$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$  $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  29Jan26 ET 🇺🇸 | 30Jan26 NZT 🇳🇿 Tesla’s post-earnings repricing reflects a liquidity-driven regime transition, where analyst dispersion, convexity flow, gold-band mean reversion, FSD scale, and the Optimus production pivot converge into a defining inflection for autos, AI compute, and embodied robotics. The current tape balances short-term valuation compression 📉 against long-duration autonomy, robotics, and software optionality 🧠🤖 as capital allocation discipline, supply chain restructuring, and dataset scale recalibrate forward earnings power. 🧠📊 Tesla: Analyst PT divergence,

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$  28Jan26 ET 🇺🇸 | 29Jan26 NZT 🇳🇿 $TSLA Q4 FY2025 Earnings This earnings cycle confirmed Tesla is no longer reporting as a car company. It is transitioning into an autonomy, AI, robotics, and energy platform, with automotive now serving as the cash engine funding the next S-curve. 🧠 Strategic Reframe, The Shift to “Amazing Abundance” Tesla formally reframed its mission toward “amazing abundance,” signalling a long-term objective centred on automation, robotics, AI-driven productivity, and falling m

[Miser]Hi Tigers,US equities are consolidating near cycle highs, with the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ holding above key moving averages as upside momentum eases. Volatility has picked up slightly, and the $Cboe Volatility Index(VIX)$ settling in the mid-teens suggests two-way risk is back on the table.As liquidity tailwinds fade, investors are refocusing on rate-cut timing, AI capex visibility, and earnings guidance. With Super Earnings Week underway, stock-specific fundamentals are starting to matter more, setting the stage for wider dispersion beneath the index surface.In this backdrop, positioning is tilting toward AI, big tech, and core US assets. These sectors offer clearer earnings visibility, stronger balan

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Meta Platforms, Inc.(META)$  $ASML Holding NV(ASML)$  ⚡📊🧠 Tesla Earnings Day, Structure Tightens as Volatility Nears Release ⚡📊🧠 🧠 Market Context and Regime Setup I’m treating today as a regime-defining event for $TSLA. Price, volatility, liquidity, and narrative timing are converging into a high-tension compression zone. This is the type of setup where chop resolves into trend, where the market stops negotiating and starts committing. 📈 Technical Structure and Price Behaviour I’m tracking a constructive double bottom forming near $431, signalling responsive demand after the prior drawdown from the $490–$500 supply zone.

Last Week's Recap 1. The US Market - Show Slight Pullback on Geopolitical Tensions: Slight pullback: the $S&P 500(.SPX)$ (-0.35%, 6,915.61), the $Dow Chemical(DOW)$ (-0.53%, 49,098.71), and the $NASDAQ(.IXIC)$ (-0.06%, 23,501.24)posted fractional declines for the second week in a row. Geopolitical tensions: International tensions over Greenland and the related prospect of tariffs were the key catalysts for Tuesday’s tumble around 2%. Metals dazzle: Precious metals prices are extending rallies again. Gold is trading above $5000 per ounce, while silver surpassed $100 per ounce for the first time. U.S. GDP upgrade: The government’s updated figure put the quarter

Wall Street’s current view of Tesla reflects a tension between short-term financial realism and long-term strategic optimism. Analysts have pulled back 2026 earnings forecasts significantly, yet price targets have been raised in some cases, pointing to a belief that Tesla’s narrative around autonomy, robotaxi economics and robotics could eventually justify premium valuations even if near-term profits disappoint. Here is a balanced assessment of whether the artificial intelligence and robotics story can support higher valuations and what specific milestones markets will look for. Can the AI and Robotics Narrative Justify Higher Valuations? In principle, yes—but only if execution aligns with visionary goals and delivers measurable, scalable economics. There are three core elements to this na

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  $Rocket Lab USA, Inc.(RKLB)$  $NVIDIA(NVDA)$   🧠 Market Structure, Levels, Momentum, and Flow $TSLA retested both my short term and mid term moving averages today and closed above both, confirming near term support, strengthening trend structure, and reinforcing bullish momentum control. Bollinger Bands tightening = volatility compression, signalling a high probability expansion phase. Big move loading as liquidity compresses, range narrows, and order flow builds underneath price. Critical test: can $TSLA hold into earnings? The post e

