapped 4-week losing streaks Dow broke a 2-week skid 1️⃣ Friday Rally: "No News is Good News" Tech Stocks Rebound: $Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF(MGK)$ Magnificent Seven ETF ( $Alphabet(GOOG)$ , Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, $NVIDIA(NVDA)$, Tesla) jumped. $Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF(
Markets End the Week on a Positive Note

Markets Hold Steady Amid Mixed Signals

Market Performance (Thursday): Dow Jones: -11 points (Flat session) $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -0.2% $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -0.3% $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Intel(INTC)$ Lowest trading volume since January 29 (just 12.6 billion shares exchanged across NYSE & Nasdaq). 1️⃣ Story Time Thursday: Key Themes Private Equity’s Impact on Small Caps: Over the past 20 years, private equity & venture capital growth has constrained small-cap indices by keeping high-quality, fast-growing companies out of public markets. VIX as a Buy Signal: The VIX reflects the S&P 500’s volatility-based dividend yield—historically, buying when it’s very high
Markets Hold Steady Amid Mixed Signals

Markets Rally on Powell’s Reassurance, but Uncertainty Lingers

Market Performance (Wednesday): $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : +1.1% (Best Fed-day since July 2024). $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : +1.4%. Consumer Discretionary Stocks: +1.9% (Leading the rally) . $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ (Lowest March reading) Powell Press Markets responded positively to Powell’s steady stance on rate cuts and reassurance on economic resilience. The S&P 500 is now at a critical juncture, with the VIX needing to decline further to confirm a sustained bull market. 1️⃣ Key Takeaways from Powell & the Fed Meeting Fed’s “wait-and-see” approach remains in place 2 rate cuts still projected for 2024 Inflation forecast revised UP, economic growth forecast revised
Markets Rally on Powell’s Reassurance, but Uncertainty Lingers

Markets Await Fed Decision Amid Growing Uncertainty

Market Performance (Tuesday): $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -1.1% $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -1.7% Dow Jones: -260 points (-0.6%) Despite better-than-expected housing and industrial production data, investor jitters ahead of the Fed meeting dragged markets lower. $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Technology Select Sector SPDR Fund(XLK)$ 1️⃣ US Labor Market Weakening Labor market softness could impact consumer spending and economic growth. The US labor market is shifting from normalization to noticeable weakening: Job switchers vs. job stayers wage gap hit a 10-year low → Recessionary signal. Office occupancy at a post-pandemic high → More employees
Markets Await Fed Decision Amid Growing Uncertainty

Markets Shake Off Weak Data, Continue to Rebound

Despite weak retail sales data and lower GDP projections, investors kept buying the dip, pushing stocks higher for a second consecutive day. Index $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : +0.6% Dow Jones: +353 points (+0.9%) $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : +0.3% $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Intel(INTC)$ $Palantir Technologies Inc.(PLTR)$ 1️⃣ Volatility Index (VIX) Signals Caution VIX closed at 19.5, which historically acts as: A ceiling in bear markets (signaling more downside risk) A floor in bull markets (indicating support for stocks)… $VIX Neither a full bull nor bear market → The VIX will likely dictate direction in t
Markets Shake Off Weak Data, Continue to Rebound

Markets Rebound as Investors Buy the Dip

After entering correction territory, stocks staged a strong comeback on Friday, with the S&P 500 rising 2.1%, marking its best day since November. The Nasdaq surged 2.6%, while the Dow Jones gained 675 points (+1.7%). 1️⃣ Broad-Based Rally After Selloff Key Market Moves: $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : +2.1% (Best day since Nov. 6) $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : +2.6% and Dow Jones: +1.7% (+675 points) ✔️ All 11 S&P sectors closed positive. 🛒 Retail & Consumer Stocks in Focus 🔹 $Costco(COST)$ , Walmart (WMT), and Sprouts Farmers Market (SFM) seen as “screaming buys” by some analysts. Market strategist Mark Hackett notes that corrections help cool overheated markets, setti
Markets Rebound as Investors Buy the Dip

Markets Enter Correction as Volatility Spikes, Investors Seek Clarity

The S&P 500 officially entered correction territory, falling 10.1% from its Feb. 19 high after today’s 1.4% decline. This marks the fastest correction since early 2020. 🔻 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -1.4% (Now down 10.1% from recent high) 🔻 $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -1.2% 🔻 Dow Jones: -1.1% $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Apple(AAPL)$ $KraneShares CSI China Internet ETF(KWEB)$ $Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF(MGK)$ 1️⃣ Volatility Signals Market Stress 🔹 The CBOE VIX Index remains elevated, reflecting continued uncertainty 🔹 1% daily moves (up or down) are inc
Markets Enter Correction as Volatility Spikes, Investors Seek Clarity

Markets Rebound as Inflation Cools, But Rate Cut Odds Drop

Wall Street found some relief today as cooling inflation encouraged investors to buy the dip in risk assets. However, despite softer CPI data, rate cut expectations for May and June actually declined. ✅ $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ +1.2% (Tech leads rally) $Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF(MGK)$ $MGK ✅ $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : +0.5% (Despite ⅔ of stocks closing lower) 🔻 Dow Jones: -82 points (-0.2%). 📊 Market breadth was weak, as shown by: Invesco S&P 500 Equal Weight ETF: -0.5% Invesco S&P 500 High Beta ETF: +1.6% (Riskier stocks surged) Invesco S&P 500 Low Volatility ETF: -1.1% (Defensive stocks lagged) 1️⃣ Inflation Cools, But Fed Rate Cut Odds Drop February CPI: +0.2
Markets Rebound as Inflation Cools, But Rate Cut Odds Drop

Markets Struggle Amid Policy Uncertainty and Softening Data

Markets attempted three separate rallies today, but each one failed, leaving major indexes in the red once again: 🔻 $S&P 500(.SPX)$ : -0.8% (briefly entered correction territory) 🔻 $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ : -0.2% (-9.3% from record highs) 🔻 Dow Jones: -478 points (-1.1%). $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF(MGK)$ $PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES INC(0A7R.UK)$ Stocks While some choppiness is expected during new administrations, this level of policy-driven volatility is unprecedented, particularly with the rapid-fire p
Markets Struggle Amid Policy Uncertainty and Softening Data

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