Tesla (TSLA) Valuation Split: AI and Robotics vs. Profit Forecasts 1. Tesla's AI and Robotics Narrative and Valuation Tesla is increasingly being valued as an AI and robotics ecosystem rather than just an EV manufacturer, leading to a disconnect between its stock price and traditional automotive valuations. This narrative is driven by several key factors: Shift from EV to AI/Robotics: Tesla is actively transitioning its focus from electric vehicle manufacturing to becoming a leader in physical artificial intelligence, encompassing autonomous driving, robotaxis, and humanoid robots. Robotaxi Potential: The autonomous vehicle market is projected to reach $115 billion by 2029, with the robotaxi market alone expected to be worth $1.2 trillion by 2030. Tesla's launch of unsupervised robotaxi ri

Tesla Earnings Preview: Amid Expected Earnings Drop, What New Story Can Elon Musk Tell? $Tesla Motors(TSLA)$   will announce its FY2025 Q4 earnings report after the market closes on January 28th.  Tesla's Q4 revenue is likely to continue its weak trend, following the company's earlier announcement of a significant decline in Q4 car sales. As competition intensifies in the US electric vehicle market, Musk urgently needs to present a new narrative. The market penetration rate for new energy vehicles in the US is expected to be 7.8% in 2025, with Tesla holding a 46.2% market share. Market estimates for this year's penetration rate are around 8%, suggesting limited overall market growth. Considering the sc

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Li Auto(LI)$  $NIO Inc.(NIO)$  2Jan26 🇺🇸|3Jan26 🇳🇿 Liquidity sweep completed. Upper range tagged near $462.50, lower range resolved near $440. Seven consecutive red sessions now on the tape, the longest losing streak since April 2024. New year, familiar $TSLA behaviour. 📊 My Daily Structure And Technical Read I’m seeing textbook momentum compression rather than structural failure. Price pushed into the upper band near $462.50 before resolving lower into the $440 liquidity pocket, completing a full range rotation. On the 4H and 30m charts, Keltner and Bollinger envelopes have compressed sharply, with price leaning against the

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ $Lemonade, Inc.(LMND)$  $Alphabet(GOOGL)$  22Jan26 ET 🇺🇸 | 23Jan26 NZT 🇳🇿 🧠 Structural Reality Check I’m anchoring on what the chart confirms, not the noise. $TSLA structure remains intact on higher timeframes despite volatility. This still reads as consolidation within trend rather than structural failure. • Weekly structure remains constructive • 21 week EMA continues to act as the dominant trend anchor • $422–$435 remains a critical structural pivot and decision zone • 4H compression suggests volatility expansion ahead • All time highs remain the upside magnet if momentum and flow rebuild 🧩 Technical Context That Matte

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$   $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $Advanced Micro Devices(AMD)$  🤖🧠 Tesla Optimus: Embodied Intelligence and the Emergence of a General-Purpose Labour Platform 🤖📈 I view Tesla’s Optimus as a structural inflection point, not only for Tesla, but for labour economics, automation, and long-term productivity across the global economy. This is not an incremental robotics initiative or a speculative moonshot. It represents the moment artificial intelligence transitions from digital environments into persistent, physical execution at scale. The iPhone plac

Tesla (TSLA) Robotaxi and Optimus Impact on 2026 Earnings Narrative While Tesla is making significant strides in its AI roadmap, the Robotaxi and Optimus timelines are unlikely to materially change Tesla's earnings narrative in 2026 in terms of substantial revenue or profit generation, though they will continue to lay the groundwork for future growth. Robotaxi Service Timeline and Scope: Tesla began removing safety monitors from its Robotaxis in Austin in January 2026, and a small fleet has been operating in Austin and San Francisco since mid-2025. The Robotaxi iOS app no longer has a waitlist in served areas, and coverage is planned for Dallas, Houston, Phoenix, Miami, Orlando, Tampa, and Las Vegas in the first half of 2026. Earnings Impact in 2026: While expanding, the Robotaxi service i

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$  $NVIDIA(NVDA)$  $Alphabet(GOOGL)$   08Jan26 🇺🇸|09Jan26 🇳🇿 New high of the day printed early, steady buying from the open with price holding above intraday VWAP as consolidation tightens. +$12 off the low today. No new “good news.” No sentiment shift. Buyers showed up anyway. Price first. Narratives later! I’m tracking $TSLA through a very deliberate consolidation phase where price, flow, and narrative are lining up again after two weeks of sequential decline. This is not disorderly selling. This is digestion. 📊 My Daily Structure

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ 🌟 Buckle up, folks! Lemonade just dropped a bombshell that's got Tesla shares buzzing with a solid 2% climb. They're offering a whopping 50% cut on per-mile insurance rates for Tesla drivers who flip on Full Self-Driving (FSD) mode. Why? Their crunching of real-world data screams that FSD slashes accident risks big time, making it a no-brainer safer bet than your average human behind the wheel. 😎 This isn't just a perk—it's rock-solid proof backing Elon Musk's vibe that Tesla's tech outdrives us mere mortals, even as regulators scratch their heads. 🔥 Does this validate FSD's safety creds? Absolutely! Lemonade's move dives deep into Tesla's telemetry treasure trove, tracking every twist and turn to spot the magic: FSD-engaged m

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$ Bullish $Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing(TSM)$ Bullish $NVIDIA(NVDA)$ Bullish 31Dec25 🇺🇸 | 01Jan26 🇳🇿  I’m calling this market exactly as it traded, not as it was supposed to. The Grinch is no longer stealing Christmas, he’s cancelling it. The Santa Rally script failed, volatility took control, and $TSLA became the clearest expression of a regime shift that punished complacency and rewarded structure. That Grinch board isn’t satire. It’s a ledger. Happy New Year to all Tigers and traders 🎆 I’m stepping into 2026 focused on discipline, data, and positioning, not folklore. 🎅❌ Santa Rally Failure: When the Grinch

1. Analysis of Tesla's Autonomy Upside and Market Pricing The market's valuation of Tesla is increasingly bifurcated between its current automotive business and its future potential in autonomy and robotics. The recent stock reaction to CEO Elon Musk's comments suggests the market is highly responsive to updates on these future technologies. Arguments that the market may be underpricing the upside: Valuation Shift in Focus: Analysts note that investor focus for Tesla's upcoming earnings has shifted from traditional financial metrics to progress on "unsupervised FSD, Robotaxi, and the Optimus robot". This indicates the market is attempting to price in a future that is still under development. Strategic Bet on AI: Tesla is explicitly framing itself as an "AI & Robotics" company, developi

$Tesla Motors(TSLA)$’s fiscal Q4 2025 earnings, scheduled for release on January 28, 2026, arrive at a critical juncture as the company’s valuation increasingly detaches from its core automotive performance. The Financial Outlook Wall Street is braced for a significant year-over-year decline. The consensus estimates include: Non-GAAP EPS: ~$0.44–$0.45 (a nearly 40% YoY drop). Revenue: ~$24.8–$25.0 billion (down ~3% YoY). Automotive Margins: Investors are looking for stabilization around 14.8%–15.0%. The primary drag is the automotive segment. Tesla already reported 418,227 deliveries for Q4, a 15.6% YoY decline, attributed to the expiration of U.S. tax credits in Q3 and an aging product lineup. The "Tech Pivot" Strategy 1. Because the car business

1. Insurance Pricing as a Validation Signal The insurance industry's core business model is based on actuarial data and risk assessment. Therefore, Lemonade's decision to offer a substantial 50% discount for FSD-enabled vehicles is a tangible, market-based endorsement of the technology's potential to reduce accident rates. This action lends third-party, financial credibility to CEO Elon Musk's long-standing claims about FSD's superior safety compared to human drivers.  However, this validation must be contextualized: Single Data Point vs. Broad Adoption: This is an initiative by one insurer. Broad validation would require adoption by major insurance carriers and sustained data over time.  Ongoing Regulatory Scrutiny: The news data indicates that regulatory bodies like the NHTSA c